Samuel Boochever Dhara Shah Nicole Kelly Payment Cards: Provide means to use "money" to complete a transaction between merchant and consumer ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Charge Cards Debit Cards Fleet Store-Value Credit Cards Cash Checks Bulky to carry around Inconvenient to carry Limited Purchases with fixed cash Not easily accepted by all merchants due to risk of NSF checks Easy to steal Hard to trace Network Joint Venture: “Cooperation among several independent businesses.” Four Key Players: Merchants, Consumers, Financial Intermediaries, Payment Solution Companies Complex interaction among players Provides consumer funds to purchase goods and/or services in return for payment at a later date Revolving Credit: Can delay repaying balance in full by paying a minimum monthly payment Lending Institution vs. Payment Systems ◦ Financial institution actually lend the credit ◦ (i.e. Visa USA Inc., MasterCard International Inc., Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., American Express Co.) provide payment systems to facilitate transactions Advantages Disadvantages Purchase Power and Ease of Purchase Blowing Your Budget Protection of Purchases High Interest Rates and Increased Debts Building a Credit Line Fraud Emergency Spending Rewards Programs All Credit Lending Institutions with their own card ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ 27.2% 19.2% 18.9% 17.2% 4.0% J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Bank of America Corporation Citigroup Inc. American Express Company Capital One CR4: 83.2 HHI: 1810-1850 Total Number of Companies: 192 Current Revenues: $48.3bn Current Profit: $3.2bn 5 Year Annual Growth Revenues: -5.1% 5 Year Annual Growth Profits: -28% Proj. 5 Year Annual Growth Revenues: 5.8% Proj. 5 Year Annual Growth Profits: 1.3% Delinquency Rates Increased 14.0% in the Last 5 Yrs. 2011 Expected to Be First Year of Growth since 2005 Market Driver Movement Effect on Industry Growth Predicted Movement Households earning over $100,000 Increase Positive Increase National unemployment rate Increase Negative Decrease Per Capita Disposable Income Increase Positive Increase Yield of 10 year treasury bonds Increase Positive Increase Aggregate Household Debt Increase Negative Decrease Industry consolidation ◦ # of enterprises decreased 2.1% last year ◦ Examples B of A acquired Merrill Lynch & Countrywide J.P. Morgan Chase acquired WaMu and Bear Stearns Marginal growth ◦ # of credit card owners increased from $173 to $181mil in the last 5 years ◦ 17% of households in the US do not own a credit card Still a large potential for growth 2/3 of the global transactions are still conducted using cash Changing consumer landscape (i.e. ecommerce) External ◦ Other Payment Forms Internal ◦ Competing For Market Share lower annual fees lower interest rates rewards programs incentivized balance transfer programs from other cards new technology Young adults 18-26 ◦ 84% of college students have credit cards ◦ In 08, half of college students had 4 or more cards Individual aged 26-60 ◦ Used for everyday purchases; wide range of purchasing behavior Senior Citizens 60+ ◦ Growing market as healthcare costs increase and social security/retirement savings decrease Business ◦ Most common source of financing for small businesses 40% Cardholder Fee ◦ Includes annual fees, cancellation fees, late payment fees, non-usage charges, and risk-based fees 40% Interchange Fees ◦ Fees charged by a bank to process transactions made on a card from another bank. 20% Interest Payments ◦ Interest on outstanding debt ◦ Convenience Users: 55% of consumers pay their balance in full month; called convenience users. Interest Expense ◦ ~20% of revenue, borrow from other financial institutions at low rate and charge consumers higher rate Provision For Loan Losses ◦ ~35% of revenue, unpaid debt that are just written off Wages ◦ ~5.1% Advertising ◦ ~7.6%, increased slightly as competition has increased and companies fight to maintain/increase reputation amid recession Rewards ◦ ~18%, 70% of all credit cards now offer rewards Three Main Threats ◦ Fraud ◦ Identity threat ◦ Security of highly personal confidential information. These threats have always existed but are likely to increase in severity of the next couple years as more transactions are taking place and more data is being stored on the internet. The Truth in Lending Act (TILA) of 1968 Credit Card Accountability, Responsibility and Disclosure (CARD) act in 2009. ◦ Aimed to increase the transparency of credit card advertising. Direct Mail was the main source of advertising during that time and the TILA dictated that the credit offer must disclose certain info in a separate area called the Schumer Box. Still in effect. ◦ Result of Recession ◦ Aims to reduce deceptive acts by credit cards regarding contracts. ◦ The major advertising effects will be the limit placed on marketing directed at the group consisting of 18-26 year olds. Consumers in this age group must have proof of income or co-sign with an adult. TARP JP Morgan: $25.5bn Citigroup: $45bn Bank of America: $45bn Total Television Advertising Expenditures ◦ 2006 - $1,313,292,181 ◦ 2010 - $1,047,655,039 (20% decrease) ◦ Caused by the recession 20000000 18000000 16000000 14000000 12000000 10000000 8000000 6000000 4000000 2000000 WASHINGTON,DC TAMPA SOUTH BEND SAN ANTONIO RALEIGH PHILADELPHIA NEW YORK MIAMI LEXINGTON JACKSON,MS HARRISBURG FRESNO DENVER COLORADO SPRGS CHARLESTON,WV 0 BIRMINGHAM Largest advertising campaigns were New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco, Philadelphia and Boston ALBANY,NY Grand Total Most money was spent on drama/adventure, situational comedy and slice-of-life ◦ Professional football advertising increased significantly in 2010 Targeted because the top 10 most expensive programs were sports programs or awards shows The most money is spent on Sundays, followed by Mondays or Thursdays depending on the year Most ad dollars were spent on primetime slot 7-11pm with the most expensive time slot was 9 pm on Monday Total Advertising Dollars 250000000 200000000 150000000 100000000 50000000 0 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT American Express Bank of America Citigroup J.P. Morgan Chase Account for 61% of total television advertising expenditures within industry Capital Other American One Compani Express Financial es Co Corp 6% 26% 22% Bank Of Discover Financial Services 11% JP America Morgan Corp Citigroup 8% Inc Chase & Co 24% 3% 2010 2006 Pre-Paid Cards Pre-Paid Gift Business 0% Cards Credit Cards Business Credit Cards 12% 1% Credit Cards, General Cards 71% Promotion/S Multi-Category ponsorship 13% k Cards 3% Credit Cards, Corporate Promotion & Debit/ATM/Chec Personal Credit 11% 15% Credit Cards, Personal General Credit Cards Promotion & 63% MultiCategory 4% Debit/ATM/C heck Cards 7% Search ◦ Attributes consumers can determine before purchasing the product Experience ◦ Attributes consumers can determine before or after use Credence ◦ Attributes consumers cannot personally evaluate even after service Credit Cards can be in all three categories depending on the knowledge of the consumer Persuasive ◦ Creates product differentiation by creating a reputation for a company ◦ Important for products with experience attributes and most important for products with credence attributes Complementary ◦ Appeals to the preferences of the consumer, usually aiming to create a social prestige through advertising Informative advertising ◦ Means by which to convey information to consumers. Direct Mail Television Print Internet • Detail the terms and conditions of the card • Most used in the industry • Differentiating card companies from each other "Bank of America Cash Rewards" "Citibank Identity Theft" "Chase Fraud Alert" • American Express • Ranked #1 most trusted company • 24th best global brand • Targets consumers with $100,000 to $1 million annual income • Consumers see card as a luxury • Gold Card, Platinum Card • Other companies are competing with "metallic" or "gem" cards American Express mostly uses “My Life. My Card” campaign Celebrities to build luxury image Consumer wants to feel part of celebrity class "Tina Fey American Express" "American Express Delta Skymiles“ Each company partners with travel industry ◦ Airlines ◦ Hotels Charity Sponsors Tapping into social responsibility Student Credit Cards ◦ Encouraging students to begin building credit history ◦ Reinforcing potential and importance of market ◦ 15% of market consists of 18-26 year olds Brand Name Rank Country of Origin Brand Value ($m) Change in Brand Value American Express 24 US 13,944 -7% J.P. Morgan 29 US 12314 +29% Citigroup 40 US 8887 -13% Uniformity Accessibility Chase B of A Citi Variety American Express Selectivity 35.00% 30.00% Percentage 25.00% Bank of America 20.00% JP Morgan Chase 15.00% Citigroup American Express 10.00% Industry 5.00% 0.00% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 Year • Industry Average is 7.6% and has grown over the last few years 2006 -$246,878,428 ◦ Similar program distribution to the market – except in 2010 the 2nd highest category was news forum/interview/varied format ◦ 89% of advertising was for national campaigns 2010 - $224,948,793 (decrease of 8.9%) ◦ 90% for national campaigns 2006 - $8,224,079 ◦ Spent 2/3 of their advertising dollars on the Olympics ◦ 82% was national ad campaigns ◦ Spent significantly more than their competitors per ad in Chicago, New York and Los Angeles 2010 - $71,158,966 (increase of 765.25%) ◦ Spent 1/3 of their ad dollars on professional football ads, the rest followed the market 2006 - $94,440,669 ◦ Almost 100% was spent on national campaigns but they did have campaigns in Seattle and Pittsburgh 2010 - $21,709,528 (decrease of 77%) ◦ 36% on national campaigns ◦ Spent 1/3 of ad $ on college football, also a large percentage on professional football ◦ Spent an average of over $300,000 per ad (average $4,000) for national campaigns, which based on decrease in overall advertising shows that they are targeting ads to prime markets/timeslots 2006 - $150,207,895 ◦ 81% on national campaigns 2010 - $207,777,213 (increase of 38.33%) ◦ More spending in Texas than rest of market 50,000,000 Grand Total 45,000,000 40,000,000 150,000,000 JP Morgan Chase & Co 10,000,000 0 5,000,000 DOW 0 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT •Sunday was the most expensive for advertising, Friday the least SAT 15,000,000 FRI Citigroup Inc THU 20,000,000 50,000,000 WED Bank Of America Corp TUE 25,000,000 100,000,000 MON American Express Co 30,000,000 SUN 35,000,000 Venture Capitalist Perspective Stock Market Analyst ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Poor investment Highly Saturated Consolidated Maturity Stage Low Growth Potential Regulation ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Good investment Strong brand valuations Value is greater than revenues Strong P/E Ratios Further consolidation expected Stocks still on the up from recession Integrate more combative advertising ◦ Especially applies to JPMorgan & Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup ◦ Highly saturated= difficult to attract new customers Focus on customer service ◦ New differentiating characteristics Focus on reputation, smart investing ◦ Build back trust Expand partnerships in terms of niche advertising Cannot give specific recommendations ◦ Lack of homogeneity in product line