LOGIC OF THE BUDGET PROCESS Governing is Budgeting: Budgets are the Primary Instruments through which Governments Announce their Purposes, Priorities, and Intentions. Next page Overview Government Budgets are Spending Plans Traditional Budgets focus on OE Functions of Traditional Budgets The Budget Cycle The Incrementalist Insight Executive Budget Preparation and Execution Jump to first page Government Budgets Are SPENDING PLANS for administrative units for a specified time, that are enacted into law Jump to first page Class Exercise Federal Budget Challenge National Budget Simulation Federal Budget Simulation Jump to first page Budget Formats Alternative Budget Formats and Associated Features Format Object of Expenditure Primary Organization Feature Line item Commodity or resource purchased Resources purchased Control Performance Workload or activity Presentation of unit cost by activity Tasks, activities accomplished Management Program Public goals Cost data cross organization lines Achievements, final products, outcomes, or consumer outputs Planning Jump to first page Orientation Line-Item Budgets are Spending Plans • Expressed in terms of objects of expenditure categories like: • • • • Personal services Supplies Other Services and Charges Capital Outlays for each administrative unit for a specified time (grouped a variety of different ways) Jump to first page Traditional Budget Principles • Comprehensiveness (the budget should include all revenue and expenditure); • Annularity (each budget should span a single fiscal year); • Balance (expenditures should reflect the revenues available); • Transparency (the government should publish timely information on receipts and expenditures); • Accuracy (the budget should accurately specify purchases -- purpose, amount, timing); • Authoritativeness (public funds should be spent as authorized in law). Jump to first page Functions of OE or Lineitem Budget • Fiscal Discipline and Control • Restraining expenditure • Insuring that budgets are executed as enacted • TREASURY role • Post audit vs. preaudit: purpose, execution • Audit trail -- invoices, receipts, cancelled checks • Provide information used in formulation of new budgets • Management, efficiency, & planning for service requirements Jump to first page The Budget Cycle Preparation & Enactment Execution Audit and Financial Reporting Next page Phases of the Budget Cycle • Executive Preparation A. Budget Guidance/Call for estimates B. Preliminary Estimates C. Consolidation • Legislative consideration & enactment • Execution (conduct of fiscal operations) • Post-audit & evaluation & Reporting Jump to first page Budget Cycles Last Period (t-1)This Period (t) Next Period's Budget This Period's Budget Last Period's budget Next Period (t+1) Budget P reparation and E nac tment Budget E xec ution Budget P reparation and E nac tment Budget E xec ution Budget E xec ution A udit and E valuation Jump to first page A udit and E valuation Budget Cycles This Period (t)Next Period (t+1)Period after Next (t+2) Next Period's Budget This Period's Budget Last Period's budget Budget P reparation and E nac tment Budget E xec ution Budget E xec ution A udit and E valuation A udit and E valuation Jump to first page A udit and E valuation Budget Formulation Next page Descriptive Analysis of Budget Preparation & Enactment Process Roles, Visions, Incentives Operating agencies – make requests Executive – issues guidance, negotiates and consolidates budget Legislature – approves budget Jump to first page Incrementalism I The predominant strategy in budgeting is governance by precedent. To obtain this year’s solution (next year’s budget) take last years solution (current budget/baseline) modify it in light of the change in available resources and the changes in problems and available solutions, Jump to first page Incrementalism II Budgets tend to evolve slowly as small marginal changes occur from year to year (with periodic dramatic changes). • once an item is in the budget it remains in the budget. Another reason for governance by precedent is the openness of public decision making: it is completely defensible to make decisions based on ‘proven decisions from past years. Jump to first page ENACTMENT: RULE INDUCED EQUILIBRIA Division of labor and jurisdiction not only greatly increases the productivity of American Legislatures, it also greatly increases the power of individual legislator to block legislation adverse to her constituents. 1. The committee system as a super-majority system/proliferation of committees 2. The committee system as a source of equilibrium Jump to first page Jump to first page RULE INDUCED EQUILIBRIA Norm of reciprocity/log rolling-vote trading OVERSIGHT AND THE BUDGET • Authorization/appropriation • Compliance with Legislative intent • Authorizing committee is also usually oversight committee Jump to first page EXECUTIVE BUDGET METHODS AND PRACTICE Preparation of Agency Budget Requests Review of Budgets Balancing the Overall Spending Plan Managing Budget Execution Audit & Evaluation Next page PREPARATION OF REQUESTS I • Budget Instructions or Guidance • Main Goals of the Executive • Forecasts of Critical Operating Conditions and Prescribed BASELINE • A Prescribed FORMAT • A Time Schedule • MAXIMUM Increase Jump to first page PREPARATION OF REQUESTS II • Agency Proposals • Narrative -- Current Commitments and Expected Results from New Initiatives • Detail Schedules establishing Baselines • Cumulative Schedules Showing Effects of New Initiatives (up or down) on Details and Revised Totals Description dominates numbers. Budgeting is logic, justification, and politics -- not accounting. Jump to first page Spenders’ Budget Tactics: Ubiquitous I • Cultivation of an active and influential (well-organized) clientele • Media • Demonstrate competence • Deliver • Explain -- show understanding and mastery of cost estimates • Honesty Jump to first page Spenders’ Budget Tactics: Ubiquitous II • Price Changes • Workload Changes • Methods Improvement • New Services • Full Financing Jump to first page Spenders’ Budget Tactics: Contingent I Avoiding Cuts: • Propose a study • Cut Popular programs • Dire consequences • All or nothing • You pick • We are the experts Seeking Bucks for the Base • Round up • Sprinkling • Physical units • Workload and backlog Jump to first page Spenders’ Budget Tactics: Contingent II Seeking New Bucks: • Old stuff • Initial commitment • It pays for itself • Spend to save • Crisis • Mislabeling • What they did makes us do it • Mandates • Matching the competition • It’s so small Jump to first page Budget Justification -- Or, Why the Numbers in Next Year’s Budget are Different from this Year’s • Major Programmatic Changes/New Services -Major Cutbacks of Service levels • Price/Wage Changes • Workload Changes • Methods Improvements • Full Financing of Activities Initiated in the Current Year • Deferred maintenance and/or replacement of equipment Jump to first page Estimates: Grouped by Organization; Task, Purpose, Function, or Activity, AND OE or Account Code • Wages and Salaries • Non-Wage Personnel Costs • Non-personnel Costs (Cost Drivers) • Volume or activity level x Unit Price • Ratios to another OE • Adjustments to Prior Year’s Costs Jump to first page EXECUTIVE REVIEW I • Policy Rationale/Conformity with Executive Priorities • Conformity with Budget Guidance/Including all Required Supplemental Documents • Arithmetic Jump to first page EXECUTIVE REVIEW II • • • • • Linkages Program Changes Omissions Ratios, Shares, Trends Clear Tradeoffs Jump to first page BALANCING THE CONSOLIDATED BUDGET • Budget Message • Summary Schedules • Detail Schedules • Performance Targets • Supplemental Data • Many on the Assumptions Presented in the Budget Guidance and Trends Jump to first page Budget Execution Next page EXECUTION • Budget Authority (specifies by agency, timing, and account code the authority to spend) • Obligations (enforced by antideficiency act) • Inventory recorded • Outlay • Expense or Cost Jump to first page BUDGET EXECUTION I • Preventive Controls • • • • Procurement Personnel Pre-audit Allotments • Feed-forward Controls -- Diagnostic Tools, e.g. variance measures • Feedback Controls -- affect Next Year’s Budget, Fig. 3.1 Jump to first page BUDGET EXECUTION II • Internal Controls • • • • • Personal Responsibility Personnel Qualifications & Rotation Segregate Responsibilities Separate Operations and Accounting Maintain Controlled Proofs and Security • Record Transactions -- complete journal and general ledger Jump to first page Mismatch between Budget Focus and Financial Statements • Agencies, of course, spend money to acquire and use assets, i.e., they generate expenses. • They generate expenses to provide services and create capacities -- the capacity to achieve our foreign-policy objectives and to meet our overseas commitments. • Expenses measure the cost of the assets actually consumed in the production of a good or service. Jump to first page Mismatch between Budget Focus and Financial Statements • Expense measurement, or accrual accounting, is one of the fundamental ideas of modern managerial accounting. And, assets consumed and services rendered are the focus of private sector accounting. • Spending plans could be expressed in terms of obligations, outlays, purchases, or consumption. Note, however, that while the government accounts for outlays and tracks obligations, it does not account for expenses. • Hence estimates of expenses are statistical in nature, i.e., they are not tied to the basic debitand-credit accounting records of the government. Jump to first page Looking Forward Next page Thought Questions • Some programs have an explicit revenue component and policy makers make decisions about revenues and program characteristics with the long term sustainability of the program in mind. For instance, unemployment insurance or Social Security and there are actuarial studies that give us an idea of where we need to be in 5, 10, 20, etc years both from a revenue and an expense perspective if the program is to be in balance. Why don’t we look at all program commitments this way? Jump to first page Thought Questions • Someone once told me the problem with government is that it is easy to spend someone else’s money. Do you think that is true? Jump to first page Modern Budget Principles* • Conditional, Approximate Balance; • Decisional Efficiency (a good budgetary decision process minimizes conflict specifically and transaction costs generally where the conflict and costs contribute nothing to the substantive quality of the decisions); • Feasible Comparisons (a good budgetary decision process will stimulate feasible comparisons by promoting competition or cooperation, as appropriate, among agencies for solving particular problems); Jump to first page *P.D. Larkey and Eric Devereux “Good Budgetary Decisions,”1999. Modern Budget Principles* • Uncertainty and Flexibility (a good budgetary decision process will give sufficient discretion to managers to respond to new information and circumstances); • Stability (a good budgetary decision process will balance the frequency and intensity of program reviews with the need for stability); • Multiple Budgets (a good budgetary decision process will explicitly recognize the need for different budgets for different purposes). Jump to first page *P.D. Larkey and Eric Devereux “Good Budgetary Decisions,”1999. Class Exercise Minnesota Budget Balancer Cut the Massachusetts Budget Jump to first page