LATIN AMERICA Region of Contrasts & Opportunities International Festival of Business 15th July, 2014 #IFB2014 #LatAm LatAm Macro Overview #IFB2014 #LatAm LatAm Overview: Opportunities • The UK traditionally has strong links with Latin America (in 1808, 40% of UK exports went to LatAm!), but these links weakened in the 20th Century • Other European countries trade much more with LatAm (Germany trades 4 times more than the UK with LatAm) • This indicates huge potential to grow trade with LatAm. Both the private & public sector have now realised this and are pushing for increase in trade • Several of the most-watched emerging markets are in LatAm (Brazil from BRICS, Mexico from MINT, Colombia from CIVETS) • Regional GDP growth of 3% in 2013 (source: ELAC) #IFB2014 #LatAm The Region 19 countries 1 in North America 2 in the Caribbean 6 in Central America 10 in South America 21 million square kms or 14.1% of the earth's surface GDP US$ 5.6 trillion in 2012 Population of 589 million Per capita Gross National Income US$ 9,070 #IFB2014 #LatAm (Source World Bank/ECLAC) Macro snapshot #IFB2014 #LatAm Pro-Mexico Video #IFB2014 #LatAm The Power of the Pacific Alliance What is it and why? #IFB2014 #LatAm An ocean of opportunities… • Combined market of over 200 million consumers • Over half of LatAm Global Trade • Depth & Breadth of FTA’s provide platform for growth with USA & Asia • Main sectors Natural resources Financial & Bus. Services Software & IT services BPO Food & Drink Consumer goods #IFB2014 #LatAm Ease of doing business & market access #IFB2014 #LatAm FCO LatAm Economic Indicators Index Improving Business Environment PACIFIC ALLIANCE 10 Colombia 9 Barbados Chile Mexico This chart uses an average of indicators to compare how the countries in the LAC region score in terms of their business environment and market potential. The size of the bubble represents the expected increase in value in each countries import market 2013-2020. Uruguay Peru Costa Rica Panama 8 7 Jamaica El Salvador 6 CENTRAL AMERICA 5 Guatemala Trin & Tobago Brazil Argentina Dom Rep St Lucia Nicaragua Honduras Guyana Dominica St Vincents Ecuador Paraguay Bolivia Bahamas Surinam This may under-estimate investment opportunities in larger economies like Brazil or open Caribbean islands, but which may also be driven by the countries’ business environment. MERCOSUR 4 Grenada Belize 3 CARRIBBEAN 2 Venezuela Haiti Antigua St Kitts 1 0 0 1 #IFB2014 #LatAm 2 3 4 5 OFFICIAL 6 7 8 10 9 Improving Growth 10 Outlook Why Colombia? #IFB2014 #LatAm Regional Opportunities Case studies of Success #IFB2014 #LatAm Colombia: Regional economic sectors Caribbean Region • Caribbean: tourism, logistics, petrochemicals, construction materials, import/export platform to the Caribbean/Atlantic. Infrastructure & Transport Central / Andean Region • Central/Andean: services, high value-added manufacturing, hub to cover domestic market, specialized agroindustry. Oil & Gas Pacific Region Orinoquía Region • Pacific: manufacturing, agroindustry, logistics, biotechnology, export platform to the Pacific Rim. Retail Financial & Professional Services UK Opportunities #IFB2014 #LatAm Amazon Region • Orinoquia: agriculture, forestry, biofuels, hydrocarbons. • Amazon: conservation, ecotourism (Leticia). Colombia Case Study Sector: Supermarket Retail Company: Waitrose is a chain of British supermarkets, forming the food retail division of Britain's largest employee-owned retailer, the John Lewis Partnership. Support provided: • • • • Outcome: Market and sector analysis and list of the potential distribution partners Market visit support Help to set up client meetings Follow-up on negotiations and in-market support Advanced distribution partner negotiations close to fruition. Next stage is to confirm SKU’s. “UKCT gave first class support to me before, during and after the trip. They had an excellent insight into the markets and connected me with the right people in the right places, which was invaluable.“ #IFB2014 #LatAm "quality you'd expect at prices you wouldn't" Mexico: Regional Economic Sectors Aerospace & Automotive Aerospace & Automotive With an average 20% annual growth rate since 2004, Mexico has become a global leader in aerospace sector, boasting 270 companies and supporting entities Oil & Gas Retail Healthcare and Life Sciences The Federal Commission for Protection Against Sanitary Risk has been working hard to reduce the barriers to entry for new medicines entering the country. Demand for services & products is high Healthcare & Life Sciences Retail Growing middle class drive demand for consumer electronics, clothing and household goods #IFB2014 #LatAm Oil and Gas Mexican production at almost 2.5 Million barrels per day Last year’s Energy Reform and secondary allow for private investment Chile: Regional Economic Sectors Mining Fishing Agriculture Antofagasta 16% of GDP Manufacturing Services 75% of GDP Agriculture Cattle Breeding 11% of GDP Santiago 49% of GDP Concepción 7% of GDP 9% of GDP Forestry Fishing Agriculture Mining #IFB2014 #LatAm • North (Atacama Desert): mining, mainly copper of which Chile is the world’s largest producer. Also Lithium and Molybdenum. Related Energy and Water. The climate is similar to Northern Africa. • Central Valley, with capital Santiago and Valparaíso (port and seat of Congress): Renewable Energy, Infrastructure, mining, manufacturing, agriculture, wine, agribusiness,, retail and financial services. The climate is similar to Madrid and Rome • South: Renewable Energy, forestry, salmon farming, fishing, agriculture and, in Concepción, petrochemicals and steel production. This region is rainy and similar to the UK. • Fjords and Tierra del Fuego: tourism, agriculture, aquaculture, fishing, gas and oil production, coal mining, wood pulp & board. This sector is snowy and windy, very similar to Scandinavia. Chile Case Study Sector: Health Company: BioEden, the World’s First banking service for dental stem cells. Now they serves Members in over 60 countries, with storage lab facilities in the UK, the USA and Asia. Support provided: • • • • • Outcome: Develop BioEden business model based on a franchise. Encourage the use of Tooth Stem Cells among people through dentists to promote the solution. #IFB2014 #LatAm Product launching at the HM Ambassador Residence Complete market assessment Tailored advice on Chilean consumer consumption behavior and trends Comprehensive list of contact Developing meeting "…building an organ that is a match for you, is available for you, is something that wasn’t even fathomable ten or 15 years ago…" Growing LatAm Presence of UK Brands #IFB2014 #LatAm Recommendations • Latin America has a wide mix of business opportunities for UK plc: • Vast divergence in market size and business environments across countries and country groups (e.g. Mercosur, Pacific Alliance, the Caribbean and Central America). • We must look at different ways to maximise UK opportunities in different markets and regions, even within markets. • Brazil remains the number one prospect in terms of market size and growth potential, but its business environment remains weak: • Its size means continued opportunities for exports and investment, but low competitiveness, high protectionism and corruption could hinder UK success. • BUT Pacific Alliance countries provide the best balance of opportunities in terms of both growth outlook and ease of doing business. • Encouraging businesses in key sectors could bring quicker wins in these economies than in other markets. #IFB2014 #LatAm