Internat ional Journal of Behavioral Development 2000, 24 (3), 289–294 © 2000 The International Society for the Study of Behavioural Development http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/pp/01650254.htm l Trends in adolescent research for the new millennium Nancy L. Galambos and Bonnie J. Leadbeater University of Victoria, Canada This article highlights several promising trends in research on adolescence and discusses the likely future course of several recent developments in adolescent research. Current trends include a focus on the transition to young adulthood, the increasing examination of the context and co-occurrence of adolescent problems, and emphasis on the resilience of adolescents in high-risk circumstances. There is a strong need for more research on the cognitive and neurocognitive gains and changes of adolescence and on positive psychosocial behaviours and outcomes for youth. We are just beginning to understand within-group differences in adolescent development, including the life experiences of minority youth, adolescents with disabilities, and homosexual adolescents. The impact of social context and social change on adolescents is also receiving more attention. Methodological approaches likely to be seen more in the future include the use of pattern-centred analyses to complement traditional variable-centred approaches and a greater appreciation for qualitative data analysis as a route to gaining insights into adolescent development. Finally, university-community partnerships are promoted as a way to solve the problems of youth and improve the probability of their healthy futures. Like adolescence as a stage of life, research on adolescence has undergone many transitions in the century that has passed since the publication of G.S. Hall’s (1904) two volumes entitled: Adolescence: Its psychology and its relation to physiology, anthropology, sociology, sex, crime, religion, and education (New York: Appelton Press). Historians speculated that adolescence, as a life stage, was an invention of industrial cultures. It was a life stage created by increased needs for skilled labour and education, but threatened by the risks to moral and physical health that unsupervised, unemployed youth could encounter as they drifted into cities (Kett, 1977). Decade by decade, researchers not only have continued to study the list of topics in Hall’s title, but have also reinvented adolescence by modifying and adding to this list—focusing research on puberty, formal operational thinking, identity development, generation gaps, family and peer inuences, and school transitions. Research specic to this stage of life now annually lls several journals, textbooks, and special topics books on issues such as teenage parenting, puberty, substance use, and girls’ development. This research commands the attention of several disciplines of study as well as several professions such as health, education, religion, and justice. Today’s challenges to youth continue to be thought of in terms of risks and opportunities. Challenges emanate not only from adolescents’ engagement in risky behaviours (delinquency, alcohol and drug use, interpersonal violence, unprotected sexual activity, early parenting, and school drop-out), but also from dramatic social changes that inuence their lives. Increases in poverty, homelessness, and unemployment as well as cutbacks in educational, preventative, and health services have disproportionately negative impacts on young people and their families. The major causes of mortality in adolescence Correspondence should be addressed to Nancy Galambos, Department of Psychology, Box 3050, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, V8W 3P5; e-mail: galambos@uvic.ca. (including injuries and suicides) are founded in a complex array of social, economic, psychological, and biological factors. At the same time, most young people encounter adolescence better nourished and in more optimal physical health than ever before and are increasingly challenged by a diversity of opportunities to support their developing identities and talents. Many youth, at least in the Western world, have access to the nancial resources necessary to participate actively in activities as wide-ranging as sports, music, art, travel, and shopping. In this very brief article we point out current directions in research on adolescence, pondering what social changes drive these new concerns and what the list will look like at the turn of the next century. We note that that age of adolescence continues to move upward as educational demands for employment and self-sufciency increase. We refer specically to the need for research on adolescent cognition, problem behaviours, and resilience in contexts of adversity. We also point to changes in our research tools that allow for more comprehensive statistical pictures of the patterns and processes of developmental changes as well as a more in-depth qualitative picture of the diversity of adolescent experiences both within and across different cultures and ethnic or racial groups. Finally, we observe the need for increasing collaboration across disciplines and professions for understanding young peoples’ development as they face the rapidly changing and challenging contexts of the new millennium. There is growing attention to the transition of youth to young adulthood. A recurring question in the literature on adolescence has been ‘‘When does adolescence end?’’ (Arnett & Taber, 1994). Embodied in this question are issues pertaining to the length of the transition, which is highly variable, the 290 GALAMBOS AND LEADBEATER / TRENDS IN ADOLESCENT RESEARCH markers of maturity (e.g., chronological, social), and the processes by which the transition occurs. Arnett (in press) has proposed a concept called ‘‘emerging adulthood’’, which is a period of role exploration, marked more by a lack of normative expectations than by clear paths and milestones. Occurring in the late teens and twenties, emerging adulthood leads to the achievement of adult status. Until recently, our understanding of this period was based largely on the experiences of college students, a population easy for researchers to access. Now, there are examples of longitudinal studies, with more diversity in sampling, that examine selected aspects of the transition to adulthood (Bachman, Wadsworth, O’Malley, Johnston, & Schulenberg, 1997; Jessor, Donovan, & Costa, 1991; Leadbeater & Way, 2000). Bachman et al. (1997) showed, for example, that marriage, pregnancy, and parenthood were associated with signicant decreases in substance use, probably as a function of the responsibilities inherent in these roles. On the other hand, moving away from parents and getting divorced were transitions that were associated with increases in substance use. In the future, it is likely that more of these longitudinal studies capturing the nature of emerging adulthood will appear. In addition, as the search for better denitions and understanding of this period intensies, researchers will explore this transition from the perspectives of the young people experiencing it (see e.g., Arnett, 1994). More research will focus on the cognitive and neurocognitive changes of adolescence. Although cognitive development has been cited as a core change of adolescence that accompanies other critical physical, emotional, and social transitions, following a burst of studies based on Piaget’s theory of formal operational thinking, adolescent cognition became a largely neglected area of research (Keating & Sasse, 1996). A few notable exceptions include studies of age-related differences in informationprocessing capabilities (Kail, 1991) and in prospective memory (Ceci & Bronfenbrenner, 1985). These studies have demonstrated that by 14 years of age, adolescents are nearly as efcient as adults in speed of cognitive processing (Kail, 1991) and engage in effective time-monitoring strategies (Ceci & Bronfenbrenner, 1985). Another promising pocket of research pertains to adolescents’ decision making with respect to risktaking behaviours and judicial competence. Research has shown that by mid adolescence, teens reason about such decisions in ways similar to adults’ imperfect reasoning (BeythMarom & Fischhoff, 1997). As the gap in research on adolescents’ cognitive development becomes more visible, it is imperative and likely that energetic and talented scholars will be attracted to the examination of how cognitive processes in adolescence are linked to other domains of adolescent development (e.g., peer relations) and behaviour. Similarly, although there is some documentation of neurological changes (e.g., decreases in synaptic connections; decreasing brain metabolism rates) prior to and during adolescence (Banich, 1997), little is known about how these developments map on to cognitive and behavioural functioning. Studies devoted to these phenomena would comprise a fruitful avenue for research. Emphasis on understanding the context and co-occurrence of adolescent problems is increasing. There is a long history of research on the problems of youth, including risk behaviours (e.g., alcohol abuse), mental health outcomes, such as depression, school-related troubles, and delinquency and violence. Typically, however, past research examined single problems (typied by investigations of the correlates or sequelae of cigarette smoking, substance abuse, or sexual risk taking, but not their interrelations) (Jessor, 1993; Ketterlinus & Lamb, 1994). Research examining the prevalence, antecedents, and consequences of multiple problems in adolescents has become important for two reasons. First, better predictions of the future developmental trajectories of adolescents can be made by understanding how they function on a variety of levels in multiple contexts. For instance, we know that adolescents experiencing multiple problems are most at risk for longerterm difculties; research examining comorbidity of problems will help to distinguish high-risk youth from other groups (Petersen, Richmond, & Leffert, 1993). Second, a more comprehensive understanding of how adolescents’ problems and behaviours operate together will lead to more effective programmes designed to prevent or intervene into actions that can be potentially destructive to adolescents’ mental and physical health (Lerner & Galambos, 1998). Aresearch base is accumulating on the patterns of co-occurrence of problems in adolescence, including risk behaviours, mental health symptoms, such as depression, and school-related problems (Ensminger, 1990; Farrell, Danish, & Howard, 1992; Fergusson, Horwood, & Lynskey, 1994; Galambos & Tilton-Weaver, 1998). Ensminger (1990), for example, examined familial and school antecedents to the co-occurrence of substance use, sexual risk, and violent behaviours in a sample of urban adolescents. Adolescents showing multiple problem behaviours (e.g., substance use, sex, and assault) were more frequently truant from school, had more permissive parental curfew rules, and were more aggressive in rst grade (at least among males), compared to adolescents with no problem behaviours. Interestingly, adolescent females who reported frequent sexual intercourse (but no other problems) were different from the no-problem and the multi-problem females on a number of variables. The origins, consequences, and co-occurrence of nonsexual and sex-related problem behaviours deserve further empirical consideration (Ketterlinus, Lamb & Nitz, 1994). More research is needed on positive psychosocial outcomes and resilience in high-risk circumstances. With the current focus on the problems of youth (in the media and in the eld of research on adolescence), it is easy to neglect consideration of their competencies, health-enhancing behaviours, and prosocial activities. Frequently, researchers have designated the absence of negative outcomes as the presence of healthy outcomes. Indeed, most measures of good health are simply low scores on measures of poor health, for example, not showing depressive symptoms (Galambos &Ehrenberg, 1997). Yet, for the sake of gaining a more comprehensive picture of development in adolescents, and for successfully designing interventions that prevent health-compromising behaviours, knowledge about adolescents’ health-enhancing behaviours, and positive outcomes is required (Lerner & Galambos, 1998). Increasingly, research has dened positive psychosocial outcomes in terms of such attributes as psychosocial maturity, self-esteem, the possession of positive coping strategies, church attendance, involvement in positive peer networks, and health-enhancing behaviours (e.g., healthy diet, regular exercise) (Galambos & Ehrenberg, 1997; Jessor, Turbin, & Costa, 1998; Lerner & Galambos, 1998). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL DEVELOPMENT, 2000, 24 (3), 289–294 291 Research on resilience in contexts of adversity has also begun to focus on the development of competence in multiple domains in childhood and adolescence (Cicchetti & Garmezy, 1993; Masten & Coatsworth, 1998). The eld of developmental psychopathology has been particularly important for integrating the knowledge of developmental and clinical psychology with psychiatry to gain a better understanding of resilience. Since the late 1970s, researchers following this approach have investigated the mechanisms and processes that lead some individuals to thrive despite adverse life circumstances. For example, the focus of most past research on adolescent mothers has been on the predictors of, the risk factors associated with, or the negative outcomes resulting from teenage parenthood but we now know that the majority of adolescent mothers experience positive outcomes (e.g., high school graduation, employment) (The Alan Guttmacher Institute, 1994; Furstenberg, Brooks-Gunn, & Morgan, 1987; Leadbeater, 1996; Way & Leadbeater, 1999). Research investigating pathways toward positive outcomes among adolescent mothers has begun to reveal the multiple individual, family, and community components of resiliency. Although early research operationalised resiliency as a unidimensional construct (e.g., educational achievement or social competence), recent research reveals the problems of considering only one or two domains in an assessment of resiliency. Luthar, Dorenberger, and Zigler’s (1993) research on resiliency with inner-city adolescents found that those students who reported having good grades and being socially competent also reported having high levels of psychological distress. Other researchers have indicated that although individuals may succeed in one or two areas of their lives, their success in these areas may mask more internal struggles such as depression or low self-esteem (Masten & Coatsworth, 1998; Wright, Masten, Northwood, & Hubbard, 1997). Resiliency is not a static, unidimensional process but a dynamic, multidimensional one that changes over time (Cicchetti & Garmezy, 1993; Masten, Best, & Garmezy, 1990; Masten & Coatsworth, 1998). The ways one is able to acquire, maintain, and express strength in the midst of adversity will vary depending on developmental stage, external expectations, family relationships, and life circumstances (Masten & Coatsworth, 1998; McLoyd, 1998). 1999) are deserving of and likely to be the focus of more intensive research in the new millennium. Combinations of anthropological, sociological, and psychological perspectives and methodologies are needed to reveal the nature and sources of diversity in adolescents’ development. More research will be devoted to learning about within-group differences in adolescent development. Theories of adolescent moral, cognitive, and identity development that grew out of studies of male participants and illuminated the course of male adolescent development remain the foundation of our understanding of normative development in adolescence. The experiences of girls and adolescents from cultural minority groups have only begun to be described by adolescent researchers in the last decade of the past century (e.g., Leadbeater & Way, 1996). The research literature continues to be almost silent on the experiences of Native American adolescents (see Mitchell & O’Nell, 1998, for an exception). Asian, African, and Hispanic youth have also been neglected in past research, although to be sure, there is a growing appreciation for investigating their development (Asakawa & Csikszentmihalyi, 1998; Quintana, Castañeda-English, & Ybarra, 1999; Steinberg, Dornbusch, & Brown, 1992). Adolescents with homosexual orientations (Savin-Williams, 1998a,b), disabilities (Costigan, Floyd, Harter, &McClintock, 1997), and those in foster care (Rhodes, Haight, & Briggs, Pattern-centred analyses will be used more often to examine constellations of individual, family, and/or community characteristics that affect developmental trajectories in adolescence. Past research on adolescence has followed a variable-centred approach, which examined interrelationships among single variables through, for example, regression analysis. This can be contrasted with pattern-centred approaches, which consider individuals as consisting of multiple attributes (e.g., cognitive, biological, behavioural) that are integrated into an organised system (Magnusson & Törestad, 1993). Advocates of the pattern-centred approach argue that the adolescent’s prole across a number of indicators may carry more meaning for understanding his/her development than do single variables (Magnusson &Cairns, 1996). Methods such as cluster analysis or congurational frequency analysis, which group individuals on the basis of their prole of characteristics, exemplify pattern-centred approaches to understanding intra-individual development. The groups may then be compared on other relevant variables to explore the antecedents, correlates, or consequences of a particular pattern. Greater attention will be paid to the impact of historical and social contexts and change on adolescent development. The pathbreaking work of Elder (1974) illustrated the signicance of historical and social changes, such as the Great Depression, in the lives and development of children and adolescents. The amount of research devoted to examining such issues is increasing, particularly in Europe. Ongoing research in Germany is a case in point. The dramatic reunication of East and West Germany in 1990 was the starting place for a number of studies comparing in formerly divided regions of Germany young people’s family and peer relations, externalising and internalising behaviours, physical health, self-esteem, identity, and vocational choices (see e.g., Bynner &Silbereisen, 1999; Silbereisen & von Eye, 1999). Rather than providing consistent examples of striking regional differences among adolescents, such research is pointing to more subtle and complex interrelations among social change, region of residence, and adolescent development. Noack and Kracke (1997) reported, for instance, that West German adolescents’ higher levels of connectedness to their families buffered them from the potentially negative effects of increased economic strain. In East German adolescents, however, higher family connectedness was associated with elevated adjustment problems among adolescents whose family nancial situation worsened. The achievement of a better understanding of the inuences of historical and social contexts on adolescents is likely to be facilitated through international collaborations among researchers. One example of a massive, collaborative undertaking is the European Network Project, or EURONET, which involved eleven research teams from different nations across Europe and one in the United States. The members of this project share knowledge, experience, methods, and instruments to explore cross-national differences in adolescents’ leisure activities and contexts, future orientations, perceived control, psychological well-being, and other aspects of adolescents’ lives (Alsaker & Flammer, 1999). 292 GALAMBOS AND LEADBEATER / TRENDS IN ADOLESCENT RESEARCH This approach is appealing, as researchers seek increasingly to understand the development of adolescents who differ in combinations of personal resources and challenges, access to protective factors in their lives, and exposure to risky environments. Recently, the pattern approach has been used alone and in combination with variable-centred approaches to provide us with important knowledge about adolescent development (Galambos &Tilton-Weaver, in press; Salmivalli, 1998; Schulenberg, Wadsworth, O’Malley, Bachman, & Johnston, 1996; Stattin & Magnusson, 1996). Schulenberg et al. (1996), for instance, used pattern analyses to classify and then predict longitudinal trajectories of binge drinking in adolescents from the ages of 18 to 24 years. Risk factors present in their senior year in high school (i.e., having less concrete future plans and a stronger desire to drink) distinguished senior-year binge drinkers who would continue to drink (i.e., the chronic binge drinkers) from the senior-year binge drinkers who would subsequently reduce their drinking (i.e., decreased binge drinking group). Moreover, individuals with a pattern of increased binge drinking were low on internal personal control and on conventionality. Such analyses lend a richness to the data that would be missed by following only a variable-centred approach. Qualitative data analysis can enhance a more in depth understanding of individual differences in adolescent development. To gain as much knowledge as possible about adolescent development, qualitative data analysis will become increasingly valued. At the same time that methodological designs are becoming more complicated and statistical strategies even more sophisticated (e.g., the use of hierarchical linear modelling, Maggs & Schulenberg, 1998), there is a growing appreciation of the potential uses for qualitative data. Some of the most powerful studies have incorporated and combined qualitative and quantitative components. For example, in examining the ethnic identity of African and Mexican American adolescents, Phinney and Devich-Navarro (1997) used interview data to identify three patterns of ethnic/ American identication (blended biculturalism; alternating biculturalism; separated from American culture). In quantitative analyses, scales typically used to measure ethnic identity validated the qualitative analysis. Finally, themes from the qualitative interviews were used to provide rich descriptions of what it means to be bicultural or separated. Studies such as this provide good examples of the advances that can be gained from conducting qualitative research with adolescent samples. University-community, and interdisciplinary collaborations will increase in number as developmental scholars pursue ways to solve the problems of youth and improve the probability of their healthy futures. The way in which most developmental research has been conducted has contributed to gaps in public awareness, youth programming, policy making, and research evidence. Academics from single disciplines who investigate issues relevant to youth programming and policy expend substantial effort to establish informal, often short-lived collaborations with schools or occasionally community programmes. At best, ndings are reported back to collaborators and are published in academic journals. Theory and the knowledge generated only gradually affect general beliefs and social change through the education of students in universities who become involved in efforts to promote youth well-being or through media efforts to inform the public following crises involving young people. There is also a knowledge gap in the wisdom of practice. Innovative programming often fails to incorporate evidence of successful strategies and knowledge about the changing contexts in which children and youth are developing. Such knowledge could not only increase the effectiveness of programmatic activities but could also improve the quality of programme evaluations and of their advocacy and programmefunding decisions. Programming in several areas relevant to youth, cooperative education efforts, research collaborations, and policy decisions have suffered from inadequate access to research evidence. Examples of these problems include: the application of adult disease models of chemical dependency to the prevention and treatment of smoking, drug, and alcohol use in adolescence despite lack of outcome data to support their effectiveness with adolescents (Kellam &Anthony, 1998); the proliferation of youth programmes that offer services but do not promote youth competence, empowerment, and involvement (Fetterman, Kafterian, & Wandersman, 1996); and failure to address contextual factors that limit or enhance youth well-being (Leadbeater & Way, 1996). Gaps in knowledge can be addressed by cross-discipline and cross-professional communication and collaboration. Models for action research have begun to emerge that specify the principles for collaborations among researchers and institutions or individuals who will use the results (Lerner & Miller, 1993; Small, 1996; Weinberg & Erickson, 1996). Such collaborations will inuence the relevance of questions asked, increase commitment to programme implementation, provide a more complete picture of how programmes work, and make available a context for the application of ndings. Collaborative research strategies with a wide community basis of support and interdisciplinary expertise also have the potential to enhance the scientic quality of research through the use of randomised and longitudinal designs to evaluate interventions, access to more representative samples, and the creation of possibilities for investigations of complex questions (e.g., at individual and neighbourhood levels) (Kellam, Ling, Merisca, Brown, & Ialongo, 1998). Conclusion On the horizon of this new millennium it is possible to see the advances in knowledge that will be made by researchers in collaboration with those who have a stake in the healthy development of adolescents. We conclude with one observation that is all too often overlooked. That is, by and large, youth have been seen as more the objects of research and intervention rather than as stakeholders in the research process. Bibby and Posterski (1992, p. 301) argued that ‘‘young people in the 1990s do not see themselves as agents of change. They are like mirrors on the walls of society. Their attitudes and behavior mainly reect the status quo. They have not been able to carve out much of a world that is uniquely their own. Distinctiveness has eluded them’’. If youth do not see themselves as agents of change, it may indeed be because the mirrors of society have not reected or valued their agency as participants in it. We have been preoccupied with creating services for rather than with youth. Mechanisms for involving young people in setting priorities for research questions and in disseminating and applying research ndings can be created through youth advisory groups and youth community-action programmes. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL DEVELOPMENT, 2000, 24 (3), 289–294 The benets of viewing youth as a resource rather than merely the focus of research concern and programming have yet to be fully explored. By involving youth as collaborators in the processes of research, programme development, and social policy construction, piecemeal solutions to their problems may be avoided, and a focus on their potentials could be realised. Manuscript received August 1999 Revised manuscript received February 2000 References The Alan Guttmacher Institute (1994). Sex and America’s teenagers. New York: The Alan Guttmacher Institute. Alsaker, F.D., & Flammer, A. (1999). The adolescent experience: European and American adolescents in the 1990s. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. Arnett, J.J. (1994). Are college students adults? Their conceptions of the transition to adulthood. Journal of Adult Development, 1, 213–224. Arnett, J.J. (in press). 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