The Role of Innovation in US Gulf Coast Competitiveness The Future of the Gulf Coast Petrochemical Industry Global Energy Management Institute University of Houston April 29, 2005 James H. D’Auria UOP LLC Agenda The competitiveness gap Potential for technology innovations to improve competitiveness Key technology innovations Examples of options for the USGC The integration conundrum Final thoughts The USGC Cost of Production Gap: Ethylene Example North American Ethane Crackers Have Become the High Cost Producers How Can Technology Innovation Help? Technology can be developed to: – Make use of lower cost and/or unique feedstocks – Create feedstock or product flexibility —Hedge —Reduce volatility – Reduce required capital investment – Make existing assets more efficient Competitive advantage – Integrate existing assetsis togained increase whenefficiency technology innovations are – Improve quality linked withproduct the right market or business circumstances Alternative Feedstocks to Consider Low Value Refinery/Cracker Streams – – – – – Light Gases By Product Olefins Pentanes Light Cycle Oil Resid Basis for US Industry Advantage: Remote Gas Coal ? Biomass ??? • GC Refining Concentration • Atlantic Basin Stranded Gas • Coal Reserves • Biomass potential Key Technology Innovations Use of Alternative feedstocks – Stranded Gas to Olefins/Polymers — “Mega-Methanol” Plants — Methanol to Olefins – Clean Coal Refinery- Petrochemical integration – – – – Petrochemicals from FCC Olefins Conversion LCO Conversion Naphtha optimization Longer term Breakthrough Technologies Methanol/MTO Economies of Scale Methanol Price Required for Target IRR Constant IRR MeOH Plant MTO Plant 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 Methanol Capacity, MT/d Mega Methanol Plants Enable Gas to Olefins Projects Lt Olefins Cash Cost of Production, $/MT MTO on the USGC $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 $20 $30 $40 $50 Crude Oil Price, $/BBL US EP Cracker Naphtha Cracker ME Ethane Cracker Lt Olefins Cash Cost of Production, $/MT MTO on the USGC $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 $20 $30 $40 $50 Crude Oil Price, $/BBL US EP Cracker Naphtha Cracker MTO* MTO** ME Ethane Cracker * Based on $85/MT methanol from Atlantic Basin Stranded Gas ** Based on $100/MT methanol USGC MTO Becomes Attractive At High Oil Prices Coal Clean Coal Technology Gasification Synthesis Gas Methanol Alternative Gasification Feedstocks: Petroleum coke Resid bio-residue Power F-T Liquids Steam, H2 Chemicals Coal to Olefins in the US Cash Cost of Production, $/MT Ethylene (@ $40/BBL Crude) $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 * Based on correlation of ’97-’05 CMAI data: weighted avg. feedstock $0 Historic US Avg* CTO** ME Ethane ** Assumes $125/MT methanol from coal High Oil Prices Improve Attractiveness of Coal To Olefins Key Technology Innovations Use of Alternative feedstocks – Stranded Gas to Olefins/Polymers – “Mega-Methanol” Plants – Methanol to Olefins – Clean Coal Refinery- Petrochemical integration – Petrochemicals from FCC – Olefins Conversion – LCO Conversion – Naphtha optimization Longer term Breakthrough Technologies Propylene from Refineries Crude Column C4 and Lighter PRU Propylene Straight Run Gasoline Fuel Gas Kerosene LPG AGO Crude Oil FCC Downstream Processing VGO Gasoline Diesel Vacuum Column Vacuum Residue Heavy Fuel Oil Refinery FCC is an Important Source of Propylene UOP 4288K-4 Petrochemicals from FCC Propylene Yield PetroFCC 20 + wt% Enhanced Propylene 5 – 7 wt% Max. Gasoline 3 - 5 wt% Gasoline C3= High-Severity FCC 10 -16 wt% C2= C2= C3= Aromatics C3 = Gasoline Gasoline Unit Design and Operation Challenge: Manage Across Traditional Boundaries UOP 4399A-7 Olefins Conversion Technology Naphtha Naphtha Crackers Furnace Product Recovery C4/C5 Olefins C5/C6 Paraffin-Rich Olefin Cracking C2 = Refineries Gas Oils Gasoline Cycle Oils FCC FCC C2= C3= C3= C4-C8 Olefin Cracking Olefin Olefin Recovery LPG Light Olefins • Metathesis: Converts ethylene + C4 olefins to propylene • Olefin Cracking: Converts C4 – C8 olefin streams to propylene + ethylene • Utilize USGC refinery & liquid cracker capacity UOP 4399A-22 Ring Opening to Upgrade LCO New catalysis selectively opens rings to upgrade Light Cycle Oil to produce: – Clean fuels – BTX Aromatics Environmental Benefits: LCO LCO Ring Opening ULSD Petrochemicals High Octane Gasoline – Reduces HSFO production – ULS Diesel co-product – ULS Gasoline co-product USGC Opportunity: Pool LCO Streams UOP 4288A-18 Naphtha Optimization C5-C11 n-paraffins Full Range Naphtha Ethylene yield 30% higher than with conventional naphtha Same propylene yield Increased octanebarrel production Naphtha Cracker Iso/normal separation C7+ Catalytic Reformer • Economic value of ~ $30 MM/year • Requires close integration of olefins & gasoline production UOP 3994J-10 The Integration Conundrum Concentration of refining capacity in USGC provides basis for competitive advantage Technology innovations that cross traditional boundaries can create economic value and cost advantage - “On Paper” Barriers to integration are many: – Increasing complexity/Limiting flexibility – Conflicting objectives – Mixing cultures enablers Need todisparate develop integration – Difficult technical issues practices •Business management •Advanced process technology – Diffusing business focus (What business •Information technology are we in?) Longer Term Technology Outlook Continuing investments are needed to develop new chemistries Example areas of focus: – Catalytic Naphtha Cracking – Paraffin Activation — Ethane + Benzene to EB — Direct Propane to PO, CAN, Acrylic Acid — Pentanes to Higher Value Chemicals – Direct Methane to Methanol – Renewables as Feedstocks (carbohydrates, biomass) The Role of Technology: Final Thoughts Technologies are available today to take advantage of lower cost feeds – Remote gas, coal, refinery by-products Future technology advances will continue to come via process engineering & catalysis innovations New technology needs to be matched with the right situations to provide a competitive advantage. For USGC: – – – – Integration with refining, power Ability to increase propylene production Pooling of by-product streams Access to Atlantic basis remote gas, US coal Can we improve the risk-reward balance? – – – – Cost to develop & commercialize new technology First user risks & rewards Government regulations & incentives Market uncertainties THANK YOU