Chapter 12: Capacity Planning Operations Management in the Supply Chain: Decisions and Cases, 6th edition McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 12 Outline • • • • • • • • Facilities Decisions Facilities Strategy Sales & Operations Planning Definition Cross-Functional Nature of S&OP Planning Options Basic Aggregate Planning Strategies Aggregate Planning Costs Aggregate Planning Example 12-2 Hierarchy of Capacity Decisions Facilities decisions Facilities decisions Aggregate planning Aggregate planning Scheduling Scheduling 0 6 12 18 24 Months Planning Horizon 12-3 Definition of Capacity Maximum output that can be produced over a given period of time. • Theoretical capacity • Labor availability and overtime • Physical assets, delayed maintenance, etc. • Can be used for short-term demand spikes • Effective capacity • Should be used in planning • Subtracts maintenance downtime, shift breaks, absenteeism, etc. 12-4 Capacity Utilization Utilization = Actual output Capacity x 100% Utilization is seldom 100%. Estimates capacity usage and ‘busyness.’ 12-5 Facilities Decisions • • • • • How much capacity is needed? How large should each facility be? When is the capacity needed? Where should the facilities be located? What type of facilities/capacity are needed? 12-6 Facilities Strategy Considers: • Amount of capacity • Size of capacity cushion • Size of facilities • Economies/diseconomies of scale • Timing of facility decisions • Preemptive, wait-and-see • Types of facilities • Product-focused, market-focused, process-focused, generalpurpose 12-7 Factors Affecting Facilities Strategy • • • • • Predicted demand Cost of facilities Likely behavior of competitors Business strategy International considerations 12-8 How Much? Strategies for Capacity Cushion • Capacity cushion = 100% – utilization • Three strategies: • Large cushion (e.g., make-to-order) • Moderate cushion (cost of running out balanced with cost of excess capacity) • Small cushion (e.g., make-to-stock) 12-9 How Large? What is Optimum Facility Size? • Economies of scale • Production costs are not linear • Overhead spread over more units • Diseconomies of scale • Increased transportation costs • Cost of more bureaucracy • Increased organizational complexity 12-10 When? Timing of Facility Additions • Preempt the competition • Build capacity ahead of need • Positive capacity cushion • Wait-and-see strategy • Small or negative capacity cushion • Lower risk strategy 12-11 Where? Location of Facilities • Quantitative Factors • ROI, NPV • Transportation, Taxes • Lead times • Qualitative Factors • Language, norms • Worker and customer attitudes • Proximity to customers, suppliers, competitors 12-12 What Type? Types of Facilities • Product-focused (55%) • One family of products/services (e.g., computers) • Market-focused (30%) • Located near sales (e.g., electricity, bakeries) • Process-focused (10%) • Few technologies (e.g., computer chips, MRI center) • General purpose (5%) • Several products/services (e.g., furniture, banking) 12-13 Sales & Operations Planning (S&OP) • Matching supply & demand over a medium time range • Time horizon of about 12 months • Aggregated demand for one or few categories of product. Demand may fluctuate or be uncertain. • Possible to change both supply and demand • Variety of management objectives • Facilities are fixed (cannot be expanded or reduced) 12-14 Cross-Functional Nature of S&OP • • • • • • Budgeting: closely tied to aggregate plan HR: workforce availability Operations: capacity/inventory planning Accounting: cost analysis Finance: capital investments Marketing: sales plan 12-15 Options for Managing (Influencing) Demand • Pricing • Advertising and promotion • Backlogs or reservations (shift demand) • Development of complementary offerings • Seasonal products/service spread demand • Lawn mower, snow blower • Ski resort, mountain biking 12-16 Options for Managing (Influencing) Supply • Hiring and layoff of employees • Using overtime and undertime • Using part-time or temporary labor • Carrying inventory • Outsourcing/subcontracting • Cooperative arrangements • Share capacity during demand peaks • Airlines, hotels, utilities 12-17 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Level strategy • Constant work force • Inventory as buffer • Chase strategy • Vary workforce • Produce to demand • Typical for services 12-18 Comparison of Chase and Level Strategies (Table 12.1) Level of labor skill required Job discretion Compensation rate Training required per employee Labor turnover Hire-layoff cost per employee Amount of supervision required Type of budgeting and forecasting required Chase Strategy Low Low Low Low High Low High Short-run Level Strategy High High High High Low High Low Long-run 12-19 Aggregate Planning Costs • Hiring and firing costs (Chase strategy) • Overtime and undertime costs (Chase) • Subcontracting costs (Chase) • Part-time labor costs (Chase) • Inventory-carrying costs (Level strategy) • Cost of stockout or back order (Level) 12-20 Chapter 12 Summary • • • • • • • • Facilities Decisions Facilities Strategy Sales & Operations Planning Definition Cross-Functional Nature of S&OP Planning Options Basic Aggregate Planning Strategies Aggregate Planning Costs Aggregate Planning Example 12-21