HIES 2010 Outputs – Implications for Extreme Poverty

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HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND
EXPENDITURE SURVEY (HIES)
2010 – IMPLICATIONS FOR
EXTREME POVERTY RESEARCH


The findings of the Household Income and
Expenditure Survey (HIES) 2010 will provide the
key (but not the only) benchmark or reference point
for poverty related research until 2016.
A few headlines from the preliminary report
(see BBS website)
Steeply Declining incidence of poverty
between 2005 and 2010


Upper Poverty Line – from 40% to 31.5% national
rate
Lower Poverty Line – from 25.1% to 17.6% national
rate
Lower Poverty
line
2005
2010
Rural
28.6%
21.1%
Urban
14.6%
7.7%
Increasing food intakes






5.5% increase from 2005 nationally
6.21% increase rural
3.5% increase urban
Decline in rice(439.4g to 416.10g)
Increase in wheat (12.08 to 26.09) and potato
Increase in meat, veg – and protein
Slight decline in inequality of income
distribution



Gini co-eficient decreased slightly (0.458 from
0.467)
But share of income of bottom 50% of the
population remained at 20.33%
Bottom decile gets 2% of income
Important contribution from remittances

Remittance receiving households have 82% higher
income. Only 13.1% of remittance receiving
households are below the, upper, poverty line (17%
in 2005).
Average size of households continues to
decline

From 4.84 (2005) to 4.5(2010)

Rural from 4.88 (2005) to 4.53

Urban from 4.72 (2005) to 4.41
Access to education increasing


Literacy rate up to 57.9% from 51.9% (2005)
Enrolment rate for girls exceeds boys in rural and
urban areas.
Access to Safety Nets increasing


-
-
24.57% reported receiving benefit within the last
12 months (only 13.3% in 2005)
“The findings further affirm that SSNPs are
reasonably well targetted”
Poverty incidence of SSN beneficiaries is 43.4%
(compared to 27.5% overall)
But some big regional variations in % of HH receiving benefits
Khulna 37.30% of HH – Rajshahi 20.66%
Other important findings
Microfinance
 Regional distribution
 Community characteristics (Mouza level)
 Migration
 Crisis incidence and coping
 Disability Incidence
 Poverty by occupation
 Poverty by land-holding
and others

The 2010 HIES report is generally
good news

Sharply declining poverty

Improvements across other indicators

Progress towards MDGs

But, depending on population data, over 25 million
people still below the lower poverty line.


The HIES represents a “State of Poverty in
Bangladesh” report
Shiree is planning to produce a “State of Extreme
Poverty in Bangladesh” report.
Group Exercise : just a 15 minute
brainstorm
For a State of Extreme Poverty in Bangladesh Reportstart to draft a contents page
What are the most critical things that must be
included and why?
Does the research data already exist to allow these
sections to be written – if so where?
State of Extreme Poverty Report
Draft Contents Page
Section One . Extreme Poverty in Bangladesh: Characteristics, Trends and Dynamics
1.1 What do we mean by extreme poverty?
1.2 Poverty thresholds analysis
1.3 Spatial Dimensions of Extreme Poverty
Section Two. Extreme Poverty; Findings and Case Studies
2.1 Characteristics of 70,000 Extreme poor Households, shiree baseline analysis (CMS1
analysis)
2.2 Ascents and descents (analysis of CMS5 data)
2.3 Extreme Poverty and Nutrition – the relationship
2.4 “Protecting the gains”: summary analysis of Rd 1 research papers
Section Three. Working with programmes
3.1 Targeting the extreme poor
3.2 Lessons from programme interventions
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