Snow and Lake Hydrology at the Forest/Tundra Transition in the Western Canadian Arctic: Processes, Parameterization, and Modelling Philip Marsh Adjunct Professor Dept. of Geography University of Saskatchewan & Research Scientist National Water Research Institute Environment Canada Main Themes of this project • Will consider: – snow accumulation, melt and runoff at a variety of scales – the role of lakes in the hydrological cycle – understanding processes and developing parameterization – a variety of terrain and vegetation types at the northern forest/tundra transition zone, including: forest, shrubs, tundra and lakes – use a variety of models. In addition to CRHM, CLASS, and MESH, we use a variety of process models, small scale hydrological models, and snow models. Long term observation sites that contribute to: a variety of Environment Canada programs including ongoing studies related to the proposed MGP project; CCAF; a previous CFCAS project; and MAGS for example Existing Field Sites - Inuvik, NWT area Big Lake Beaufort Sea Denis Lagoon Trail Valley Creek TVC HPC TVC Lake 0 50 K ilo m e tre s Mackenzie River @ Arctic Red R. Havikpak Creek “Standard” hydrological research observations Forest Discharge Tundra Shrub Lake Snow survey LiDAR Data -Data available for: - HPC - TVC - Drained like site - Denis Lagoon TVC Basin Data includes: - DEM - Vegetation height - at 2 m x 2m grids NRC Twin Otter Aircraft aircraft observations - 1999 TVC Tower • aircraft eddy correlation measurements provide an estimate of basin average measurement of spatial variability at a 2 km resolution This combination of data sets helps us understand how to scale upwards from a point to a region • Larger Scale – 20 km: aircraft flux measurements – 2 km: aircraft flux measurements – 100 m: tower based flux measurements – Point: measurements of micromet, snow accumulation and melt • Smaller Scale Experience with a variety of models used to upscale and to test parameterizations • Larger Scale • – – – – CRCM MESH CLASS CRHM – – – – TOPOFLOW SNOWMODEL “Pohl” model (collection of radiation, wind, advection, melt models) Process models Smaller Scale Snow Processes and Parameterizations 7628000 420 380 7626000 Will build upon work by our research group to consider: 340 300 7624000 260 220 180 7622000 140 100 - Spatial variability in - snow accumulation - turbulent fluxes - incident radiation - advection - snowmelt - change in SWE and factional area 7620000 60 7618000 550000 552000 554000 556000 558000 560000 562000 7628000 136 134 132 130 128 126 124 122 120 118 116 114 112 110 108 106 7626000 7624000 7622000 7620000 - include aircraft flux data for validation 7618000 550000 - utilize Lidar DEM and vegetation data - include multiple years of data - improved incorporation of the role of shrubs using ongoing work with Murray Mackay using observations and CLASS 552000 554000 556000 558000 560000 562000 Lake Processes and Parmeterization Will consider: TVC Lake • lake ice • open water evaporation • energy and water balance • runoff into/out of lake • will work with Murray Mackay to test lake model • will work with Raoul Granger to consider lake evaporation • consider effects of sub-grid lakes on regional fluxes Denis Lagoon Hydrological Model Testing 12 100 12 100 90 90 10 80 10 80 70 70 8 8 60 60 50 6 50 6 40 40 30 4 30 4 20 20 2 10 Obs. 2 4 6 8 10 12 0 14 16 10 2 Model 2 4 0 7 6 8 10 12 14 Measured Modelled Precip 6 100 90 5 16 4 5 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Distributed Snow, Distributed Melt Distributed Snow, Uniform Melt Uniform Snow, Distributed Melt Uniform Snow, Uniform Melt SCA from Sat Images 3 4 3 2 2 1 1 130 132 134 136 138 140 142 144 146 148 150 152 154 156 158 160 162 JD of 1999 0 0 20-Apr 30-Apr 10-May20-May30-May 9-Jun 19-Jun 29-Jun 1998 Precip [mm] SCA [%] 70 Runoff [m3/s] 80 Holmes (NWRI) Discharge Stations ZED (NWRI) Hans (WSC) TVC (WSC) HPC (WSC) Cabin Caribou Rengling Larger scale River: Anderson River (WSC) to the East of the delta Schedule, milestones, and deliverables • Year 1 – T1: install and upgrade hydrometeorological network in research basins (completed) – T1: begin analysis of MAGS turbulent flux data (tower data ongoing, aircraft data delayed until appropriate student found) – T2: setup CRHM at test basins – T2: assess existing parameterizations mass and energy (ongoing with comparison to CLASS with M. Mackay – T2: Assessment of MAGS aircraft for use in regional fluxes (ongoing, but delayed due to reduced funding) • Year 2 – T1: field sites operational – T1: ongoing analysis of radiation and turbulent transfer data from lake and snow experiments – T1: new and developing descriptions – CHRM – T2: evaluate MESH to mass and energy – T2: develop improved snow, melt parameterizations Issues • Recruiting 2 Ph.D. students to work on this project • Aircraft flux data – Budget reduction has affected this aspect of the project – Discussions with Murray Mackay on how best to proceed Why? • Training of next generation of hydrologists • Environment Canada – We require improved predictive models – For variety of major impact studies • Providing science required for EC to carry out the impact assessment and licensing of the proposed Mackenzie Gas Project • EC realizes that we must work in collaboration with our university colleagues to develop improved predictive methods