Countdown to Launch MBA 101 Patrick Vernon Clinical Assistant Professor, Executive Director Center for Entrepreneurial Studies ©2013 Patrick Vernon1 Agenda • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 2 Accounting • Purpose: account for and communicate • Necessarily “backwards looking” Prof. Mark Lang: “What’s the difference between an African village market and WalMart?” ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 3 Financial Statements 3 Communications Pieces: • Balance Sheet • Income Statement • Cash Flow Statement ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 4 Accounting: All Three Balance Sheet CocaCola 2009 Income Statement Cash Flow Statement 5 Balance Sheet Like a bank statement summary: shows what you have now • Snapshot • Assets and liabilities • No income • Not very relevant for startups 6 Income Statement Like a pay check or tax return: shows where things went • Official accounting of income (e.g., for IRS or SEC) • Complications for startups… 7 Income Statement: Complications • When can you book sales and how do you handle inventory? (cash vs. accrual) (accounts receivable and inventory) • How do you handle loan payments? (interest vs. principle) • How do you handle big purchases? (depreciation) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 8 Cash Flow Statement • Accounts for those things • Very complicated • Not for us (anytime soon) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 9 For Startups We “project” using income statement: EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 10 EBITDA Balance Sheet Income Statement Cash Flow Statement 11 Income Statement ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 12 Variable vs. Fixed Cost • Variable = scaling with production – COGS (cost of goods sold) – Sales commissions • Fixed = overhead – Rent – Depreciation of equipment – R&D ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 13 Variable vs. Fixed Costs • Gray area: labor cost – Temps → variable – Salaried → fixed • Ideal business model: – All costs are variable, and you can get income first (accounts receivable before accounts payable) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 14 Accounting Glossary COGS Overhead Gross Margins Cap Ex Depreciation Cost of goods sold Fixed cost Income – COGS Capital (or BIG) expenditures Asset written off over years ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 15 Agenda • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 16 Finance • • • • Purpose: planning how to invest Invest = put some in now, get some back “Forward looking” Key topics: – DCF, NPV, ROI – Liquidity – Debt and equity ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 17 Finance • Time value of money: DCF (discounted cash flow) PV (present value) = FV (1+r) (future value) • Pricing risk with a discount rate (r) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 18 What is the value of: “Two Birds in the Bush” ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 19 Bird in the Hand PV (present value) = FV (1+r) (future value) ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 20 Risk and Return • Higher risk implies higher potential return and higher variability (we may win big or lose all) • Risk gets converted into discount rate – Bird in the hand | r = 100% – Savings account | r = 1.5% 25 Why bother? We have to decide how much we are willing to invest based on: • Expected risk: r Examples: risk and r • Expected end value: FV Savings Account 0.75% More Examples: risk and r Money Market 1.5% Variable Mortgage 2.5% Bonds 4.0% Fixed Mortgage 3.5% Public Stocks 7.0% Home Equity Line 10% Tech Startup 10X ! Credit Card 17% ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 26 Another Lens: NPV • Net Present Value • The current value of future cash flows • Minus the investment required PV – Investment = NPV Example: $100 - $90 = $10 ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 29 ROI Return on Investment ROI = Gain ÷ # years Investment Note: does not account for compounding. ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 30 ROI Examples $1.50 $100 $50 $100 ÷ 1 year = ROI 1.5% ÷ 5 years = ROI ~10% ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 31 ROI Example • $50,000 to start venture • Sold in year 5 for $150,000 • ROI – $100,000 ÷ $50,000 ÷ 5 – 40% over 5 years • Or “3X return in 5 years” How can we estimate the exit value? ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 32 Estimate Value = “Valuation” • #1 = find comparables • #2 = use multiples • But remember – Depends on what someone is willing to pay (= “market driven”) – Illiquid asset ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 33 Liquidity • Liquid: spend/trade easily • Illiquid: takes days/months/years to trade • Cash: liquid • Equity: illiquid ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 34 Why bother? We have to decide how much we are willing to invest based on: • Expected risk: r • Expected end value: FV ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 35 Why not bother? • For startups, the odds of success and potential future values are wildly variable • So we should know these concepts exist, create goals, but don’t get married to the specific numbers ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 36 Finance Acronyms ROI IRR DCF NPV r return on investment internal rate of return discounted cash flow net present value discount rate ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 43 Agenda • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 44 Business Model Generation Operations Marketing 45 Operations • Purpose: maximize efficiency in business activities • Key topics: – Supply chain and inventory (SKUs) – Production (capacity/queues) – Complexity – Core competency ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 46 What are they famous for? 47 48 49 Sell By Dates 50 Complexity: Which is Better? 51 Complexity • SKUs (stock keeping unit): code for each product • More SKUs = more complexity = exponentially more variability = death • Simple is king ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 52 53 Core Competency • You can’t be good at everything • Anything you cannot dominate… …outsource! ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 54 Capacity and Queues ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 55 Capacity and Queues • Lookout for bottlenecks (where in the production line you have limited capacity) – MBAs call these “Herbies,” from The Goal • Bottlenecks = HUGE queues • General rule: capacity should be well below 90% ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 56 Operations Focus Keep it Simple ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 57 Agenda • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 58 Business Model Generation Marketing 59 Marketing • Purpose: connect with customers – Design products and services according to customer needs – Communicate (both ways) and interact with customer – Set prices fairly with knowledge of customers, competition and company strengths ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 60 Marketing: 4 P’s • • • • Product Placement Pricing Promotion = 5th P = “Positioning” ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 61 Product • Place • Promotion • Price • “Understand customer needs and design products and services accordingly” • Differentiation (of products) • Segmentation (of market) • Product “mix”: multiple products for multiple segments • “Value proposition” ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 62 Product • Place • Promotion • Price Channels • Direct – We directly contact customers • Indirect – A partner, reseller or distributor contacts customers ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 63 Product • Place • Promotion • Price Advertising Sales PR Print ads Broadcast ads Packaging Inserts Product placement Brochures Posters Billboards Display signs Point of purchase Logos Symbols Trademarks Premiums Gifts Sampling Fairs Trade shows Exhibits Demonstration Coupons Rebates Trade-ins Tie-in Loyalty Bundling Blogging Tweeting Website Press kits Speeches Seminars Charity Sponsorships Publications Community relations Lobbying In-house magazine Events ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 65 Product • Place • Promotion • Price • Positioning • Value vs. quality • Rational vs. emotional ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 66 Pricing Strategies Cost Plus Going Rate Premium Set prices to cover variable costs and a portion of fixed costs. Create pricing wars between competitors who offer the same or similar. Penetration Opportunistic Predatory Price at a loss to gain market share. Set premium prices for products/ services in high demand with short supplies. Price-cutting prevents others from entering the market. Price to match customers’ enhanced perception. ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 67 Pricing Lesson Do not compete on price!* *Unless you have a cost advantage. 68 Positioning – Segmentation ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 70 Light IT Impact Segmentation Incredimail Bissmail DIY Target Market 1- email MindArrow eMailgen 1-1 email eDesigns silverPOP Zaplet MailRound Heavy 71 Segmentation 72 Agenda • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 73 Economics • Purpose: understand production and consumption best practices • Key topics: – Supply and demand – Utility – Elasticity ACCOUNTING ● FINANCE ● OPERATIONS ● MARKETING ● ECONOMICS 74 Economics 75 Elasticity • “Price elasticity of demand” • How much will demand change as price changes Examples of elastic products? Inelastic? 76 Porter’s Five Forces • Framework to assess attractiveness of an industry 77 Barriers to Entry • How to stop others from competing • Sustainable competitive advantage – Patent – Trade secret – Superior business practice – Location – Partnerships – First mover? 78 Economics Glossary Economies of The increase in efficiency as size increases scale Utility Commodity Sunk cost Opportunity cost Measure of satisfaction Same no matter who produces it; must compete on price Amount already spent; should not be factored into future return potential Consider the lost income of other activities; e.g., add lost income to cost of going to school 79 MBA “Core” Curriculum • • • • • Accounting Finance Operations Marketing Economics 80