Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Pinnacle Academy Solutions of Tests of April 2015 Batch 201-202, Florence Classic, Besides Unnati Vidhyalay, Jain Derasar Road, Ashapuri Society, Akota, Vadodara-20. ph: 98258 561 55 Solution of Test of Dividend Policy & Models [SFM – CA Final] Conducted on 8th August 2015 [Solution is at the end with marking for self-assessment] Time Allowed-1 hour Q1 Maximum Marks- 30 Consider following information: Expected EPS D / P Ratio IRR Ke Multiplier Current MPS Rs.30 40% 15% 12% 5 250 Determine value per share as per – (i) Graham and Dodd Model (ii) Walter’s Model (iii) Gordon’s Model (iv) MM’s Model Q2 (10 Marks) For a firm current earnings per share is Rs.2 and last dividend paid is Re.0.4. For the next five years the firm is expected to grow at a high rate of 24% during which its retention ratio shall be 80% and its equity beta shall be 1.5. Thereafter, there shall be an intermediate transition period of five years during which the dividend payout ratio shall increase from 20% at the end of 5th year to 70% at the end of 10th year by way of linear increments each year. There shall be no change in the cost of equity and the growth rate of the firm shall be 20% in year 6, 16% in year 7, 12% in year 8, 8% in year 9 and 6% in year 10. From the end of 10th year till perpetuity the firm shall grow at the rate of 4%, its dividend payout ratio shall be 70% and its equity beta shall settle at 1. The risk free rate of return is 7.5% and the market risk premium is 5.5%. 1 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Applying Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), find the price of share as on today as per the Gordon’s Dividend Model. A client of yours is interested in buying this share which currently trades at Rs.35. What shall be your advice? (10 Marks) Q3 VascoDa Ltd. has 10 lakh equity shares of Rs.50 each. EAT is Rs.150 lakhs of which Rs.50 lakhs was distributed as dividend. Current PE ratio of the company is 12. The company is evaluating new project costing Rs.378 lakhs and which is expected to produce additional after tax earnings over a foreseeable future at the rate of 15% of the amount invested. It is proposed by the CFO that money shall be raised by a rights issue to existing shareholders at a price 30% below current MPS. Compute: i. ii. iii. iv. v. Current MPS Subscription price of Rights Total number of right shares to be issued and rights ratio Ex-rights Price on the basis of projected synergy Determine the impact on wealth of a shareholder who holds 3,000 shares if rights are subscribed or rights are sold (10 Marks) (Assessed answer papers shall be returned latest by 22nd August 2015) 2 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Solution of Test of Dividend Policy & Models Conducted on 8th August 2015 Q1 Expected DPS = 30 X 40% = Rs.12 Retention Ratio = 60% Growth rate of Dividend = 60 X 15% = 9 % (2 Marks) (i) Graham and Dodd Model: P0 = 5 [12 + 30 / 3] = Rs.110 (2 Marks) (ii) Walter’s Model: Vc = [12 + 15%/12% (30 – 12)]/12% = Rs.287.5 (2 Marks) (iii) Gordon’s Model: P0 = 12 / 12% - 9% = Rs.400 (2 Marks) (iv) MM’s Model: 250 = 12 + P1 / 1.12 i.e. P1 = Rs.268 (2 Marks) Q2 Valuation of Shares as per Gordon’s Dividend Model: Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 EPS D/P Ratio 2.48 20 % 3.08 20 % 3.81 20 % 4.73 20 % 5.86 20 % 7.04 30 % 8.16 40 % 9.14 50 % 9.87 60 % 10.47 70 % DPS 0.496 0.616 0.762 0.946 1.172 2.112 3.264 4.570 5.922 7.329 PVF (15.75%) .864 .746 .645 .557 .481 .416 .359 .310 .268 .232 84.609* .232 PV 0.4285 0.4595 0.4915 0.5269 0.5637 0.8786 1.1718 1.4167 1.5871 1.7003 9.2246 19.6482 28.8728 (5 Marks) Cost of equity for high growth and transition period: ke = 7.5 + 1.5 [5.5] = 15.75 % (1 Mark) Cost of equity for stable period: ke = 7.5 + 1 [5.5] = 13 % (1 Mark) *Continuing Value of Dividend: Continuing value = 7.329 + 4 % / 13 % – 4 % = 84.6907 (2 Marks) Recommendation: The current MPS (Rs.35) is higher than fundamental value of share (Rs.28.87). Thus, the share is overpriced and hence not worth purchasing. (1 Mark) 3 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Q3 (i) Current MPS: EPS = 150 / 10 = Rs.15 Current MPS = 15 X 12 = Rs.180 (1 Mark) (ii) Subscription price of Rights: Subscription Price = 180 (1 - .30) = Rs.126 (iii) Total number of rights shares and rights ratio: Total rights to be issued = 378 / 126 = 3 lakhs Rights ratio = 3 / 10 i.e. 0.3 (iv) Ex-Rights Price: Additional after tax earnings from new project = 378 X 15% = Rs.56.7 lakhs Synergy generated from new project = 56.7 X 12 = Rs.680.4 lakhs (1 Mark) (1 Mark) Ex-rights Price = MN + Synergy / N + r = 180 (10) + 680.4 / 10 + 3 = Rs.190.8 (2 Marks) (v) Impact on Wealth of Shareholder: The rights ratio is 0.3. Investor has purchased 3,000 shares. Rights issue shall give additional 900 shares which may be subscribed or sold. e f Pre Rights Wealth [3,000 X 180] Value of shares if rights are subscribed [3,900 X 190.8] Cost of buying rights shares [900 X 126] Value of shares if rights are sold [3,000 X 190.8] Sale of rights [190.8 – 126 = 64.8 X 900] Post Rights Wealth g Impact on Wealth [f – a] a b c d Rights are Subscribed Rights are Sold 5,40,000 5,40,000 7,44,120 N.A. 1,13,400 N.A. N.A. 5,72,400 N.A. 6,30,720 [b – c] 90,720 58,320 6,30,720 [d + e] 90,720 (5 Marks) Solution prepared by CA. Ashish Lalaji 4