^'^SfMf^- ^^ ALFRED P. WORKING PAPER SLOAN SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT Concession Bargaining — 1979 to 1983: Not Just The Same Old Thing Kirsten R. Wever Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyApril 1, 1983 WP#lA78-832c MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 50 MEMORIAL DRIVE CAMBRIDGE, MASSACHUSETTS 02139 Concession Bargaining — 1979 to 1983: Not Just The Same Old Thing Kirsten R. Wever Massachusetts Institute of Technology April 1, 1983 WP#1478-83a^ INTRODUCTION The unions in the auto, rubber, steel and airline industries, others, have been forced to make wage and benefit concessions over the last three Sometimes concession negotiations have years. labor as well. led to contract improvements outcome looks quite different from the contracts collective bargaining has yielded over the past three decades. pattern of regular and continuous gains on for Whether the concessions are unilateral But usually they have not. (on the part of labor) or bilateral, the among many all The dimensions encompassed by collective bargaining has been broken, or at least interrupted. This essay considers how concession bargaining differs from the more standard forms of collective bargaining that have been dominant over the past thirty years, and whether concession negotiations portend fundamental changes will be conducted in in the way American industrial relations the future. Since the late 1950s, both good and bad economic times have been paralleled by regular wage and benefit increases negotiated by American unions for their members. (Before that time, wages were more volatile because of the Depression, and due to austerity measures imposed by the government during and war.) Labor has scored benefit gains paid holidays and supplemental in the areas of vacation time, work rules, unemployment benefits (SUB), among wage increases have been particularly just after the striking. (See tables others. 1-3, below.) In But the steel industry, for instance, the average cost of labor per hour in wages and benefits Martin, Roderick, "The Effects of Recent Changes in Industrial Conflict on the Politics of Trade Unions: Britain and Germany," in Crouch, Colin, and Pizzorno, Alessandro, eds.. The Resurgence of_ Class Conflict ij]^ Western Europe Since 1968 (New York: MacMillan, 1978); C.f., Salpukas, Agis, "Steel Mood: Hopeful but Wary," in the New York Times, March 3, 1983 1. Internal , Table 1 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS IN AUTOS, STEEL AND RUBBER 1958 1960 1965 1970 1975 Autos Steel Rubber $2.47 2.70 $2.85 $2.65 1976 1977 1978 1979 Source: "Wage Patterns and Wage Data," Bureau of National Affairs, Washington DC, 20037 Tab le 2 GENERAL WAGE CHANGES IN H0:?E~7:DLLECTIVE BARGAINING UNITS Private Non-Farm Industries Manufacturing Non-Manufacturing (First year changes in contracts negotiated during the year; median increase.) trippled between 1973 and 1981. The seventies saw major increases in union-negotiated wages, particularly in the private non-farm and non-manufacturing industries, but also in manufacturing, where the average first year contract increase was 9.2% annual union wage increases 7.3% in scenario War II, workers 1981, only in 1982 is to manufacturing in plummet down to 2.9% in 6.U% to fell 1982. in 2 More recently, 1979. in 1980; it then rose to The volatility of the wage particularly striking in manufactures. Since the end of World the average gross hourly earnings of unionized and non-unionized production in manufacturing has increased every year. From 1975 to 1980 those increases were substantial compared with those of the previous three decades, especially considering the fact that the I97'f-76 period and the late seventies marked by economic recession. 1982 things were less certain. 1982 the average hourly wage But US manufacturing workers was of that figure had dropped to $8.51; October it in in September it Duly of $8.55; in August was back up to $8.59, but by Moreover, two had dropped again, to $8.56. In were fifths of the 2.7 million workers covered by 1982 collective bargaining settlements are not scheduled for any specified wage increases in 1983 at all. Organized labor's past economic gains have been due skill at the bargaining table. in part to the unions' Since the 1930s, collective bargaining has provided Handbook of Labor Statistics, December 1980, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington DC, 20008; Current Wage Developments, February 1983, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington DC, 20008 2. "Wage Patterns and Wage Data," 1983, Bureau DC, 20037 3. of National Affairs, Washington Davis, William M., "Collective Bargaining in 1983: A Crowded Agenda," in the Monthly Labor Review, January 1983, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington DC, 20008 '. - 3 the primary arena for labor gains. characterized the union By the movement and nnid 1950s industrial relations theorists the collective bargaining system as "stable" and "mature": To the disappointment ol some, and to the delight of others, the union movement stopped expanding after the mid-50s and the overall unionization rate began to decline. Union leaders turned more toward day-to-day bargaining relationships and the working out of a modus Vivendi with already organized employers. Such devices as multiyear agreements, ^escalator clauses and elaborate fringe benefits became commonplace. But the late 1970s and early '80s have seen falling profits and the highest unemployment Week levels since the Great Depression — currently over 10%. Business reports: Chalk up 1982 as the year of the skimpiest aftertax corporate The steel industry was hit with a record $3 billiion profits since 1976. loss, automotive companies lost an additional billion. Business Week's survey of 1,200 of the nation's largest companies, ranked by sales, shows a similar dismal pattern: profits down L6% for the year and earnings off 2^^% in the final quarter of 1982. The aggregate corporate profit margin has fallen. In the first quarter of 1980 after tax profits as a percentage of sales value were 5.5%; two years later that figure was '*.1%, and in the final quarter of 1982, it had fallen to just 3.6%. airline industry the annual stockholder earnings per share auto industry lost $1070.3 million in was -$1.55 In the in 1982. The profits: In the automobile industy, the 1982 loss was $1.1 billion, almost matching the $1.2 billion deficit of l981...Internatio;^l Harvester doubled its 1981 loss, ending $1.2 billion in the red. Mitchell, Daniel 3. B., "Collective Bargaining and the Economy," in Stieber, 3ack, McKersie, Robert, and Mills, D. Q., eds., US Industrial Relations 1950-1980: Critical Assessment (University of Wisconsin, Industrial Relations Research 2 Association, 1981), p. 5. , 6. "Corporate Scoreboard," 7. Ibid., p. in Business Week, March 63 - 4 - 14, 1983, p. 62 A Aggregate sales in the steel industry in 1982 fell 9% below sales: 1981 Bethlehem Steel, with red ink of $1.5 billion, accounted for But the losses ran $'t63 almost half of the industry's massive deficit. million at National Steel, more than $300 miliion apiece at Armco and US Steel, and $2^14 million at Republic Steel. Aggregate steel profits industry in 1982 were -$3102.3 million. 1982 profits in the tire ^^3% below 1981 profit levels. fell Concession bargaining has been concentrated over the last few years precisely the industries that have experienced such losses. months, the New York Times involved in last nine has reported of laoor concessions in front page articles about just these industries. airline sectors Over the in The unions in the auto, steel, rubber and (and the food and commercial workers) are those most frequently the concession bargaining cases of 1982. {See table 8) Concession negotiations necessarily operate on a different set of principles than those that have informed US industrial relations and management management of their a may have more in the past. First, both labor interest in joint problem solving to allow to keep firms and plants open and to let the unions maintain the jobs members. matter of sharing the sacrifices sectors of the But the character of their mutual interest in is negative: it is not the benefits of progress, as in the past, but of distributing managements deem necessary US economy. to sustain many historically dominant Secondly, and consequently, concession bargaining often results in joint union-management programs that tie the fortunes of the workers more closely to those of their firms or plants. Such programs, ranging from "Quality of Worklife" to employee stock ownership plans, became increasingly 8. Ibid. 5 - popular among management labor are often disturbing Further, in it is circles in the late 1970s. when But the implications for profits are falling and recovery seems possible that the introduction of such issues will force the unions' internal structures, and in unlikely. some changes their approach to the negotiations. Thirdly, concession bargaining leads to problems concerning the rank and file's support of its internationals. leadership and the relationship between union locals and their This may also require that labor officials adopt new ways of approaching management at the collective bargaining table. We will past begin by laying out the history of collective bargaining and a model that help us to categorize the ways in which concession bargaining deviates from modes and outcomes of industrial relations. Then we examine a set of concession bargaining cases that can be divided into two groups: one group characterized simply by wage and benefit concessions on labor's part; both the union(s) and management gave something up at in is the other, the bargaining table. Next, we analyze how concession bargaining outcomes differ from standard collective bargaining outcomes. concession bargaining really is Finally, we conclude by considering whether something new and different, and by examining the implications for organized labor, if it is. THE HISTORY AND STRUCTURE OF COLLECTIVE BARGAINING Collective bargaining has always been based on fundamental antagonisms between unions and managements. But the lack of industrial primarily on economic issues, not ideological ones. harmony has centered This section will briefly describe American organized labor's sense of economically-focussed "business unionism", the nature of the relationship between labor and - 6 management during the post-war period, and how the processes and outcomes of negotiations were shaped by the character of this relationship. Between 1933 and in wave of unionization The unionized proportion labor force. 11.5% 19't5 a 22.8% 1933, in of the non-agricultural labor force was 1937, and 35.8% by relatively friendly to the labor swept across the US manual 19^17.^ Public policy at the time movement, and the memory of the Depression spurred a general sense of support for workers' rights to decent jobs. American unionism had consisted of a sort of craft more mass-based, covering a wider range of 1933 elite; after non-craft workers. (It Earlier, it — and continue to be — became should be noted that this trend occurred in every part of the country except the South, unionization levels have always been was where low.) Both the American Federation of Labor (AFL, an association of craft unions), and the Committee (later Congress) of Industrial Organizatioris, (CIO, a group of industrial unions), continued to The effect of the grow merger was to render Among labor highly heterogeneous. the mid forties. until this In 1955 they merged. umbrella organization of unionized the workers represented by the AFL-CIO were narrowly skilled craftspeople, organized by occupation, as well as a range of skilled, semi-skilled heterogeneity form of is and un-skilled laborers, organized by industry. reflected in This the tasks of the AFL-CIO, which do not include any bargaining with employers over wage/benefit issues, but rather focus on representing the broad interests of labor at the level of federal, state and local 9. Rees, Albert, The Economics Press, 1962), p. 10. Ibid., p. 11. Ibid., pp. of_ Trade Unions 12 197 24-5 - 7 , (Chicago: University of Chicago governments, in international labor forums, and through domestic public relations. As Albert Rees has noted, The prevailing spirit of the American union movement unionism... where the union is primarily engaged in advancing the interests of its members through seeking improvements in their own wages, hours and working conditions, and is only .2 secondarily concerned with broader programs of social reform. is. ..business American unions are primarily involved in collective bargaining with employers; they accept the framework of the existing capitalist economic system. To some extent, American labor's focus on collective bargaining about primarily economic issues has been forced on them by legislation designed to keep the unions out of politics. In 1933 the National Industrial Recovery Act institutionalized collective bargaining as the proper arena of industrial relations. In 1935 this act was repeal ed, but the Wagner Act extended unions' rights at the collective bargaining table. The National Labor Relations Act, also passed further sanctioned collective bargaining as the legitimate But the Wagner Act was opposed and ignored by relations. until its forum constitutionality was upheld by the Supreme Court Taft-Hartley Act of 1948 amended the Wagner Act the rights of individual workers and employers. It in for many in in 1935, industrial large corporations 1937. The ways that restored meiny of also prohibited the use of dues funds for contributions to candidates for federal office. But American labor's sense of business unionism 12. Ibid., p. 2 13. Ibid., p. 182 14. Ibid., p. Labor Law , is 20-1, p. 16, pp. 185; C.f., Gould, William (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1982) not simply the result of B., A Primer on American The Depression saw unacceptably high levels legislation. a similar crisis theory is of unemployment; fears mounted during the immediate post-war period. US that business unionism in the PerJman's derives from job consciousness. primary concern of American organized labor, claims Perlman, control over and safeguard union Seiig members' jobs. of The to establish is Perlman writes: The overshadowing problem of the American labor movement has always been the problem of staying organized. ..this fragility of organization has come from the lack of class cohesiveness in American labor. He continues: only acceptable "consciousness" for American labor as a "job whole is a consciousness", with a "limited" objective of "wage and job control"; which not at all hinders American umonism from being the most "hard hitting" unionism in any country. ...the There are several ways them seniority in which rules, the regulation of this concern with jobs manifested, is among entry into unions through apprenticeship programs, jurisdictional boundaries between and within unions, and the effort to maintain or increase the number of jobs within a given jurisdiction. publicized "restrictive work rules", which employers have tried to past half century, were designed in part to increase the number The highly combat over the of unionized workers within a given task group or jurisdiction. It partly because of the non-political nature of the is US labor movement that the strike has traditionally been "the most important source of union power." Strikes are particularly effective in good 15. Selig 1966), p. Perlman, A Theory M the Labor economic times. Movement 162 16. Ibid., 17. Ibid., pp. p. 169 121, 136 - 9 - , When product demand is (New York: Kelley Publishers, strong and profits are high the employer stands to suffer nnore from a temporary plant shut-down than when the economic benefits of production are low. when unemployment from economic contraints. of strike will entail and prices are rising the unions are relatively free falling is Wage hikes will be easier to score because the threat greater potential losses for the employer. number particularly interested in securing an adequate when labor markets are From the mid suitably skilled workers 1 tight. American unions has been at the national particularly in manufacturing sectors of ~ level organized workers In in power of the union "internationals" where industry with giant corporations have been dominant. — level and pattern bargaining the unions representing the these sectors, only officials at the highest level have the right to authorize strikes. financially powerful; of Moreover, firms are to late fifties onward, the greatest political overwhelming majority Further, The international is also few locals can amass the funds necessary to pay strike benefits. But national officials cannot always impose their bargaining priorities on lower levels. illustrate this Walton and McKersie cite a United Autoworkers (UAW) case to point: Since Reuther and the other top officials in the UAW have placed primary emphasis on making major breakthroughs in the economic and fringe area, it has been inevitable that local problems have been deemphasized. A whole host of problems centering on production standards, relief time, seniority arrangements, etc., have been relegated to supplementary talks. The difficulty with the approach came into focus during the 1961 negotiations, when, after the major issues had been settled, a series of local strikes occurred over working conditions. In preparing for the 196^ negotiations 18. Ibid., pp. 20, 19. Ibid., pp. 17^-5 36, 55-6 - 10 Reuther gave top priority to working conditions and said that no t>e signed until the last local problem had been agreemem would settled. Under a number of circumstances, union internationals This right charters of their locals. can also suspend the was restricted somewhat by the Landrum-Griffin Act of 1959, prescribing many of the internal affairs Among unions. the other things, the act required public disclosure of union finances and regularized conventions and elections. It also limited the ability of higher But organized labor's power level officials to place their locals under trusteeship. in of manufacturing is concentrated at the national level, as still the late 19th century. it has been since 21 As evidenced by the statistics shown in the introduction, collective bargaining hcis generally resulted in regular wage/benefit increaises for the unionized Cost of living adjustments and escalator clauses, on top of annual workforce. wage/benefit hikes, were standard contract components. ensured wage adjustments with changes for downward adjustments end of World War II, as well. in Escalator clauses, which the Consumer Price Index (CPI), provided But the CPI has very rarely dropped since the and downward adjustments can be made only to a specified 22 floor level. There have been atypical cases, however, even outcome has been limited to small less favorable to labor. In in the fifties, when the manufacturing, those cases have been wage decreases under escalator clauses, paralleling minute drops Walton, Richard E., and McKersie, Robert Negotiations (New York: McCraw Hill, 1965), 20. , 21. Op.Cit, Rees, p. 22. Op. Cit., Rees, 21 p. li+S 11 B., p. A Behavioral Theory 359 qf_ Labor in Consumer Price the UAW (GM) Index. For example, March 1983. Furthermore, wage general and 19^*9 1956 General Motor's workers' wages were decreased eight times by one cent, once by two cents and once by three cents. until between increaise at all, Since March of April 1956 no such decreases occurred, 1982 saw the first UAW-GM contract with no and reduced wages for new hires, since the auto, steel and rubber industries 19'f5. saw no actual wage freezes or cuts Still, at all through 197^.'^^ But in the 1950s, '60s, and most of the '70s at least the large unions in manufacturing had established seniority rules and had gained Thus, even workers with little seniority contracts. who were SUB clauses in their laid off received an average of about 'tO-45% of their normal wages, beyond unemployment insurance. Together, these incomes generally amounted to at least 75% of the worker's Moreover, at the time, unemployment insurance could be collected for 52 wages. weeks almost every state. in (Currently, it runs out after 20-26 weeks in most 25 states.) The unions tended to press hardest for immediate economic gains, and to avoid more cooperative ventures with management. Hammer Writing in 1982, Brett and state: Worker participation in management outside collective bargaining Participation has not been enthusiastically received by union leaders. in Quality of Worklife programs, sociotechnical design programs, labor-management committees, and employee ownership has been perceived as a means to divide the loyalty of the rank and 23. "Wage Patterns and Wage Data," 1983, Bureau of file, which National Affairs, Washington DC, 20037 2k. Ibid., p. The Book KY, p. 688 25. 149 qf_ the States , 1982-1983, Council of State Governments, Lexington, 12 - weakens the union, and to coopt the workers into management, which neutralizes labor as a special interest group... The entry of labor into cooperative programs hais often come as a reaction to local economic circumstances, 2'^'th threats of plant closures, layoffs and unemployment. But was not always necessary it engage in — indeed, it was often undesirable — for unions to anything beyond distributive bargaining over economic issues with management. For instance, Walton and McKersie point out that in the fifties, UAW officials often realized that their collective bargaining not from attitudinal structuring, but from distributive bargaining. Good evidence about the distributive nature of bargaining in the automobile industry can be discerned in the sequence &i union breakthrough, management response, union breakthrough, etc. Top gains had come When the economic focus the rank and of the negotiations so adequately serves the interests of (and union leaders) there file is little incentive to seek more cooperative modes of bargaining. Notwithstanding regular contract gains for the unions, by the late fifties management began to display growing determination to make fewer concessions, to bargaing harder, and to get something in 1959 strike This was evident in the long and bitter workers had to stay off the job for over But another possible in outcome the steel case was mediation. for adjustments 26. Brett, Jeanne M., and in return for what they gave the unions. of a six in months. the steel industry, where 28 stalemate such as the one that occurred The introduction of a mediator has often allowed the parties' positions that were previously considered out of the Hammer, Tove Helland, "Organizational Behavior and Industrial Relations," in Kochan, Thomas A., Mitchell, Daniel, and Dyer, Lee, eds., Industrial Relations Research i_n the 1970s: Review and Appraisal (University of Wisconsin, Industrial Relations Research Association, 1982), pp. 239-^*0 , 27. Op. Cit., Walton and McKersie, 28. Op. Cit., Rees, p. p. 373 199 13 - This kind of mediation question. was performed by Richard Nixon during the steel negotiations being held at the time of the provide parties with new information that 1959-60 strike. may them lead Technical mediators can to modify their Mediators can also allow the parties to analyze the "utility functions" of positions. outcomes likely to result from particular contracts in such a way as to both let sides keep secret the detailed information involved in their negotiation calculations. 29 Mediation has been useful major industries. attaining contract agreements in almost But there are circumstances under which Brett and effective. in Hammer it is all our not likely to be conclude the following: ...mediation appears to be more effective when negotiations break down because one party or the other has become overcommitted to a position, than, when they break down over economic issues, such as ability to pay... As mentioned above, the ability to pay issue arose only occasionally until the late 1970s. But when such fundamental problems are at issue ~ does require lower labor costs in order to stay in business mediator is likely to get management to budge from its when the firm -- really not even a skilled position. Walton and McKersie divide collective bargaining into four subprocesses, defined as "distinguishable systems of activity" which together comprise the process These concepts have been applied to collective bargaining of negotiations. negotiations in the past, particularly during the "stable" period of the late fifties and early to mid sixties. They will 158-9 29. Ibid., 30. Op. Cit., Brett and Hammer, 31. Op. Cit., Walton and McKersie, pp. 119, help us to situate concession bargaining in 269 p. p. 1 14 its historical context, below. The subprocesses are defined DISTRIBUTIVE BARGAINING: as follows: complex system "...the of activities instrumental to the attainment of one party's goals when they are in basic conflict with those of the other party. ..(We have in mind) what game theorists refer to as fixed-sum games..." INTEGRATIVE BARGAINING: system of activities which "...the is instrumental to the attainment of objectives which are not in fundamental conflict with those of the other party and which therefore Such objectives are said to define can be integrated to some degree. an area of common concern, a problem." ATTITUDINAL STRUCTURING: While distributive and integrative bargaining "pertain to economic issues and the rights and obligations of the parties. ..an additional major function of negotiations is influencing relationships between parties, in particular such attitudes as. ..the motivational orientation of competitiveness-cooperativeness." INTRAORGANIZATIONAL BARGAINING: "...the system of principals into alignment with those of the chief negotiator. ..On the union side, the local activities which brings the expectations of membership exerts considerable influence in determining the nature and strength of aspirations and the international union may dictate the inclusion of certain goals in the bargaining agenda. ..The union negotiator is probably mor^ subject to organizational constraint than his company counterpart." Distributive bargaining is the "wage setting rationale for conducting labor negotiations." objective value". mechanism" connected with "the basic It concerns "issues" of "a fixed total Integrative bargaining concerns "problems" involving "possibilities for greater or lesser amounts of value which can be made available to the two The fundamental difference between the two types of bargaining parties." summed up is by the following proposition: Money ^the subject of distributive bargaining] can be divided cannot be reformulated into an arrangement that friav be an improvement for both sides [as integrative bargaining can be^J. into units; it 32. Ibid., pp. t^-S 33. Ibid., pp. 126-7 3^*. Ibid., p. 129 15 The subprocesses can entail some balanced way purposefully, attending in Thus, "the negotiator. ..behaves conflicting goals. to. ..integrative potential, desired relationship patterns, and the need for intraorganizational consensus," as well as the economics of the negotiations. 35 CONCESSION BARGAINING The consequences most the economic crisis are overwhelmingly concentrated the heavy manufacturing sectors of the of steel), of which have been the historical strongholds economy (e.g., autos, rubber and in which international competition The proportion of the workforce that 1950s. Between the mid unionized. In 79% plant workers of all forties and is mid is few years. These most severely threatening. unionized has been declining since the fifties, 1978, by contrast, only about were unionized These are of organized labor. the industries in which union coverage has declined over the last are the industries in in 31-35% of American workers were 23% were unionized. 1960-61, but only 71% In manufacturing, in 197't-76. Unionization has always been concentrated in the Northeast, but these figures have diminished as well: in the '60-'61 period, were unionized, while the figure figures 77% for the South were 66% and 39%, respectively. below. Thus, it is of all was plant workers in the Northeast '^8%. By the'7^-'76 period, these These trends are illustrated in table i*, not just concession bargaining, but a combination of concession bargaining and declining memberships that threaten American unions today. But concession bargaining often one of management's easiest solutions to 353 35. Ibid., 36. Op. Cit., Rees, p. is p. 18 - 16 - Table A DECLINE IN UNION MEMBERSHIP {Number 1960 196A 1970 1974 1978 187 189 185 175 7A I8,10A 17,919 20,690 21,58A 21,7A2 100 100 100 100 100 108 100 9S 9« of Unions Number of Members (thousands) Percent of Members 'Number of Unions Manufacturing Unions Number of Members (thousands) 8,839 8,3A2 9,173 9,144 8,119 Percent of Members 48.8 46.6 44.3 42.4 37.3 165 101 104 101 96 Number of Members (thousands) 8,350 8,125 9,198 9,520 9,998 Percent of Members 46.1 45.3 44.5 44.1 46.0 34 59 60 64 62 915 1,453 2,318 2,920 3,626 5.1 8.1 11.2 13.5 16.7 /"Number of Unions Non-manufacturing Unions 'Number of Unions Public Sector Unions Number of Members (thousands) Percent of Members Source: Handbook of Labor Statistics, December 1980, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington DC, 20008 - 17 - the financial problems low productivity. imposed by declining demand, international competition, or As McKersie and Cappelii note in a recent article about concession bargaining, ^The reason why] ...there are so many concessions the structural change in the economy. The industries undergoing concession bargaining have experienced several years of severe structural change. Many industries have suffered excess capacity because of permanent fall in demand (as in tires and autos). Some have seen the entry of large numbers of low-cost competitors because of deregulation (trucking and airlines). Others are damaged by low-cost foreign competition (steel and autos). These problems have led to a fall in the demand for the industry's product, and a subsequent fall in the demand for labor; current levels of employment cannot be maintained at current cost levels because of the shift in demand. These problems have been building in many f^ases throughout the seventies; the recession simply made them worse. now... [concerns] But it must be kept management may in mind that not have much cases where in demand has fallen permanently, interest in keeping plants open. Thus, firms not even bring up the possibility of concession bargaining to begin with, even the firm's economic predicament union's bargaining The demand power tire industry is is severe. It is in may when these situations that the negligible. provides a good example. In the mid to late seventies, The three largest shifted from bias to radial tires. Goodrich and Uniroyal) were at the time based principally in tire firms (Goodyear, the North. Akron was the tire producing center of the United States. But each of these firms built most of their new radial plants in the South, usually recruiting non-union labor at lower wages than their Northern workers. of their bias tire Having already planned to reduce the capacity production facilities, these firms allowed their compete among each other. In own plants to the end, the plants whose productivity was lowest McKersie, Robert, and Cappelii, Peter, "Concession Bargaining," paper delivered at the 30th annual Conference of the Industrial Relations Center, McGill University, 37. March 1982, pp. 23-^* 18 were closed. In the meantime, United Rubberworkers direct competition with each other. same locals were placed members at other plants belonging firm. By eliciting labor concessions at the collective bargaining table, management immediately for direct into more money new product lower labor costs bargaining is in Massive layoffs were inevitable, and survival translated into working harder than fellow union to the (URW) it is possible This in turn allows firms to to cut labor costs- into further investments, subsidiaries or other enterprises, or lines, may sometimes in different regions or countries. allow a company to cut product prices. Alternately, Concession attractive to management, then, to the degree that these alternative strategies help restore profitability. plant closings can be avoided, and It appeals to labor insofar as layoffs and/or management concessions elicited, in return for wage/benefit cuts or free2.es. From jobs. of the union standpoint, the Employment security concession negotiations. 39 jseriod. is main issue in concession bargaining concerns threatened, usually explicitly, by the very initiation This has been the case during the entire post-war Often these negotiations begin well in advance of contract expiration in response to management's claim that jobs or the firm or plant are in immediate jeopardy. Thus, the unions always try to ascertain In the immediate financial position of the firm or plant proceed to bargain with management will as in much detail as possible question. How they then depend on the particular negotiators and Cappelli, Peter, "Concession Bargaining and the National Economy," Conference Paper, Industrial Relations Association Conference, December 1982 38. Op. Cit., Rees, p. 59; "Human Resources Information Center," Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., 1931 25th Street N. W., Washington DC, 20037 39. 'fO. Op. Cit., McKersie and Cappelli 19 issues involved. But "hard" bargaining of the kind typically pursued by both managers and unions (particularly the giant manufacturing unions) may not be appropriate under these circumstances. concessions are to be agreed If upon, then final-offer-first strategies are likely to many non-wage/benefit-related involves so Concession bargaining fail. issues and potentials that negotiations are likely to concern particulars, and both sides will probably adjust their positions Recent negotiations throughout the course of the bargaining. in the steel industry provide an example of the long process of give and take involved. concession bargaining outcomes, illustrated of the intricacy The type table 8, example, give us an idea for and length of the negotiations behind them. of concessions management usually asks of the unions several categories. up to five years. in The details of '^l Wage cuts can go as deep as fall into 33%. Freezes cover a period of Other concessions concern things like COLA's, severance pay, pension plans, work hours, labor productivity, unpaid forced vacations, work shifts, work rules and holiday pay. failing enterprise or The plant, its list is a varied one, but components amount to the for the purposes of a same thing: cutting labor costs. If management's economic bind concessions, unions can ask for is serious enough to warrant labor management concessions of two sorts. union can ask for future wage/benefit improvements to be granted the immediate crunch. firm/plant is non-economic This approach assumes that the not chronic. gains. economic First, a sometime after fagility of the Alternately, organized labor can focus on immediate For example, unions could ask for job rotation plans or Bureau of National Affairs databank on concession bargaining, processed by Peter Cappelli, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, January 1983 k[. - 20 flexible A more work hours. radical approach might be to demand increased worker control over production at the shop floor level, or labor involvement management decisionmaking (e.g., in regarding future investment plans or long term strategy). Management invariably promises in return for labor concessions to guarantee jobs and avoid plant closures ii possible On . occasion, the unions can score more tangible gains, including profitsharing programs, employee stock ownership plans, extra severance pay, job placement services, board representation, open books, salary or bonus incentives, advance notice of plant shutdown, the return of labor concessions with interest, preferential treatment (over non-union labor), advance notice of layoffs, job sharing and increased management-labor cooperation. (However, management's attitude toward making concessions to labor enthusiastic. that only A 1982 2% were Business Week survey of The newspapers alone tell us not American businesspeople concluded prepared to make concrete employment guarantees even substantial labor concessions. is in return for ) much about the circumstances surrounding concession bargaining and about the outcomes of the more publicized negotiations- Some of these cases will be considered below. But in order to gain a rough idea of the range of industries in which these kinds of negotiations are occurring, and of what is typically involved, it is necessary to use a broader set of cases. The Bureau of National Affairs (BNA), the most prominent industrial relations research organization 1^2. in the US, annually collects extensive data on collective bargaining Op. Cit., "Corporate Scoreboard," p. 66 The BNA has been the nation's primary publisher of information on labor relations and collective bargaining over the last five decades. The only other major contract library in the US is maintained by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS); the BNA library is almost twice as extensive in its coverage of contracts. ^3. C.f., Op. Cit., "Human Resources" - 21 - '+3 cases across for all the period industries and regions of the US. between the third quarters concession bargaining cases among of 1981 We have examined these data and 1982 the BNA's sample. in This four quarter period coincides with the period during which aggregate annual union from above 9% to below 3%, We in as noted in order to isolate the wage increcises fell the introduction. defined concession bargaining to include any case of collective bargaining which the bargaining unit for the firm claimed that to increase wages and/or benefits. it was impossible financially BNA According to this definition, the included 210 cases of concession bargaining. These varied widely in data terms of the severity of the firm's (plant's) economic plight, the extent and kind of concessions management was demanding from the make these concessions, and the bargain. in In 52 of the in tables By far the most ability of the union(s) to gain the union(s) to something in the 210 cases labor was able to elicit some kind of quid pro quo return for their concessions. cases are listed union(s), the willingness of 5 and The industries and unions involved 6, these 52 below. common management employee stock ownership plans. in (See table i*^. concessions are profitsharing and 7, below.) (There are different kinds These data were processed at the Sloan School of Management, MIT, by Peter Cappelli. Cappelli describes them as follows: "BNA asked its reporters. ..to report all cases where negotiations were 'in distress' -- including those where attempts were made to reopen contracts or to seek rollbacks. Between the third quarters of 1981 and 1982 210 cases of concession bargaining were reported. ..this sample is representative of the population of concession negotiations in the economy as a whole. ..with respect to its distribution across industry groups." Op. Cit., Capelli. It is impossible to tell exactly how representative these data are, since the BLS provides no consistent information on concession negotiations against which we could check the BNA data. But aside from the fact that these cases comprise only a limited sample, they are interesting to us insofar as they include much information on the 'declining' industries in which union wages have been failing over the last two years or so. 22 in O o- o a. o (-1 U (0 H < o 2 O M u u 2 O u H 2 u: < 2 -^^ of profitsharing The type introduced programs. substantially on the structure of the business to be separate profit centers, tied. some It of is often the case, as it is in any given setting will depend question. plants are considered the tire industry, that firms are profitable while in is the profit center, profitsharing may be plans could lead to worker gains even though their plant Gainsharing plans, If to plant profitability that workers' gains are Where the firm their plants are not. in common among in the red. our cases, distribute savings in labor costs throughout the firm based on the employee's wage/salary as a percent of the total wage bill.) Profitsharing plans had been negotiated in almost one fifth of the cases in ownership plans occurred about common kinds of in 10% management concessions were vague But each of these came up By contrast, the next most of these cases. labor-management cooperation and promises shutdown. Employee stock return for their concessions. where unions got something in discussions of greater of six months' notice of plant only two of the 52 cases with union gains. Aside from the concentration of profitsharing and stock plans, no other factor obviously distinguished this other 75%, in which only labor 25% made of the concession bargaining cases concessions. A glance from the at the industries involved shows that the profitsharing and stock plan cases could not be distinguished from the other 75%, in which management made no concessions. Moreover, the types of concessions made by the unions in return for the stock plans and profitsharing programs were no different than those made cases of concession bargaining. Labor concessions almost always included wage 26 in the other COLA freezes or cuts, and deferrals or waivers. The 210 examples of concession bargaining were overwhelmingly concentrated in a handful of industries: autos, steel, airlines and non-electrical machinery. figure Given 8.) this industry concentration, it the unions most frequently involved were the Finally, of the management, to that all is of and the USW. 52 cases where labor was able to get something back from but three involved negotiations at the level of the firm as opposed the plant or the industry as a whole. of two not surprising to find that DAW (See bargaining has been particularly in steel. common some in of As noted above, industry level the heavy manufacturing sectors, The steelworkers have generally engaged in one giant set of bargaining sessions with the seven or eight major steel companies. pattern bargaining has been common: the UAW In autos, negotiates with one of the four major auto producers, and the other three accept the major clauses of the contract that results. A BNA examined in report on concession bargaining during more detail. The BNA 1982 supports the data found 31 cases of permanent plant closure the transporation equipment sector, leading to 31,000 layoffs. concessions to contract term.) GM, for example, will we in (The UAW's save the firm about $3 billion over the The steel and machinery sectors were hardest 27 cases, plant closure occurred despite labor concessions. hit, after autos. Layoffs peaked in the second quarter, "when 376,333 workers were placed on temporary or pemanent leave..." Management concessions included new early retirement provisions, "Layoffs, Plant Closings and Concession Bargaining," Bureau of National Affairs Summary Report, Bureau of National Affairs, February 1983, p. 3 '»5. 46. Ibid., p. 4 27 - In tJ c= 5 z z o I— u: o < ED 3 o n X CO to ex: 2 O U tn D C o c o c o c CI CJ c c o c o c 03 It a: •-3 U > c < u: to CO o • w to CO o < U Z ti3 z K C > c >Oi H to r> C z c > o z Cl. extended insurance coverage for The BNA measure members, and extended SUB payments. laid off also found that "unions typically to avoid a plant closing or make concessions only ^7 as a last ditch mass layoffs." These generalizations are on the whole sustained by the highly publicized cases of concession negotiations. is concentrated in airline industries. USW, the URW, — The newspapers us that tell though not entirely limited to — concession bargaining the tire, steel, auto, and — heavily represented in the airline industry), and the International Association of Machinists (lAM). (The and Commercial Workers (UFCW) were also involved in a number United Food of the BNA Moreover, prof itsharing and employee stock plans have been introduced cases.) the the Airline Pilots (represented by a number of unions), the International Brotherhood of Teamsters (IBT all UAW, Consequently, the unions most deeply involved are the four of these industries, as suggested by the BNA data. (See table in 8.) The concession bargaining cases most heavily covered by the press also illustrate the potential for are not strictly economic. unions and In managements to reach accords on issues that one recent example, the UAW made to Ford in return for access to out-sourcing information. In wage concessions a few cases at Ford, out-sourcing has been limited by higher in-house productivity resulting from work rule changes. m. Ibid., p. 8 HZ. Ibid., 11 p. Weirton Steel's West Virginia plant will soon become the Out-sourcing refers to the purchase of production inputs, rather than their The shift away from in-house production is generally effected in-house production. in order to take advantage of low prices, often resulting from low wages in non-unionized sub-contractor firms. '/9. Katz, Harry, "Assessing the New Auto Labor Agreements," Management Review, Summer, 1982 5Q. - 29 in The Sloan largest employee-owned company in the US, though its operations wil! be reduced, and employee wages cut by up to 1/3 when the worker take-over .Another example Airline agreement rotation. of in positive integrative bargaining is a recent is effected. Peoples' Express which productivity increases are being sought through job At Chrysler and Pan Am, labor has traded representation on the firms' Boards of Directors. 52 wage concessions for worker Walton and McKersie point out that this kind of integrative solution takes into account "all of the uniqueness of the specific situation." They continue, "Many companies within the steel industry have long complained about the poor uniformly to 51. of particular compromise solutions. ..applied firms." Wright, Michael, and Herron, Caroline, "Labor as Management!' in the Times, March 52. all fit 19, New York 1982 Op. Cit., Cappelli and McKersie, p. 37 Op. Cit., Walton and McKersie, p. 37. It should be noted that intra-union could intensify as well, as illustrated by recent developments in the airline The commercial carriers have run into financial difficulties since the industry. industry's deregulation and the entry of low-cost competitive carriers. The oil Price price hikes of the '70s and '80s have contributed to their difficulties. competition has increased vastly. Newer, smaller, and often non-union competitors encroach have begun seriously to on the market formerly dominated by the older, big-name airlines. Almost all the established carriers initiated concession The employees fell into roughly three bargaining rounds with their unions. categories, represented by three unions: the airline pilots, the machinists and the teamsters. The pilots were forced in most cases simply to make concessions while getting nothing in return. The machinists, on the other hand (and to some extent the teamsters), were often able either to elicit non-financial quid pro quos or to avoid making concessions at all. What most likely accounts for the pilots' comparatively weak bargaining position is the simple fact that they have no fall-back source of employment, and thus fewer bargaining chips to use in the negotiations. Op. Cit., Cappelli 53. rivalries 30 - This sort of integrative however. In outcome can cause problems for order to maintain the support of the rank and appear to be driving bargains that are McKersie emphasize this the union leadership, file, the union must the workers' interests. in Walton and point in regard to industrial unions. UAW, where the democracy theme is emphasized and practiced, an elected official has to be careful of the steps that he takes that are not fully authorized by the membership. In But there is a union like the also a dilemma involved in maintaining rank and file support, as suggested by McKersie and Cappelli: Helping shape business decisions presents an acute problem for They fina tnemseives in a union leaders and worker representatives. dilemma with sharply drawn disadvantages on both sides. On the one hand, if they become involved, they may be viewed by the rank and file as having been coopted by management and thereby suffer the stigma associated with business demise. ..On the other hand, if union leaders do not get involved to challenge the business decisions they will also be condemned by the rank and file; an illustration [is as follows^... The United Autoworkers represented approximately 1,000 workers at a Dana Corporation plant in Wisconsin making front-end axels. In a survey conducted among the workers about a year after the plant closed down, the workers expressed many more negative feelings about the union than about management. The steel case also illustrates the conflicts that can arise between rank and file, local leaders and national officials, in 1982 local leaders rejected two concession contracts negotiated by higher level officials. So this year, high level leaders have incorporated the views of dissident local leaders in their bargaining goals, in order to take into account the concerns file and their local leaders. In December of ~ 1982, however, national level leaders had already reduced the number of local leaders who /, Ibid., i?. p. and distrust -- of the rank and may vote on a basic steel 37'* Op. Cit., McKersie and Cappelli, pp. 29-30 3. Serrin, William, "Steel Union Faces Many Difficulties," in the New York Times, February 8, 1983; Serrin, William, "Steel Union Hints at '83 Concessions," in the New York Times, February 3, 1983 - 31 - agreement by more than But even always the case officials at half. when the mennbership supports concessions — there may Rank and at the lower levels, so national level contracts that the rank and file may is by no means may file pressure tends to be exerted primarily union leaders can more easily negotiate not endorse fully. the steel negotiations of 1982. Further, decision not to which be a conflict of interest between local leaders and the international. concessions, workers' reactions ~ if This also illustrated by is a plant closes because unions made no be directed at the local by default, though the make concessions could have been made at the level of the international. Concession bargaining entails several circumstances that did not apply to collective bargaining during previous decades. First, organized labor's business unionism can no longer be said to work as smoothly and consistently to the rank and file's advantage as pay-offs of "turn ing it once did. At least in the large industrial unions, the more toward day-to-day bargaining relationships and the working out of a modus Vivendi with already organized employers" have diminished for the time being. expense of The wisdom of pursuing a policy of business unionism at the the promotion of "broader programs of social reform" questioned when union coverage is declining and must be when even managers admit to their efforts to avoid unions. Moreover, unions have fewer fall-back strategies for when concession negotiations stall, or when managements simply refuse unions consider to be unacceptable. ^. Op. Cit., Rees, 5. Loc. Cit., McKersie and Cappelli p. The efficacy of 2 - 32 - to rescind a strike is demands the reduced when demand many has fallen, as in so effectiveness of mediation relatively low level and of our manufacturing industries. The dubious when the unions' bargaining power is when managements may be better at a is off in the long run by cutting their losses, shutting down plants, and possibly investing in less tenuous sectors of the economy. Republic Steel's acquisition of Marathon Oil good for steel workers, but it is likely to be very may not be good for Republic Steel. Faced with fewer alternatives to the unsatisfactory terms of negotiations with management, the unions are often forced to expand the range of "integrative" (as opposed to purely "distributive") issues under discussion. BNA cases of bilateral concessions including profitsharing and stock ownership plans (described in table links The descriptions of the 7, above) illustrate the extent of this type of outcome, which the fortunes of worker and linked in previous decades. gains on distributive issues. The company more UAW closely than they have usually been can no longer count on scoring The Ford example mentioned above its primary illustrates the widening range of issues (and problems, to use Walton and McKersie's vocabulary) on the table. Times are tougher for labor in many than they have been for several decades. of our heavy manufacturing sectors The frequency of labor's concessions and the workers' decreasing ability to depend on fall-back measures like COLA's, SUB's and unemployment insurance both contribute to the fact that unionized manufacturing workers (whether employed or unemployed) face more uncertainty as do the heavy manufacturing sectors themselves time. 6. Loc. Cit., Katz - 33 - -- than they have in a long — CONCLUSION The debate on whether concession bargaining portends anything fundamentally hew for way the collective bargaining will be conducted in the future has only begun to reach the literature. sparse in all the issue. its Indeed, the literature on concession bargaining is But leading industrial relations theorists do disagree on aspects. 3ohn Dunlop (Professor of Industrial Relations at Harvard) and Daniel Mitchell (Professor of Labor Relations at the University of California) both hold that concession bargaining represents nothing new. Their argument is based on the prediction/assumption that the form and content of traditional collective bargaining will be no different after the recession eases. Dunlop points out the US since the end in a recent paper that of World War wages have increased steadily and that only the rate of increase has II, When wage cuts do occur, claims Dunlop, they are either "Temporary" varied. "indeterminate". He uses the 1982 concessions at Chrysler and Pan examples. The crux of his argument in is the supply and demand terms applicable social nature. Institutional Am or as that labor markets cannot be analyzed in to other factor markets, because of their forms of labor markets, for example, are particularly influenced by the steady characteristics of the employment relationship between labor and management. Thus, peoples' labor constitutes a qualitatively different analytical category than other production inputs. His argument is a critique of markets and wage determination. purely economic attempts to understand labor He classifies his approach as a Op. Cit., "Layoffs;" Dunlop, 3ohn, speech before the Conference of Business Economists, March 1982; Mitchell, Daniel, interview with the Bureau of National Affairs, January, 1983 7. Dunlop, John, "The Fundaments of Wages and Labor Markets," unpublished paper. Harvard University, August 30, 1982 8. - 34 - Dunlop believes that "the fundamental elements of labor "political-economic" one. markets and compensation separable presentation." some of the US. ..do not depend upon labor organization or He continues, collective bargaining." Although in we accept most the descriptive aspects of of amended It It some in most important of our true that wages have risen steadily since World War is wage cuts have not been Dunlop's approach. Dunlop's argument, view of the significance of concession in bargaining over the last two or three years economic sectors. as just Chrysler, but also other major auto manufacturers that demanded wage concessions from their workers airline to impose wage cuts on among others, have seen true that in is wage cuts some cases of that concessions are only indeterminate, It become permanent ~ But when it is Dunlop points out. 10. employees; Braniff, in 1982 labor hardly comforting to consider plants ones. It is sometimes close despite also difficult to see when Republic Steel buys Marathon import Japanese steel. Ibid., Am as well. indeterminacy of wage cuts mitigates their importance 9. Pan hard to take on faith Dunlop's implication that indeterminate wage is cuts will not symbolic 19S2. concession bargaining these wage cuts are explicitly "temporary" or "indeterminate". them. in And wage cuts have not been limited to these sectors; steel and contracts. It its 10% wage cuts Western, Republic and Continental Airlines also got rubber, but II, limited and epiphenomenal as one might infer from was not was not the only major a is 9 conclusions must be his "the influence of collective bargaining p. In Oil, or the aggregate, wages are — both material and when US still how the Steel begins to increasing in the US, as But in industries like steel, where major companies begin to 30 Op. Cit., McKersie and Cappelli, p. 23 - 35 - diversify into entirely unrelated sectors, or to innport lower-cost steel the idea that wage cuts from abroad, unemployment) may indeed be permanent (not to nnention must be taken seriously. wage determination have True, the "fundaments" of But increase over the post-war peiod. if that is how can collective the case, bargaining be analyzed separately from these fundaments? the role of collective bargaining in his steady wage led to a Dunlop himself includes category of wage-determining "fundaments". Where, then, can we situate Dunlop's notion that the institutional forms of labor markets (e.g., collective bargaining) are "particularly influenced" by the steady nature of the employment relationship? We have with threats to job security. security is crucially important to concession bargaining it does not this In employment relationship Sectoral unemployment sectoral wage is in American organized labor. make sense Thus, to focus only on is in considering wages and on the the highest since the The threat to the "steady" nature of the very real in the economic sectors we have focussed in fact on. particular has implications not only for the duration of cuts, but also for the institutional forms of labor markets. This follows from Dunlop's analysis. Dunlop's main point supply and closely connected a "social" and "political-economic" analysis of labor markets, fact cannot be overlooked. statement is noted, as Selig Perlman argues, that job The current unemployment level nature of the labor force. Great Depression. Concession bargaining demand terms. is that labor markets cannot be analyzed in conventional Our point is that the social and political-economic factors Dunlop uses to explain the uniqueness of labor markets are precisely the factors that suggest that concession bargaining that collective bargaining itself 11. may is 'not just the same old thing', and well be affected by the recent spate of Op. Cit., Dunlop - 36 - concession negotiations. Audrey Freedman (Senior Research Associate at the Industrial Relations Conference Board) and Everett Kassalow (Professor of Labor Relations at the University of Wisconsin) argue that concession bargaining represents a different kind of labor relations in become increasingly plant in question. 12 which negotiations between management and labor have economic circumstances tailored to the specific They conceive of concession bargaining and that The basis of this managements argument many in will it lead to a of the troubled this is of collective bargaining. economic sectors. leading to concession negotiations: a fall in this trend the shaky economic circumstances facing is McKersie and Cappelli have pointed out one have considered new kind the firm or a manifestation of They believe the demise of pattern and industry level bargaining. likely to continue, as of in of the the Both main economic circumstances demand for labor. The data we essay support both Freedman and Kassalow's as well as Cappelli and McKersie's theses. The Walton and McKersie model suggests at least two other potentially new aspects of industrial relations: different changes within the unions (or firms). paper that the attitudes prevailing in represent a shift to a new cooperative discern five new dimensions 1. in management and labor attitudes, and McKersie and Cappelli argue many mode in a recent instances of concession bargaining of union-management relations. They concession bargaining: Union access to management's financial data (e.g., Ford and the UAW); 2. Union security agreements (e.g., Armour agreement to recognize the UFCW in all new plants); Loc, Cit., "Layoffs;" Freedman, Audrey, and Fulmer, William E., "Last Rites Pattern Bargaining," in the Harvard Business Review, March-April 1982; Kassalow, Everett, interview with the Bureau of National Affairs, January, 1983 12. for - 37 - 3. Hob-investment linkage (e.g., Genera! Electric and Goodyear agreements to couple paper workers' employment security with investment behavior); Enhanced job security (e.g., Ford and United Airlines' agreements with UAW and pilots, respectively, to maintain at least a 't. given percentage of existing jobs); 5. New Values (e.g., an increased emphasis in a number of cases on "openness, equality of sacrifice and egalitarianism".) If is Freedman and Fulmer's argument accurate, then we can relations: the traditional in "Last Rites for Pattern Bargaining" in fact expect changes in three areas of industrial unwillingness of the unions to engage in integrative bargainmg with management; the attitudes McKersie and Cappelli refer to (see above); and the internal politics and structure of the unions themselves. is it too early to predict whether collective bargaining will continue to involve concessions in the industries be improving we have focussed somewhat; how lasting that improvement But our analysis tends to support The economy appears on. will be remains to be seen. Freedman and Fulmer's argument. the inclusion of profitsharing plans in a number increasing emphasis on firm-specific contracts. First, of our cases might indicate an It is true that both profitsharing and employee stock plans ge^ s£ could set standards that might be adopted number of firms of in the same sector or in related industries. program must also be fitted to the course to It its will (or firm's in a However, both types particular profit structure, and of to the plant's) profitability. be recalled that in the cases where unions got management concessions bargaining was overwhelmingly concentrated at the level of the firm. In 13. 1 ^. 1982, this held for the steel and auto workers' unions, Op. Git., McKersie and Cappelli, pp. Op. Git., Freedman and Fulmer - 38 - 27-9 to among others. Cappelli speculates that it is easier for unions to score gains in firm level negotiations because the union's bargaining power this all its plants, than if only one plant concession bargaining, from the union standpoint, specificity of the negotiations economic circumstances and level He argues that because the firm stands to loose more from the failure to negotiate a is contract affecting of strongest at that level. is ~ may The success involved. is also turn on the the parties' ability to address the particular likely future scenario of a given firm. may bargaining fails to work for the unions, this If industry also support the notion that concession bargaining outcomes are more attractive when negotiations focus on the specifics of a given site. As Freedman and Fuimer, cis well as McKersie and Cappelli, point out, fitting the contract to the firm's circumstances interest of * management. also in the 16 Pattern bargaining has been the rule UAW is in the auto industry. In 1982 neither wage concessions nor management concessions were uniform across contracts. In steel, industry bargaining has common been since the the steel workers struck different bargains with different firms. unclear whether it will 1950s. In 1982 18 (It is still be possible to strike an industy bargain in 1983.) Given the apparent, at least temporary, decline of high level and pattern bargaining, what are the implications for the internal politics and structure of the unions? First, the union internationals may have to give bargaining prerogatives to officials at lower levels. up some of their This transfer of the power to negotiate could also lead to more heterogeneous outcomes, since different 15. Loc. Cit., Cappelli 16. Op. Cit., McKersie and Cappelli; Op. Cit., Freedman and Fuimer 17. Op. Cit., "Layoffs," 18. Ibid., p. p. 9 10 - 39 - negotiators will have different bargaining styles and varying degrees of bargaining One power. result might be to allow the internationals to be forums other than collective bargaining. more active in For example, higher level officials could place greater emphasis on organizing the unorganized, or on legislation to limit non-union subsidiaries, out-sourcing to non-union sub-contractors, or capital movements friction Further, the shift in Fulmer have argued, union the level and nature of negotiations could lead to officials in members. suddenly forced to reverse their position their legitimacy might be endangered. Moreover, the rank and which qiight result in phenomenon, and file if will in is they are the eyes of the rank in be unhappy with concessions as well as with no concessions are made. too soon to tell what So far, there has been among middle and upper But concession bargaining large manufacturing unions. it If — if anything — Thus, is level is a recent the rank and file will response. It IS clear that not all render a convincing verdict. the evidence is in. But a few things have it hard at this point to become apparent about how concession bargaining outcomes differ fom the results of traditional collective 19. sell 19 no evidence of particularly high turn over levels union officials Freedman and As manufacturing have spent years trying to the idea of high level and pattern bargaining to their job losses in how strong the impetus. declining rank and file support for their union leaderships. do more The long tradition of centralization the industrial unions will be hard to abandon, no matter file also be between the locals and their internationals, as some traditonally high level functions devolve to lower level officials. and may to the predominantly non-unionized South. There Op. Cit., Freedman and Fulmer - 40 Most obviously, concession contracts confer losses and/or set-backs, bargaining. instead of economic gains, on the unionized workforce. At the sanne time, however cooperative programs to raise labor productivity are more circumstances than they have been in under these The effects could be manifold. the past. may decrease Cooperative union-management undertakings common tensions that are exacerbated by hard economic times and by the very need to engage concession On the other hand, cooperation with management has never been the negotiations. forte of American unions. demanding in The requirements integrative bargaining of may be very union leaderships which have traditionally resented anything for resembling the cooptation of labor, or aemotion to the rank its of 'interest group'. Another effect of the integrative nature of concession bargaining outcomes more closely to tie labor issues, this outcome will continues to decline. It Beyond posing the to the fortunes of individual firms. difficulty of accepting contracts that involve be unattractive will much more than purely distributive cases where the firm's profitability in be recalled that in 27 out of 203 1982 cases of concession bargaining, plant closure resulted despite labor give-backs. Not only do labor concessions fail to guarantee jobs, but they also imply the possible some reorganization within the unions. may probable that it is levels. As mentioned unclear how the internationals would effect this shift, will for be yet another imp>etus toward the transfer of bargaining prerogatives to lower union it need The localization of bargaining, along with the resulting firm-specificity of the negotiations, above, while is it is be a difficult process. Perhaps the most important 'unknown' concession bargaining. is the rank and file reaction to While the Landrum-Grifin Act spells out much of the structural composition and democratic processes required of the unions, the individuals making union policies and striking bargains with least indirectly chosen by the workers. If - 41 - management are at concession bargaining continues to occur in so many of our Ijasic industries, it will be interesting to see whether union members vote in leaderships that propound less business-unlonlstlc policies, goals and strategies. As the BNA put it, "1982 could be called the year of concession 20 Concession It is true that not all the information is in. bargaining." bargaining is still a recent phenomenon. of the information that ls_ But it is also clear on the basis in that concession bargaining differs from collective bargaining as we have known it in the United States between the mid fifties and the late seventies. And while concession bargaining has not been the rule, even in manufacturing, it has certainly not been the exception. As such, it will have a strong inpact on the American Labor ivfovement Ilie full implications of concession bargaining will depend on the dynamics of the national econc»T\y, on trends within various industrial sectors, and on the resulting structural position of organized labor. Consequently, it is ironically Dunlop's argument that labor markets must be studied as social and political-economic (as opposed to strictly economic) phenomena, which most convincingly makes our point: the kind of Inpact this concession experience will have on how American Industrial Relations are conducted in the future depends on what social, political and economic lessons the unions and managements of the US will learn from that experience. 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