2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The informational content of Annual General Meetings in civil-law countries Monica Martinez-Blasco, IQS School of Management-Universitat Ramon Llull* Josep Garcia-Blandon, IQS School of Management-Universitat Ramon Llull* JosepMªArgiles-Bosch, Universitat de Barcelona** *Associate Professors of Finance IQS School of Management-Universitat Ramon Llull. Via Augusta 390, 08017 Barcelona, Spain. monica.martinez @iqs.edu josep.garcia@iqs.edu * * Associate Professor of Accounting Facultatd’EconòmiquesiEmpresarials-Universitat de Barcelona. Av. Diagonal 690, 08034 Barcelona, Spain. josep.argiles@ub.edu June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 1 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 ABSTRACT The Annual General Meeting (AGM) constitutes the most important corporate event. Nevertheless, its role as an efficient instrument for corporate governance has recently come under increasing scrutiny and numerous proposals for reform have emerged in as a result. The purpose of this paper is to assess the informative content of AGM in civillaw countries. Previous literature investigation information content of the AGM is primary based in two common-law countries (the U.K. and the U.S). Given the importance of a country’s legal tradition, we cannot assume on a priori basis that results obtained in countries whose legal tradition is based on the common-law as the U.S. and the U.K. can be directly extrapolated to countries with a different legal tradition. To carry out this research, we analyse the role of the AGM France, Germany, Japan and Spain. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 2 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference 1. ISBN : 9780974211428 INTRODUCTION In this paper we focus our attention on a main mechanismto guarantee good corporate governance, the Annual General Meeting (AGM). There are four lines of research to approach the AGM, [Catasús 2007, p.169]: 1) Studies that examine the informational content of the AGM; 2) The relation of AGM with corporate governance issues, like voting practices and participation at the event; 3) Critical historical analysis of specific events occurred at the AGM; and 4) Sociological theories to the consideration of the meetings between investors and managers. In this paper, we analyze the AGM and its informational content in countries with different legal tradition, increasing the already existing literature that followsthe first line of research listed above. During the AGM the corporate executives address not only shareholders, but also the financial markets. From a legal standpoint, the AGM constitutes a main corporate governance instrument that enables shareholders tolimit the possibility of expropriation by managers. There are certain decisions that can only be approved at the AGM, as for example, the election of the Board of Directors, and important managerial announcements, usually concerning the managers’ views about the company’s prospects, are often made. Stratling (2003) defines the following main functions of the AGM: 1) To inform shareholders on the company's financial results and on major business decisions that have been taken; 2) To obtain shareholders’ approval of the decisions that do not rely on the managerial discretion of the Board; and 3) To provide a forum for discussion between managers and shareholders on the past performance of the company and its future actions and prospects.Two of these functions involvethe transmission of relevant information from managers to shareholders. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 3 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Despite the large amount of research to measure the impact of corporate events on the value of the company, perhaps one of the most important events that companies are facing each year necessarily, the Annual General Meetings (AGM), has attracted little attention to researchers. At that annual meeting the shareholders of the companies have the opportunity to demand accountability to the president of the company for his management thus becoming this way an important tool of corporate governance. The AGM take place mandatorily in Spain once a year, before the end of the first semester. During the meeting the president requests to shareholders the approval of management reports and the consent to certain business decisions beyond their power, providing this way information to the financial market about the strategies that the board intends to follow. An AGM makes available to analysts and investors a lot of qualitative and quantitative information to which the market is expected to react by changing the price and trading volume of the shares of the company in question (Kim and Verrecchia, 1991). Regarding the empirical investigation we have found only four articles that have studied this event and all of them have focused their studies on companies listed in AngloSaxon indexes. Firth (1981) conducts its research with a sample of 120 companies listed on the UK stock market using weekly data without being able to spot prices or abnormal trading volumes, concluding that the AGM do not seem to provide a higher level of information than average. Brickley (1985) conducted his investigation with a random sample of 100 firms listed in CRSP for the period 1978-82 to analyze the profitability during the days around the event. The author finds positive abnormal returns around the shareholder meetings and therefore the results are consistent with the ones obtained years earlier by Kalay and Loewenstein. Ten years later, Rippington and Taffler (1995) perform an analysis of the impact of the information provided by four types of corporate June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 4 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 events relevant, being one of them the AGM and using daily market data from 337 UK companies listed on London Stock Exchange. In their analysis, the authors take into account the size of the companies, separating from its original sample all the companies with a capitalization of less than 10 million pounds. The authors conclude that the AGM seem to convey little information to the market, even for smaller companies. Finally Olibe (2002) investigates around the British companies traded in the NYSE and Amex indexes between 1994 and 1998 analyzing the returns and negotiated volumes around the AGM dates. In this case, abnormal volumes and abnormal returns were found on the days of the AGM, however the total magnitude of the negotiated volumes was significantly low, what suggests that only a few US investors find the AGM informative. Olibe (2002) concludes his article stating that a possible limitation of the results is given by the fact that they are focused only on the U.S. stock market so the results cannot be generalized. In this regard, La Porta et al. (1998) argue that the legal basis-governing shareholders' rights are central for the corporate governance mechanisms and that these are not the same in all countries. As the authors conclude, the degree of shareholder protection is much higher in Anglo-Saxon countries than in countries governed by civil law, as in the case of Spain, so we cannot assume that AGM have the same effect depending on the legal family to which those countries belong. On the other hand, the first investigation of the issue in a civil-law country is found in Garcia-Blandon et al. (2011a, 2011b) where the authors uses daily data and two different methodologies to assess the informative content of AGM in Spain. Both methodologies show that AGM in Spain has no significant effects either in returns, volatility or trading volume indicating that no relevant information is released to the financial market during these meetings. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 5 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 To assess for the informative content of the AGM in civil-law countrieswe empirically test whether there are differences in the impact of AGM on returns, returns volatility and trading volume on a sample of civil-law countries. Abnormal price changes [Beaver, 1968] and abnormal trading volume [Kim and Verrecchia, 1991] are the investor’s response to disclosure information, thus we expect abnormal results and trading volume whenever AGM is translating new information to the financial markets. This paper contributes to the extant researchin international corporate governance in by addressingthe release of value-relevant information during AGMfor the first time in France, Germany and Japan, both of them civil-law countries. The remainder of the chapter follows as: in the next section we discuss the methodology and data set used, which results are discussed in section 3.Finally, in section 4 we present our main conclusions. 2. METHODOLOGY In subsection 2.1 and 2.2 we present the sample and dataset used in our research and the methodology we propose to address the informational content of AGM. 2.1Sample and Dataset To accomplish our goal, we examine abnormal price andtrading volume around AGM in France, Germany, Japan and Spain, from January 2005 to June 2010. Our sample is formed by the most representative companies of each stock market. The daily trading data has been obtained from Thompson-Reuters 3000Xtra database, and information about AGM dates has been hand collected from each country stock market regulatory organism, in a first approach. When the date of the AGM was missing in our primary it has been obtained from the company corporate web page. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 6 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 2.2Methodology We have followed the Brown and Warner (1985) (BW) event study methodology to assess the information usefulness of AGM in countries different legal tradition. We have tested the aggregate market’s average reaction to the information released by testing the change in pricethroughtwo different measures: abnormal and absolute value abnormal returns. Additionally, we have also tested the sum of all individual investor’s tradesaround AGM dates by analyzing the change of trading volume. The three indicators of the market reaction of the release of information have been performed individually for each one of the six countries belonging to our sample. We compute abnormal returns (AR) as the difference between actual and normal returns, whilenormal returnsaredefined as the expected returnwithout conditioning on the event. The return on security i over period tis defined as: Rit= E ( Rit Xt ) + ARit [1] it Where,Rit, E ( Rit Xt ) it and ARitare the actual, normal, andabnormal returns, respectively.Xt is the conditioning information set for the normal return model.We compute expected or normal returns by using the market model, thus we assume that normal return is given by a linear relationship between the stock return and the market return. E ( Rit Xt )it = ai + bi Rmt [2] æ CountryIndext ö Rmt = ln ç ÷ è CountryIndext-1 ø a and b estimated parameters [3] June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 7 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 We estimate the security normal returns through a pre-event period of 151 days starting on day -170 to day -20 being 0 the day of the AGM. We have not limited our research to the day of the event but also we have also examinedan 11 days event window [-3, +3]. After estimating daily average abnormal returns for each firm, the average abnormal return for each country whole sample, inday t (AARt) has been calculated: 1 N AARt = å ARit N i=1 [4] The first null hypothesis states: Hypothesis 1: The average abnormal returns will not be affected bythe AGM. For each country, a large number of events from different firms are studied. Unless all the companies experience the same positive or negative reaction to the AGM, positive and negative abnormal returns would cancel each other out, which would implies that we would not be able to detectchanges in price.To avoid this problem we have also examined the stock price volatility around AGM, measure as the absolute value of abnormal returns, and then we have proceeded similarly as with abnormal returns. The only difference arises in how abnormal returns are computed: when abnormal returns are computed in absolute values, they cannot be directly used to perform a parametric test, because the null hypothesis, that a sum of absolute values is zero, will be rejected. Therefore we correct absolute returns by the mean value of the pre-event period. Our second null hypothesis states: Hypothesis 2: The volatility of stock returns will not be affected by the AGM. When information is released to the market the investor’s reaction could be seen in both price and trading volume changes, [Kim and Verrecchia, 1991]. High trading volumes June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 8 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 around a company event would be associated with the release of new information, [Kyle, 1985]. Following Menendez (2005), we define abnormal trading volume, for stock i on day t as: AVit = Vit -1 104 æ -20 ö 1 ç å Vit + å Vit ÷ x è t=-94 ø 150 t=30 [5] Where, Vit is the traded volume in euros of stock i on day t . As we did with returns, once abnormal daily volumes have been computed for each firm, the average abnormal volume on day t (AAV) is calculated as: AAVi = 1 N å AVit N i=1 [6] Our third hypothesis states: Hypothesis 3: The volume of shares traded will not be affected by the AGM. The three null hypotheses have been tested through anon-parametric test. Then for every day t we calculate the average rank of all the firms studied and compare it to the average rank under the null hypothesis of no abnormal returns: ( K i = 0.5 +T i/2) m( K i ) 1 N [7] N (K i 1 i0 Ki ) [8] Next we calculate the standard deviation s(K) of the set of m( K i ) for all the combined period. s( K ) 20 (m( K )) i 90 June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK i 2 / Ti [9] 9 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The set of m( K i ) is standardized: z (t ) m( K i ) s( K ) [10] 3. RESULTS 3.1 Change in Price Panel 1 and panel 2 in table 1 shows that, for the shareholder meeting dateallows us to reject the two null hypotheses concerning price changes at 1% level in Germany. The calculations show positive and significant price changes during the AGM date but also a sever correction the day after, with a significant increase in volatility and a -2.2% negative abnormal return on t=+1. The return reaction lasts for several days. Panels 1 and 2 in table 2 presents AAR and AAAR surrounding the AGM dates in Japan. As it can be seen, Corrado’s test do not detect a significant reaction in price changes during the AGM celebration in Japan, thus the two null hypotheses concerning price changescannot be rejected. Therefore, the celebration of the AGM is no translating, in average, any value-relevant information to the financial market in the same day or in days surrounding the event. What it can be also seen in table 2 is a negative and significant volatility the days after the AGM what may confirm the lack of information during the shareholders meeting. This extraordinary low level of volatility phenomena is detected on all days belonging to the event window. It isinteresting to compare the Japanese and German results. Besides the two countries belong to the same legal tradition, donot exist any similarity between AR and AAR in Germany and Japan. Whereas in Germany the results show an average market reaction to the AGM celebration, in Japan nothing indicates that information is released. In that case, we can affirm that particular countries characteristics are more important than legal tradition. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 10 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 [Insert table 1] [Insert table 2] France and Spain price changesresults are reported on table 3 and table 4(panel 1 and 2), respectively. We find a lack of significance in both AAR and AAAR on the AGM day in both countries, thus the two null hypotheses of price changes cannot be rejected. Both countries show the same results for the AGM day, but a closer look to the days surrounding the event makes arise quite significant differences. On one hand, in the French sample we cannot find any price anticipation to the meeting while in Spain we detect a positive change in returns on t=-3 and t=-1, and a negative change in volatility on t=-3. On the other hand, a later reaction to the event is found in France, where negative returnsare found on t=+2with an above-average volatility on t=+2. This reaction is not found in Spain, where the days after the AGM do not seem to be different to any other day. [Insert table 3] [Insert table 4] 3.2 Change in volume The behaviour of trading volumes around the AGM dates in Germany and Japan are reported in panel 3 in table 1 and table 2, jointly with the Corrado rank test. Similarly as reported in price changes previous results, we have not found a similar behaviour June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 11 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 between the two countries. Shareholder meetings do not seen to have any effect on stock trading volumes in Japan, where the results show a systematic lower-average trading activity, besides no significant, within the event window. Consequently, the null hypothesis number three stating that trading volumes will no be affected by the AGM cannot be rejected for Japan. In the contrary, Germany results show significant trading volumes for almost all days before the AGM within the event window, for the AGM day, and for the day after. Therefore, the null hypothesis number three concerning trading volumes is rejected for Germany.We can conclude that investors review their portfolio based on the information release previous, and during the AGM. Analysing France trading volume response to the AGM celebration, the t-statistic andCorrado rank test confirm the existence of above-average trading activity in both the AGM day and the day after. The null hypothesis that states that trading volumes are not affected by the AGM celebration is rejected in the French case. The AGM celebration in Spain does not affect trading volumes. Therefore we cannot reject the third null hypothesis in Spain. The results are in line with previous investigations [Garcia-Blandon et al. (2011b)] that find no abnormal trading activity in Spain during the AGM. An abnormal trading volume is detected in day t=+2 as a late reaction to the information realised during the event. 4. CONCLUSIONS For the civil-law countries, idiosyncratic characteristics of each country are more important than the legal origin. Only in Germany, the financial market in average find the AGM informative, whereas in Japan, France and Spain the AGM is not releasing any value-relevant information. Although the common characteristic of the three latest countries is the inexistent reaction of the financial market, the main differences among June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 12 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 them arise during the days surrounding the AGM: the market anticipates the AGM in Spain, France reacts late to the shareholders meeting, and Japan show any king of reaction within the event window.With the only exception of Japan and Spain, the invertors of the remaining countries, independently of the legal origin, find the AGM informative and they review their portfolio according to the information released. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 13 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 References Beaver, W. (1968). The information content of annual earnings announcements.Journal of Accounting Research, 6, 67-92. Brickley, J. (1985). Interpreting Common Stock Returns around Proxy Statement Disclosures and Annual Shareholder Meetings, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25 (3), 343-349. Brown, S., Warner, J. (1985). Using Daily Stock Returns: The Case of Event Studies. Journal of Financial Economics, 14, 3-31. Catasus, B., Johed, G. (2007). Annual general meetings-rituals of closure or ideal speech situations?A dual analysis.Scandinavian Journal of Management, 23, (2), 168190. Corrado, C. (1989). A nonparametric test for abnormal security-price performance in event studies.Journal of Financial Economics, 23, 385–95. Firth, M. (1981).The relative information content of the release of financial results data by firms, Journal of Accounting Research, 19 (2), 521-529. Garcia-Blandon, J., Martinez-Blasco, M., Argiles-Bosch, J.M. (2011).The Role of Annual General Meetings in a Civil-Law Country. In Kose, J., Makhija, A.K. (Ed.), International Corporate Governance (Advances in Financial Economics, vol. 14.), pp. 87-108. UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited. Garcia-Blandon, J., Martinez-Blasco, M., Argiles-Bosch, J.M. (2011). Does the Annual General Meeting involve the release of relevant information in non-common law markets? Evidence from Spain.Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad. Forthcoming. Kim, O., Verrecchia, R. E. (1991). Trading Volume and Price Reactions to Public Announcements. Journal of Accounting Research, 29(2), 302-321. Kyle, A. (1985). Continuous auctions and insider trading, Econometrica, 53, 1315–35. La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., Vishny, R. (1998). Law and finance. Journal of PoliticalEconomy, 106, 1113-1155. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 14 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Menendez, S. (2005). Market valuation of the analysts’ recommendations: the Spanish stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 15, 509-518. Olibe, K.O. (2002). Theinformationcontent of anual general meetings: a price and trading volumeanalysis. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 11, 19-37. Rippington, F., Taffler, R. (1995).The information content of firm financial disclosures.Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 22 (3), 345-362. Stratling, R. (2003). General Meetings: A Dispensable Tool for Corporate Governance of Listed Companies?.Corporate Governance: An International Review, 11, 74-82. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 15 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Table 1 Daily average abnormal returns, absolute value abnormal returns, and abnormal volumes at annual general meeting dates in Germany Day AAR Corrado AAAR Corrado AAV Corrado -3 0.0030 2.0319* 0.0112 0.0053 0.0656 1.1341 -2 0.0006 0.6853 0.0143 1.0620 0.2143 2.1211* -1 0.0002 0.4929 0.0107 -0.1133 0.5782 4.1102** 0 0.0048 2.3325* 0.0146 2.1529* 1.1949 4.4522** 1 -0.0224 -6.766** 0.0274 5.966** 0.4047 3.7985** 2 -0.0013 -0.9228 0.0102 -0.0949 0.0700 0.9632 3 0.0000 -0.1052 0.0102 -0.9961 0.0871 1.0627 * significant at the 5% level. ** significant at the 1% level. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 16 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Table 2 Daily average abnormal returns, absolute value abnormal returns, and abnormal volumes at annual general meeting dates in Japan Day AAR Corrado AAAR Corrado AAV Corrado -3 -0.0013 -1.203 0.0089 -1.8544 -0.1796 -1.9055 -2 -0.0005 -0.335 0.0095 -1.5919 -0.1513 -1.5837 -1 0.0000 0.111 0.0102 -1.0350 -0.1240 -1.2826 0 0.0003 0.301 0.0091 -1.7156 -0.1441 -1.5441 1 -0.0007 -0.591 0.0084 -2.1094* -0.1105 -1.0269 2 -0.0015 -1.521 0.0090 -1.7981 -0.1455 -1.6087 3 0.0003 0.335 0.0084 -2.2594* -0.1721 -1.8349 * significant at the 5% level. ** significant at the 1% level. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 17 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Table 3 Daily average abnormal returns, absolute value abnormal returns, and abnormal volumes at annual general meeting dates in France Day AAR Corrado AAAR Corrado AAV Corrado -3 -0.0003 0.2340 0.0110 -0.4531 0.0298 -0.1390 -2 0.0023 0.8816 0.0110 -0.7224 0.0718 0.4458 -1 -0.0009 0.0104 -1.1578 0.1593 1.9176 0 0.0008 0.2694 0.0129 1.2912 0.3108 3.6745** 1 0.0010 0.5633 0.0117 0.2492 0.2179 2.6582** 2 -0.0036 -2.0299* 0.0146 2.2577* 0.1166 1.4262 3 -0.0009 -0.6068 0.0109 -0.2341 0.2421 1.5221 -0.0980 * significant at the 5% level. ** significant at the 1% level. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 18 2012 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Table 4 Daily average abnormal returns, absolute value abnormal returns, and abnormal volumes at annual general meeting dates in Spain Day AAR Corrado AAAR Corrado AAV Corrado -3 0.0018 2.0783* 0.0087 -2.3433* 0.0501 0.6482 -2 -0.0001 0.6551 0.0112 0.3954 0.0577 0.7411 -1 0.0019 2.730** 0.0111 0.2197 0.1102 1.5441 0 0.0004 0.3558 0.0116 0.9227 0.1257 1.3154 1 0.0006 0.0964 0.0104 -0.7821 0.0716 0.3527 2 0.0005 0.1663 0.0115 0.4042 0.1681 2.1613* 3 -0.0016 0.4569 0.1026 1.6133 -1.6693 0.0110 * significant at the 5% level. ** significant at the 1% level. June 27-28, 2012 Cambridge, UK 19