Financial Statements Gitman/Madura Chapter 8 Lecture notes 8 Why Read or Care? • Investment strategies – Growth • Use accounting numbers to estimate growth – Value • Compare accounting numbers to price Goals • Accounting statements • Financial ratios • Ratios and valuation Accounting Statements • • • • Income statement Balance sheet Statement of retained earnings Statement of cash flows Income Statement • Flow variables • Revenues – Cost of goods sold Income Statement Example • Total revenues $50 • Labor and other operating expenses $-25 – (for goods sold) • • • • • • Advertising + Admin. expenses $-5 Depreciation $-5 Interest payments $-5 Taxes $-5 Earnings 50-25-5-5-5-5 = $5 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes – = 50-25-10 = $15 Balance Sheet Accounting Value of the Firm • Assets (things firm owns) • Liabilities (Loans) • Stockholders’ equity – (Assets - Liabilities) – Also called • Book value • Net worth Assets • • • • • Cash Accounts receivable Inventories Land Plant and equipment – Less: Depreciation Liabilities • Accounts payable • Notes payable (short term debt) • Long term debt Balance Sheet • Assets – Cash $5 – Plant and equipment $100 • Liabilities – Accounts payable $1 – Long term debt $75 • Stockholder equity 105-76 = $29 Retained Earnings Statement • Cumulative sums of retained earnings • RE = retained earnings • New RE = Old RE + Earnings - Dividends Cash Flow • Pure measure of incoming - outgoing cash • Differences with income statement – No depreciation – No accounts payable/receivable – Inventories (account for costs of producing and putting in inventory) Cash Flow Parts • Operating Activities • Investment Activities • Financial Activities Operating Cash Flow • Earnings = $5 – Adjust to get to cash flow • Depreciation : +5 – Why? Remove depreciation adjustments • Increase in accounts payable: +5 – Why? Haven’t paid this yet. • Increase in accounts receivable: -2 – Why? Haven’t received this yet. • Increase in inventories: -10 – Production costs reflect only goods sold. – Adjustment: 5+5+5-2-10 = 3 = operating cash flow Investment Cash Flow • Increase in gross fixed assets • Purchases of new plant and equipment • -30 million : New office building • Total investment cash flow = -30 million Finance Cash Flow • Increase in long term debt: • +50 million of incoming funds • Dividends: • -20 million payout of divs • Total finance cash flow = +30 million Goals • Accounting statement • Financial Ratios • Ratios and valuation Financial Ratios • Ratios of various financial variables • Uses – Analyze financial well being of a firm – Compare different stocks in terms of current values • “Find good investments” Ratios • • • • Profitability ratios Market ratios Debt ratios Other ratios – Why skipping many in book Profitability: Gross Profit Margin Sales Cost of goodssold Sales Gross profits Sales Profitability: Earnings for Shareholders • Earnings available for common shareholders – Revenues minus • • • • • Costs of goods sold (production) Operating expenses Interest Taxes Preferred dividends • Final earnings left for shareholders (earnings) Profitability: Net profit margin Earnings Sales Profitability: Earnings per Share (EPS) • Key ratio!!! Earnings EPS Shares of common stock Return on Total Assets (ROA) Earnings ROA Totalassets Return on Common Equity (ROE) • Common stock holder Equity – Balance sheet book value assigned to common stock – Net worth – preferred stock (valued at par) Earnings ROE Common stock equity Market Ratios • Share price versus accounting value • Very important • Examples – Price/Earnings ratio – Market/Book (M/B) ratio Price Earnings Ratio P/E Ratio Market price per share P / E Ratio Earnings per share Price Earnings Ratio • Price per earnings • Example: – Microsoft • About 30 • $30 per $1 of earnings Compare to Earnings Growth • P = y(1+g)/(k-g) • P/E = (1+g)/(k-g) • Try – k = 0.07 (close to average real return) – g = 0.02 (close to average real growth of economy) – gives P/E for stock – 20 High Flying P/E’s • AOL (1999) near 600 • Dell Computer (1999) 100 • These require higher growth rates, but maybe not much higher – 1/(0.07-0.06) = 100 – 6% growth forever is pretty big • For many dot com’s no P/E since earnings are zero Market to Book Ratio (M/B) Market price per share M /B Book value per share Market to Book Ratio • Market value of the firm relative to its accounting value • Key tool for “value investors” • Extensive academic evidence that low market to book firms do better on average Debt Ratio Totalliabilities Totalassets Dividend Payout • Net Income – Dividends – Retained Earnings • Dividend Payout ratio = Divs/Earnings Problems for Other Ratios • Might vary a lot across industries • Example: – Total asset turnover – Think about consulting firm versus a steel mill Sales Totalasset turnover Totalassets Goals • Accounting statement • Financial Ratios • Ratios and valuation Fundamental Analysis • Use information about firm to evaluate stock price • Growth – Estimate earnings growth and future prospects • Value – Find “undervalued” stocks Ratio Analysis • Many methods • Compare ratios to appropriate comparison set • Example: – P/E ratio for a pharmaceutical firm – Compare to industry – If low -> buy Problems With Accounting Information • Misses “intangibles” – Knowledge base (patents) – Customer base • Sometimes numbers are zero – Dot coms often have zero earnings More Problems with Accounting Information • There are many ways to derive accounting numbers • Large “fudge factors” • Can clever accountants make things look better? Accounting “Tricks” • Off balance sheet items – Enron – Stock options • Capital depreciation tricks – Worldcom – AOL • Taking over low p/e firms Fundamental Analysis Weaknesses • Bad data • Bad interpretation of data (growth rates) • Market efficiency: – Semi-strong efficiency: Prices should reflect all public information • Market inefficiency (prices may not adjust to where they should go) Goals • Accounting statement • Financial Ratios • Ratios and valuation