Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz Computational Homework Problem 1 1 Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz 2 Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz Problem 2 a) By looking at the two strip bonds, we can see the spot rates for year 1 and 2. Therefore, we will use interest rate 7% for the first year, and 8% for the second year. Furthermore, the coupon payments will be $9 ($100*0.09). The price of the bond is: ππ(ππππ) = 9 9 100 + + = $101.86 2 1.07 1.08 1.082 b) The yield to maturity is the average rate of return that is earned if the bond is purchased at current market price, and it is held to maturity. As we already know the price of the bond, we can easily find the yield to maturity: $101.86 = 9 9 100 + + 2 1 + π¦ (1 + π¦) (1 + π¦)2 π¦ = 7.95 Yield to maturity is 7.95. c) We need to find the next year forward rate (f2). We can use the yields from the zerocoupon bonds to find it, because we know that (1.07*f2) = (1.08) ^2. Therefore: ππππ€πππ πππ‘π = 1.082 = 9.01% 1.07 Now we will use the forward rate in order to find the market expectation of the bond price: π΅πππ πππππ = 109 = $99.99 ~ $100 1.0901 d) Since there is a liquidity premium of 1%, the forward rate will be changed. This is calculated by simply subtracting 1 from the forward rate: ππππ€πππ πππ‘π = 9.01% − 1% = 8.01% And now we find the new expected bond price with the 8.01% forward rate: π΅πππ πππππ = 109 = $100.92 1.0801 If we believe in liquidity preference then our bond price would be $100.92. 3 Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz Problem 3 a) The DuPont analysis is used to analyze fundamental performance of a company. It is basically an extended version of the ROE formula, that helps to identify the strengths and weaknesses of a firm. Thus, it is very useful to investors. The DuPont formula is: π·π’ππππ‘ = πππ₯ π΅π’ππππ ∗ πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ π΅π’ππππ ∗ πΈπ΅πΌπ ππππππ ∗ π΄π π ππ‘ ππ’ππππ£ππ ∗ πΏππ£πππππ π ππ‘ππ where: πππ₯ π΅π’ππππ πππ‘ππ = πππ‘ ππππππ $475 = = 0.64 ππππ‘ππ₯ ππππππ‘ $740 πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ π΅π’ππππ πππ‘ππ = πΈπ΅πΌπ ππππππ = πΈπ΅πΌπ $760 = = 0.16 π ππ£πππ’π $4,750 πππ‘ππ π΄π π ππ‘ ππ’ππππ£ππ = πΏππ£πππππ π ππ‘ππ = ππππ‘ππ₯ ππππππ‘ $740 = = 0.97 πΈπ΅πΌπ $760 π ππ£πππ’π $4,750 = = 1.61 πππ‘ππ ππ π ππ‘π $2,950 πππ‘ππ ππ π ππ‘π $2,950 = = 1.4 πππ‘ππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ $2,100 Now DuPont can be calculated: π ππΈ = 0.64 ∗ 0.97 ∗ 0.16 ∗ 1.61 ∗ 1.4 = 0.226 = 22.6% In this case ToyCorp has a pretty low ROE, and this is primarily due to the low EBIT margin. This is also reflected in the balance sheet where COGS is $2,400 million, which is 50% of the total revenue. Furthermore, when the other expenses are added the remaining revenue is only $760 million. So, by using the DuPont analysis this company can see that they have to lower their expenses if they want to increase the return for their shareholders. b) ROE or return on equity, shows the profitability of a company in relation to its stockholders’ equity. The calculation is as follows, and it will give the same result as the DuPont ROE: π ππΈ = πππ‘ ππππππ $475 = = 0.226 πβπππβπππππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ $2,100 4 Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz c) The formula for sustainable growth rate is: ππΊπ = π ππ‘π’ππ ππ πΈππ’ππ‘π¦ ∗ (1 − πππ¦ππ’π‘ π ππ‘ππ) We already know ROE, and we need the payout ratio, which can be calculated: π ππΈ = πππ‘ ππππππ $510 = = 0.23 = 23% πβπππβπππππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ $2,200 Now the payout ratio should be calculated πππ¦ππ’π‘ πππ‘ππ = π·ππ£πππππ 0.6 = = 0.306 πΈπππππππ πππ π βπππ 1.96 The sustainable growth rate will be: ππΊπ = 0.23 ∗ (1 − 0.306) = 0.15962 = 15.96% This means that ToyCorp will grow by 15.96% annually with its current revenue, without financing growth with additional equity or debt. Problem 4 a) From the setup we know that g is 25%, and k is 20%. First off, we will need to calculate the price of dividends in the next three years: π·πΌπ1 = $1 ∗ 1.25 = $1.25 π·πΌπ2 = $1.25 ∗ 1.25 = $1.5625 π·πΌπ3 = $1.5625 ∗ 1.25 = $1.953125 The intrinsic value is obtained by adding up the present value of all the future cash flow from the dividends, and the present value of the price when the stock is sold. So: ππ(πππ£ππππππ ) = $1.25 $1.5625 $1.953125 + + = $3.25 1.2 1.22 1.23 After the first three years, we will have a constant growth of 5%, thus we can use the constant growth DDM to find the present value of the stock when it is sold. After finding the price (Div4=P4) we will discount it with k=20% ππ(π π‘πππ πππππ) = π·ππ£4 $1.953125 ∗ (1.05) = = $7.19 3 (π − π) ∗ (1 + π) (0.2 − 0.05) ∗ (1.2)3 The Intrinsic value of the stock will be π0 = $3.25 + $7.19 = $11.16 5 Stevan Sijan Stojic 31301654@fsv.cuni.cz b) Since market price is equal to the intrinsic value, we can easily calculate the expected dividend yield with its formula: π·ππ£πππππ π¦ππππ = π·ππ£πππππ(π·πΌπ1) $1.25 = = 0.112 = 11.2% πΆπ’πππππ‘ ππππππ‘ πππππ(π0) $11.16 c) The dividend growth model can be used to find the price one year from now: π·1 + π1 π0 = 1+πΎ $11.86 = $1.25 + π1 = π1 = $12.14 1 + 0.2 So, the share price one year from now will be $12.14. Now the capital gain needs to be calculated, so that it can be compared to the dividend yield and the market capitalization rate: πΆππππ‘ππ ππππ = πΈ(π1) − π0 $12.14 − $11.16 = = 8.79% π0 $11.16 The capital gain of 8.79% is not consistent with the dividend yield or the market capitalization rate. 6