News Release 30 November 2001 JAMAICA: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS August 2001 & April to August 2001 For August 2001, the current account of the balance of payments recorded a deficit of US$48.9MN, relative to the deficit of US$21.4MN recorded for August 2000. The deterioration in the review month was attributed to higher net payments on the merchandise trade and income accounts, which outweighed improvements on the services and current transfers accounts. Merchandise Trade Relative to August 2000, the deficit on the merchandise trade account worsened by US$24.1MN to US$120.5MN. This performance reflected a US$14.4MN expansion in payments for imports, and a decline of US$9.7MN in earnings from exports. The growth in the value of imports emanated from respective expansions of US$17.8MN and US$8.8MN in spending on capital goods and raw materials, as the value of consumer goods imports contracted by US$9.3MN. Higher purchases of communication equipment and construction materials accounted for the bulk of the growth in capital goods imports, while additional spending on other raw materials was responsible for the increase in the raw materials category. The contraction in the value of exports was influenced mainly by a reduction of US$8.3MN in earnings from free zone reflecting the continued decline in garment exports. In the major traditional category, earnings from bauxite exports increased by US$4.6MN, but this was offset by reductions of US$5.1MN and US$1.1MN in alumina and banana exports, respectively. Services An improvement of US$1.7MN was recorded on the services account relative to August 2000 due largely to a narrowing of the deficit by US$9.8MN on the “other services” account. There was a reduction in net travel receipts, influenced by a fall of 8.1 per cent in visitor arrivals for the month. Income For August 2001, the deficit on the income account worsened by US$20.8MN, relative to August 2000. This deterioration was attributed to higher net investment income payments of US$23.9MN, relating to the imputed profit remittances of the direct investment companies, as well as, an increase in official debt payments. Current Transfers Net receipts from current transfers grew by US$15.7MN to US$69.6MN for August 2001, relative to the comparable month of 2000. Inflows of US$16.1MN to the private sector accounted for the improvement. Capital and Financial Accounts The capital account recorded a deficit of US$1.0MN for August 2001, relative to the deficit of US$1.1MN recorded for August 2000. In contrast, the financial account registered a surplus of US$49.9MN, an improvement of US$27.4MN relative to August 2000. Within the financial account, net private investments amounting to US$142.1MN were more than sufficient to finance net official outflows of US$19.4MN, as well as, the deficit on the current account and facilitated a build-up of US$72.8MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica. For the period April to August 2001, the current account deficit expanded by US$62.5MN to US$141.3MN, relative to the corresponding period in 2000. This out-turn reflected a widening of the deficit on the goods and income accounts, which outweighed improvements on the services and current transfers accounts. Merchandise Trade The deficit on the trade account widened by US$76.0MN, the combined effect of a US$60.2MN increase in payments for imports and a decline of US$15.8MN in earnings from exports. Accounting for the growth in payments for imports were increased payments of US$39.4MN, US$28.3MN and US$13.9MN on capital goods, free zone purchases and consumer goods, respectively. The reduction in the value of exports stemmed mainly from free zone activities as merchandise exports grew marginally by US$0.7MN over the review period. There was growth of US$23.6MN in the value of bauxite exports, driven by the full resumption at the Gramercy processing plant, but this was largely offset by a US$22.8MN contraction for non-traditional exports mainly attributed to the continued downturn in the garment industry. Services For the period April to August 2001, the services account recorded a surplus of US$287.8MN, an improvement of US$8.5MN relative to the comparable period of 2000. This outturn largely reflected improvements in the travel and “other services” sub-sectors. There was a US$10.2MN contraction in expenditure by Jamaicans traveling abroad, which offset the decline of US$2.3MN in gross travel inflows. Income The deficit on the income account widened by US$20.0MN for the review period, influenced mainly by interest payments on the Government of Jamaica foreign debt. Current Transfers Net receipts from current transfers grew by US$25.0MN to US$358.0MN for the review period, relative to April to August 2000. The slower growth in current transfers was influenced by reduction in official inflows, which resulted from the non-repetition of flows associated with the issue of cellular licenses over the same period in 2000. Capital & Financial Accounts For the period April to August 2001, the capital account recorded a deficit of US$6.7MN, relative to a deficit of US$2.2MN recorded for the similar period in 2000/01. The financial account, in contrast, registered a surplus of US$148.0MN, US$67.0MN above the surplus recorded for the period April to August 2000/01. Within the financial account, net official inflows of US$289.5MN relating to Government foreign borrowing, and private investment inflows of US$171.1MN, were more than sufficient to finance the deficit on the current and capital accounts and facilitate a build-up of US$312.6MN in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica. At the end of August 2001, the Bank’s gross reserves was US$1670.9 million, representing approximately 28.2 weeks of goods imports or 19.3 weeks of imports of goods and services. The following table shows the balance of payments for August 2000, August 2001 and for the fiscal periods April to August 2000/01 and April to August 2001/02. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SUMMARY (US$MN) 1/ August 2000 2/ August 2001 1/ Apr-Aug 2000/01 2/ Apr-Aug 2001/02 1. CURRENT ACCOUNT A. GOODS and SERVICES a. GOODS BALANCE Exports (f.o.b.) Imports (f.o.b.) -21.4 -47.2 -96.4 134.5 230.9 -48.9 -69.6 -120.5 124.8 245.3 -78.8 -242.1 -521.4 665.4 1186.8 -141.3 -309.6 -597.4 649.6 1247.0 b. SERVICES BALANCE Transportation Travel Other Services 49.2 -19.5 100.8 -32.1 50.9 -22.9 96.1 -22.3 279.3 -99.1 501.9 -123.5 287.8 -104.8 509.5 -116.9 B. INCOME Compensation of employees Investment Income -28.1 8.1 -36.2 -48.9 11.2 -60.1 -169.7 20.7 -190.4 -189.7 31.1 -220.8 C. CURRENT TRANSFERS Official Private 53.9 3.8 50.1 69.6 3.4 66.2 333.0 75.6 257.4 358.0 28.1 329.9 2. CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT A. CAPITAL ACCOUNT a. Capital Transfers Official Private 21.4 -1.1 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 48.9 -1.0 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 78.8 -2.2 -2.2 3.9 -6.1 141.3 -6.7 -6.7 0.3 -7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.5 208.2 -39.0 -146.7 0.0 49.9 -19.4 142.1 -72.8 0.0 81.0 129.7 183.2 -231.9 0.0 148.0 289.5 171.1 -312.6 0.0 b. Acq./disposal of non-prod. non-fin'l assets B. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT Other official investment Other private investment 3/ Reserves Govt. Reserves 1/ Revised 2/ Provisional 3/ Includes errors & omissions BANK OF JAMAICA