Influence of Clouds and Aerosols on the Earth’s Radiation Budget Using Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Measurements Norman G. Loeb Hampton University/NASA Langley Research Center Bruce A. Wielicki NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA December 5, 2003 Global Radiation Budget -10 Indirect Aerosol Forcing Land Albedo Direct Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing -20 Cloud Optical Depth Earth Cooling Particle Size (Low Clouds) Cloud Height High Cloud Amount Earth Warming 10 Carbon Dioxide Stratospheric Ozone Radiative 0 Effect (W/m2) Low Cloud Amount Climate Sensitivity Radiative Effect at the Top of the Atmosphere For a 50% Increase in Climate Parameter 20 Clear-sky and Cloud Sensitivity From 19 GCMs Climate models are inconsistent in predicting the effects of clouds on climate. 5.6 All Sky Clear Sky 1.2 4.8 1.0 4.0 0.8 3.2 0.6 2.4 0.4 1.6 0.2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Temperature (K) Sensitivity Parameter 1.4 0.8 Model Number (Cess et al., 1990) CERES Objectives (1) For climate change analysis, provide a continuation of the ERBE record of radiative fluxes at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), analyzed using the same algorithms that produced the ERBE data. (2) Double the accuracy of estimates of radiative fluxes at TOA and the Earth's surface. (3) Provide cloud property estimates that are consistent with the radiative fluxes from surface to TOA. (4) Provide the first long-term global estimates of the radiative fluxes within the Earth's atmosphere. CERES Instrument • 5 instruments on 3 satellites (TRMM, Terra, Aqua) for diurnal and angular sampling. • Narrow field-of-view scanning radiometer with nadir footprint size of 10 km (TRMM); 20 km (Terra & Aqua). • Measures radiances in 0.3-5 µm, 0.3-200 µm and 8-12 µm. • Capable of scanning in several azimuth plane scan modes: fixed (FAP) or crosstrack, rotating azimuth plane (RAP), programmable (PAP). • Coincident Cloud and Aerosol Properties from MODIS/VIRS 2.5 2.0 Terra/Flight Model 1 Lifetime Radiometric Stability Determined with the Internal Calibration Module Normalized to Ground Calibration Data 1.5 Absolute Calibration: 0.5% LW 1% SW 1% Window 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 Feb-00 Aug-00 Feb-01 Aug-01 Feb-02 Aug-02 Feb-03 DATE Stability Goal: better than 0.5% per 5 years While changes accounted for in CERES processing, ideal situation is change < 0.1% per mission. An overlapping Earth radiation climate record: 22 years from Nimbus 7 to Terra. Jan/Feb 98 El Nino TOA LW Flux Anomalies (relative to ERBE 1985-1989 average) CERES ERBE-Like LW Flux Observations NOAA GFDL Standard Climate Model NOAA GFDL Experimental Prediction Model uses CERES data only Aerosol 3-hourly 1-degree grid CERES is a Sensor Web: up to 11 instruments on 7 spacecraft all integrated to obtain climate accuracy in top to bottom fluxes CERES Single Scanner Footprint (SSF) Product - Coincident CERES radiances and imager-based cloud and aerosol properties. - Use VIRS (TRMM) or MODIS (Terra, Aqua) to determine following parameters in up to 2 cloud layers over every CERES FOV: Macrophysical: Fractional coverage, Height, Radiating Temperature, Pressure Microphysical : Phase, Optical Depth, Particle Size, Water Path Clear Area : Albedo, Skin Temperature, Aerosol optical depth, Emissivity Layer 2 VIRS/MODIS Imager Pixel Layer 1 Clear CERES Footprint CERES Footprint Instantaneous TOA Flux Error by Cloud Property Estimated Instantaneous TOA Flux Error Region So Terra ADMs TRMM ADMs (W m-2) W m-2 (%) W m-2 (%) Tropics 1150 Midlat 870 Polar 540 Clear 5.2 (2.2) 4.2 (3.0) 12.8 (4.3) All-sky 14.3 (5.1) 13.5 (3.9) 17.3 (5.9) Clear 7.7 (3.5) 7.3 (5.6) 37.0 (11.7) All-sky 14.3 (5.8) 13.7 (4.1) 29.2 (9.8) Cloud Radiative Forcing By Cloud Type Cloud Forcing by Cloud Type Single-Layer Low - Effective Cloud Top Pressure (mb) > 680 Single-Layer Mid-Level - 680 - 440 Single-Layer High - < 440 -Lower layer liquid water -Upper layer ice - Cloud Type Multilayer Cloud Phase Net CRF Contribution by Cloud Type Low DECEMBER, 2001 High Mid-Level Multilayer (W m-2) Cloud Forcing By Effective Cloud Top Pressure and Optical Depth (Dec 2001) Cloud Forcing By Effective Cloud Top Pressure and Optical Depth (June 2001) Summary - CERES provides a unique dataset for studying the influence of clouds and aerosols on the Earth’s radiation budget: i) Measurement stability to better than 0.5% for monitoring radiative flux changes. ii) Combined radiative fluxes, cloud and aerosol properties for climate model validation and process studies. iii) Improved TOA flux accuracy by a factor of 2-5 over previous radiation budget datasets => Can now quantify how different cloud types influence the Earth’s radiation budget. - New Global Radiation Budget (surface and TOA) for 3 years of Terra data released to the climate community by April 2004. Future: • Combine CERES+MISR to study radiative effect of clouds at different spatial scales. • Merge measurements from CERES & MODIS (Aqua) with CALIPSO, CloudSat, PARASOL. Improved radiative forcing estimates, especially for thin and multilayer clouds, aerosols. • Climate model use of global datasets, comparisons between models and observations.