Static games: Rationalizability Lectures in Game Theory Spring 2011, Part 2 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 1 Questions to answer: How do players behave in static strategic situations? How should players behave in such situations? Analysis: y Apply the normal form (as a representation of games where all actions are taken simultaneously and independently). Model ‘rational behavior’. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 2 Strict dominance Some examples: Definition : A pure strategy si of player i is strictly dominated if there is a stragegy (pure or mixed) i Si such that ui ( i , si ) ui ( si , si ) for all strategy gy p profile si S i of his opponents. Write UDi Set of undominate d strategies . Comments: — A strategy is strictly dominated if there is another strategy that is better for all opponent choices. — The dominating strategy may be mixed. — Weak dominance is not sufficient. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 3 1 Simple theory of individually rational behavior: Players do not use strictly dominated strategies. Player i chooses some si UDi First tension: Individually rational behavior may not lead to collectively efficient outcomes. The concept of efficiency Definition : A strategy profile s ( s1 , , si , , sn ) is (Pareto) efficient if there is no other strategy profile s ( s1, , si, , sn ) such that ui ( s) ui ( s ) for every player i and u j ( s) u j ( s ) for some player j. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 4 Equivalent Alternative theory of individually rational behavior: Players use strategies that can be best responses. Definition : Suppose player i has a belief i S i about the strategies played by his opponents. Player i' s strategy si Si is a best response to i if ui ( si , i ) ui ( si, i ) for every si Si . Write BRi ( i ) Set of best respo nses to i , and Bi {si | there is a belief i S i such that si BRi ( i )}. Player i chooses some si Bi 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 5 Strict dominance and best response compared Observations for two-player games: – If a strategy is not strictly dominated, then it is a best response to some belief. – If a strategy is strictly dominated, then it is not a best response to some belief. Result : In a finite two - player gam e, B1 UD1 and B2 UD2 . In games with more than two players, the equivalence between strict domianance and best response is obtained if beliefs are correlated. Result : In a finite game, Bi Bic UDi for each i 1,2, , n. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 6 2 Algorithm for finding Bi UDi in two-player games Step 1: Strategies that are best responses to simple (point mass) beliefs are in Bi. Step 2: Strategies that are dominated by other pure strategies are not in Bi. Step 3: Other strategies can be tested for mixed strategy dominance to see whether they are in Bi. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 7 Sophisticated theory of individually rational behavior: Iterated strict dominance (Iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies) Some examples: In two-player games, iterated strict dominance is equivalent to the procedure in which strategies that are r neverr b bestt rresponses p are r rremoved d iin each h rround. d Rationalizability Strategies that survive iterated strict dominance are called rationalizable strategies. Weak dominance is not sufficient. 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 8 Two problems with iterated strict dominance 1. It is based on an assumption that it is commonly believed that players choose rationally. 2. In many games there are no strictly dominated strategies strategies. Second tension: Common belief of individually rational behavior may not lead to coordination. Question: How to analyze games where iterated strict dominance has no bite? 10.12.2010 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-2 9 3