Chapter 1 Managing Investment Portfolios integrated set of steps undertaken in a consistent manner to create and maintain an appropriate portfolio to meet clients’ stated goals ◦ portfolio – group of assets steps ◦ planning ◦ execution ◦ feedback investment policy statement (IPS) – written document that clearly sets out a client’s return objectives and risk tolerance over that client’s relevant time horizon, along with applicable constraints such as liquidity needs, tax considerations, regulatory requirements, and unique circumstances service of professionally investing money investment management firms ◦ revenues / size of firm ◦ investors ◦ employees growth in industry due to importance of defined benefit plans in second half of 20th century ◦ shift in 1980s and 1990s to retirement plans focusing on participant responsibility resulted in growth of individual-oriented investment advisors focus on aggregate of all investor’s holdings “because economic fundamentals influence the average returns of many assets, the risk associated with one asset’s return is generally related to the risk associated with other assets’ returns – if we evaluate the prospects of each asset in isolation and ignore the interrelationships, we will likely misunderstand the risk and return prospects of the investor’s total investment position – our most basic concern” Harry Markowitz (1952) father of modern portfolio theory ◦ analysis of rational portfolio choices based on the efficient use of risk “demand” for the portfolio perspective ◦ emergence of importance of institutional investing ◦ growth in technology ◦ professionalization of investment management field continuous and systematic process complete with feedback loops for monitoring and rebalancing an integrated set of steps undertaken in a consistent manner to create and maintain appropriate combinations of investment assets steps ◦ planning ◦ execution ◦ feedback planning ◦ investor-related input factors specification and quantification of investor objectives, constraints, and preferences objectives are desired investment outcomes that mainly pertain to return and risk constraints are limitations on investor’s ability to take full or partial advantage of particular investments portfolio policies and strategies ◦ economic and market input relevant economic, social, political, and sector considerations capital market expectations governing document for all investment decision making elements of a typical IPS: ◦ brief client description ◦ purpose of establishing policies and guidelines ◦ duties and investment responsibilities or parties involved ◦ statement of investment goals, objectives, and constraints ◦ schedule for review of financial performance ◦ performance measures and benchmarks to be used ◦ investment strategies and styles ◦ guidelines for rebalancing based on feedback IPS is basis for strategic asset allocation investment strategy – manager’s approach to investment analysis and security selection ◦ organizes and clarifies basis for investment decisions ◦ guides those decisions toward achieving investment objectives types of investment strategies ◦ passive ◦ active ◦ semiactive Investment style strategic asset allocation ◦ natural grouping of investment disciplines that has some predictive power in explaining the future dispersion in returns across portfolios ◦ combines IPS and capital market expectations to determine target asset class weights maximum and minimum permissible asset class weights set to control risk execution step – portfolio selection and composition decision ◦ interacts constantly with feedback step as changes are made ◦ use portfolio optimization – quantitative tools for combining assets efficiently to achieve a set of return and risk objectives transaction costs ◦ explicit – commissions paid to brokers, fees paid to exchanges, taxes ◦ implicit – bid-ask spreads, market price impacts of large trades, missed trade opportunities, and delay costs feedback step ◦ monitoring and rebalancing use feedback to manage ongoing exposures to available investment opportunities so that the client’s current objectives and constraints continue to be satisfied ◦ performance evaluation performance measurement – involves calculation of the portfolio’s rate of return performance attribution – examines why the portfolio performed as it did and involves determining the sources of a portfolio’s performance performance appraisal – evaluation of whether the manager is doing a good job based on how the portfolio did relative to a benchmark sources of return investment objectives and constraints are identified and specified investment strategies are developed portfolio composition is decided in detail portfolio decisions are initiated by portfolio managers and implemented by traders portfolio performance is measured and evaluated investor and market conditions are monitored necessary rebalancing is implemented objectives are interdependent ◦ risk ◦ return How do I measure risk? ◦ absolute vs. relative risk ◦ absolute variance standard deviation ◦ relative tracking error What is the investor’s willingness to take on risk? What is investor’s ability to take on risk? ◦ In terms of spending needs, how much volatility would inconvenience an investor who depends on investments? Or how much volatility would inconvenience an investor who cannot afford to incur substantial short-term losses? ◦ In terms of long-run wealth targets or obligations, how much volatility might prevent the investor from reaching these goals? ◦ What are the investor’s liabilities or psudeo-liabilities? ◦ What is the investor’s financial strength – that is, the ability to increase the savings/contribution level if the portfolio cannot support the planned spending? How much risk is the investor both willing and able to bear? ◦ risk tolerance – capacity to accept risk What are the specific risk objective(s)? ◦ absolute vs. relative risk objectives ◦ example How should the investor allocate risk? ◦ risk budgeting How is return measured? ◦ total return – capital appreciation plus investment income ◦ absolute vs. relative ◦ nominal vs. real ◦ pre-tax vs. post-tax How much return does the investor say she wants? How much return does the investor need to achieve, on average? ◦ required return ◦ examples amount a pension fund needs to earn to fund liabilities to current and future fund holders amount an individual investor needs to have to fund retirement at a certain level amount that a retired investor needs to earn on portfolio to cover his living expenses What are the specific return objectives? married couple needs £2 million in 18 years to fund retirement (incorporates inflation) current investable assets are £1.2 million need to earn 2.88% per year after tax to achieve goal How did we get 2.88%? Suppose couple needs to liquidate £22,000 from portfolio at end of each year. What return is needed?* ◦ If all investment returns are taxed at 30%, what pretax return would you need? ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ liquidity time horizon ◦ How does the length of the time horizon modify the investor’s ability to take risk? ◦ How does the length of the time horizon modify the investor’s asset allocation? ◦ How does the investor’s willingness and ability to bear fluctuations in portfolio value modify the asset allocation? ◦ How does a multistage time horizon constrain the investor’s asset allocation? tax concerns legal and regulatory factors unique circumstances taking the inputs from analysts, economists, etc. and moving step by step through the orderly process of converting this raw material into a portfolio that: ◦ maximizes expected return relative to the investor’s ability to bear risk ◦ meets investor’s constraints and preferences ◦ integrates portfolio policies with expectational factors and market uncertainties