Business Opportunities in the Saudi Power Sector - US

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BUSINESS OPPORUNITIES

IN SAUDI POWER SECTOR

US-Saudi

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES FORUM

CHICAGO April 28-29, 2010

Ali Albarrak

President &C E O

Saudi Electricity Company

Electricity Industry in Saudi Arabia

Starts as 100%private ownership and operation.

Late 70`S consolidated into four major power co

(SCECO).

The government involved as major shareholder .

Mid 2000 All operating entities merged in one company

S audi E lectricity C ompany ( SEC ).

SAUDI ELECTRICITY COMPANY

Incorporated from 10 operating utilities in 2000.

Largest electric entity in the region in terms of capacity ,market capital and shareholder’s equity.

Owns 85% generation and 100% transmission , distribution and retail .

Total assets over 50 billion US$.

Annual revenues 6 Billion US$ .

Annual growth 6%.

74% directly owned by the Government.

Scope of Operations

SEC credit strength

 High growth in demand ( 7- 8%).

 Operate in a very supportive environment .

 High credit rating (AA~ ).

 Invest in productive assets.

 Reliable and secured fuel supply.

 government support.

GROWTH (2000 – 2009 )

DATA

No of customer

( Million )

Peak load

(MW)

Available generation

(MW)

Transmis

Energy sion

(GWH )

(KM )

2000 3.6

22000 22000 30000 114000

2009 5.7

Increase 2.1

Growth

(%)

58%

43000 45000 47000 191000

21000 23000 17000 77000

95% 104% 57% 67%

projects Under Execution

ACTIVITIES No of Projects

COST

( billion $)

GENERATION 174 17.3

TRANSMISSION

DISTRIBUTION

291

176

9.3

2.1

TOTALS 641 28.7

70

64

58

52

46

40

34

Load forecast (gwatts)

62.6

65.3

68.4

50.1

52.5

54.9

57.4

59.9

44

46.9

41

27

28.2

30.5

32.5

35.2

38.1

28

23.7

24.4

22

Series1

16

10

20

01

20

02

1.5

6.0%

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

2.6

7.8%

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

2.8

6.0%

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

2.7

4.5%

20

17

20

18

20

19

No OF CUSTOMERS

(millions)

4.73

4.96

5.2

5.42

5.7

5.9

6.2

6.4

6.7

7.2

7.6

Generation Capacity

generation capacity installed should meet the expected

7% increase in peak demand and a reserve margin.

Generation capacity (GW)

100000

90000

80000

70000

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0

41

59

74

90

2006e 2007e 2008e 2009e 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e

SEC Installed & new capacity IWPP Installed capacity IPP Installed capacity SWCC Installed capacity Peak Load total capacity

POWER SECTOR CHALLENGES

High annual growth in demand ( will continue 6-7%).

Extremely sharp daily and yearly load curve (airconditioning).

Replacement of inefficient old generating units.

High capital investment for expansion.

The need for private sector investment .

HOW TO MEET THE CHALLENGES ?

More investment in power generation,T&D .

Encourage the developers for more IPP.

Introduce the smart grid transmission system.

Promote energy conservation and load management.

Invest in renewable energy.

Major Future Generation projects

Year

2010

2011

2012

Project name

Rabigh Steam Expansion

PP-10 (Steam)

Duba PP (IPP)

Al-Shogaig PP

Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour

Jeddah South

Al-Shogaig PP

A l-Jubail / Ras Al Zour

Al-Shogaig PP

Duba PP

Jeddah South

Capacity (MW)

2,400

990

500

1,200

630

1,200

1,200

1260

800

250

600

Date in Service

2014

2014

2014

2014

2015

2015

2015

2016

2016

2016

2016

Major Future Generation projects

Year Project

2013

2014

Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour

Al-Ogair / Salwa PP

Jeddah South

Al-Ogair / Salwa PP

Jeddah South

Al-Ogair / Salwa PP

Al-Shogaig PP

Al-Ogair / Salwa PP

2015

Al-Shogaig PP

2016 Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour

total capacity : 25000 MW

Capacity (MW) Date in Service

630

630

600

1260

600

630

400

1,260

400

1,260 capital Cost : 50 Bln US$

2017

2017

2016

2017

2018

2018

2017

2019

2018

2020

IPP PROGRAM IN SEC

SEC will Continue to encourage private investors to invest in Future Generation projects .

30 – 40 % of Future generation will be IPP(BOO).

SEC partnership will be 10%-50% in the equity.

Long term power purchase agreements (20years)

With reasonable return on investment .

WHY IPP?

Providing Financial Option for Highly Capital

Intensive Generation Projects .

Helping To Re-Direct Available Funds To T&D

(Monopoly Activities)

Reallocation Expenditure From CAPEX To OPEX.

Avoiding Mismatch Between Medium Term

Financing and Long Life PP Projects.

SUCCESSFUL IPP ROJECTS

Two IPP Projects in process:

1. Rabigh Power Plant (closed financialyJuly last yea)

• 1200 MW / HFO

IPCOD APRIL 2012

• Investment US$ 2.4 billions

2. Riyadh Power Plant 11 (financial close next month)

1800 MW / GAS

• IPCOD APRIL 2013

• INVESTMENT US 1.5 billions.

IPP FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES

(INVESTMENTS OF $20B) TO BUILD 12 GW

NAME OF IPP

PROJECT

QURAYYAH

DHEBA

SHUQAIQ

ALOGAIR

JEDDAH

SOUTH

RAS ALZOUR

CAPACITY

(GW)

2

1.6

1.6

2.4

2.4

2.4

PRIVATE

SECTOR

SHARE %

80

80

80

80

80

80

PROJECT

COMPLETION

2014

2015

2015

2016

2017

2019

18

SAUDI NATIONAL GRID by 2018

Future 380KV transmission lines projects

Year

2010

2011

2012

Project

HAIL-ALJOUF-380KV

ASIR_NAJRAN 380KV

GAISOUMAH -ALFADLI 380 KV

BISHA_DAWASIR 380KV

5th 380 KV LINE TO CENTRAK

MADINAH-HAIL

RIYADH-JEDDAH DC line

TABUK-TABARGAL

WEAST _SAUTH 2ND LINE

Length KM

300

400

250

500

400

360

800

600

500

Date in Service

2014

2014

2014

2015

2015

2015

2016

2016

2016

Future 380KV transmission lines projects

Year Project

2013

Tabuk-Tabarjal

Umluj-Wadjh

South-West 2nd line

2014

Jouf-Tabarjal

2015 Al-grayat- Tabarjal

2016 Madinah-Tabuk DCLine total capital cost 24 billion $.

Circuit Length KM

300

250

500

150

200

800

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

Material and Equipment supply.

As an EPC contractor .

Local manufacturing .

Participate in IPP projects .

Opportunity in consultation and engineering.

Invest in future energy retail.

Conclusion

The growth of electrical energy demand in Saudi

Arabia will continue 6-7%.

Power projects needs 80-90 billion US$ as capital investments for the next 10 years .

Private investors have the opportunity to take 30-

40% of the generation projects as a BOO projects.

US companies have the opportunity to take part both in EPC and IPP.

There are oportunities in Consultation ,

Engineering and Services in power sector.

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