Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014
There is a COLD WIND a coming…
Larry Supina
Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV
v
Manager, Pantex Readiness
Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC
Historical Injury Patterns - December
Slips, Trips and Falls, that’s what December brings. It may be due to ice, uneven walk-ways,
lack of attention, the persistent darkness, or just being in a hurry to get inside where it is warm.
Eliminate the slips and we could almost eliminate all of December’s injuries.
HISTORICAL INJURY PATTERNS - December
2011
0
ABRASION
0
0
0
6
1
ALLERGIC
BITE
BURN
CONTUSION
FRACTURE
0
LACERATION
2
0
0
0
0
0
SPRAIN/STRAIN
AVULSION
IRRATATION
DISLOCATION
CONCUSSION
OTHER
2012
1
3
2013
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
HEAD
2
EYE
EAR
NECK
SHOULDER
BACK
0
0
0
1
0
ARMS
2
HAND
TORSO
THIGH
KNEE
LOWER LEG
MULTIPLE
3
0
0
1
0
0
Historical Employee Leave Patterns - December
2011
Leave usage in the
month of December is
bi-polar, almost
everyday is either above
or below 20% control
limits.
Expect most of your staff
to be available for the
first three weeks, expect
to be short-staffed after
that.
Day of Week
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Total Hrs.
Average
3YR.
UCL @ 20%
LCL @ 20%
Date Vacation
1
1264.00
2
1987.00
5
1967.00
6
1903.00
7
1078.00
8
1138.00
9
1346.00
12
1179.00
13
969.00
14
899.00
15
1177.00
16
1898.00
19
1908.00
20
3976.00
21
2314.00
22
3784.00
23
3124.00
26
27
28
10772.00
29
11087.00
30
8558.00
2
3
1657.00
Sick Leave Combined Date
1279.25 2543.25 29
1097.00 3084.00 30
1346.75 3313.75 3
1486.00 3389.00 4
1000.75 2078.75 5
1157.00 2295.00 6
788.50 2134.50 7
1260.75 2439.75 10
1286.00 2255.00 11
1260.50 2159.50 12
1243.00 2420.00 13
1011.50 2909.50 14
1236.50 3144.50 17
1448.75 5424.75 18
985.00 3299.00 19
949.50 4733.50 20
408.50 3532.50 21
0.00 24
0.00 25
751.75 11523.75 26
1063.00 12150.00 27
697.00 9255.00 28
0.00 31
973.25 2630.25 1
63985.00 22730.25 86715.25
2908.41 1033.19 3941.60
2012
Vacation
Sick Leave Combined
1086.00 1430.75 2516.75
1559.00 1168.50 2727.50
1243.00 1451.25 2694.25
813.00 1421.00 2234.00
831.00 1220.00 2051.00
1051.00 1304.00 2355.00
1179.00
744.25 1923.25
1173.00 1545.25 2718.25
877.00 1329.50 2206.50
1035.00 1411.25 2446.25
947.00 1522.50 2469.50
1419.00 1197.50 2616.50
1438.00 1409.30 2847.30
1309.00 1231.00 2540.00
1361.00 1301.00 2662.00
2081.00 1108.75 3189.75
2073.00
587.98 2660.98
0.00
0.00
11641.00
786.50 12427.50
10105.00 1132.50 11237.50
7410.00 1007.75 8417.75
12470.00
943.25 13413.25
0.00
63101.00 25253.78 88354.78
2868.23 1147.90 4016.13
2013
Date
28
29
2
3
4
5
6
9
10
11
12
13
16
17
18
19
20
23
24
25
26
27
30
31
Vacation
1485.00
1062.00
816.00
1028.00
1267.00
822.00
764.00
730.00
911.00
1556.00
1010.00
759.00
924.00
1345.00
1173.00
5688.00
7696.00
10671.00
6882.00
5477.00
5966.00
Sick Leave Combined
0.00
0.00
999.46 2484.46
1442.25 2504.25
1340.50 2156.50
1400.75 2428.75
1041.25 2308.25
1507.75 2329.75
1347.25 2111.25
1368.10 2098.10
1328.25 2239.25
1297.25 2853.25
1339.45 2349.45
1242.75 2001.75
1264.25 2188.25
1266.15 2611.15
1073.75 2246.75
1174.50 6862.50
561.00 8257.00
0.00
834.00 11505.00
962.00 7844.00
1385.25 6862.25
1162.50 7128.50
58032.00 25338.41 83370.41
2637.82 1151.75 3789.56
2776.77 1110.95 3915.76
3332.12 1333.14 4698.92
2221.42
888.76
3132.61
Damaging
winds (50+
MPH) and HardFreeze (24
degrees or less)
and snow create
equipment
failures, alarms,
and stressful
work situations
for employees.
20
11
20
12
20
13
Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13
Lightning
Personal
Safety
Wind
Gust
Weather
Events
Equip.
Failure
Fire
Alarms
Process
Stop
Other
Alarms
Lift
Rad
Alarms
Injury or
Illness
Spills
1
1
1
2
2 1
1
1 1
Property
Damage
Vehicle
Damage
OverFlights Total
Date/Day of Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
29 28
30 29
1 30
2 1
3 2
4 3
5 4
6 5
7 6
8 7
9 8
10 9
11 10
12 11
13 12
14 13
15 14
Th
Fr
Sa
X
Su
Mo
X
Tu
X
We
Th
Fr
Sa
Su
Mo
Tu X
We X
Th
X
Fr
X X
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
2
3
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Su X
Mo X
Tu
We
Th
Fr
Sa
Su
Mo
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Tu
We
Th
Fr
Sa
Fr
Sa
Su
X
X
X
Sa
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
44 22 22
30 26 24 R
31 38 21 FRTS
26 39 14 S
36 40 20 S
18 15 31
21 32 30
20 32 32
S
20 17 18 F
S
24 31 23 F F S
S
31 40 44
31 24 20 F
22 21 41 FR
43 32 25
25 26 32
RT
21 62 32
11
3
4
6
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
3
1
3
4
5
3
3
4
22 51 35
35
37
47
38
37
17
18
22
20
38
32
18
55
43
31
22
21
30
17
14
21
41
36
34
21
20
26
29
28
22
25
55
X 20
23
16
43
33
26
26
22
39
26
24
39
32
23
16
29
48
33
40
2
2
1
1
RS
S
S
F
1
2
2
1
1
2
FRS
FS
F
S
S
S
1
2
2
1
2
1
4
7
2
2 1
1
3 1
1
2 1
169
UC 16
LC
1
Position Change from Last Month
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
2
6
3
3
1
5
4
3
2
3
1
1
2
2
1
5
6 3
2
1
1
1
1 1 1
1
1
1
3
1 2
1
1
3 1 1
1
5
2
1
1
1
1 2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
5
1
1
1
1 1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
11
5
6
4
26
23
19
23
13
19
4
20
20
37
22
23
1 1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
5
5
3
1
2
3
2
4 2
1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1
1 1 1
4 1 1
1
2 2
1 2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
2 2
1
1
2
1
1
1
3 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
9
1
1
1 1
3 1 2
4
1
1
1 1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2 1
1
3 2
1 1
3
1
1
1
10
15
15
14
15
20
5
4
6
2
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1 2
1
7
1
1
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
2 2 1
121
1
1
1
1
2
1
11
23
6
6
5
12
1
1
1
1
2 2
1
2 1
1 1
41
38
+3
1
1
2
1
1
33
-1
25
+1
19
-2
19
12
+1
14
4
-1
0
465
14
Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13
Plan on Lightning
Warnings impacting:
2% of Day Shift
3.6% of Swing Shift
0% of Midnights
2% of Weekends
Thur
Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tue
We
Thur
Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thur
Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thur
Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thur
Fri
Sat
Sun
Mon
Tue
2011 2012 2013
1
2
3
1
4
2
1
5
3
2
6
4
3
7
5
4
8
6
5
9
7
6
10
8
7
11
9
8
12 10
9
13 11 10
14 12 11
15 13 12
16 14 13
17 15 14
18 16 15
19 17 16
20 18 17
21 19 18
22 20 19
23 21 20
24 22 21
25 23 22
26 24 23
27 25 24
28 26 25
29 27 26
30 28 27
31 29 28
1 30 29
2 31 30
3
1 31
M-F Mdnt Shift
Lghtn Hrs
M-F Day Shift
Lghtn Hrs
M-F Swing Shift
Lghtn Hrs
0.53
1.15
0.11
0.66
3.06
6.06
0.16
1.76
4.83
1.16
5.03
2.13
7.03
8
0.78
8.00
0.11
1.38
3.75
0.50
2.25
2.15
0.76
December 2014 WEF - Summary
Discussion – Winter is here, high winds, hard freezes, slick conditions, long nights, short days,
snow and Christmas. Lot’s of distractions and increased opportunities for injuries, equipment
failures, alarms and other impacts to work.
Things to Consider
Management Actions

 Check dampers, doors and


Likely the area will see a
significant snowfall before
the Christmas Holidays.
Early morning frost will
make walkways slippery.
Vacation use will highest
at the end of the month.
auxiliary heating units to be
sure they are set correctly to
avoid freeze damage.
 Ensure snow removal and ice
melting equipment and
supplies are available.
 Keep your employees focused
on safety as the conditions
will be changing dramatically
from one day to the next.
Past & Predicted Weather
2011 – High 73 Low 4
3” Snow 55 mph Wind Gust
2012 – High 78 Low 8
.54” Rain
62 mph Wind Gust
2013 – High 72 Low 3
2” Snow
48 mph Wind Gust
2014 – Below average temperatures and
average to above average
precipitation.
Presentation available at:
https://sites.uad.pxplant.com/sixsigma/Home/WEF/SitePages/Home.aspx
Or contact Larry Supina at 4806
Disclaimer
This work of authorship and those incorporated herein were prepared by Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC
(CNS) as accounts of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government under contract
DE-NA0001942. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor CNS, nor any of their
employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the
accuracy, completeness, use made, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed,
or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial
product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily
constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any
agency or contractor thereof, or by CNS. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily
state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency or contractor thereof, or by CNS.