Our working hypothesis: Tomorrow will be like today only more so. Destination Unknown Higher Education institutions: Knowledge producers Knowledge synthesizers Distribution channels with three functions: Education Certification Socialization Destination Unknown Its a cliché to say that technology changes everything: the challenge is to figure what, how and how quickly. Technology is most easily adopted in areas of maximum control e.g. business transactions Companies come and go but educational institutions are remarkably robust. Destination Unknown Is technology good or evil? The computer both reproduces, and transforms, existing power structures. It is used by some to reinforce their position and by others to disrupt those in power. The progressive substitution of labor for capital. Destination Unknown Customer has control (does the work) and enjoys it! Vaudeville vs TV Orchestra vs CD Cinema vs DVDs? Faces on credit cards … are clerks policemen? Destination Unknown Transforming the customer experience… You drove up, someone else pumped the gas and supervised the transaction. Then you pumped the gas but went to the clerk to pay. Now you pay at the pump You are your own clerk … eBay, Amazon. Destination Unknown Dimensions to technology use in education: •Level of interactivity •Synchronicity / Asynchronicity •Location dependence / independence Is it support or replacement? Technology works best when the mediator extracts too much cost e.g. Informal class questions are embarrassing Destination Unknown Changes in Higher Education: increasing perceived value of “brand”, low cost providers who offer certification with the competitive advantage of either scheduling or cost, high cost elite providers who add significant technological experiences into their standard educational offerings, rising student expectations for high quality media products, expensive competition in knowledge production for the “third leg of science”. Destination Unknown Some conclusions Tomorrow is similar (but not identical) to today Make sure you know what business you’re in Know what your competitive advantage is Don’t ever outsource your competitive advantage Destination Unknown