Making Things Smart AGORIA 3 november 2014 Afschakelbaarheid tegen vergoeding: Wanneer komt mijn bedrijf in aanmerking? 1 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Current situation Generation capacity Transmission capacity Kasteel Diepensteyn 2 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 2 Current situation Will we face a black-out this winter? Elia: -”Risk of power shortage during 49 hours during upcoming winter.” -”In case of a cold winter, this risk increases up to 116 hours.” 3 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 3 Current situation Winter peak France: Temp -1°C = increase in consumption of 2.400MW = Doel 2 + Doel 3 + Doel 4 Bron RTE 4 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 4 Current situation General principles of Ministerial Decree (2003) Priority customers Protected industrial sites: e.g., seveso companies Hospitals Emergency services Public transportation Vital communication centers Order of activation: 1. Interruptible load contracts of Elia 2. Export 3. Shedding of rural grid zones below 30 kV 4. Shedding of industrial loads connected to the Elia grid 5. Shedding of urban grid zones below 30 kV Detemines 5 geographical zones Limits impact of load shedding to +/- 5% per block per zone. 5 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 5 Current situation Elektrische zones Blocks NW NW NE CE SW SE Switch off plan: NO CE ZW ZO 1 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW 2 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW 3 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW 4 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW 5 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW 6 ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~130 MW ~780 MW ~ 780 MW ~ 780 MW ~ 780 MW ~ 780 MW 6 blocks ~ 3900 MW 5 geografical zones +/- 130MW per block and per zone during peak demand periods => 30 ‘blokken’ x ~130 MW = ~4000MW 6 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 6 Risks 7 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA 7 What is flexibility? The ability to adjust production or consumption of electricity to predicted and unpredicted grid situations 8 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA What is flexibility? 9 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Elia reserve producten 10 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities R3 Dynamic Profile Jaarlijkse tender 40 activaties maximaal per jaar 2uur maximaal per activatie 12uur minimaal tussen twee activaties 15 min reactietijd Reservatiepremie voor beschikbaarheid (€/MW) (Na Tender) 100% beschikbaarheid 2014 50 MW gecontracteerd 2015 100 MW gecontracteerd Winter periode november ‘14-maart ’15: Extra volume 11 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Strategic reserve 850 MW = SGR + SDR Notification 5 hours Verification 1,5 hours 12 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Strategic demand reserve Winter product / November – May SLA4 40 activations max 4h (max 130h total) SLA12 20 activations max 12h (max 130h toaal) 6,5 hours response time Remuneration for: Availability Fixed costs /activation Prolongation of warm up Activated energy 13 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Energy market signals Smart-LS Belpex load shifting Smart-DR Imbalance price optimization 14 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Energy market signals Smart-LS Belpex load shifting Smart-DR Imbalance price optimization 15 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA http://www.elia.be/fr/grid-data/balancing/prix-de-desequilibre Opportunities Energy market signals “4500 €/MW” Smart-LS Belpex load shifting Smart-DR Imbalance price optimization 16 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA http://www.elia.be/fr/grid-data/balancing/prix-de-desequilibre Opportunities Energy market signals Modelling flexibility Process knowledge Communication on process parameters Estimate on process flexibility Ground water Small reservoir Large reservoir (450000m3) Distribution 17 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Energy market signals Modelling flexibility Process knowledge Communication on process parameters Estimate on process flexibility 18 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Opportunities Energy market signals Modelling flexibility Process knowledge Communication on process parameters Estimate on process flexibility 19 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Implementation 20 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA Conclusion A consumer no impact on the electricity market situation Long term: policy, investement decisions Short term: shortage situation Process flexibility may turn this risk into an opportunity Elia creates options to valorize flexibility The electricity market offers ways to valorize flexiblity The aggregator is facilitator Identifying flexibility – process modeling Implementation and contracting 21 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA BEDANKT Cedric De Jonghe Energy Expert cedric.dejonghe@actility.com +32 (0) 472 897 325 22 © Actility – Confidential – Under NDA