Interviews with 1,011 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on December 18-21, 2014. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample includes 660 interviews among landline respondents and 351 interviews among cell phone respondents. (Question 13 and 14 released at 6 am) 13. We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 506 INTERVIEWS IN VERSION A. SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.) (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Iranian President Hassan Rouhani Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014* 7% 9% 49% 46% 29% 31% 15% 14% North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014* 1% 3% 84% 72% 9% 17% 6% 8% Russian President Vladimir Putin Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014 10% 11% 20% 74% 68% 54% 7% 11% 16% 9% 10% 10% Syrian President Bashar al Assad Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014* 6% 2% 48% 53% 31% 30% 15% 15% Former Cuban Leader Fidel Castro Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014* 6% 7% 81% 78% 3% 6% 10% 9% Chinese Leader Xi Jinping Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014* 15% 13% 38% 35% 29% 36% 18% 16% *Asked of a half sample CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Russian President Vladimir Putin Mar 27, 2003 May 22-23, 2002 Fidel Castro Jan 14-15, 1998 Mar 11-12, 1997 POLL 12 2 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 15% 35% 46% 16% 35% 44% 4% 5% 6% 6% 75% 71% 16% 20% 3% 4% -2- December 18-21, 2014 14. Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 505 INTERVIEWS IN VERSION B. SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.) (RANDOM ORDER) Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Iran Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 April 13-15, 2012 June 26-28, 2009 35% 33% 48% 43% 35% 37% 33% 36% 18% 18% 14% 13% 12% 10% 4% 7% * 1% 1% * North Korea Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 April 13-15, 2012 June 26-28, 2009 42% 33% 43% 52% 31% 38% 33% 28% 17% 15% 15% 14% 10% 11% 8% 6% 1% 1% 1% * Russia Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 April 13-15, 2012 June 26-28, 2009 22% 29% 11% 11% 43% 40% 33% 28% 23% 19% 29% 29% 11% 12% 24% 31% 1% * 2% 1% Syria Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 April 13-15, 2012 28% 18% 17% 35% 39% 40% 18% 21% 23% 17% 19% 16% 2% 3% 4% Cuba Dec. 18-21, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 7% 5% 19% 21% 21% 29% 53% 43% 1% 2% China Dec. 18-21, 2014 June 26-28, 2009 26% 20% 34% 35% 20% 26% 20% 18% 1% 1% (TRENDS ON THE NEXT PAGE) POLL 12 2 -3- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/TIME TRENDS Very serious Moderately serious Slight threat Not a threat No opinion January 15-16, 2003 May 22-23, 2002 June 14-15, 2000 May 26-27, 1999 May 8-9, 1996 35 50 29 27 29 31 30 36 32 36 19 10 18 20 19 13 8 11 15 10 2 2 6 6 6 North Korea January 15-16, 2003 May 22-23, 2002 June 14-15, 2000 45 19 17 31 27 29 13 23 23 9 26 20 2 5 11 11 7 19 24 14 19 32 49 52 65 25 24 33 33 36 36 44 39 35 25 27 25 24 20 23 23 17 7 10 6 34 41 18 20 24 18 5 3 2 3 3 3 6 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 12 13 29 24 25 39 32 30 22 24 29 9 8 3 1 22 19 32 46 25 17 25 32 28 27 38 35 22 19 18 14 18 28 18 26 15 9 13 17 8 4 7 4 6 3 Iran Russia January 15-16, 2003 May 22-23, 2002 June 14-15, 2000 May 26-27, 1999 May 8-9, 1996 November, 1989* November, 1985* December, 1983* September, 1983* June, 1983* Cuba March 11-12, 1997 Aug-Sept, 1994 June 1983 China January 15-16, 2003 May 22-23, 2002 June 14-15, 2000 May 26-27, 1999 May 8-9, 1996 June, 1983** * Russia was asked as the "Soviet Union" from 1983 to 1989. ** China was asked as "Communist China" in 1983 POLL 12 2 -4- December 18-21, 2014 25. Do you favor or oppose re-establishing U.S. diplomatic relations with Cuba? Dec. 18-21 2014 Apr. 3-5 2009 Aug. 2-3 2006 63% 33% 4% 71% 27% 2% 62% 29% 9% Favor Oppose No opinion CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Favor 55 55 57 71 67 40 53 63 2004 Mar 8-11 2002 May 20-22 2000 May 5-7 1999 May 7-9 1999 Mar 19-21 1996 Apr 25-28 1977 1974 26. Oppose 38 37 36 25 27 49 32 37 No opinion 7 8 7 4 6 11 15 0 Thinking about the situation with Cuba, do you think the U.S. should end its embargo against Cuba, or don't you feel this way? Dec. 18-21 2014 End embargo Don’t feel this way No opinion 55% 40% 5% CNN/TIME TRENDS Yes, should No, don’t feel this way No opinion 35 51 14 1994 Aug 31-Sep 1 27. Do you think the U.S. government should continue its policy that puts significant restrictions on travel to Cuba that allows only a small number of U.S. citizens from travelling there, or do you think the U.S. government should change that policy and allow all U.S. citizens to travel to Cuba under the same rules that apply to travel to almost all other countries? Continue current policy Change current policy No opinion Dec. 18-21 2014 Apr. 3-5 2009 32% 67% 2% 34% 64% 1% QUESTION WORDING IN APRIL 2009: Do you think the U.S. government should continue its policy that prevents nearly all U.S. citizens from travelling to Cuba, or do you think the U.S. government should change that policy and allow all U.S. citizens to travel to Cuba? POLL 12 2 -5- December 18-21, 2014 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,011 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 22% described themselves as Republicans, and 50% described themselves as Independents or members of another party Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL 12 2 -6- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13A We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 7% 8% 6% 49% 53% 44% 54% 15% 13% 17% 15% 29% 27% 31% 25% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 49% 15% 29% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 6% 49% 42% 15% 14% 29% 38% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 49% 15% 29% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 49% 15% 29% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----8% 39% 18% 35% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------9% 56% 16% 19% * +/-6.0 Independent -----9% 48% 14% 30% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----11% 55% 19% 15% * +/-7.5 65+ ----10% 56% 15% 18% * +/-8.0 No College ------6% 46% 16% 32% * +/-8.0 Republican -----5% 63% 13% 20% * +/-8.5 South ----6% 49% 10% 36% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----5% 42% 12% 41% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----11% 56% 18% 16% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------8% 13% 6% 50% 42% 50% 15% 16% 12% 26% 29% 31% * * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 41% 18% 32% * +/-7.5 Urban ----13% 42% 16% 29% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------4% 61% 12% 23% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----6% 50% 12% 31% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -7- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13B We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. B. North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------1% 1% 2% 1% 84% 85% 82% 87% 6% 5% 6% 4% 9% 9% 10% 7% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----1% 84% 6% 9% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------1% 1% 84% 78% 6% 6% 9% 14% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----1% 84% 6% 9% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----1% 84% 6% 9% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----2% 82% 7% 9% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------2% 93% 3% 3% * +/-6.0 Independent -----1% 80% 6% 12% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----2% 84% 7% 7% * +/-7.5 65+ ----* 95% 3% 2% * +/-8.0 No College ------1% 75% 11% 14% * +/-8.0 Republican -----1% 93% 4% 2% * +/-8.5 South ----* 81% 4% 15% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----1% 81% 5% 12% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----1% 87% 6% 6% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------2% 1% 2% 91% 84% 85% 1% 5% 4% 6% 9% 9% * * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----* 78% 7% 15% * +/-7.5 Urban ----1% 84% 5% 9% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------1% 90% 3% 6% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----2% 85% 4% 9% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -8- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13C We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. C. Russian President Vladimir Putin Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------10% 11% 10% 9% 74% 76% 72% 80% 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 6% 8% 3% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 74% 8% 7% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------10% 9% 74% 70% 8% 10% 7% 11% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 74% 8% 7% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 74% 8% 7% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----11% 69% 9% 11% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------10% 82% 6% 3% * +/-6.0 Independent -----10% 76% 7% 7% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----11% 74% 11% 4% * +/-7.5 65+ ----10% 86% 3% 1% * +/-8.0 No College ------13% 63% 12% 12% * +/-8.0 Republican -----11% 75% 8% 5% * +/-8.5 South ----12% 66% 10% 13% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----11% 70% 8% 11% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----11% 78% 8% 3% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------9% 12% 9% 82% 69% 77% 5% 11% 4% 4% 8% 11% * * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 72% 8% 10% * +/-7.5 Urban ----12% 69% 11% 8% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------10% 79% 7% 4% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----9% 77% 4% 11% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -9- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13D We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. D. Syrian President Bashar al Assad Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 7% 4% 4% 48% 51% 46% 55% 15% 12% 17% 16% 31% 30% 32% 25% * * 1% * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 48% 15% 31% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 6% 48% 38% 15% 11% 31% 45% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 48% 15% 31% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 48% 15% 31% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----7% 43% 14% 35% 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 60% 16% 16% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----6% 45% 15% 34% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----6% 57% 17% 20% * +/-7.5 65+ ----3% 60% 17% 20% 1% +/-8.0 No College ------6% 34% 15% 45% * +/-8.0 Republican -----4% 61% 16% 19% * +/-8.5 South ----4% 47% 13% 36% 1% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----6% 39% 13% 41% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----5% 58% 17% 20% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------5% 7% 6% 59% 41% 55% 14% 16% 8% 21% 35% 30% 1% * 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----4% 38% 16% 41% * +/-7.5 Urban ----7% 41% 16% 35% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------5% 59% 14% 22% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----6% 55% 8% 30% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -10- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13E We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Former Cuban Leader Fidel Castro Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 8% 5% 6% 81% 79% 83% 84% 9% 9% 9% 7% 3% 4% 2% 3% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 81% 9% 3% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 8% 81% 75% 9% 13% 3% 4% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 81% 9% 3% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 81% 9% 3% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----5% 76% 14% 5% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------5% 90% 6% * * +/-6.0 Independent -----9% 78% 10% 3% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----8% 82% 9% 1% * +/-7.5 65+ ----9% 85% 5% 1% * +/-8.0 No College ------7% 77% 11% 5% * +/-8.0 Republican -----1% 94% 3% 2% * +/-8.5 South ----2% 82% 11% 5% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----5% 79% 11% 5% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----8% 83% 8% 1% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------6% 7% 3% 84% 78% 87% 8% 12% 7% 2% 4% 3% * * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----6% 79% 12% 3% * +/-7.5 Urban ----7% 78% 12% 4% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------2% 93% 4% 1% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----3% 87% 7% 3% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -11- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 13F We'd like to get your overall opinion of the leaders of some foreign countries. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Chinese Leader Xi Jinping Base = Half Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 18% 11% 14% 38% 41% 35% 42% 18% 18% 18% 19% 29% 23% 35% 24% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 38% 18% 29% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 12% 38% 33% 18% 15% 29% 40% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 38% 18% 29% * +/-4.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 38% 18% 29% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----16% 34% 18% 32% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------18% 43% 20% 19% * +/-6.0 Independent -----16% 34% 15% 35% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----11% 44% 21% 24% * +/-7.5 65+ ----12% 55% 18% 15% * +/-8.0 No College ------13% 35% 15% 36% * +/-8.0 Republican -----10% 52% 23% 16% * +/-8.5 South ----12% 36% 18% 35% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----18% 29% 16% 37% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----11% 47% 20% 21% * +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------16% 13% 16% 40% 42% 38% 19% 18% 11% 24% 26% 35% * * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 29% 19% 38% * +/-7.5 Urban ----13% 42% 18% 26% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------10% 50% 20% 20% * +/-7.0 Suburban ----16% 38% 11% 35% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -12- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14A Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? A. Iran Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 30% 39% 40% 35% 34% 36% 34% 18% 20% 15% 16% 12% 15% 9% 9% * * 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 35% 18% 12% * +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 32% 35% 38% 18% 18% 12% 12% * 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 35% 18% 12% * +/-4.5 Democrat ----24% 42% 22% 12% * +/-8.0 Independent -----34% 30% 19% 16% 1% +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 35% 18% 12% * +/-4.5 North east ----29% 37% 22% 11% * +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------36% 36% 18% 10% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----41% 40% 11% 8% * +/-8.5 65+ ----50% 29% 12% 6% 2% +/-7.0 No College ------39% 35% 14% 11% 1% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----40% 38% 14% 8% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----27% 35% 22% 16% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----45% 35% 12% 7% 1% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------31% 31% 36% 36% 36% 37% 20% 20% 16% 12% 12% 10% * * 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----31% 38% 19% 11% * +/-7.5 Urban ----31% 36% 20% 12% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------50% 30% 12% 7% * +/-7.5 Suburban ----36% 37% 16% 10% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -13- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14B Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? B. North Korea Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------42% 37% 48% 42% 31% 34% 27% 31% 17% 17% 17% 18% 10% 11% 8% 8% 1% 1% * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 31% 17% 10% 1% +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------42% 39% 31% 32% 17% 19% 10% 9% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 31% 17% 10% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----41% 33% 14% 11% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----39% 31% 18% 12% 1% +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 31% 17% 10% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----39% 29% 22% 10% * +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------46% 30% 17% 8% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----53% 23% 14% 8% 2% +/-8.5 65+ ----48% 32% 13% 6% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------45% 28% 19% 8% 1% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----49% 35% 13% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----35% 34% 20% 11% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----51% 27% 13% 7% 1% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------41% 36% 47% 33% 34% 30% 16% 17% 16% 10% 14% 6% * * 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----42% 29% 19% 10% * +/-7.5 Urban ----36% 34% 17% 14% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------48% 28% 16% 9% * +/-7.5 Suburban ----47% 30% 16% 6% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -14- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14C Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? C. Russia Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------22% 18% 27% 25% 43% 43% 44% 43% 23% 27% 19% 22% 11% 11% 10% 9% 1% 1% * 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 43% 23% 11% 1% +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------22% 18% 43% 47% 23% 22% 11% 12% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 43% 23% 11% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----22% 43% 21% 13% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----21% 40% 26% 12% 1% +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 43% 23% 11% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----20% 42% 25% 11% 1% +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------27% 40% 23% 8% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----30% 44% 18% 6% 3% +/-8.5 65+ ----26% 44% 18% 11% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------24% 43% 19% 12% 2% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----28% 46% 16% 10% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----18% 43% 28% 12% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----28% 44% 18% 8% 2% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------21% 26% 24% 43% 39% 46% 26% 26% 19% 9% 9% 11% * * 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----25% 44% 21% 9% 1% +/-7.5 Urban ----26% 39% 26% 9% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------26% 42% 21% 10% 1% +/-7.5 Suburban ----24% 46% 19% 11% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -15- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14D Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? D. Syria Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------28% 24% 31% 27% 35% 29% 40% 37% 18% 24% 13% 19% 17% 22% 12% 15% 2% 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----28% 35% 18% 17% 2% +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------28% 26% 35% 37% 18% 16% 17% 18% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----28% 35% 18% 17% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----26% 35% 21% 12% 5% +/-8.0 Independent -----26% 31% 18% 24% 1% +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----28% 35% 18% 17% 2% +/-4.5 North east ----30% 34% 16% 17% 3% +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------28% 34% 23% 14% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----33% 38% 17% 10% 2% +/-8.5 65+ ----30% 37% 15% 14% 5% +/-7.0 No College ------31% 36% 18% 12% 4% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----35% 38% 16% 10% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----25% 33% 21% 20% 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----31% 37% 16% 12% 3% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------25% 28% 31% 34% 34% 35% 19% 19% 17% 20% 17% 16% 1% 1% 2% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----31% 34% 18% 15% 2% +/-7.5 Urban ----28% 34% 19% 17% 1% +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------33% 34% 18% 14% 2% +/-7.5 Suburban ----31% 35% 17% 16% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -16- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14E Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? E. Cuba Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 2% 11% 7% 19% 11% 27% 21% 21% 21% 20% 22% 53% 65% 42% 48% 1% 1% * 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 19% 21% 53% 1% +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 5% 19% 20% 21% 23% 53% 51% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 19% 21% 53% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----4% 17% 18% 61% * +/-8.0 Independent -----6% 15% 20% 58% 1% +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 19% 21% 53% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----4% 16% 22% 57% * +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 15% 18% 58% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----10% 21% 20% 48% 2% +/-8.5 65+ ----9% 22% 26% 40% 2% +/-7.0 No College ------8% 21% 24% 45% 1% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----12% 20% 25% 42% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----4% 17% 20% 60% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----9% 21% 23% 45% 2% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------5% 7% 8% 17% 16% 19% 18% 15% 21% 60% 63% 51% * * 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----8% 22% 21% 49% * +/-7.5 Urban ----7% 16% 15% 63% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------9% 23% 22% 45% 1% +/-7.5 Suburban ----8% 19% 21% 51% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -17- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 14F Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? F. China Base = Half Sample Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------26% 27% 25% 28% 34% 34% 34% 37% 20% 14% 25% 18% 20% 24% 15% 18% 1% 1% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 34% 20% 20% 1% +/-4.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------26% 23% 34% 33% 20% 23% 20% 21% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 34% 20% 20% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----28% 34% 16% 20% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----23% 32% 20% 25% * +/-6.5 Very serious threat Moderately serious threat Just a slight threat No threat at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 34% 20% 20% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----17% 38% 25% 19% 1% +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------30% 33% 17% 19% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----36% 38% 9% 17% 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----31% 42% 9% 16% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------27% 36% 18% 18% 1% +/-7.5 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----30% 33% 22% 14% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----20% 29% 29% 21% 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----34% 40% 9% 17% 1% +/-5.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban ---------------25% 24% 30% 33% 33% 32% 21% 21% 23% 20% 21% 15% 1% 1% * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----22% 35% 21% 21% 1% +/-7.5 Urban ----24% 33% 21% 21% 1% +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------35% 35% 14% 16% * +/-7.5 Suburban ----30% 32% 23% 15% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -18- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 25 Do you favor or oppose re-establishing U.S. diplomatic relations with Cuba? Base = Total Sample Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------63% 67% 59% 62% 33% 29% 38% 35% 4% 4% 3% 4% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 33% 4% +/-3.0 Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------63% 65% 33% 33% 4% 2% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 33% 4% +/-3.0 Democrat ----75% 24% 2% +/-5.5 Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 33% 4% +/-3.0 North east ----69% 28% 3% +/-6.5 1834 ----66% 31% 3% +/-7.5 3549 ----57% 38% 5% +/-7.5 $50K or more ------65% 31% 4% +/-4.5 Independent -----64% 31% 5% +/-4.5 Midwest ----70% 26% 5% +/-6.5 Non-White --------66% 30% 3% +/-6.5 5064 ----62% 35% 3% +/-5.5 65+ ----68% 28% 4% +/-5.5 No College ------54% 42% 4% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----64% 32% 3% +/-4.0 Attended SubCollege Urban urban Rural -------------------70% 70% 62% 54% 27% 28% 35% 39% 4% 2% 3% 6% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 Republican -----45% 51% 3% +/-6.5 South ----55% 42% 3% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----62% 34% 4% +/-5.5 Liberal ----79% 18% 3% +/-6.5 West ----63% 33% 4% +/-6.5 Moderate ----66% 31% 4% +/-5.5 Urban ----70% 28% 2% +/-5.5 Conservative ------47% 48% 5% +/-5.0 Suburban ----62% 35% 3% +/-4.5 Rural ----54% 39% 6% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -19- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 26 Thinking about the situation with Cuba, do you think the U.S. should end its embargo against Cuba, or don't you feel this way? Base = Total Sample End embargo Don't feel this way No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------55% 59% 51% 57% 40% 36% 44% 38% 5% 5% 5% 5% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 End embargo Don't feel this way No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 40% 5% +/-3.0 End embargo Don't feel this way No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------55% 54% 40% 41% 5% 5% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 End embargo Don't feel this way No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 40% 5% +/-3.0 Democrat ----64% 31% 5% +/-5.5 End embargo Don't feel this way No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 40% 5% +/-3.0 North east ----60% 37% 3% +/-6.5 1834 ----62% 33% 5% +/-7.5 3549 ----48% 47% 5% +/-7.5 $50K or more ------59% 36% 5% +/-4.5 Independent -----55% 40% 5% +/-4.5 Midwest ----58% 34% 8% +/-6.5 Non-White --------52% 42% 6% +/-6.5 5064 ----53% 41% 6% +/-5.5 65+ ----59% 37% 4% +/-5.5 No College ------50% 46% 4% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----55% 40% 5% +/-4.0 Attended SubCollege Urban urban Rural -------------------60% 61% 54% 47% 35% 36% 42% 45% 6% 3% 4% 8% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 Republican -----44% 52% 4% +/-6.5 South ----49% 47% 4% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----56% 39% 5% +/-5.5 Liberal ----74% 21% 5% +/-6.5 West ----56% 38% 6% +/-6.5 Moderate ----56% 39% 5% +/-5.5 Urban ----61% 36% 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------41% 55% 4% +/-5.0 Suburban ----54% 42% 4% +/-4.5 Rural ----47% 45% 8% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -20- December 18-21, 2014 CNN/ORC International Poll -- December 18 to 21, 2014 Question 27 Do you think the U.S. government should continue its policy that puts significant restrictions on travel to Cuba that allows only a small number of U.S. citizens from travelling there, or do you think the U.S. government should change that policy and allow all U.S. citizens to travel to Cuba under the same rules that apply to travel to almost all other countries? Base = Total Sample Continue current Cuba policy Change current Cuba policy No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------32% 28% 35% 31% 67% 70% 64% 68% 2% 2% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Continue current Cuba policy Change current Cuba policy No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 67% 2% +/-3.0 Continue current Cuba policy Change current Cuba policy No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------32% 33% 67% 66% 2% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Continue current Cuba policy Change current Cuba policy No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 67% 2% +/-3.0 Democrat ----25% 74% 2% +/-5.5 Continue current Cuba policy Change current Cuba policy No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 67% 2% +/-3.0 North east ----33% 66% 1% +/-6.5 1834 ----31% 67% 2% +/-7.5 3549 ----39% 60% 1% +/-7.5 $50K or more ------31% 67% 2% +/-4.5 Independent -----32% 67% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----29% 69% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------34% 64% 3% +/-6.5 5064 ----31% 68% 1% +/-5.5 65+ ----25% 72% 3% +/-5.5 No College ------35% 64% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----29% 70% 2% +/-4.0 Attended SubCollege Urban urban Rural -------------------29% 33% 30% 33% 69% 67% 68% 66% 2% * 2% 2% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 Republican -----40% 58% 2% +/-6.5 South ----32% 67% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----21% 77% 2% +/-6.5 West ----32% 65% 3% +/-6.5 Moderate ----30% 69% 1% +/-5.5 Urban ----33% 67% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------43% 55% 2% +/-5.0 Suburban ----30% 68% 2% +/-4.5 Rural ----33% 66% 2% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 2 -21- December 18-21, 2014