Market Overview Sweden Food & Drinks Industry Day Thursday 27th November 2008 Market Overview • • • • • • • Population 9.1 million and increasing [immigration] Outside Eurozone - exchange rate €1 = 9.2 SEK Largest economy in the Nordic region GDP €300 billion = €33,000 per capita Unemployment rate of 7% Inflation overall is 3% but zero for Food & Drink Small average household size of 1.9 v EU 2.5 v Irl 3. Sweden Low Population Density 20 people /sq km Ireland = 53 / sq km Denmark 124 / sq km Food & Drink Market • Food & Drink grocery market - €24.2 billion in 2007 • % private consumer spending on Food & Drink is just 13.3% • Main trading partners – – – – – – Germany UK Denmark Finland Norway France • High taxation & social welfare regime • VAT rates – Services 25% – Food 12% – Alcohol 25% Market Dynamics • Swedish consumers display a high loyalty to domestic food – influx of ‘cheap’ food imports after EU Entry. • Self Sufficiency in beef is declining - now just 60% • Imported meat has had a ‘cheap’ image but this may be changing of late: – There seems to be an increasing consumer acceptance for imports • Authorities place stringent requirements on overseas suppliers vis-à-vis hygiene and food security – salmonella testing. • High consumer awareness of environmental issues, organic food production and animal welfare • Consumers are very price-sensitive regarding food purchases Irish F&D Exports to Sweden - €m Year 2006 Jan – Aug 2007 Change JanAug 07/06 Beef 80.0 49.6 -0.8% Lamb 7.1 4.0 -28.5% Pigmeat 2.7 1.4 +28.5% Other Food & Drinks 27.6 17.4 -1.1% Total 117.4 72.4 -3.8% Source: CSO Stats Meat Imports • Increasing due to the decline in domestic beef production and increased consumption. • Beef imports are circa 94,000 t cwe • Lamb imports 7,000 t cwe and increasing also • Major import suppliers of beef are : – – – – – Ireland Germany Denmark Holland Brazil, (Arg. Uruguay) • Lamb: Major suppliers are NZ & IRL -Poland -Belgium -Finland The Swedish Retail Market • Highly concentrated - top 3 retailers have 85-90% share • Many franchised stores within these retail groups – independent purchasing alongside central purchasing • Big country - excellent logistics & dedicated CPU’s • Hypermarkets growing faster than supermarkets • Food prices higher than in other EU markets – Some say it is due to the high level of concentration ! – High cost economy - labour costs, Quality controls, VAT, etc. ICA • Trend setter & market leader with 45-49% of retail market – ICA Maxi – ICA Supermarket, ICA Kvantum – Netto, Nara, Etos • Hakon Invest AB (40%) + Royal Ahold (60%) • All 1,500 stores have independent purchasing power Axfood • Axfood - part owned by Axel Johnson AB (45% of shares) – retail market share of 18-20%. – Willy’s & Willy’s Hemma – Hemkop – Tempo, Narliys • Grocery supplies – logistics routed through DAGAB Co-op • Second largest retailer with 21-23% market share – Co-op - Forum, Konsum, Extra and Nara stores Other retailers • Bergendahls – upmarket chain with 3-4% market share – – – – – Strong pro-Swedish policy for food purchasing Hypermarkets, City Gros (15) Supermarkets, AG (16) Convenience, Mat Oppet Discount, Ekohallen • Lidl (80) • Reitan – Convenience stores, 7 Eleven, Pressbyran (330) Foodservice & Manufacturing • Foodservice is a growing sector in Sweden • Leading players provide a full assortment / delivery service – – – – – Servera Menigo Martin Olsson Svensk Snabbmat Axfood Snabbgro • Manufacturers – Esca, SCAN, Dafgard, Procordia, Findus – purchase manufacturing beef for processing – directly or via specialist importers – Northtrade & Annerstedt Alcoholic Beverages Systembolaget • Systembolaget is a State-owned company with the exclusive right to retail wine, spirits and beer (>3.5%). • It has 411 stores, 540 agents and 330 suppliers • Total Sales in 2007 were €2.6 billion • Sales Volume: 160 million litres of wine, 207 million litres of beer and 19 million litres of spirits • Approved suppliers can be viewed on http://www.spritochvinleverantorerna.se Reasons for Targeting the Swedish Market • Sweden is the largest of the Nordic markets and has one of the highest per capita income levels in the world • Since EU entry farm production has declined and there is a growing structural deficit in meat, food ingredients and other foods. • Swedes have a favourable image of Irish food and drink • There is a concentrated retail sector with well developed logistics – this makes it very accessible for Irish exporters • It has strategic links into the other Scandinavian markets Barriers & Challenges • Nationalism and domestic preference – Swedes feel that their own food is nearly always better than imported food. • Salmonella and other veterinary regulations tend to be used to the disadvantage of food imports. • The Swedish Kroner is a small vulnerable currency that is now suffering from the economic turmoil across the world. • Regulation – for example, the off-trade sale of alcohol is regulated for alcohol over 3.5% proof. • Transport Costs and internal distribution are expensive • It is difficult for foreign suppliers to set up a base there Bord Bia Services • • • • • Retail Promotion of Quality Assured products Market Information & Trade Contacts Research tailored to company requirements Mentoring Service to enter and grow the market Contact Bord Bia Head Office: – frank.murray@bordbia.ie – Mobile + 353 87 7680567