“Moving Out of Low Poverty Trap: Investing at the Bottom of the Pyramid” A. Q. M. Golam Mawla General Manager, PKSF Dhaka, Bangladesh 29 October 2014 4/8/2015 1 Extreme Poverty (EP) in Bangladesh food-energy intake: <1,805 Kcal per day Schematic representation of different population segments for inclusive financing per capita income: < TK. 1103 per month Around 17.5 million extreme poor Near poor 15 % above PL 26 % below PL Mainstream microfinance (540) Poverty line 26% Very poor program (12.4%) Bottom 12.4% 4/8/2015 EP communities (in million) • Dalit, & socially excluded communities (5.5) • Tribal/ethnic communities (1.2) • Tea garden labourers (0.1- 0.3) • Beggars (0.7) • Domestic help (0.42) • Physically handicapped population (10.6%, WHO) • Street children (tokai) • Economically insolvent elderly people (appx 7% of total population) • Extreme poor living in ‘haors’ (5.5) • Extreme poor living in climate change vulnerable areas/Chars Insufficient economic opportunities Poor access to public services & transfer Vulnerable to external shocks Face health and nutrition vulnerability Gender inequity and marginalised group specific risks & vulnerabilities are also prominent Extreme poverty is often chronic – it passes down from one generation to the next. 4/8/2015 3 Occupational Distribution of extreme poor Salient characteristics Not homogeneous Vulnerable, limited access to basic needs Mostly unskilled Highly dependent on day labor/wages (low-paid wage labor) Often excluded from the society Occupational Distribution of 1 million participants of PKSF’s UPP programme Traditional Beggars, 0.70% Jobholders, 3.84% Others, 7.95% Day Labourers (on-farm), 35.92% Domestic Help, 2.49% Small Entrepreneurs, 17.10% Rickshaw/Van Pullers, 13.18% 4/8/2015 Sex-workers, 0.07% Day Labourers (off-farm), 18.76% Need to Address the Multidimensional Aspects of Poverty “A condition characterized by severe deprivation of basic human needs, including food, safe drinking water, sanitation facilities, health, shelter, education and information. It depends not only on income but also on access to services.” – UN, 1995 Dimensions + Indicators Income + Food poverty line Health + Daily protein intake Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) of UNDP measures not only income, but also basic needs and living standard Living Standard + Type of toilet + Living space In Bangladesh, 58% population are MPI poor + Source of water for drinking, cooking, and daily work, etc.) Education + Years of schooling + School attendance + Electricity, etc. Access to safety net + Cash/food for work + Elderly benefits/ allowances, etc 4/8/2015 Income poverty improved but nutritional status still remain alarming! Nutritional status of mother and under-5 children (per cent) 41 36 24 16 • 41% of children under age 5 are stunted, • 16% are wasted, and • 36% are underweight • 24% of women have BMI <18.5 6 Key drivers for EP eradication in Bangladesh • Remittance inflow – Nearly 8 million migrant workers contributing $12.5 billion/year • Microfinance – As of 2011 , 34.36 million HHs availing US$ 5.83 billion as microcredit • Ready Made Garments (RMG) – Employ over 4.5 million worker mostly women and contribute 10.5% of GDP • Many fold increase in Agricultural production – Employ nearly 23 million people (nearly 48% of the employment) • Expansion of Social Safety Net Programme – Covering 9.04 million man month at a cost US$ 3.25 billion • Human capacity development – Education, Vocational & Skill Training, Woman empowerment 7 Related Issues MDGs Achievements Reducing poverty Child mortality reduction (own UN award) Attaining gender equality Maternal Health improvement Universal primary education Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Bangladesh resets its goal of ending extreme poverty by 2022 Targets to be middle income country (MIC) – reaching threshold per capita income of $1,130 – by 2021 4/8/2015 8 Productivity Productivity is an average measure of the efficiency of production - i.e. output per unit of input. The production performance can be measured as an average or an absolute income. Productivity is a crucial factor in production performance of firms/ economic activities. Increased productivity helps raising living standards because more real income improves people's ability to purchase (i.e. higher purchasing power). Productivity growth also helps businesses to be more profitable. 4/8/2015 9 Low Productivity Trap Low Human Capital Low financial resources • No/little education • No/little technical skill •Little productive assets •Difficult and adequate access to financial resources •Little risk coverage Little/no access to • No/little access to land, water natural resources and other natural resources High vulnerability Poor market accessibility • Vulnerable to climatic/manmade disaster Low investment /input No/little marketable products • Remote geographic location • Subjected to social Little social capital discrimination 4/8/2015 Low Productivity Extreme poverty No/Little income Strategies for Removing the Trap Expanding Opportunities (i.e. promoting sustainable livelihoods) Facilitating Empowerment (enhancing access to services) Ensuring Protection (both covariant and idiosyncratic - need to be addressed) 4/8/2015 11 Promoting Sustainable Livelihoods A livelihood is sustainable when it can cope with and recover from stresses and shocks, maintain or enhance its capabilities or assets, while not undermining the natural resource base Livelihood strategies Reduced reliance on day-labour Creating ‘livelihood ladders’ Enhanced regular income from market-based IGAs Livelihood outcome o More income & increased well-being o Reduced vulnerability & improved food security o More sustainable use of NR base Key questions: What will be transforming structures and process? What will be role of government/private sector/MFIs? 4/8/2015 12 Removing constraints of the bottom poor – Demand Side Issues Technical know-how and demand-driven technical services Appropriate financial services Market linkage - quality assurance, knowledge on market demand Potential areas of investment o Farming (Livestock) • Goat (Black Bengal, Boer, Jamnapari) or sheep (Chotanagpur, Dmarah, Suffolk) farming : Buck center, Small breeding unit, • Dairying (Fresian cross - at least 8 litter average milk) • Beef (Crossbred bull calves, Pabna/shahiwal) o Land leased based farming specially in char area o High value commercial vegetable gardening o Off-farming- Small business, vocational trades, tailoring 4/8/2015 13 Homestead Gardening Traditional gardens are scattered, seasonal Investment Net profit BDT 530-650/Total investment BDT decimal year. 60-80/per Provide vegetable decimal/year.) 42.89 gm/person/day. Traditional vegetable garden Developed gardens produce vegetables throughout the year, produce more varieties of vegetables and are on fixed plot of land (bed system-Robi, Kharif-1, Kharif-2). Investment Total investment BDT 180-200/- per decimal/year.) Net profit BDT 2,350-2,600//dec/year. Provide vegetable 364.56 gm/person/day. Developed vegetable garden Small Scale nursery Investment/1decimal Total investment (seed, tree/fruit sapling, fertilizer etc.) BDT 25,400/- per decimal/year.) Income Income BDT 53,600/- per decimal land/year. Native Shing/Magur, Tengra, Koi fish culture Magure/Shing culture/2decimal pond Investment Net profit Total investment BDT 13,800/- per decimal pond/year (2 crops/year.) BDT 18,200./- per decimal/year (2 harvest/year) Thai koi culture/2 decimal pond Investment Total investment BDT 5,500/- per decimal pond/year (2 crops/year.) Net profit BDT 8,500/- per decimal/year (2 crops/year) 16 Fish Culture (Crab fattening) Traditional method crab fattening- encircle earthen area (Pond/Gher)- Investment Total investment BDT 45,800/- per decimal pond (20 crops/year.) Net profit BDT 11,000/- per decimal pond (20 crops/year) Crab fattening pond Scientific method crab fattening -bamboo made floating caseInvestment Total investment BDT 2,64,770/- from 30 cage (40m2 area) within 12 crops (12 days/crop) Net profit BDT 91,630/- from 30 cage (40m2 area) within 12 crops (12 days/crop) Reference: M. Begum et. al 2009 Crab fattening bamboo made case Black Bengal Goat (BBG) rearing LIFT Intervention at WAVE a) Total HH (BBG rearer): 6382 b) Total goat: 44895 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Traditional a) Non descriptive housing b) flock size: 1-2 doe c) No attention to health d) Small litter size (less than 2) e) High mortality Investment (yearly) Goat & treatment: 8000/--10000/Income: Kid: 3500/-5500/Net profit: 2500/-3500/-(2 cycle) Asset: Doe-5000/--6000/- Jun-14 May-14 Apr-14 Mar-14 Feb-14 Jan-14 Dec-13 Nov-13 Oct-13 Sep-13 Aug-13 Jul-13 Jun-13 May-13 Apr-13 Mar-13 Feb-13 Jan-13 No. Goat HH's Improved a) Maccha rearing b) flock size: 4 doe c) Regular vaccination & deworming d) Good litter size (2 or more than 2) e) Low mortality Investment (yearly) Housing, Goat, feed & treatment: 25000/--30000/Income: Kid & doe- 42,000/--45000/Net profit: 15000/--18000/- (2 cycle/year) Asset: Doe & house-17000/-19000/- Buck Service Centre Feature: a) Maccha housing b) flock size: 4 buck c) Regular vaccination & deworming d) Natural Insemination once daily e) Ensure trabis f) Natural Insemination (NI)charge-100/Investment (yearly): Housing, Buck, feed & treatment: 50000/--55000/Income: NI charge- 1,00,000/--1,10,000/Net profit: 45000/--50000/- (3500/--4000/- monthly) Asset: Buck & house-28,000/-30,000/- Toward new technology Vermicompost Production (semi-commercial) Feature: a) Produced by the worm (cow dung, kitchen waste) b) Improves soil organic matter (5%) content c) Improves germination rate, crop’s growth & yield Investment (yearly): 1. Rings (10 no’s): 2500/2. Vermin (20000 no’s): 20000/3. Cow dung (12000kg): (self) 4. Sac, sieve, net: 1700/Total: 24,200/Income: Vermicompost (4800kg) & Vermin (80000 no’s): 1,37,600/Net profit: 113400/- (8 batch/year) i.e. or 9450/- monthly PRIME Intervention No. of farm established: 18045 (Small & semi-commercial) Total investment: 42.8 million Total Production: 14454 ton/year Income: 173 million (except vermin) Quail (layer) Production Feature: a) Need Low Investment b) Starts laying at six to seven weeks of age c) Laying 280 to 295 eggs/year. Investment: Cage, Quail, feed & other: 48,000/Income: Egg, Quail & other: 67,000/Net profit: 16,000/--18,000/- (one year) Asset: cage & equipment- 5,000/- Rabbit Production Feature: a) Short gestation period (30-32 days) b) Give birth 6-8 time per year c) Addressing the tribe Investment: Cage, rabbit, feed & other: 23,000/Income: Rabbit: 31,500/Net return: 7000/--8000/- (7 kitting/year) Asset: Rabbit, cage & equipment- 8,000/- Off-farm Activities Mat making Basket making Investment Investment Total investment 20,400.00 BDT (training, equipments, cloth etc.) Total investment 5,400.00 BDT (training, materials etc.) Income Income Income 2,600.00-3,200.00 BDT/month Monthly income 3,500.005,500.00 BDT/month Off-farm Activities Omanian cap Investment Total investment 3,000.00 (Training, cloth, thread etc) Income BDT Monthly income 2,000.002,500.00 BDT (4 cap/month) Off-farm Activities Tailoring Investment Stitching Investment Total investment 25,000.00 BDT (training-6months, machine, cloth, etc.) Total investment 8,000.00 BDT (training) Income Income Monthly income 2,500.003,500.00 BDT Monthly income 2,500.003,000.00 BDT 24 Vocational Activities Mobile Servicing Hosiery Investment Total investment 8,140.00 BDT (training) Income Monthly income 6,000.0010,000.00 BDT Investment Total investment 70,600.00 BDT (training, machine, equipments, computer etc.) Income Monthly income 10,000.0015,000.00 BDT Vocational Activities Mechanic Electrical Investment Investment Total investment 30,500/-BDT (training, equipments etc.) Total investment 22,600.00 BDT (training) Income income Monthly income 6,000.00-8000.00 BDT Monthly income 6,000.0010,000.00 BDT Education Program ENRICH • Total Centres- 3239 • Total 86,745 Students- • Each SK has on the average 26 students per centre. • 53% of students are girls. • Low cost: Cost/Centre/Year-Tk. 26,250/• Ultra-poor and poor students are achieved good results in their school exam. •% of dropped-out: 7% • High appreciation from the society Moving Forward Living remains no more a daily struggle Attaining qualitative economic security. It’s a result of many small qualitative changes in livelihoods New livelihood strategies have to contribute in increasing the purchasing power of the households Considering heterogeneity, need further stratification within the extreme poor Expanding economic opportunities to create ‘livelihood ladders’ Promoting high earning livelihood strategy Identifying and exploiting new income generating activities and making markets work for the extreme poor Growth of homestead economy as a source of cash income Acquiring new skill to enhance the scale of operation 4/8/2015 28 Removing constraints of the bottom poor – Supply Side Issues • Mind-set of development agencies yet to be re-oriented toward addressing the bottom poor. Besides, they are not technically and financially equipped to address the bottom poor issues. Furthermore, they do not have sufficient trained staff to handle the issues of bottom poor. • Absence of targeted, long-term, flexible programme for the bottom-poor • Both government and non-government agencies are shying away from the poor of vulnerable disaster prone areas. 4/8/2015 29 Conclusion PKSF attempts to expand growth-oriented marketbased activities for the poorest Multidimensional aspect of poverty must be addressed Making sufficient investment for enhancing human and social capital A more focused and programmatic approach has to be undertaken Expanding employment opportunities in both formal and informal sector is crucial Identify and expand market linkages for the poor 4/8/2015 30 Thanks 4/8/2015 31