Transaction and Industry Review Conference Dr. Sam Amadi Chairman, Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission 28th November 2011 Table of Contents • Tariff Principles • MYTO Methodology • MYTO II Model Structure 2 Tariff Principles • MYTO sets tariffs for the three electricity sectors based on certain principles and assumptions, namely: – Cost recovery/financial viability – licensees recover efficient costs, including a reasonable return on capital – Signals for investment – tariffs should encourage an efficient level and nature of investment (e.g., location) – Certainty and stability of the tariff framework enables private sector investment – Efficient use of the network – tariffs should reflect the marginal costs that users impose on the system, influence efficient use and reduce cross-subsidies – Allocation of risk – the tariff framework should allocate risks efficiently to those best placed to manage them 3 Tariff Principles – Simplicity and cost-effectiveness – the framework should be simple and not costly to implement – Incentives for improving performance – it should incentivise cost reduction and quality of service – Transparency/fairness – it should be transparent and ensure open access to monopoly networks – Flexibility/robustness – it should cater to unforeseen changes in the market – Social and political objectives – it should provide for the achievement of social goals such as universal access and demand-side management 4 MYTO MethodologyFrom General Assumptions to Disco Retail Tariff Inputs to the tariff – forecasts of load, capacity, fuel costs, investment, levels of losses, customer numbers, O & M costs and other economic and technical data Generation costs, life cycle cost methodology Transmission tariff Building Blocks Distribution & retail Distribution tariff & retail tariffBlocks Building Building Blocks Final retail tariff To consumers 5 MYTO II Model Structure INPUT Control Data / Assumptions Generation, Transmission & Distribution Load Forecast Load Calculations COMPUTATION Generation New Entrant Model Investor Module (IPP) Generation Wholesale Prices Regulatory fee OUTPUT Transmission Costs Distribution Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Costs (11) Costs Costs Costs Transmission Depreciation Distribution Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Depreciation Costs Costs Costs (11) Transmission Tariffs Distribution Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Distribution–11 Tariffs (11) Costs Costs Costs Regulatory fee BT Charges Tariff Summary (End-user Tariff) Regulatory fee Investor Module (DISCO) Asset Valuations Company Fair Values (N’000) Abuja Disco 55,166,801,609.01 Benin Disco 44,392,977,373.20 Eko Disco 55,742,985,576.66* Enugu Disco 44,724,247,826.38 Ibadan Disco 58,343,210,274.70 Ikeja Disco 73,889,325,642.56* Jos Disco 32,111,457,674.59 Kaduna Disco 51,133,316,916.91* Kano Disco 56,319,019,893.70* Port-Harcourt Disco 41,361,539,400.22 Yola Disco 19,692,038,556.13 Revenue Requirements Regulated costs (N '000) Total Generation Total Transmission Total Distribution Total Regulated Tariff Average tariff (NGN/MWh) (PreSubsidy) 2012 2013 326,629,494 461,297,088 2014 2015 650,085,498 788,237,416 62,521,172 78,482,958 96,057,671 233,240,333 264,282,475 296,040,852 329,767,831 46,405,795 606,275,622 788,100,735 1,024,609,308 1,214,062,918 24,073 22,717 23,172 23,917 8 Tariff Schedule (Post-Subsidy) 2011 Tariff Code Residential R1 Residential R2 Residential R3 Residential R4 Commercial C1 Commercial C2 Commercial C3 Industrial D1 Industrial D2 Industrial D3 Special 1 Special 2 Special 3 Street Lightng S1 Fixed N/month 50.00 300.00 12,509.00 78,178.00 272.00 11,340.00 70,874.00 201.00 69,733.00 70,874.00 240.00 31,250.00 31,250.00 451.00 2012 Fixed N/month 360.00 18,763.50 117,267.00 326.40 17,010.00 106,311.00 241.20 104,599.50 106,311.00 288.00 37,500.00 37,500.00 541.20 2011 % Increase 20% 50% 50% 20% 50% 50% 20% 50% 50% 20% 20% 20% 20% 2012 Energy Energy N/Kwh N/Kwh % Increase 2.20 2.64 20% 10.00 12.00 20% 15.60 23.40 50% 15.60 23.40 50% 14.40 15.03 4% 14.50 21.75 50% 14.50 21.75 50% 11.70 17.55 50% 15.20 22.80 50% 15.20 22.80 50% 11.20 16.80 50% 11.20 16.80 50% 11.20 16.80 50% 8.60 12.90 50% 9 THANK YOU Contact us at: Adamawa Plaza, Plot 1099 First Avenue, Off Shehu Shagari Way, Central Business District, Abuja Website: www.nercng.org E-mail: info@nercng.org 10