The Official History of Privatisation- Volume II Emeritus Professor David Parker Steve Macaulay Hello I’m Steve Macaulay and I am interviewing Professor David Parker about his book The Official History of Privatisation. Now David this is the second volume, what does it cover, give me some background. David Parker Well the first volume covered the period down to 1987 and the end of the second Thatcher government. This volume covers from 1987 to 1997 so it includes the last Thatcher government, the Major government and stops with the election of Tony Blair. Steve Macaulay Now these covered the more, what I would call the tricky privatisations, the low hanging fruit had gone and now we are starting to look at some more ones with individual problems which areas are we covering here? David Parker It covers the privatisations which really back in the early 1980s were considered to be out of bounds because of the technical problems the scale of the privatisations, we are looking at companies like British Leyland, British Steel and more specifically in terms of difficulties water, electricity, coal and railways and when you talk about low hanging fruit of course coal and railways were very low hanging fruit. Steve Macaulay Yes. So if we look then at the privatisation programme I think I was surprised and I think many people will be that there wasn’t a predetermined central strategic plan with clear objectives to privatisation. David Parker No and indeed as I demonstrated in volume one, privatisation began in a very tentative fashion, I mean the 1979 Conservative Party election manifesto included no promises on what was at that time called denationalistion, the word privatisation came into vogue in the early 1980s and the programme sort of developed on a relatively small scale but proved to be probably more successful than ministers could have possibly hoped in terms of the ability to sell these businesses, I mean that was a big issue nationalised industries did not have a good reputation and therefore there was always an issue of would private sector investors be all that interested in buying the equity of these businesses. When it proved to be the case then of course Government could begin to extend the sphere of privatisation into other areas, into the low hanging fruit as you described it and this came about very, very gradually and was done on a departmental basis. We never had a Ministry of Privatisation, the Treasury did some central guidance but essentially it was down to each department, Department of Transport, Department of Trade and Industry and so on, to do their own privatisations. © Cranfield University 2012 www.cranfieldknowledgeinterchange.com 1 Steve Macaulay So as time went on it was quite clear that there were some key objectives in all of this, can you describe what they were. David Parker Yes I mean I think the initial objectives as much as anything were to raise money for a government struggling as we are today with budget deficits. This was in the early 1980s. There was a intention that the industries would be more efficiently run in the private sector and that became more of an explicit objective let’s say from about 1982/83 onwards and certainly during the period of the volume two and then there was unstated, certainly unstated publicly objective which was of course to sort of bring the trade unions down to size because the nationalised trade industry unions had caused a number of problems during the 1970s and then we have the popular capitalism which is of course part of the title of volume two and certainly there was a view amongst a number of Conservative ministers that by selling shares in these companies to ordinary households you would increase the if you like the support for capitalism and the support for privatisation. Steve Macaulay You’ve got the benefit of looking through official papers, talking to people involved, looking at memoires and so on, if you looked at the successes and failures what would you pick out? David Parker Well that’s a good question because privatisation wasn’t quite as successful as ministers stated at the time. Some privatisations have gone very, very well, they were very smoothly done, there were relatively few difficulties and after privatisation the enterprises performed quite well but there were others which were tricky to do, where a lot of backwards and forwards went on during the planning of the privatisations and afterwards the businesses didn’t do all that well I mean if you are looking for example at shipbuilding, shipbuilding was declining before privatisation, it continued to decline after privatisation in Britain, similarly the coal industry. The coal industry was privatised with no great expectation that there would be anything other than a major rundown, continuing rundown in the pits and then we have others where government had hopes that they would do well like Jaguar but Jaguar struggled as an independent business and was bought by Ford within four or five years of privatisation. Steve Macaulay So if we take a look back at all of these and I know you have got a chapter in your book where you have done that where you reflect on these and you pick out some key themes what particularly stands out for you? David Parker Well I think there are a number of themes. Firstly going back to the issue of how successful these businesses were after privatisation, certainly the position is patchier than was recognised at the time by many. Secondly the popular capitalism was temporary, yes the percentage of shares held by, sorry the percentage of the households holding shares rose to about twenty © Cranfield University 2012 www.cranfieldknowledgeinterchange.com 2 percent at one point in the early 1990s but if you look at the situation today only about ten percent of the equity in the stock market is owned by individuals and the decline in individual ownership of equity has continued right through for most of the post war period. Privatisation did not reverse that so we did not get the popular capitalism. The third issue really was this question of whether the enterprises were under priced when they were sold I mean there was a lot of criticism at the time that the government purposely sold these businesses off cheaply to benefit its chums in the City. Now there’s no doubt that the City did make huge gains but there is no evidence I found in Government papers that ministers or civil servants did not try their best to get the best price for these enterprises. The difficulty was that you were selling businesses which were quite unique in the stock market in many cases and there was nothing really to pin the issue share price to so it was perhaps understandable that mistakes were made and to be fair to ministers and officials over time the methods used to sell these businesses did become more sophisticated and I think it is fair to say the City the big gains made by the City were made in the earlier years of privatisation not in the later years. Steve Macaulay This was volume two and I guess at the time that this was commissioned that was thought to be the end of it but it looks to me like there could well be at some point a volume three. Can you look ahead and this is obviously a personal view and see what volume three might contain. David Parker Well I was commissioned by the Cabinet Office to look at the privatisations down to the election of the Labour Government in May 1997 so there is no plan at the moment to have a volume three of an official history but clearly there is ample scope for someone whether it will be me or someone else to look at the privatisations in the Labour Government because although the Labour Party strongly opposed each and every privatisation as it went through Parliament in the 1980s and 1990s after it was elected it continued the privatisation programme. Now it was probably a step too far for ministers and Labour politicians to call it privatisation so instead they frequently called it PFI and PPP schemes which is Private Finance Initiative, Public Private Partnerships but we have seen a continuing stream of what everyone else would call privatisations occurring so there is a lot of room I think a lot of scope for someone to write up that period again mistakes were made, why were mistakes made, and what learning actually occurred during that period. Steve Macaulay So I guess one of the hopes that you and I might share is that the lessons contained in your books actually gets put into practice. David Parker Well that’s the hope. I mean we undertook quite a novel privatisation programme in Britain because no-one had undertaken a privatisation programme on the scale that we did, we made mistakes, we introduced a © Cranfield University 2012 www.cranfieldknowledgeinterchange.com 3 number of innovations in the selling of these businesses which have been used elsewhere in the world so there was a lot of learning and so yes hopefully the issues that I have been able to bring out in the volume will help when we come to sell the newly nationalised industries including the banks. Steve Macaulay David thank you very much. © Cranfield University 2012 www.cranfieldknowledgeinterchange.com 4