Conservation Auction in Sumberjaya watershed: Lessons learned for Payment for Sedimentation Reduction Schemes in Indonesia Beria Leimona (World Agroforestry Centre) Kelsey Jack (Tuft University) Conservation Tenders in Developed and Developing Countries – Status Quo, Challenges and Prospects September 11-14, 2013 Boppard, Germany Structure of presentation and research Part 1: Auction design and behaviour • Laboratory experiment with students • Framed-field experiment with hypothetical contract • Natural-field experiment with real contract monitored for 1 year performance Part 2: Natural-field auction as part of a PES programme to reduce sedimentation • Monitoring results • Farmers’ understanding to auction concept • Perspective on social and environmental benefits of contracted and non-contracted farmers 1 Auction design and behavior A PES procurement contract auction increases efficiency of PES contract allocation. Design and administer procurement auction for farmers in developing countries’ contexts Design of Procurement Auction Auction component Options Auction type One-sided, sealed bid, 2nd price Vickrey with budget constrained Tie-rule Random Pricing rule Uniform Reserve price Without reserve price Bidding units Total WTA Bidder numbers Known Bidder strategy No collusion Activities contracted Determined in advance Number of rounds Announced in advance Announcement of provision winners Announce ID numbers Announcement of amount of limited budget Concealed Room cleaning Contract Scenario To clean their boarding room once a week. Frequency of monitoring Every weekend –continuously for six months. Payment period 50% after signing the contract, 30% after three months of good implementation and 20% at the end of the contract. Baseline characteristics Characteristics Number of participants Female Laboratory auction 24 37.5% Semester attended (mean) 6.12 Current cumulative grade (0-4) (mean) 2.82 Size of the room (mean) in m-square 11.86 Monthly expenditure at least $50-$70 87.5% Sharing room 37.5% Time spent inside the room daily (hour) 11.5 Daily cleaning room 66.7% Access to cleaning tools 83.3% Final auction outcomes from laboratory experiment Auction Outcomes Number of winners Number of m-square winning 9 (37.5%) 98.5 (34.6%) Mean bid 5.16 Minimum bid 0.30 Maximum bid 50.00 Std deviation bid 10.83 Auction winners (Rp 10,000) Mean bid 0.44 Minimum bid 0.30 Maximum bid 0.49 Std deviation bid 0.0571 Research Site: Sumberjaya District Way Besai River 55,000 ha sub-district coinciding with Way Besai upper watershed About 40% protection forest and 10% national park 2003: 82,453 people Density: 150 people/km 2 Current public investment scheme: land rehabilitation and ‘community development’ program Dam Reward transfer for reducing sedimentation from upstream of the watershed Coffee cultivations: monoculture and multistrata Community as ‘land managers’ Agroforestry system (shade coffee & fruit trees) could maintain watershed function Research Steps for Framed and Natural Field Auction Conservation Contract Soil conservation activities Sediment pits: 300 per hectare, standard dimensions size: 100x150x40 cm evenly distributed Ridging: 50 percent of plot Vegetation strips: surrounding pits and ridging Maintaining all the land conservation structure above for a year. Payment schedule 50 percent at inception; 50 percent at one year contingent on performance Duration and monitoring One year with monitoring every three months; termination if 50% contracted activities not completed by midterm monitoring date Cancellation or non-compliance results in: ineligibility for second payment installation friction and conflict among community members indication of corruption Force majeur provision for contract terms in the event of natural disasters Baseline characteristics Characteristics Number of participants Framed-field auction Natural-field auction 43 82 Distance from plot to road (mean) 16.56 25.96 Asset (mean – Rp 10 000) 6963 7830 Education (yrs) 6.56 5.76 36% ; 50% 79% ; 66% Slope (participants on slope >25%) 37% 46% History with external organizations (supported by at least 2 organizations) 91% 92% Current soil conservation Winners; losers Final auction outcomes from field experiment Auction Outcomes Framed-field Natural-field 19 (44%) 34 (41%) 16.5 (40%) 25 (37%) 231 264 Minimum bid 15 60 Maximum bid 2000 2500 416 310 111.45 115.38 Minimum bid 15 60 Maximum bid 300 150 78.59 19.95 Number of winners Number of hectares contracted Mean bid Std deviation bid Auction winners (Rp 10,000) Mean bid Std deviation bid 0 0 500 Final bid (thousand Rp) 50 100 150 Final bid (Rp 10,000) 1000 1500 200 2000 Supply curve resulting from reverse auction 0 200 100 Metre-square enrolled Laboratory auction 300 0 10 20 Hectare enrolled 30 40 Framed-field auction Natural-field auction Bid adjustment (absolute value) across learning round Laboratory auction Framed-field auction Natural-field auction 2 Natural Field Auction and PES experiment • Total participants from 2 villages: 82 farmers bidding on 70 hectares • Participants received contracts for soil conservation: 34 farmers on 25 hectares • Average price of contract: USD 171.70 per hectare yearly – labor requirements of contract based on wages approximately USD 300 – Past investment for soil conservation activities from survey USD 225 Average village compliance Contract compliance N % % activities Mean bid completed (Rp 10 000) Mid-point 2 6 26.13 100.00 32 94 99.81 116.41 Non-compliant 15 44.12 81.92 118.33 Compliant 19 55.88 132.68 113.16 Non-compliant Compliant Final Problem with the auction design? Good design but not understood? Optimal but realized cost and values makes it logical for people to be aggressive early then defect Farmers’ understanding of auction design Variable Understanding of the auction rules Not understand at all Moderately understand Quite understand Understand Understand very well Complexity of the auction rules Very difficult Quite difficult Quite easy Easy Very easy Fairness of the auction implementation Not fair Fair Frequency Frequency Non-contracted (N=48) Contracted (N=34) Total 3 16 11 3 15 (0.06) (0.33) (0.23) (0.06) (0.31) 0 8 12 3 11 (0.00) (0.24) (0.35) (0.09) (0.32) 3 24 23 6 26 2 17 7 18 4 (0.04) (0.35) (0.15) (0.38) (0.08) 1 14 10 7 2 (0.03) (0.41) (0.29) (0.21) (0.06) 3 31 17 25 6 3 (0.09) 31 (0.91) 10 72 7 (0.15) 41 (0.85) Farmers’ understanding of auction design Variable Awareness of competition among participants Not aware Aware Contract value received Too low Not too low Moderate High Too high Willingness to change the offer Yes No Frequency Frequency Non-contracted (N=48) Contracted (N=34) Total 10 (0.21) 38 (0.79) 9 (0.26) 25 (0.74) 19 64 19 (0.40) 17 (0.35) 12 (0.25) - 5 (0.15) 17 (0.50) 12 (0.35) - 24 34 24 - 12 (0.25) 36 (0.75) 12 (0.35) 22 (0.65) 24 58 Perspective of non-contracted and contracted farmers on social impacts Variable Frequency Frequency Fisher’s exact test Non-contracted (N=48) Contracted (N=34) P-value Impact on relationships between winners and losers Very bad 0.143* 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00) Bad 5 (0.10) 6 (0.18) Quite good 17 (0.35) 9 (0.26) Good 21 (0.44) 19 (0.56 Very good 5 (0.10) 0 (0.00) Impact on general interpersonal relationships among the community Very bad 0.175 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00) Bad 3 (0.06) 2 (0.06) Quite good 18 (0.38) 13 (0.38) Good 21 (0.44) 19 (0.56) Very good 6 (0.13) 0 (0.00) Impact on information exchange between farmers Very bad 0.055** 1 (0.02) 0 (0.00) Bad 7 (0.15) 0 (0.00) Quite good 19 (0.40) 17 (0.50) Good 13 (0.27) 14 (0.41) Very good 8 (0.17) 3 (0.09) Perspective on environmental impacts from noncontracted and contracted farmers Variable Frequency Frequency Noncontracted (N=48) Contracted (N=34) Awareness of soil and water conservation Very bad Bad Quite good Good Very good Willingness to implement soil and water conservation No Yes Fisher’s exact test P-value 0.188 0 2 30 7 9 (0.00) (0.04) (0.63) (0.15) (0.19) 0 1 16 12 5 (0.00) (0.03) (0.47) (0.35) (0.15) 0.340 (0.509) 2 (0.04) 46 (0.96) 0 (0.00) 34 (1.00) Note: results from 2-sided Fisher’s exact test are in parenthesis. The others are calculated from 1-sided Fisher’s exact test. For the frequency column, proportion is in parenthesis Adopter and non-adopter N % Mean bid (Rp 10,000) No adoption 17 35.42 336.87 Adoption 31 64.58 388.10 • Compliance/adoption on bids is not significant • Changes in bidding (average adjustment) not significantly predict compliance or adoption Can it work in a rural context of development countries? • The auction for the PES programme in Indonesia was designed for fairness reasons. – uniform pricing – However, uniform pricing is relatively less cost-effective compared to the discriminative price rule. • The auction was a multiple round consisting of eight rounds with the last binding round. – Farmers learned from the rounds of the auction. However, the announced last round may introduce forms of strategic behaviour. – By announcing the last round, the benefits from farmers’ learning on the previous round and the advantages of a one-shot auction for the last round were combined. What are factors induced a high accomplishment rate? Discussion • The rate of accomplishment at the final monitoring was moderate. – lack of leadership and coordination among farmer group members, – difficulty in finding grass seedlings to accomplish the contract, and – coincidence with coffee harvesting time. • In this specific case, private contract tends to be more successful compared to collective contract when leadership is lacking or “champion” among the community members does not exist. – Institutional aspects and contract flexibility might influence the accomplishment of conservation efforts. – Analysis showed that there were no significant differences in level of understanding, complexity, and competitiveness and conservation awareness between compliant and non-compliant farmers. Discussion • A limitation of this study is that all units of the pilot site were treated as homogeneous, with respect to their contribution to erosion and downstream sedimentation. • For a larger scale allocation auction, modifications such as using supply curve information resulting from this procurement auction would be more appropriate. – a reasonable platform for designing a scaled up payment scheme, including differential rates and eligibility rules necessary for targeting participants. How to make it work? The design of an experimental auction should fit the purpose of overall objectives of a conservation program. Design and administer a “fair” auction for farmers with low formal education, prone to social conflicts, and influenced by power structures within their community. Thank You Future works within the World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF): • Extending PES schemes in watersheds in Indonesia and testing conservation auctions for rural setting; • Integrating climate change adaptation and mitigation Contact: LBeria@cgiar.org