Shore Withdrawal: An Equitable Solution Victoria Durand Drexel University, History & Politics Department Introduction What is shore withdrawal, and why? >Global warming has caused ocean temperatures to rise dramatically in the past decade. Scientists agree that this increases the severity of hurricanes and other natural disasters >Scholars like the former Duke researcher Orrin Pilkey believe that rebuilding destroyed seaside towns is a pointless and dangerous endeavor, as their destruction is in his view, inevitable . A retreat or withdrawal, is then, necessary for safety reasons. >Seaside living is also becoming unrealistically expensive. The federal flood insurance program was intended to combat the high costs of coastal insurance, but the program is now millions of dollars in debt and in need of restructuring. >Hurricane Sandy, its financial damage and the difficulty that citizens had getting back on their feet demonstrated that without serious intervention, coastal settlements will soon become unlivable, particularly for those on the lower end of the economic spectrum. Methods The best example of recent shore retreat is in many shore communities in New York after Hurricane Sandy. >The bulk of my research involved comparing two towns that were effected by Hurricane Sandy: The town of Graham Beach in Staten Island, and the town of Seaside Heights New Jersey >I intended to find the differences between the two communities that led to them taking such radically different approaches. That is, the residents of Graham Beach decided to abandon the town entirely and find new residence, while Seaside Heights poured a huge amount of funding into rebuilding. >I examined the economic state of each town, their demographics, politics on both a statewide and local level and searched for other factors that may have contributed to the difference. Data/Results Economic Reasons: From the beginning of my research the most obvious difference between the communities was their economies. Graham Beach had a somewhat sluggish economy, even before the hurricane, as an aging former tourism spot. As such, the community had nothing to gain from maintaining its position on the shore. On the other hand, Seaside Heights was a community subsisting largely on tourism. Nearly half of its residents were seasonal, and it relied on attracting those seasonal residents to maintain economic stability. Withdrawal would take away its position as a tourist attraction, its main form of income. The other differences were political, both on the part of the towns and on the states they were in. While Seaside Heights stayed for economic purposes, it was also influenced by the politics of the New Jersey governor, Chris Christie. Christie, from the time Sandy first damaged the state, was insistent about rebuilding. He talked extensively, publically, about how New Jersey was “strong” enough to rebuild. This was likely related to his plans for advancement in the Republican party, including a potential presidential run. He knew that rebuilding, and the “Jersey Strong” campaign would be good political ammo for a potential presidential run. Cuomo seemed to do less political grandstanding, and focused more on preparation for the storm. Making the buyout program available was a decision on Cuomo’s part, but takin advantage of it was solely up to the discretion of the community. A community ballot, based on grassroots action by individual members. It was a great example of how future withdrawal will likely be undertaken: under the direction of community members, rather than under the direction of outside forces. Conclusion Withdrawal from the shore is an inevitability, but it must be done right. >Overall, Cuomo's solution seemed more ethical and more feasible for people in most situations. >In my opinion, a program similar to the New York buyout program on a larger scale would work, but with added measures to ensure economic prosperity after the fact. There should be attention paid to ensuring that displaced citizens are more somewhere that they can continue their livelihood. In this way it may benefit to keep the community together where at all possible. >Cuomo coupled the buyout program with a number of other relief programs that were meant to ease the financial burden on displaced citizens such as tax breaks and student loan repayment delays. In a larger scale displacement these would be absolutely necessary. Future Work The most important, and obvious future work would be to implement some of the ideas for shore withdrawal on the scale of smaller disasters, to ensure they would work on a large scale, should it become necessary. I think it must also be examined on a larger scale. Most of the nations most important city are on increasingly volatile shores. Eventually, entire large cities may have to be abandoned , and we must prepare politically for that. References Legal and population statistics come from the official state and local websites, respectively. Special acknowledgement to the National Weather Service for climate statistics. Acknowledgements Special thanks to Scott Knowles, my mentor on this project, Eva Thury and all others involved in the humanities research fellowship program which directed m research.y