News Release 24 December 2001 JAMAICA: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS September 2001 & April to September 2001 The current account of the balance of payments recorded a deficit of US$60.1MN for September 2001relative to the deficit of US$59.9MN recorded for September 2000. This out-turn was attributed to higher net payments on the services and income accounts, which outweighed improvements on the merchandise trade and current transfers accounts. Merchandise Trade The deficit on the merchandise trade account narrowed by US$37.8MN to US$104.8MN for September 2001, relative to September 2000. This performance reflected the combined effect of a US$20.2MN increase in earnings from exports and a US$17.6MN contraction in payments for imports. An expansion of US$25.7MN in earnings from the major traditional exports was, attributed mainly to increased earnings from alumina and bauxite exports was largely responsible for the growth in the value of exports. The decline in payments for imports emanated from respective contractions of US$8.0MN and US$7.1MN in spending on consumer goods and raw material imports. Services The surplus on the services account for the review month declined by US$10.9MN relative to September 2000, influenced mainly by a falloff in net travel receipts. There was a 21.9 per cent decline in total visitor arrivals for the month, while net earnings declined by 12.5 per cent. Income Relative to September 2000, the deficit on the income account widened by US$37.5MN to US$38.8MN in the review month. The growth in net income payments was accounted for by higher net investment income outflows of US$36.9MN, largely related to the imputed profit remittances of the direct investment companies, as well as, an increase in official debt payments. Current Transfers Net receipts from current transfers grew by US$9.4MN to US$72.4MN for September 2001, relative to the comparable month of 2000. This out-turn was influenced by increased net inflows of US$9.3MN to the private sector. Capital and Financial Accounts A deficit of US$1.2MN was recorded on the capital account for September 2001, relative to the surplus of US$0.2MN reported for September 2000. In contrast, the financial account registered a surplus of US$61.3MN, US$2.6MN above what obtained for September 2000. Within the financial account, net private investments amounting to US$18.9MN was insufficient to finance net official outflows of US$19.8MN, as well as, the deficit on the current account. Consequently there was a draw-down of US$62.2MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica for the month. For the period April to September 2001, the current account deficit widened by US$81.1MN to US$218.8MN, relative to the corresponding period in 2000. With the exception of the current transfers, all the sub-accounts contributed to the widening of the deficit on the current account. Merchandise Trade The trade deficit for the review period deteriorated by US$46.8MN to US$710.8MN relative to the deficit recorded for April to September 2000. This performance reflected a US$55.1MN increase in payments for imports, which outweighed the US$8.3MN improvement in earnings from exports. Accounting for the growth in imports were, higher payments of US$40.3MN, US$22.9MN and US$5.9MN for capital goods, free zone purchases and consumer goods, respectively. The increase in capital goods imports was attributed to higher expenditure on communications equipment for the growing telecommunications sector. The increase in the value of exports stemmed mainly from respective expansions of US$30.5MN and US$27.6MN for bauxite and alumina exports. Garment exports declined by US$28.2MN over the review period. Services The services account recorded a surplus of US$296.8MN for the period April to September 2001, a decline of US$4.5MN relative to the comparable period of 2000. Accounting for this decline was a deterioration of US$17.1MN in gross travel receipts, which was partly countered by a US$8.1MN contraction in expenditure by Jamaicans traveling abroad. Income The income account recorded a deficit of US$235.1MN for the review period, a deterioration of US$64.1MN, relative to the deficit recorded for April to September 2000. This performance reflected higher interest payments on Government of Jamaica foreign debt, as well as, increased imputed profit remittances by the direct investment companies. Current Transfers For April to September 2001, net receipts from current transfers amounted to US$430.3MN, US$34.3MN above what was recorded for April to September 2000. An increase of US$81.5MN in net private sector transfers compensated for the contraction of US$47.2MN in official inflows. The decline in official transfers was related to the non-repetition of flows associated with the sale of cellular licenses in the corresponding period in 2000. Capital & Financial Accounts The capital account recorded a deficit of US$7.9MN for the period April to September 2001, relative to the deficit of US$2.0MN recorded for the comparable period in 2000. In contrast, the financial account registered a surplus of US$226.7MN, an improvement of US$87.0MN relative to the surplus recorded for the period April to September 2000. Within the financial account, net official inflows of US$269.5MN relating to Government foreign borrowing, and net inflows of US$207.4MN associated with private investments, were more than sufficient to finance the deficit on the current and capital accounts. As a consequence, there was a build-up of US$250.4MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica. At the end of September 2001, the Bank’s gross reserves was US$1605.9 million, representing approximately 27.7 weeks of goods imports or 18.8 weeks of imports of goods and services. The following table shows the balance of payments for September 2000, September 2001 and for the fiscal periods April to September 2000/01 and April to September 2001/02. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SUMMARY (US$M) 1/ 2/ September September 2000 2001 1. CURRENT ACCOUNT A. GOODS and SERVICES a. GOODS BALANCE Exports (f.o.b.) Imports (f.o.b.) 1/ Apr-Sep 2000/01 2/ Apr-Sep 2001/02 -58.9 -120.6 -142.6 104.8 247.4 -60.1 -93.7 -104.8 125.0 229.8 -137.7 -362.7 -664.0 770.2 1434.2 -218.8 -414.0 -710.8 778.5 1489.3 b. SERVICES BALANCE Transportation Travel Other Services 22.0 -24.9 64.7 -17.8 11.1 -24.0 49.2 -14.1 301.3 -124.0 566.6 -141.3 296.8 -129.8 557.6 -131.0 B. INCOME Compensation of employees Investment Income -1.3 9.4 -10.7 -38.8 8.8 -47.6 -171.0 30.1 -201.1 -235.1 39.9 -275.0 C. CURRENT TRANSFERS Official Private 63.0 2.8 60.2 72.4 2.9 69.5 396.0 78.4 317.6 430.3 31.2 399.1 2. CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT A. CAPITAL ACCOUNT a. Capital Transfers Official 58.9 0.2 0.2 1.4 60.1 -1.2 -1.2 0.0 137.7 -2.0 -2.0 5.3 218.8 -7.9 -7.9 0.3 -1.2 -1.2 -7.3 -8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.7 -3.7 62.5 -0.1 0.0 61.3 -19.8 18.9 62.2 0.0 139.7 126.0 245.7 -232.0 0.0 226.7 269.7 207.4 -250.4 0.0 Private b. Acq./disposal of non-prod. non-fin'l assets B. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT Other official investment Other private investment 3/ Reserves Govt. Reserves 1/ Revised 2/ Provisional 3/ Includes errors & omissions BANK OF JAMAICA