News Release 30 October 2001 JAMAICA: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS July 2001 & April to July 2001 The current account of the balance of payments recorded a surplus of US$3.1MN for July 2001, in contrast to the deficit of US$9.9MN recorded for July 2000. This out-turn was influenced by improvements on the income and current transfers sub-accounts, as the trade and services balances deteriorated relative to July 2000. Merchandise Trade The trade deficit widened by US$19.7MN to US$131.2MN for July 2001, relative to July 2000. This deterioration reflected the combined effect of a US$13.6MN expansion in payments for imports, and a decline of US$6.1MN in earnings from exports. The increase in the value of imports mainly reflected an expansion of US$15.1MN in capital goods imports, which was attributable to higher spending on the category “other machinery”, in particular telephone and telegraphic equipment, and computers. In addition, consumer goods imports increased by US$9.1MN. The decline in the value of exports was largely due reductions in earnings of US$5.4MN from non-traditional exports, particularly garments, as well as a contraction of US$3.7MN in alumina exports. Services The surplus on the services account for the review month declined by US$2.7MN relative to July 2000, reflecting a contraction in net travel receipts and higher payments for transportation services, associated with the increased flow of imports. Income The deficit on the income account narrowed by US$9.5MN in the review month, relative to July 2000. A decline of US$7.7MN in net investment income payments, arising mainly from lower imputed profit remittances of the direct investment companies, was largely responsible for the improvement. Current Transfers For July 2001, net receipts from current transfers grew by US$25.9MN to US$80.0MN relative to the comparable month of 2000. The improvement was attributed to an increase of US$25.6MN in net private transfers. Capital and Financial Accounts Respective deficits of US$1.1MN and US$2.0MN were recorded on the capital and financial accounts for July 2001. Within the financial account, net outflows of US$24.1MN were recorded for official transactions, while net private investments inflows amounted to US$7.7MN. The surpluses on the net private investment account and the current account were insufficient to finance the deficit on the capital and official investment accounts. Consequently, there was a draw down of US$14.4MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica for the month. For the period April to July 2001, the current account deficit widened by US$27.1MN to US$84.5MN, relative to the deficit recorded for the corresponding period in 2000. This reflected a widening of the deficit on the goods account, which outweighed improvements on the services, income and current transfers accounts. Merchandise Trade The deficit on the trade account amounted to US$473.4MN over the review period, a deterioration of US$48.7MN relative to the deficit recorded for April to July 2000. This resulted from the combined effect of an increase of US$36.5MN in payments for imports and a contraction of US$11.9MN in earnings from exports. Higher payments of US$23.2MN, US$21.7MN and US$27.4MN on consumer goods, capital goods and free zone purchases, respectively, were largely responsible for the growth in imports. The increase in both consumer and capital goods mainly reflected growth in the imports for the telecommunication sector. In the main, lower earnings of US$30.0MN from non-traditional exports contributed to the decline in exports. Services The services account recorded a surplus of US$238.9MN for the review period, US$8.8MN above the surplus recorded for the period April to July 2000. This performance was due largely to an improvement of US$13.9MN in net travel receipts, reflective of a 1.7 per cent increase in the arrival of foreign nationals stopover visitors. Income There was a marginal improvement of US$0.8MN on the income account in the review period relative to April to July 2000, due to increased inflows of US$7.3MN in net compensation of employees. Higher net investment outflows arising from increased interest payments by the Government of Jamaica, and the imputed profits of the direct investment companies served to offset some of this increase. Current Transfers For the review period, net receipts from current transfers grew by US$11.7MN to US$290.8MN, relative to April to July 2000. An increase of US$58.8MN in net private sector transfers compensated for the nonrepetition of official receipts associated with the sale of cellular licenses over the same period in 2000. Capital & Financial Accounts The capital account recorded a deficit of US$5.7MN for the period April to July 2001, a deterioration of US$4.6MN relative to the comparable period in 2000, while the financial account registered a surplus of US$90.2MN, US$31.7MN above the surplus recorded for the period April to July 2000. Within the financial account, net official inflows of US$308.9MN relating to Government foreign borrowing, and private investment inflows of US$21.1MN, were more than sufficient to finance the deficit on the current account and facilitate a build-up of US$239.8MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica. At the end of July 2001, the Bank’s gross reserves was US$1598.1 million, representing approximately 27.0 weeks of goods imports or 18.5 weeks of imports of goods and services. The following table shows the balance of payments for July 2000, July 2001 and for the periods April to July 2000 and April to July 2001. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SUMMARY (US$MN) 1/ July 2000 2/ July 2001 1/ Apr-July 2000/01 2/ Apr-July 2001/02 -9.9 -30.2 -111.5 125.8 237.3 3.1 -52.6 -131.2 119.7 250.9 -57.4 -194.9 -425.0 530.9 955.9 -84.5 -234.5 -473.4 519.0 992.4 b. SERVICES BALANCE Transportation Travel Other Services 81.3 -19.3 128.2 -27.6 78.6 -21.9 126.2 -25.7 230.1 -79.6 401.1 -91.4 238.9 -81.3 414.9 -94.7 B. INCOME Compensation of employees Investment Income -33.8 6.2 -40.0 -24.3 8.5 -32.8 -141.6 12.6 -154.2 -140.8 19.9 -160.7 C. CURRENT TRANSFERS Official Private 54.1 4.2 49.9 80.0 4.5 75.5 279.1 71.8 207.3 290.8 24.7 266.1 2. CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT A. CAPITAL ACCOUNT a. Capital Transfers Official Private 9.9 -0.7 -0.7 0.6 -1.3 -3.1 -1.1 -1.1 0.0 -1.1 57.4 -1.1 -1.1 3.8 -4.9 84.5 -5.7 -5.7 0.2 -5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 -25.8 68.6 -32.2 0.0 -2.0 -24.1 7.7 14.4 0.0 58.5 -78.5 222.2 -85.2 0.0 90.2 308.9 21.1 -239.8 0.0 1. CURRENT ACCOUNT A. GOODS and SERVICES a. GOODS BALANCE Exports (f.o.b.) Imports (f.o.b.) b. Acq./disposal of non-prod. non-fin'l assets B. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT Other official investment Other private investment 3/ Reserves Govt. Reserves 1/ Revised 2/ Provisional 3/ Includes errors & omissions BANK OF JAMAICA