The Chances of Abena, Sára, Chen and Ali in Hungary Migrant Chances and Experiences in Hungary Overview of the research project carried out by TARKI Social Research Institute, funded by European Integration Fund 2011 Trends of xenophobia in Hungary Endre Sik sik@tarki.hu The proportion of xenophobes, real-politicians and xenophiles (between 1992-2011 in per cent) 100% 12 14 9 5 10 4 3 4 5 4 7 8 9 8 6 10 10 10 12 8 80% 60 60% 55 71 73 66 53 57 64 66 69 67 57 62 67 70 61 58 57 59 60 40% 20% 0% 15 20 1992 31 1994 40 38 43 34 30 33 30 29 32 33 29 32 27 26 25 24 19 1996 1998 xenophobe 2000 2002 2004 realpolitician 2006 2008 xenophile 2010 Proportion of xenophobes by education level (%) 60 50 50 42 40 41 35 30 total 24 20 15 10 10 0 unfinished primary primary vocational technical general training highschool highschool college university Proportion of xenophobes by age group and education level (%) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 18-23 24-29 30-35 36-41 42-47 48-53 54-59 60-65 66-71 years years years years years years years years years less than secondary at least secondary 72 years or older Where are they coming from, how many are they, what should we do with them? Attila Juhász: juhasz@politicalcapital.hu Péter Krekó kreko@politicalcapital.hu The ratio of those who expect a certain national-ethnic group to settle down in great numbers in the near future The ratio of those who expect a certain national-ethnic group to settle down in great numbers in the near future – among party voters Tensions towards migrants Anikó Bernát bernat@tarki.hu Tension perception between different social groups Between Hungarians and immigrants 23% 62% Between Roma and non-Roma people 68% Between the rich and the poor Between elderly and young people 16% 29% 53% 15% great tension 40% 58% small tension 7% 27% no tension 3% The perception of tension is just one element of a coherent world view as those who perceive great tensions between Hungarians and immigrants are … … more likely to be concerned about the relations between other groups … more likely to support authoritarian policies … less trustful regarding both institutions and people in general … more likely to expect mass migration … are more pessimistic about Hungary’s and their own financial situation in the future Being highly concerned about migrants surmises xenophobia. Does it make people more tolerant if they have migrant acquaintances? Boglárka Szalai boglarka.szalai@tarki.hu Perceived social distance between Hungarians and the five ethnic groups by respondents The social distance from visibly different foreigners by having Arab, Chinese, African acquaintances 100% 17% 21% 38% 80% 30% 46% 8% 8% 40% 10% 60% 33% 8% 38% 29% 40% 9% 11% 33% 32% 28% 20% 42% 33% 32% 21% 15% 19% 0% Has a Chinese acquaintance Does not have a Chinese acquaintance Has an Arab acquaintance Does not have an Has an African Does not have an Arab acquaintance African acquaintance acquaintance Would accept unconditionally Would accept as a neighbor and as a colleague Would accept as a colleague Would not accept Allow your child to play with a foreigner (in %) 100 8 9 9 10 47 49 42 40 African Arab 9 80 36 57 60 45 40 54 20 33 45 0 Jewish Roma Allow Doesn't allow No answer Doesn't know Chinese The Chances of Ali, Chen, Fatima and Sára in the Hungarian labour market and housing: To reject and to be rejected Bori Simonovits simonovits@tarki.hu The innovative method: Discriminatory situation embedded into questionnaire Experimental variables: skin colour & gender homogenous variables: age, family status, immigration status, language skills Who would you choose to be a cleaning lady/ repairmen in the local government? (The order of those chosen in the first place, in percent ) repairmen 85 cleaning ladies 79 0% 20% 40% 8 60% 80% Etnhic Hungarian from Ukraine/ Serbia Arab from Iraq/Iran African from Kenya/Nigeria Chinese 3 7 5 8 5 100% Who would you choose to be an administrator? (The order of those picked in the first place, percent by gender) All respondents 50 Male respondents 31 43 Female respondents 36 57 0% 8 20% 40% 60% Hungarian from Ukraine: Sára (F) Hungarian from Serbia: Tamás (M) Iraqi: Fatima (F) Kenyan: Abena (F) Chinese: Yin (F) Nigerian: Adofo (M) Irani: Ali (M) Chinese: Chen (M) 8 26 4 3 2 21 5 4 2 31 9 80% 3 2111 100% To whom would you lend your apartment? (the order of those chosen in the first place, percent by gender) All respondents 53 Male respondents 34 49 Female respondents 36 57 0% 20% 6 3 2211 7 3 2111 32 40% 60% Hungarian from Ukraine: Sára (F) Hungarian from Serbia: Tamás (M) Iraqi: Fatima (F) Kenyan: Abena (F) Chinese: Yin (F) Nigerian: Adofo (M) Irani: Ali (M) Chinese: Chen (M) 5 2 2 311 80% 100%