World Economic Forum Competitiveness Indicators and Policy Actions Aleksandra Zoric Krzic USAID Serbia Analyzing Serbia: WB Doing Business Report: rank 94 among 181 countries major weaknesses: - Dealing with Construction Permits (171) - Starting / closing a business - Paying taxes - Registering property - Enforcing contracts - Employing workers WEF Glob. Comp. Report: rank 85 among 132 countries ….will be discussed further The most problematic factors for doing business WEF GCR 2008-2009 2007-2008 Serbia comparing to average of countries at the second stage of development Innovation & Sophistication Efficiency Enhancers Basic Requirements In numbers…. Progress against last year (6 positions up) 45 positions up SERBIA 2008-2009 2007-2008 Rank Score Absolute Change (Score) Rank Score GLOBAL COMPETITIVE INDEX 85 3.9 0.1 91 3.8 BASIC REQUIREMENTS 88 4.1 -0.1 78 4.2 1st Pillar: Institutions 108 3.4 -- 99 3.4 2nd Pillar: Infrastructure 102 2.7 -- 92 2.7 3d Pillar: Macroeconomic Stability 86 4.7 0.1 88 4.6 4th Pillar: Health and Primary Education 46 5.8 -0.2 31 6.0 EFFICIENCY ENHANCERS 78 3.8 0.2 88 3.6 5th Pillar: Higher Education and Training 70 3.9 0.2 82 3.7 6th Pillar: Goods market Efficiency 115 3.7 0.2 114 3.5 7th Pillar: Labor Market Efficiency 66 4.4 0.5 111 3.9 8th Pillar: Financial Market Sophistication 89 3.9 0.2 98 3.7 9th Pillar: Technological Readiness 61 3.5 0.2 57 3.3 10th Pillar: Market Size 65 3.6 0.4 75 3.2 INNOVATION AND SOPHISTICATION FACTORS 91 3.3 -- 88 3.3 11th Pillar: Business Sophistication 100 3.5 -- 95 3.5 12th Pillar: Innovation 70 3.1 -- 78 3.1 The USAID Competitiveness Project support - Financed WEF and WB Indicator Analysis by a local Think Tank “International Competitiveness and Economic Growth of Serbia” by CEVES - Advised on the new Structure of the NCC - Policy assistance / Drafted Action Plan 2009 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Request for STTA to assist with implementation Serbia NCC: • Reestablished late 2007 (in 2002 failed) • Currently 32 members (Government members mostly) • 5 Working Groups (inefficient) • No clear agenda General recommendations: 1. Reduce the size of the NCC - max 20-22 members, less Gov. members - invite top leaders and decision makers 2. Formalize a NCC Secretariat 3. Redesign the Working Groups (to respond to policy priorities) 4. Set clear goals 5. Monitor performance (based on WEF and WB indicators) Policy Priority Areas: 1. Public Administration 2. Micro-Econ. Environment 3. Educational Reform 4. Energy Efficiency 5. Infrastructure Development Recommendations for Policy Priorities by Working Groups: 1. Public Administration 4. Energy Burden of Gov. Regulations Extent of staff training* Effectiveness of Antimonopoly Policy** Regulation on Securities and Exchange Soundness of Banks Quality of Overall Infrastructure Quality of Electrical Supply Energy Security Prospects for Renewable Energy 5. Infrastructure 2. Market Efficiency Extent of Market Dominance Intensity of Local Competition** Financial Market Sophistication Restriction of Capital Flows 3. Human Capital Extent of Staff training* Reliance on Professional Management Quality of Management Schools Quality of Roads Prospects of integration in PanEuropean Logistic Network A strong political leadership, with a clear vision and commitment to economic growth as a priority. Thank you!