ISES, and a Solar Energy
Roadmap to a Renewable
Energy World
Presented by
David Renné, President
www.ises.org
RFF-IETA COP 16 Side
Event
Panel 1: Solar Energy Prospects, Policy, and
Experience
6 December 2010
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Outline
•
Solar Technologies, briefly
•
PV’s successful business model
•
ISES’ roadmap to a RE future
•
The role of policy
•
The role for ISES
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Applications of Solar Heat and Electricity
Passive solar
Solar Thermal
Hot water
Distributed
Generation,
on-site or
near point of
use
Photovoltaics (PV)
Transportation
Centralized
Generation,
large users
or utilities
Concentrating
Solar Power (CSP)
Residential &
Commercial
Buildings
Industrial
Multiple Factors Working Together
Result in Successful PV Markets
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
PV Module Production Experience (or “Learning”) Curve
1976
20% “learning curve” since 1975
Module price decreases by
20% for every doubling of
cumulative production
2015: 100 GWp
2005
35% growth
$1.00/Watt
80%
2008: ~ 17.8 GWp
~$3.50/Watt
2017 U.S. goal:
$0.50/Watt
Source: USDOE/NREL, Ajeet Rohatgi, Solar 2009
World PV Cell/Module Production –
1988-2008 (Megawatts)
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
What does the ISES Vision “Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy World” mean?
…it means a roadmap to a world powered 100%
by renewable energy by the year 2050…
…it also means access to safe clean renewable
energy for all of the world citizens…
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
…so, what would such a roadmap look like, and
how does ISES fit in?
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Many Elements are Involved in a
Renewable Futures Roadmap
Government Policy
Investment environment
Access to low-cost capital (“bankability)
Technology maturity and scale-up
Resource availability
New R&D breakthroughs
Public acceptance
Utility acceptance
Supportive infrastructure
Globalization
…etc.
Photo credit: NREL PIX
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
…however, these key elements are
essential
Gender empowerment
Local and Community Action
Urban Planning
Building Design
Transportation Planning
Land Use Planning
Consumption patterns
Materials use
Energy Efficiency
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Photo Credits: NREL PIX
IEA’s “Deploying Renewables: Principals for
Effective Policies”…
…Contributes to PV
Roadmap goals.
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
“11% PV by 2050”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Resulting CSP Resource Potential
Solar
Capacity
State
AZ
CA
CO
NV
NM
TX
UT
Total
Land Area
(mi 2)
(MW)
13,613 1,742,461
6,278
803,647
6,232
797,758
11,090 1,419,480
20,356 2,605,585
6,374
815,880
23,288 2,980,823
87,232 11,165,633
Solar
Generation
Capacity
GWh
4,121,268
1,900,786
1,886,858
3,357,355
6,162,729
1,929,719
7,050,242
26,408,956
The table and map represent land that has no
primary use today, exclude land with slope > 1%,
and do not count sensitive lands.
Solar Energy Resource  6.0
Capacity assumes 5 acres/MW
Generation assumes 27% annual capacity
factor
Current total nameplate capacity in the
U.S. is 1,000GW w/ resulting annual
generation of 4,000,000 GWh
How Much can Solar Reduce U.S.
Carbon Emissions?
Source: ASES, “Tackling Climate Change
The Role for ISES…




Global network formation (Sections, Int’l Agencies)
Linking developing with developed countries
Technical and policy information exchange
Education (ISEE) and Workforce Development

Technology transfer through projects

Energy equity and access programs

Support to the RE Scenarios
-
.
Renewable energy potentials
Technology developments
Best practices
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
International Solar Energy Society
•
Non-profit Membership Organisation (NPO)
•
NGO, accredited by the United Nations
•
A Legacy for uniting policy, science, industry and
end-user for sustainable global development
•
Strategic partnerships with UN organizations,
REN-Alliance, other NGO’s
•
Informs RE stakeholders of the latest scientific
and technical developments
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
ISES Vision: Rapid Transition to a Renewable
Energy World
Mission: ISES provides scientifically credible and
up-to date RE/EE information and networking
opportunities to the global communities of scientists,
educators, practitioners, industries, policy makers,
and to the general public.
Strategic Intent:
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
Global Leadership
Energized Membership
Solid Financial Basis
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Publications and Educational Tools

Solar Energy Journal

Membership Newsletter

White Papers and Position Papers

Conference DVD’s

Pocket Reference Books
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
.
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
Pocket Reference Books
Provide technical details in specific fields in a
handy, condensed format
* Solar Energy Pocket Book
published in 2005
* Wind Energy Pocket Book
published in 2008
* Passive Solar Architecture
Pocket Book
published in 2009
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
The pocket books are a benefit of ISES membership.
1 November 2010
Thank You!
-
RFF-IETA COP16/CMP6 Side
Event
“Rapid Transition to a
Renewable Energy
World”
ISES HQ at Villa Tannheim, Freiburg, Germany
4th ISES Latin
America
Conference
1 November 2010
http://www.ises.org