From a debt crisis towards a more efficient and integrated European financial market, under a new supervisory regime Pedro Duarte Neves • Vice-Governor Cascais, 15 October 2015 Annual Convention of the European Leasing and Consumer Credit Industries 1. High debt and (not much) deleveraging 2. Consumer credit and leasing: recent trends 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives 4. Looking ahead 2• 15 October 2015 1. High debt and (not much) deleveraging Some stylised facts on high levels of indebtedness • Many credit booms have been followed by either economic underperformance or a financial crisis [Dell’Ariccia, et all (2012), IMF] • High debt can be a drag on economic growth [Ceccetti, et all (2011), BIS] • High levels of public debt tend to exacerbate the effects of private sector deleveraging after a crisis [Jordà & Schularick (2013), Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco] 6• 15 October 2015 1. High debt and (not much) deleveraging 2. Consumer credit and leasing: recent trends 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives 4. Looking ahead 7• 15 October 2015 1. High debt and (not much) deleveraging 2. Consumer credit and leasing: recent trends 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives 4. Looking ahead 10 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Microprudential framework Single rulebook • CRD IV/CRR sets the primary regulatory framework • The EBA prepares regulatory and implementing technical standards, as well as guidelines within the scope of the CRR/CRD IV (which covers all types of credit granted by credit institutions). Some examples are: • RTS on IRB assessment methodology • Discussion Paper on the Future of the IRB Approach • Guidelines on default definition (EBA presentation tomorrow) • The single rulebook is vital for the internal market and for the functioning of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (presentation tomorrow on the impact of the SSM for specialised lending institutions) 11 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Microprudential framework Impact assessment of the implementation of CRR/CRD The European Commission conducted a consultation on the possible impact of the CRR and CRD IV on bank financing of the economy (consultation period ended 07 October 2015) Some issues of interest • Lending to corporates • Lending to SMEs • Proportionality • Complexity of the regulatory framework This is a process of ex-post impact assessment of regulation. 12 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Macroprudential framework Macroprudential policy Aims to contribute to the prevention or mitigation of systemic risks to financial stability that arise from developments within the financial system, taking into account macro-economic developments, so as to avoid periods of widespread financial distress, and thereby ensuring a sustainable contribution of the financial sector to economic growth. The development of analytical tools to detect potential systemic risks is crucial for macroprudential policy. 13 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Macroprudential framework Work of the ESRB • • Expressed concerns over excessive private and public debt levels in its regular risk assessment • «the General Board discussed the need to monitor medium-term risks related to public and private debt sustainability.», ESRB GB press release, 24 September 2015 • «An economy-wide debt overhang therefore has profound macroeconomic and macro-financial implications in an environment of very low nominal growth.», ESRB annual report 2014 Report on misconduct risk in the banking sector (June 2015) 14 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Conduct supervision Mandate of the authorities To be effective, conduct supervision should have a clear and comprehensive mandate including: • Rule-making powers • Oversight • Complaints handling • Enforcement • Financial information However, supervisory institutional arrangements to monitor and address conduct issues differ greatly among EU countries 16 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Conduct supervision EBA work on consumer protection: main strategic areas in credit markets Product oversight and governance aimed at ensuring that the interests, objectives and characteristics of consumers are taken into account when retail banking products are designed and brought to market Responsible lending aimed at ensuring that creditors assess consumers’ creditworthiness and product suitability before concluding credit agreements Treatment of borrowers in arrears aimed at ensuring that creditors implement measures which attempt to resolve with the borrower any payment difficulties before initiating foreclosure proceedings Remuneration aimed at ensuring that creditors implement robust remuneration policies that will improve links between incentives and the fair treatment of consumers, and reduce the level of risk and potential for misselling 17 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Conduct supervision Work of the Joint Committee (JC) of the European Supervisory Authorities on conduct risks In its March 2015 Risk Report, the JC Risk Sub Committee recommended: • Strengthening product oversight and corporate governance controls - External audits to the corporate governance systems • Improving the regulatory framework applicable to conduct risks - Key areas: sales incentives, product oversight and governance arrangements • Improving supervisory practices to address conduct risks - Inclusion of conduct risk in stress testing exercises; develop supervisory benchmarks for conduct risk; ensuring factoring of conduct risk in banks’ ICAAPs - Mystery shopping inspections; whistle-blowing; forensic auditing exercises 18 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Financial literacy Financial literacy as a complement of banking conduct supervision • Focusing on retail banking markets’ supply and demand • Promoting financial literacy as a complement to regulation, oversight and enforcement Strategic role of financial literacy • Appropriate decision-making by consumers promotes market efficiency and contributes to financial stability and economic growth • Consumer are more capable of selecting loans that are more adjusted to their financial capability (responsible borrowing) The involvement of National Supervisors in financial literacy • Conducting surveys on the financial literacy of the population • Leadership of National Strategies for Financial Education • Implementing financial information and education initiatives 19 • 15 October 2015 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives Financial literacy Surveys on financial literacy • Surveys measure financial knowledge and behaviours, allow for a diagnosis of needs and facilitate setting priorities for financial education • In Portugal and in other European countries (e.g. United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, Finland, Norway, Czech Republic) National Strategies for Financial Education (NSFE) • NSFE are lead by public authorities but join efforts of many stakeholders, promoting efficiency in financial education delivery • In Portugal: since 2011, with the other two financial supervisors, and priority was given to the development of a website Todos Contam (www.todoscontam.pt), financial education in schools in partnership with the Ministry of Education and Science, financial education for micro and small firms in partnership with the Ministry of Economy • In other countries: e.g. Spain, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Ireland, Czech Republic 20 • 15 October 2015 1. High debt and (not much) deleveraging 2. Consumer credit and leasing: recent trends 3. The European legal and regulatory framework: key ongoing initiatives 4. Looking ahead 21 • 15 October 2015 4. Looking ahead Looking ahead… • Completion of the Banking Union • A more active macroprudential supervision • Strengthening of conduct supervision • Development of a Capital Markets Union In September 2015, the European Commission released an Action Plan on Building a Capital Markets Union • Challenges regarding EU Financial Services Regulation In August 2015, the European Parliament released a draft report on stocktaking and challenges of the EU Financial Services Regulation 22 • 15 October 2015 From a debt crisis towards a more efficient and integrated European financial market, under a new supervisory regime Pedro Duarte Neves • Vice-Governor Cascais, 15 October 2015 Annual Convention of the European Leasing and Consumer Credit Industries