MCX: Developing Indian Commodity Ecosystem Joseph Massey Deputy Managing Director MCX Why nations need commodities markets Commodities are generic Prices are determined on global basis – international trade – Information effect – Inter-substitutability – • Food for energy • Commodity as investment • Price related switching Market pricing efficient & gives long term signals All carry price risk & better to manage Indian Contribution to Global Futures Market Commodity Futures Volume in Contracts Traded (in mn) Market Region America Europe Asia Africa Global Total* 2005 287 120 344 1 753 Share (%) 38.2% 16.0% 45.7% 0.2% 100.0% India 72 9.6% Only top 20 exchanges are considered Source: FIA Market 2006 390 180 415 1 987 99 Share (%) 39.5% 18.3% 42.1% 0.1% 100.0% 10.0% Market Share of Traded Futures Volume Market Share of Total Global Futures Volume in Year 2006 Agriculture 45% Energy Metals 34% 21% Market Share in Indian Commodity Market Market Share Market Share (in Contracts (in Value Energy Metals Agri Traded) 6.9% 35.3% Traded) 5.10% 56.9% 57.7% 38.0% Share of Global Commodities in India Dome stic Commodity 35% Globa l linked 65% Gold Silver Crude Oil Copper Zinc Aluminium Ref Soy Oil Relationship between Indian & Benchmark Global Exchanges (Percent) 95.3 97.2 97.9 99.8 98.6 89.4 84.5 Share of Agri, Energy & Metals of the Total MCX Volume in Contracts Traded (2006) Key Contracts Traded on MCX (2006) Agri 18% Name of the Contract Energy 15% Contracts Turnover (in Traded) USD bn) 1 GOLD 2 SILVER 9,957,351 9,498,544 203.7 115.0 3 COPPER 5,293,964 40.0 4 CRUDEOIL 5 MENTHAOIL 4,466,538 2,428,230 29.6 12.5 562,647 887,733 11.4 8.6 1,953,756 2,982,222 7.4 6.2 1,870,417 515,777 3.9 2.4 12 GUARSEED 13 POTATO 451,913 397,908 2.1 1.7 14 CARDAMOM 572,157 1.2 45,635,538 460.4 6 ZINC 7 REFSOYOIL Metals 67% Volume (in 8 NATURALGAS 9 SILVERM 10 GOLDM 11 GRAM Grand Total Mini Contracts of Global commodities in Indian Time Zone Commodity Benchmark Exchange Contract Size (in USD) Copper 25 tonnes (LME) 150,000 Aluminium 25 tonnes (LME) 137,500 Zinc 25 tonnes (LME) 83,750 Crude Oil 1000 barrels (NYMEX) 60,000 Gold 100 troy oz 64,000 Silver 5000 troy oz 65,000 Indian Market Contract Size (in USD) 1 tonne 6,000 2 tonnes 5,500 5 tonnes 16,750 100 barrels 6,000 1 kilogram 20,500 30 kilograms 12,600 • Availability of smaller contracts on Indian exchanges helps smaller traders/companies to hedge their risk • Price discovery at Indian time zone • High level of relationship between Indian and global markets in globally linked commodities New developments expected New products – Options and Indices (Weather, commodity, Carbon Credits, freight, etc.) Exchange traded funds Banks, MFs and FIIs in commodities market Global strategic alliance and cross listing of products Domestic investors going global Capital account convertibility & greater global integration 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Market Share of MCX (Jan - Feb 2007) Feb-07 Nov-06 Aug-06 May-06 Feb-06 Nov-05 Aug-05 May-05 Feb-05 Nov-04 Aug-04 May-04 Feb-04 NCDEX 24.0% Nov '03 Million USD MCX Growth Story NMCE 1.0% Others 1.5% MCX 73.5% Market Share of Global Bullion Exchanges (2006) Gold Global Market Share (in Contracts Traded 2006) Silver Global Market Share (in Contracts Traded - 2006) TOCOM 35% CBOT 8% MCX 19% Others 3% COMEX 26% CBOT 17% COMEX 24% Others 9% TOCOM 4% MCX 55% Market Share of Global Energy Exchanges 2006 Crude Oil Global Market Share (in Contracts Traded - 2006) MCX 3.03% ICE 48.44% Others 0.09% Natural Gas Global Market Share (in Contracts Traded - 2006) ICE 2% MCX 8% NYMEX 47.14% TOCOM 1.30% NYMEX 90% MCX Comdex Vs Global Commodity Indices 600 4000 3000 400 2500 300 2000 1500 200 1000 100 500 Correlation of COMDEX with: CRB Index Rogers com Index DJAIG com Index GSCI spot Index 2/7/2007 12/7/2006 10/7/2006 8/7/2006 6/7/2006 4/7/2006 2/7/2006 12/7/2005 10/7/2005 0 8/7/2005 0 33.71% 83.24% 48.70% 69.24% CRB, DJAIG & GSCI Spot Index 500 3500 6/7/2005 COMDEX & Rogers Commodity Index 4500 MCX Cross Border Strategic Alliances MCX – Reforming Commodity Ecosystem Increase the Holding Capacity Collateral Financing Grading & Standardizatio n National Level Price Discovery in Perishable & Non-Perishable Commodities, Market Infrastructure and National Reach. Gramin Suvidha Kendras: MCX India Post Initiatives Villagers in Dhamangaon benefiting from MCX futures commodity prices Shri S P Tayde – Village Postmaster Dhamangaon writing MCX rates on Board Commodity Suchna Kendras: MCX Initiative An e-Ticker in Indore, Madhya Pradesh First Commodity Suchna Kendra at APMC, Vashi being inaugurated by Shri Sharad Pawar Thank You! Contact: 102 A , Landmark Suren Road, Chakala Andheri (East) Mumbai 400 093. Tel: +91-22 - 6709 9300 Fax :+91-22 - 6709 9044 Web : www.mcxindia.com DISCLAIMER:The Information in the presentation is solely for informational purpose and should not be regarded as a recommendation by MCX. All information in the presentation is obtained from the sources believed to be reliable and MCX or any of the associate entities make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.MCX accepts no obligation to correct or update the information or opinion.No member of MCX or its associate entities accept any liability whatsoever consequent ional or other loses arising from the use of the presentation and or further communication in relation to this presentation. MCX hits record turnover of 17987 crores