Representing p g games g Lectures in Game Theory Spring 2011, Part 1 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 1 Game theory studies multi-person decision problems, and analyzes agents that are rational (have well-defined preferences) reason strategically i ll (take ( k into i account their h i knowledge and beliefs about what others do) Applications Industrial organization (incl. oligopoly theory) Bargaining g g and auction theoryy Labor market and financial economics Macro economics International economics 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 2 1 Classification Non-cooperative game theory Studies the outcome of individual actions in a situation without external enforcement. Contract and cooperative game theory. Studies the outcome of joint actions in a situation with external enforcement. Seeks to develop solution concepts, prescriptions or predictions about the outcomes of games 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 3 Major tensions of strategic interaction The conflict between individual and group interests. Strategic uncertainty. The specter of inefficient coordination 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 4 2 Representing games A game can be analyzed both in the extensive form and the normal form. Stay out Entrant IIncumbent b t Accept Fight 0, 2 Fight - 1, - 1 Enter Incumbent Inc mbent Accept 10.12.2010 Enter 1, 1 - 1, - 1 Entrant Stay out 0, 2 0, 2 1, 1 5 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 The extensive form specifies Players: {1, ... , i, ... , n} What actions an actingg player p y can choose among, what an acting player knows. Payoff for each of the players as a function of the actions that are realized. 2 H 1 Decision node (initial node) 10.12.2010 H L 1, 2 1, 1 L 1 2 H 2, 1 Decision nodes L Payoffs assigned to players 1 and 2 at terminal nodes 0, 0 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 6 3 Information sets Dynamic 2 H 1, 2 game H 1 L 1, 1 2 H 2, 1 L L 0, 0 H 1 L Static game 2 H 1, 2 L 2 H 1, 1 2, 1 L 0, 0 Definition : An informatio n set for player i is a set of decision nodes that satisfies at all decision nodes in the info. set, player i moves, when the info. set is reached, i does not know which of the set' s decision nodes has been reached. 10.12.2010 7 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 Strategy Definition : A strategy for player i is a plan of action that, for each of i' s info. sets, specifies a feasible action. 2 H 1, 2 H 1, 1 2 1 2 H H 1 1 L 1, 1 L 1, 1 2 H 2, 1 2 H 2, 1 L L L 0, 0 L 0, 0 HH HL LH LL H 1, 2 1, 2 1, 1 1, 1 H H 1, 2 L 2, 1 0, 0 2, 1 0, 0 L 2, 1 0, 0 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 L 1, 1 8 4 The normal form specifies Players: {1, ... , i, ... , n} For each p player, a strategy set: Si For each player, a payoff function: ui G ( S1 ,, Sn ; u1 ,, un ) Payoff for each player i depends on the strategy profile : ui ( s1 , , sn ) ui ( si , si ) where, for all j , s j S j , and where we write si ( s1 , , si 1 , si 1 , , sn ) 10.12.2010 9 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 Classic normal form games Matching Pennies Coordination Prisoners’ Dilemma Pareto Coordination Battle of the Sexes Stag Hunt Hawk-Dove/Chicken Pigs 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 10 5 Application of the normal form Stay out Entrant E t Enter Incumbent Accept Fight Enter 1, 1 - 1, - 1 Entrant Fight g - 1, 1 -1 Stay out 0, 2 0, 2 0, 2 Incumbent Accept 1, 1 Fight Stay out Accept Entrant Enter 10.12.2010 Does a normal form represent dynamic interaction in an adequate way? Or should a normal form only be used for the analysis of static interaction? Notice that different extensive forms may have the same normal form. 0, 2 0, 2 Fight - 1, - 1 Incumbent Accept 1, 1 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 11 Beliefs, mixed strategies, and exp. utility Strategic uncertainty (uncertainty about opponent choice) leads to beliefs about opponent behavior. If payoffs are von Neumann-Morgenstern utility, then: Expected payoff for player i : ui ( si , i ) s i S i i ( si )ui ( si , si ) where i is a p prob. distr. over opponent pp str. p profiles. A mixed strategy is a probability distribution over the player’s own strategies. Interpretation: (a) The player randomizes. (b) Her opponents are uncertain. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-1 12 6