ERFARINGER MED VINDKRAFT OG VEIEN VIDERE FOR OFFSHORE VIND Eivind Torblaa, Head of Asset Management - Wind Det Norske Videnskaps-Akademi 3 oktober 2014 Agenda Litt om Statkraft Vind i Statkraft - Tilbakeblikk - Hva skjer for øyeblikket - Hva gjør vi fremover med fokus på offshore vind 2 European leader within renewable energy Environment-friendly power generation: 56 TWh - *Norway: 81% *Other Nordic countries: 10% Other European countries: 4% Rest of the world: 5% Gross operating revenues 2013: NOK 49 564 mill 3,600 employees in more than 20 countries Main power supplier to Norwegian industry 100% owned by the Norwegian state 3 * Including district heating Statkraft’s production Norway 12 518 MW * Installed capacity 97% 17 600 MW renewable energy Power production 3 600 56 TWh employees UK 273 MW Germany 2 692 MW Nepal 23 MW Laos 100 MW Albania (project) Panama (project) Peru 163 MW (+ project) STATKRAFT Sweden 1 315 MW Chile 94 MW Turkey 20 MW (+ projects) Brazil 86 MW SN POWER/ AGUA IMARA * 2013 figures. Includes: - Statkraft/SN Power’s share of installed capacity India 91 MW Zambia 6 MW Philippines 149 MW Strategic directions European Flexible Generation Market Operations International Hydropower Wind Power District Heating Global development of wind power More than 300 GW of wind power installed globally. Global wind power 2010-2013 350 000 The annual growth in wind power in Europe the last years has been between 10-13 GW. +13% 300 000 +21% 250 000 +22% MW 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 2 010 Europa 2 011 USA Kina Kilde: IHS Emerging Energy Research 6 2 012 Resten av verden 2 013 Make Consulting’s forecast of global onshore wind deployment… 7 Make Consulting’s forecast of global offshore wind deployment… 8 The wind power markets Onshore windpower 2013 Offshore windpower 2013 [Σ= 297GW] [Σ= 7.7GW] 241 215 4 418 China 41 553 United Kingdom 497 United States 4 723 76 560 6 425 Germany Spain 7 694 Germany 580 China India 8 149 Italy 8 744 20 269 61 789 22 794 33 925 Belgium 3 870 940 Netherlands France Sweden Canada Japan United Kingdom Finland Portugal 1 267 Ireland Sweden Norway Other Portugal Kilde: IHS Emerging Energy Research 9 Denmark Wind Power in The European energy-mix Construction of new wind power in Europe 2000-2012 Production of electricty in Europe 2012 2% 120 000 6% 100 000 4% Termisk* Thermal MW 80 000 16 % 60 000 * Atomkraft Nuclear 47 % Vannkraft** Hydro ** Vindkraft*** Wind *** 40 000 Bio Bio Solar Sol**** **** Geothermal Geotermisk 20 000 25 % - Onshore 10 * Coal and Gas ** incl pumped-storage and small scale hydro *** onshore and offshore **** PV and CSP Offshore Source: IHS Emerging Energy Research Statkraft’s wind power portfolio Norway MW Smøla 150 MW 100% Hitra 55 MW 100% Kjøllefjord 39 MW 100% 2000 MW - Under dev. Norway Sweden MW Statkraft share EM (Södra) 9,2 MW 90% Tollapabjär (Södra) 2,3 MW 90% Stamåsen (SCA) 60 MW 60% Mörttjärnberget (SCA) 85 MW 60% 270 MW 60% 99 MW 60% 1300 MW - Björkhöjden (SCA) Ögonfägnaden (SCA) Under dev. Sweden UK Kjøllefjord Statkraft share MW Statkraft share Hitra Smøla Stamåsen Mörttjärnberget Björkhöyden / Ögonfagnaden Baillie Alltwalis 23 MW 51% Baillie 53 MW 51% Berry Burn 67 MW 51% Under dev. Onshore 100 MW - Dudgeon (WO)* 560 MW 30% Sheringham Shoal (WO)* 11 Dogger Bank (WO) 317 MW 50% 9632 MW 25% Berry Burn Em Tollarpabjär Dogger Bank Alltwalis Dudgeon Sheringham Shoal In operation Under construction Under development Technology- and cost development Increased capacity of the turbines and bigger turbines increases production … … contributes to lower cost over time Development of cost of energy in Onshore wind Capacity factor €/MWh 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1990 12 Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance 2000 2012 Good wind conditions are crucial for windpower Stamåsen Wind farm A= 10029 m² D= 113 m 13 h= 115 m H= 171,5 m Onshore wind power in Norway, Sweden and UK Developing onshore wind power through SAE Vind and Fosen Vind in Norway, and in cooperation with SCA and Södra in Sweden Norway - Hitra, Kjøllefjord and Smøla (installed capacity: 244 MW) Sweden - Em, Stamåsen, Tollarpabjär and Mörttjärnberget (installed capacity 171 MW) UK - Alltwalis, Baillie and Berry Burn (installed capacity 143 MW) 14 Operational Asset Norway Smøla wind farm - Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share: In operation: 150,4 MW 356 GWh 100 % 2002/2005 Hitra wind farm: - Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share: In operation: 55,2 MW 138 GWh 100 % 2004 Kjøllefjord wind farm - Vindkraft i Statkraft Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share: In operation: 39,1 MW 119 GWh 100 % 2006 Operational Asset Sweden Em wind farm Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share Partner (9,9% %): In operation: - - 9,2 MW 22 GWh 90,1 % Södra 2011 Stamåsen wind farm - - Capacity/production: Statkraft’s share: Partner (40 %): In operation: Mörttjärnberget wind farm Capacity/production: Investment (100%): Statkraft’s share: Partner (40 %): In operation: Vindkraft i Statkraft 60 MW/200GWh 60 % SCA 2013 85 MW/280 GWh 1650 MSEK 60 % SCA Q4 2013 Operational Asset Sweden Tollarpabjär - - 17 Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share Partner (9,9% %): In operation: 2,3 MW 6 GWh 90,1 % Södra 2013 Operational Asset UK Alltwalis wind farm Capacity: Production: Statkraft’s share: In operation: - 23 MW 64 GWh 51 % 2010 Baillie wind farm - Capacity/production: Investment (100%): Statkraft’s share: Partner (20 %): In operation: 52.5MW/170 GWh 60 MGBP 51 % Landowner 2013 Berry Burn wind farm - Vindkraft i Statkraft Capacity/production: Statkraft’s share: In operation: 66.7MW/184 GWh 51 % Q1 2014 Projects under construction 19 Björkhöyden wind farm Capacity/production: Investment (100%): Statkraft’s share: Partner (40 %): In operation: 270 MW/800 GWh 3800 MNOK 60 % SCA 2014/2015 Ögonfägnaden wind farm Capacity/production: Investment (100%): Statkraft’s share: Partner (40 %): In operation: 99 MW/290 GWh 1400 MNOK 60 % SCA 2014 Konsesjoner i Fosen/Snillfjord/Hitra/Frøyaregionen SAE Vind - Storheia - 220 MW *) - Kvenndalsfjellet - 120 MW *) - Geitfjellet – 170 MW **) - Svarthammaren – 150 MW **) - Hitra 2 - 75 MW **) Zephyr - Remmafjellet – 130 MW **) Sarepta - Sørmarkfjellet -150 MW - Roan - 280 MW *) - Harbaksfjellet - 90 MW - Frøya – 60 MW **) Statkraft - Hitra – 55 MW (eksisterende anlegg), kan være aktuelt for fornying **) 20 SAE Vind Andre aktører *) Prosjekter som inngår i Fosen Vind samarbeidet, samlet ca. 620 MW **) Prosjekter aktuelle for innmating i Snillfjord, samlet ca. 640 MW Testing new turbine technology in Sweden 21 Due to long transport on narrow roads the supplier had to come up with an alternative solutions on towers The solution was shell towers – transported in «flat-packs» and bolted together This is also the first Statkraft windfarms with direct drive turbines Shell Tower 22 30 Aug 2012 23 24 Lead operator in offshore wind power in UK Owner* and operator of Sheringham Shoal offshore wind farm (317 MW) Offshore wind farm Dudgeon** is under construction (402 MW) Several 1200 MW-projects on Doggerbank*** under development 25 * In partnership with Statoil ** In partnership with Statoil and Masdar ** With partners through Forewind Ltd Statkrafts offshore wind strategy Next project: operator/ industrial role Dudgeon: Integrated partner (30%) Sheringham Shoal: Partner during construction, operator in operational phase (50%) 26 Dogger Bank: Operator on one of four projects MAIN FOCUS IN OFFSHORE WIND POWER 27 Build capabilities, and institutionalise learning from the Sheringham Shoal project as a basis for taking a leading role in future offshore wind power projects Develop Dudgeon together with Statoil Find other projects to help build capability Develop the Dogger Bank projects up to consent THE SHERINGHAM SHOAL OFFSHORE WIND FARM Key facts: 50/50 JV Statoil and Statkraft Installed capacity: 317 MW Annual production: 1,1 TWh Capex: ~10 bill. NOK (1,2 bill. €) In operation Responsibilities: 29 Operator in construction: Statoil O&M operator: Statkraft Knowledge transfer Several staff who has worked at Smøla for 10 years has been used in building up the operation at Sheringham Shoal This is to secure valuable knowledge of wind turbines and operation of wind parks are being transferred into the offshore wind sector. Picture shows Arild Soleim who has been power plant manager at both Smøla and Sheringham Shoal. 30 Dudgeon Facts Allocation round UK R2 Area 55 km2 Waterdepth 18-27 m Installed capacity 402 MW Offshore cable 42 km Onshore cable 47 km Turbine Foundations 31 6.0 MW Siemens Direct drive XL monopiles Dudgeon in numbers 67 6MW DD turbines w/ 154m dia. 90 km export cable 47 land owners Monopiles >1000 tonn >90 000 tonn steel 500 major lifts 30 000 lifts offshore (large potential for optimisation/reduction) More than 5000 vessel days offshore 32 Siemens new 6 MW DD turbine PROJECT DEVELOPMENT ON DOGGER BANK 33 Project development in Forewind Ltd - Jointly owned company between Scottish & Southern Energy, RWE Innogy, Statoil and Statkraft - Statkraft holds a 25% share in Forewind Key figures: - Distance to shore: 125-290 km - Water depth: 18-63 m - Extends over nearly 9,000 km² Status - Secured grid connection for 6 x 1000 MW - Two offshore meteorological masts installed on innovative suction buckets in 2013 - First consent application for 2 x 1200MW was submitted August 2013 - Next consent application for 2 x 1200MW was submitted March 2014 - First consents expected Q1 2015, investment decisions would follow as appropriate Haugøya test turbine at Smøla Final consent received July 2014. Preliminary milestones: - 34 FID in Q1 2015. Site completed winter 2015/16 WTG installation in 2016. Operational in 2016. Turbine power: 6 - 8 MW Hub height: 100 - 130 m Rotor diameter: 140 - 180 m Yearly production: 20 - 25 GWh Why Haugøya at Smøla? Onshore testing has lower cost and risk compared to offshore testing Smøla has very good wind conditions and is well suited as test site Haugøya can easily be facilitated for barge transport for turbine, tower and required equipment Statkraft can utilize its existing operational organisation at Smøla There exist attractive support regimes for test facilities in Norway 35 Levelized Cost of Energy CHALLENGES FOR OFFSHORE WIND POWER Levelized Cost of Energy Statkraft believes that wind power will be an attractive and profitable industry for players that develop strong capabilities across the value chain Cost of energy for different technologies Cost of Energy Decommissioning The industry is still immature, with technical risk and supply chain bottlenecks CO₂ costs Fuel costs Variable costs Fixed costs CapEx 36 New projects on deeper waters, and COAL CCGT Nuclear Wind on increased distance from shore Wind off The cost of offshore wind power is high compared to other power generation technologies Sol PV Coal CCS De CO Fu Va Fix Ca COAL CCGT Nuclear Wind on Wind off Sol PV Coal CCS We expect cost reductions through more efficient technology and gradual maturing of the industry Source: Statkraft LCoE scenario 2014-2035 LCoE - UK Coal, UK Onshore wind, UK Offshore wind, UK base CAPEX 2014 37 2020 2025 2030 2035 Cost reductions are key – R&D plays a vital role 38 THANK YOU www.statkraft.com