Table T08-0038 Summary Table

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29-Jan-08 VERY PRELIMINARY

Table T08-0038

Individual Income Tax Measures in Senate Stimulus Proposal

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2008

1

Summary Table

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2006 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

Percent of Tax Units

With Tax Cut

60.9

93.7

98.3

99.0

99.5

99.8

99.8

99.9

99.9

99.7

99.9

93.5

3

With Tax

Increase

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

7.0

4.4

3.2

2.5

2.1

1.7

1.4

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

1.4

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

5.9

13.7

12.7

10.2

8.3

16.1

11.5

16.0

4.4

0.7

0.4

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 1006-2).

Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1

Proposal:

Average

Federal Tax

Change ($)

-389

-649

-747

-787

-796

-895

-1,021

-1,092

-1,101

-1,110

-1,100

-794

Average Federal Tax Rate

Change (%

Points)

-6.7

-4.2

-2.9

-2.2

-1.7

-1.4

-1.1

-0.8

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

-1.1

Proposal

-2.6

0.2

6.7

11.7

14.9

17.3

19.0

21.7

24.8

26.8

30.8

20.1

5

Under the

4.1

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is 2008 current law assuming extension and indexation for inflation of the 2007 AMT patch. The proposal provides a refundable basic credit of $500 ($1,000 for married couples filing a joint return) available to all tax filers with at least $3000 of earned income and Social Security benefits or at least $1 of income tax liability after nonrefundable credits excluding the child credit. For any tax unit with at least $1 of basic credit, the proposal provides an additional, refundable, $300 credit for each child-tax-credit-eligible child. Our estimates are based on 2008 incomes; the proposal actually allows the rebate to be based on 2007 income if it results in a higher amount. Our estimates assume that all potential beneficiaries claim the credit.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

29-Jan-08

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2006 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

VERY PRELIMINARY

Table T08-0038

Individual Income Tax Measures in Senate Stimulus Proposal

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2008

1

Detail Table

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

60.9

93.7

98.3

99.0

99.5

99.8

99.8

99.9

99.9

99.7

99.9

93.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent Change in After-Tax

Income

4

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

7.0

4.4

3.2

2.5

2.1

1.7

1.4

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

1.4

16.0

4.4

0.7

0.4

100.0

5.9

13.7

12.7

10.2

8.3

16.1

11.5

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-389

-649

-747

-787

-796

-895

-1,021

-1,092

-1,101

-1,110

-1,100

-794

-164.5

-95.3

-30.2

-15.6

-10.3

-7.5

-5.6

-3.5

-1.5

-0.6

-0.1

-5.4

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.3

-0.7

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

-0.3

0.0

0.5

0.7

0.3

1.0

0.0

25.2

16.8

7.1

19.8

100.0

-0.1

0.0

1.7

3.1

4.1

11.3

10.9

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-6.7

-4.2

-2.9

-2.2

-1.7

-1.4

-1.1

-0.8

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

-1.1

-2.6

0.2

6.7

11.7

14.9

17.3

19.0

21.7

24.8

26.8

30.8

20.1

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2008

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2006 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

18,164

25,275

20,401

15,452

12,430

21,580

13,470

17,502

4,784

793

421

150,867

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

11.6

3.2

0.5

0.3

100.0

12.0

16.8

13.5

10.2

8.2

14.3

8.9

Average

Income

(Dollars)

5,810

15,564

25,811

36,328

46,686

64,226

90,172

140,584

299,277

707,298

3,228,212

69,872

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

236

681

2,474

5,046

7,758

12,011

18,154

31,563

75,288

190,695

996,442

14,831

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

5,574

14,883

23,337

31,281

38,928

52,215

72,018

109,021

223,989

516,603

2,231,770

55,041

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

4.1

4.4

9.6

13.9

16.6

18.7

20.1

22.5

25.2

27.0

30.9

21.2

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

1.0

3.7

5.0

5.3

5.5

13.2

11.5

23.3

13.6

5.3

12.9

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

1.2

4.5

5.7

5.8

5.8

13.6

11.7

23.0

12.9

4.9

11.3

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.2

0.8

2.3

3.5

4.3

11.6

10.9

24.7

16.1

6.8

18.8

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 1006-2).

Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1

Proposal: 4.1

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is 2008 current law assuming extension and indexation for inflation of the 2007 AMT patch. The proposal provides a refundable basic credit of $500 ($1,000 for married couples filing a joint return) available to all tax filers with at least $3000 of earned income and Social Security benefits or at least $1 of income tax liability after nonrefundable credits excluding the child credit. For any tax unit with at least $1 of basic credit, the proposal provides an additional, refundable, $300 credit for each child-tax-credit-eligible child. Our estimates are based on 2008 incomes; the proposal actually allows the rebate to be based on 2007 income if it results in a higher amount. Our estimates assume that all potential beneficiaries claim the credit.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

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