BFG 201 Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I SPECIAL GROUP : D - Banking and Finance Group M. Com (M 17) – Part I Semester - II YASHW ANTRA O CHA VAN MAHARASHTRA OPEN UNIVERSITY ASHWANTRA ANTRAO CHAV Dnyangangotri, Near Gangapur Dam, Nashik 422 222, Maharashtra Copyright © Yashwantrao Chavan Maharashtra Open University, Nashik. All rights reserved. No part of this publication which is material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or transmitted or utilized or stored in any form or by any means now known or hereinafter invented, electronic, digital or mechanical, including photocopying, scanning, recording or by any information storage or retrieval system, without prior written permission from the Publisher. The information contained in this book has been obtained by authors from sources believed to be reliable and are correct to the best of their knowledge. However, the publisher and its authors shall in no event be liable for any errors, omissions or damage arising out of use of this information and specially disclaim any implied warranties or merchantability or fitness for any particular use. YASHWANTRAO CHAVAN MAHARASHTRA OPEN UNIVERSITY Vice-Chancellor : Dr. M. M. Salunkhe Director (I/C), School of Commerce & Management : Dr. Prakash Deshmukh State Level Advisory Committee Dr. Pandit Palande Hon. Vice Chancellor Dr. B. R. Ambedkar University Muaaffarpur, Bihar Dr. Suhas Mahajan Ex-Professor Ness Wadia College of Commerce Pune Dr. V. V. Morajkar Ex-Professor B.Y.K. College, Nashik Dr. Mahesh Kulkarni Ex-Professor B.Y.K. College, Nashik Dr. J. F. Patil Economist Kolhapur Dr. Ashutosh Raravikar Director, EDMU, Ministry of Finance, New Delhi Dr. A. G. Gosavi Professor Modern College, Shivaji Nagar, Pune Dr. Madhuri Sunil Deshpande Professor Swami Ramanand Teerth Marathwada University, Nanded Dr. Prakash Deshmukh Director (I/C) School of Commerce & Management Y.C.M.O.U., Nashik Dr. Parag Prakash Saraf Director, Institute of Management Science, Pimpri, Pune Dr. S. V. Kuvalekar Associate Professor and Associate Dean (Training)(Finance ) National Institute of Bank Management, Pune Dr. Surendra Patole Assistant Professor School of Commerce & Management Y.C.M.O.U., Nashik Dr. Latika Ajitkumar Ajbani Assistant Professor School of Commerce & Management Y.C.M.O.U., Nashik Authors & Editors Dr. Parag Prakash Saraf Director, Institute of Management Science, Pimpri, Pune Dr. Latika Ajitkumar Ajbani Assistant Professor, School of Commerce & Management, Y.C.M.O.U., Nashik Instructional Technology Editing & Programme Co-ordinator Dr. Latika Ajitkumar Ajbani Assistant Professor, School of Commerce & Management, Y.C.M.O.U., Nashik Production Shri. Anand Yadav Manager, Print Production Centre Y.C.M. Open University, Nashik - 422 222. Copyright © Yashwantrao Chavan Maharashtra Open University, Nashik. (First edition developed under DEC development grant) q First Publication : September 2015 q Type Setting : Avinash R. Varpe (Sangamner, Mob.9960252514) q Cover Print : q Printed by : q Publisher : Dr. Prakash Atkare, Registrar, Y.C.M.Open University, Nashik - 422 222. INTRODUCTION I am very please to placing the first and enlarge edition of this study material on 'Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions' to the students and practitioners of this subject. This book is design as per the revise syllabus prescribed by the YCMOU Nashik from August 2015. It gives equal importance to the theoretical aspects as well as to the practical case studies. Hence this edition will be an ideal companion not only to the scholars but also to the average students. I am sure that this present work a result of my sincere and dedicated efforts would subserve the genuine interest of all the students concerned in enriching their knowledge of this ever-growing Auditing discipline. I have made a sincere attempt to make the subject easy to understand. For this purpose. The theory on each topic is written in a simple and lucid language to enable the students to grasp the essence of subject. It gives me great pleasure to introduce you to the world of Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions. This book has got knowledge oriented and exam oriented approach. I am tried to cover all Banking Regulation Act and provisions of it. I am very much thankful to Prof.Gopal Kalantri of Dhruv Academy, Sangamner and Prof.Shubhangi Kulkarni of Sangamner College for their co-operation. Ofcourse blessing of my parents Mr.Prakash Saraf & Mrs.Shubhada Saraf is important for completion of this work... So let's start this lovely journey of learning in a positive way. Any suggestions will be appreciated. I am confident, that students will welcome new edition of this book. With knowledge, hard work, marvelous success is just around the corner. All The Best! - Dr.Parag Prakash Saraf Index Unit No. Unit Name Page No. 1 EVOLUTION OF MONEY 9 2 FUNCTIONS OF MONEY 16 3 MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY 24 4 THEORY OF MONEY 31 5 MODERN MONETARISM 43 6 THEORY OF INFLATION 55 7 CENTRAL BANKING - I 63 8 ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI 71 9 ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI 78 10 MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA 85 FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY 93 MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY 106 11 12 Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 1) EVOLUTION OF MONEY Barter Economy, Evolution of Money 2) FUNCTIONS OF MONEY Functions of Money, Significance of Money, Demand for Money, Supply of Money 3) MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY The Concept of Money Supply and its Measurement, Four Measures of Money Supply, Determination of Money Supply 4) THEORY OF MONEY Price and Economy, Confusion between prices and costs of production, Other price terms, Fishers Quantity theory of Money, Quantity Theory of Money: The Cambridge Cash Balance Approach 5) MODERN MONETARISM Keynesian theory - Income Approach, Monetarism: An Introduction, Keynes's Reformulated Quantity Theory of Money 6) THEORY OF INFLATION Meaning of Inflation, Demand-Pull Inflation, Cost-Push Inflation 7) CENTRAL BANKING - I Overview of central Bank, Objectives of Central Bank, Reserve Bank of India, Role and Function of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) 8) ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI Organization and Structure of RBI, Departments of RBI 9) ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI Role of Reserve bank of India, Functions of Reserve Bank of India 10) MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA Meaning of Monetary policy, Objectives of monetary policy, Instruments of Monetary Policy, LIMITATIONS OF MONETARY POLICY 11) FRAMEWORK MONETARY POLICY AND PROCEDURE OF Monetary Policy Targets, Operating Procedures of Monetary Policy in India, Evolution of the Operating Procedure 12) MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY Transmission mechanism of monetary policy, How does interest rate policy work?, Reforms in the Monetary Policy Framework, Press, New Monetary Policy framework UNIT - 1 EVOLUTION OF MONEY Structure 1.1 Introduction 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 Objectives Barter Economy Evolution of Money Summary Exercise & Questions Further Reference Books EVOLUTION OF MONEY NOTES 1.1 Introduction The act of trading goods and services between two or more parties without the use of money is called as barter system. In the barter system goods are exchanged for other goods. This system prevailed throughout the world in the olden times. This system suffered from many shortcomings, double coincidence of wants is one of them. For exchange of goods, persons desiring to exchange goods must specifically want those goods what others offered in exchange. Money has removed this difficulty. In the ancient period many things such as clay, cowry, shells, cattle, salt, stone, gold, leather etc. used as money. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Economy? Barter 1.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to a) Know the barter system. b) Know the kinds used as money in the ancient period c) Understand the evolution of money 1.3 Barter Economy A barter economy is a cashless economic system in which services and goods are traded at negotiated rates. Barter-based economies are one of the earliest, predating monetary systems and even recorded history. People can successfully use barter in many almost any field. Informally, people often participate in barter and other reciprocal systems without really ever thinking about it as such -- for example, providing web design or tech support for a farmer or baker and receiving vegetables or baked goods in return. Strictly Internet-based exchanges are common as well, for example exchanging content creation for research. Barter transactions occur when economic actors, such as individuals, businesses and nations, exchange goods or services without the use of a monetary medium. While a barter economy is considered more primitive than modern economies, barter transactions still occur in the marketplace. Below are simple examples of bartering for goods and services, along with a common contemporary barter exchange. DEFINE BARTER SYSTEM. DEFINITION of 'Barter' The act of trading goods and services between two or more parties without (9) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Steps in Evolution of Money? the use of money.Bartering benefits individuals, companies and countries that see a mutual benefit in exchanging goods and services rather than cash. Example 1: Bartering with Consumer Goods In its most elementary form, bartering is the exchange of one valuable product for another between two individuals. Person A has two chickens but wants to get some apples; meanwhile, Person B has six apples but wants some chickens. If the two can find each other, Person A might trade one of his chickens for three of Person B's apples. No medium of exchange is used. The problem posed by simple bartering is what economists call the double coincidence of wants. In this case, Person A is not satisfied unless he crosses paths with a chicken-wanting apple-carrier, while Person B needs an apple-wanting chicken-carrier. Example 2: Bartering with Consumer Services Bartering can also take place as an exchange for services. Services are saleable acts, such as performing mechanical work or legal representation. If one professional agrees to perform tax accounting for another professional in exchange for cleaning services, this is a barter transaction. Much like with consumer goods, a barter transaction involving consumer services has demand and supply limitations. Example 3: Modern Advertising Services The most common form of business-to-business bartering in modern economies involves the trading of advertising rights. In these cases, one company sells its available ad space to another company in exchange for the right to advertise on the second company's space. These can be TV rights, radio rights, actual billboards or Internet ad spaces. 1.4 Evolution of Money Origin and Evolution of Money 1) Barter Money, as we know it today, is the result of a long process. At the beginning, there was no money. People engaged in barter, the exchange of merchandise for merchandise, without value equivalence. Then, a person catching more fish than the necessary for himself and his group, exchanged his excess fish for the surplus of another person who, for instance, had planted and harvested more corn that what he would need.. Goods used in barter are generally in their natural state, in line with the environment conditions and activities developed by the group, corresponding to elementary needs of the group's members. This exchange, however, is not free from difficulties, since there is not a common measure of value among the items bartered. (10) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 2) Commodity Money Some commodities, for their utility, came to be more sought than others are. Accepted by all, they assumed the role of currency, circulating as an element of exchange for other products and used to assess their value. This was the commodity money. Cattle, mainly bovine, was one of the mostly used, and had the advantages of moving for itself, reproducing and rendering services, although there was the risk of diseases and death. Salt was another commodity money, difficult to obtain, mainly in the interior part of continents, also used as a preservative for food. Both cattle and salt left the marks in the Portuguese language of their function as an exchange instrument. Similarly, the work salário (salary,compensation, normally in money, due by the employer for the services of an employee) originates from the use of sal [salt], in Rome, for payment of services rendered. EVOLUTION OF MONEY NOTES WHICH COMMODITY WEWRE USED AS MONEY? Brazil used, among other commodity moneys, cowry - brought by Africans -, Brazil wood, sugar, cocoa, tobacco and cloth, exchanged in Maranhão in the 17th Century due to the almost complete lack of money, traded in the form of yarn balls, skeins and fabrics. Later, commodities became inconvenient for commercial trades, due to changes in their values, the fact of being indivisible and easily perishable, therefore checking the accumulation of wealth. 3) Metal As soon as man discovered metal, it was used to made utensils and weapons previously made of stone. For its advantages, as the possibility of treasuring, divisibility, easy of transportation and beauty, metal became the main standard of value. It was exchanged under different forms. At the beginning, metal was used in its natural state, and later under the form of ingots and, still, transformed into objects, from rings to bracelets. The metal so traded required weight assessment and assaying of its purity at each transaction. Later, metal money gained definite form and weight, receiving a mark indicating its value, indicating also the person responsible for its issue. This measure made transactions faster, as it saved the trouble of weighing it and enabled prompt identification of the quantity of metal offered for trade. 4) Money in the Form of Objects Metal items came to be very valued commodities. As its production required, in addition to knowledge of melting, knowing where the metal could be found in nature, the task was not at the reach of everyone. The increased value of these objects led to its use as money and the circulation as money of small-scale replicas of metal objects. (11) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I This is the case of the knife and key coins found in the East and the talent, a copper or bronze coin with the form of an animal skin that circulated in Greece and Cyprus. NOTES 5) Ancient Coins In the 7th century B.C. the first coins resembling current ones appeared: they were small metal pieces, with fixed weight and value, and bearing an official seal that is the mark of who has minted them and also a guaranty of their value. Gold and silver coins are minted in Greece, and small oval ingots are used in Lydia, made of a gold and silver alloy called electrum. Coins reflect the mentality of a people and their time. One may find political, economic, technological and cultural aspects in coins. Through the impressions found in coins, we are able to know the effigy of personalities who lived centuries ago. Probably, the first historic character to have his effigy registered in a coin was Alexander the Great, of Macedonia, around the year 330 B.C. At the beginning, coin pieces were made by hand in a very coarse way, had irregular edges, and were not absolutely equal to one another as today's ones. 6) Gold, Silver and Copper The first metals used in coinage were gold and silver. Employment of these metals happened for their rarity, beauty, immunity to corrosion, economic value, and for old religious habits. In primeval civilizations, Babylonian priests, knowledgeable about astronomy, taught to people the close relationship between gold and the sun, silver and the moon. This led to a belief in the magic power of such metals and of objects made with them. Minting of gold and silver coins was common for many centuries, and pieces were guaranteed by their intrinsic value, that is to say, by the trade value of the metal used in their production. Then, a coin made with twenty grams of gold was exchanged for goods of even value. For many centuries, countries minted their most highly valued coins in gold, using silver and copper for lesser value coins. This system was kept up to the end of the last century, when cupronickel, and later other metallic alloys, became used, and coins came to circulate for their extrinsic value, that is to say, for their face value, which is independent from their metal content. With the appearance of paper money, minting of metal coins was restricted to lower values, necessary as change. In this new role, durability became the most requested quality for coins. Large quantities of modern alloys appeared, produced to support the high circulation of change money. (12) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 7) Paper Money In the Middle Ages, the keeping of values with goldsmiths, persons trading with gold and silver items, was common. The goldsmith, as a guaranty, delivered a receipt. With time, these receipts came to be used to make payments, circulating from hand to hand, giving origin to paper money. In Brazil, the first bank notes, precursors of the current notes, were issued by Banco do Brasil in 1810. They had its value written by hand, as we today do with our checks. With time, in the same form it happened with coins, the government came to conduct the issue of notes, controlling counterfeits and securing the power to pay. Currently, all countries have their central bank in charge of issuing coins and notes. Paper money experienced an evolution regarding the technique used in their printing. Today, the printing of notes uses especially prepared paper and several printing processes, which are complementary to each other, assuring to the final product a great margin of security and durability conditions. EVOLUTION OF MONEY NOTES Different Shapes Money has greatly changed its physical aspect along the centuries. Coins had already very small sizes, as the stater, which circulated in Aradus, Phenicia, and some reached large sizes, such as the thaler, a 17th century Swedish copper piece. Although today the circular form is used in almost the whole world, there had been oval, square, polygonal and other shapes for coins. They were also minted in different non-metallic materials, such as wood, leather and even porcelain. Porcelain coins circulated, in this century, in Germany, when the country was under the economic hardships caused by the war. Bank notes were generally of rectangular lengthwise format, although with great variety of sizes. There are, still, square notes and those with inscriptions written in the vertical. Bank notes depict the culture of the issuing country, and we may see in them characteristic and interesting motifs as landscapes, human types, fauna and flora, monuments of ancient and contemporary architecture, political leaders, historical scenes, etc. Bank notes bear, in addition, inscriptions, generally in the country's official language, although several also bear the same inscriptions in other idioms. The inscriptions, frequently in English, aim at permitting the piece to be read by a larger number of people. Monetary System The set of coins and bank notes used by a country form its monetary system. The system is regulated by appropriate legislation and organized from a monetary unit, its base value. Currently almost all countries use a monetary system of centesimal basis, in which the coinage dividing the unit represents one hundredth of its value. 8) Cheques As coins and notes ceased to be convertible into precious metal, money became more dematerialized and assumed abstract forms. (13) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Mobile Payment? One of these forms is the cheques that, for simplicity of use and security offered, is being adopted by an increasing number of people in their day-by-day activities. This document, by which one orders payment of a certain amount to its bearer or to a person mentioned in it, aims mainly at transactions with bank deposits. The 21st century gave rise to two disruptive forms of currency: Mobile payments and virtual currency. 9) Mobile payment IT is money rendered for a product or service through a portable electronic device such as a cell phone, smartphone or PDA. Mobile payment technology can also be used to send money to friends or family members. Increasingly, services like Apple Pay and Samsung Pay are vying for retailers to accept their platforms for point-of-sale payments. 10) Virtual Currency Bitcoin, invented in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, became the gold standard--so to speak--for virtual currencies. Virtual currencies have no physical coinage. The appeal of virtual currency is it offers the promise of lower transaction fees than traditional online payment mechanisms and is operated by a decentralized authority, unlike government issued currencies. 1.5 Summary Barter transactions occur when economic actors, such as individuals, businesses and nations, exchange goods or services without the use of a monetary medium. At the beginning, there was no money. In the ancient period many things such as clay, cowry, shells, cattle, salt, stone, gold, leather etc. used as money. The first metals used in coinage were gold and silver. In Brazil, the first bank notes, precursors of the current notes, were issued by Banco do Brasil in 1810. Money solves the various problems of barter system. 1.6 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) The act of trading goods and services between two or more parties without the use of money is called as ------------ . 2) -------------- currencies have no physical coinage. 3) The 21st century gave rise to two disruptive forms of currency: -------------- and -----------. 4) -------- has removed the problem of double coincidence. (14) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Short Answer Questions. 1) Write down any two example of Barter. 2) Write down the name of any five commodity used as money in the ancient period. 3) 4) 5) Explain the concept of double coincidence. Write down any four drawbacks of barter system. Explain how money solve the problem of barter system? C) Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the evolution and origin of money. 2) Explain barter economy with the help of example. Mention the drawbacks of System. EVOLUTION OF MONEY NOTES 1.7 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (15) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Functions of Money? UNIT - 2 FUNCTIONS OF MONEY Structure 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Objectives 2.3 Functions of Money 2.4 Significance of Money 2.5 Demand for Money 2.6 Supply of Money 2.7 Summary 2.8 Exercise & Questions 2.9 Further Reference Books 2.1 Introduction The term money in English is derived from Latin word 'moneta' which means roman goddess Juno or Moneta. Money is an important and indispensable element of modern civilization. It is considered to be the basis of all economic activities. It is one of the most basic and significant inventions of mankind. Money speeds up the wheel of Industry and makes business a grand success. In ordinary usage, what we use to pay for things is called money. In India the rupee is the money, in America the dollar is the money. 2.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Know the meaning of Money. 2) Understand the functions of Money. 3) Understand the concept of demand and supply of money. 2.3 Functions of Money Traditionally, money has been defined on the basis of its general acceptability and its functional aspect. To modern economist, crucial function of money is serves as a store of value. Functions of money classified into primary and secondary. Primary and Secondary Functions of Money! 1. Primary Functions (Main or Basic Functions) 2. Secondary Functions (Subsidiary or Derivative Functions) (16) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 1. Primary Functions: Primary Functions include the most important functions of money, which it must perform in every country, These are: (i) Medium of Exchange: The most important function of money is to serve as a medium of exchange or as a means of payment. To be a successful medium of exchange, money must be commonly accepted by people in exchange for goods and services. While functioning as a medium of exchange, money benefits the society in a number of ways: (a) It overcomes the inconvenience of barter system (i.e., the need for double coincidence of wants) by splitting the act of barter into two acts of exchange, i.e., sales and purchases through money. (b) It promotes transactional efficiency in exchange by facilitating the multiple exchange of goods and services with minimum effort and time, (c) It promotes allocation efficiency by facilitating specialization in production and trade, (d) It allows freedom of choice in the sense that a person can use his money to buy the things he wants most, from the people who offer the best bargain and at a time he considers the most advantageous. What are the benefits of medium of exchange of money? FUNCTIONS OF MONEY NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Secondary Functions of Money? (ii) Measure of Value (Unit of Value): Money as measure of value means that money works as a common denomination, in which values of all goods and services are expressed. 1. By reducing the value of all goods and services to a single unit (i.e. price), it becomes very easy to find out the exchange ratios between them and comparing their prices. 2. This function facilitates maintenance of business accounts, which would be otherwise impossible. 3. Money helps in calculating relative prices of goods and services. Due to this reason, it is regarded as a Unit of Account'. For instance, 'Rupee' is the unit of account in India, 'Pound' in England and so on. 2. Secondary Functions: These refer to those functions of money which are supplementary to the primary functions. These functions are derived from primary functions and, therefore, they are also known as 'Derivative Functions'. The major secondary functions are: (a) Standard of Deferred Payments: Money as a standard of deferred payments means that money acts as a 'standard' for payments, which are to be made in future. Every day, millions of transactions take place in which payments are not made immediately. Money encourages such transactions and helps in capital formation and economic development of the economy. This function of money is significant because: 1. Money as a standard of deferred payments has simplified the borrowing and lending operations. 2. It has led to the creation of financial institutions. (b) Store of Value (Asset Function of Money): Money as a store of value means that money can be used to transfer purchasing power from present to future. Money is a way to store wealth. Although wealth can be stored in other forms also, but money is the most economical and convenient way. It provides security to individuals to meet contingencies, (17) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Significance of Money? unpredictable emergencies and to pay future debts. Under barter system, it was difficult to use goods as a store of wealth due to perishable nature of some goods and high cost of storage. Money as store of value has the following advantages: 1. Money is available in fractional denomination, ranging from Rs 1 to Rs 1,000. 2. Money is easily portable. So, it is easy and economical to store money as its storage does not require much space. 3. Money has the merit of general acceptability so; it can be easily exchanged for goods at all times. 4. Savings in terms of money are much more secured than in terms of goods. In dynamic sense, money serves following functions. (c) Transfer of Value: Money also functions as a means of transferring value. Through money, value can be easily and quickly transferred from one place to another because money is acceptable everywhere and to all. For example, it is much easier to transfer one lakh rupees through bank draft from person A in Amritsar to person B in Bombay than remitting the same value in commodity terms, say wheat. (D)Distribution of National Income: Money facilitates the division of national income between people. Total output of the country is jointly produced by a number of people as workers, land owners, capitalists, and entrepreneurs, and, in turn, will have to be distributed among them. Money helps in the distribution of national product through the system of wage, rent, interest and profit. (E) Maximization of Satisfaction: Money helps consumers and producers to maximize their benefits. A consumer maximizes his satisfaction by equating the prices of each commodity (expressed in terms of money) with its marginal utility. Similarly, a producer maximizes his profit by equating the marginal productivity of a factor unit to its price. (F) Basis of Credit System: Credit plays an important role in the modern economic system and money constitutes the basis of credit. People deposit their money (saving) in the banks and on the basis of these deposits, the banks create credit. (G) Liquidity to Wealth: Money imparts liquidity to various forms of wealth. When a person holds wealth in the form of money, he makes it liquid. In fact, all forms of wealth (e.g., land, machinery, stocks, stores, etc.) can be converted into money. Explain the store of value function of Money 2.4 Significance of Money (18) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money occupies a central position in our modern economy. Money is everywhere and for everything in the modern economic life. Money has become the religion of the day in the ordinary business of life. As Marshall rightly put: "Money is the pivot around which economic science clusters." And, "the major part of the subject matter of economics is concerned with the functioning and malfunctioning of money." 1. Money has Facilitated Exchange and Promoted Trade: In the first place by serving as a medium of exchange and a common measure of value, money has removed the difficulties of the barter system and promoted trade in the economy. The difficulties of the barter system, namely, lack of double coincidence of wants, lack of division and lack of common measure of value are well known. By removing these difficulties, money has greatly facilitated the process of exchange. In the absence of money, trade and exchanges must have been few and far between and entailed a great waste of time and energy. FUNCTIONS OF MONEY 2. Money Promote Division of Labour and Productivity: Money is of great importance as it promotes division of labour and productivity in the modern economies. Since under the barter system, exchange was difficult, a man had to be self-sufficient, that is, produced most of the goods for himself. In the absence of money there were great difficulties in exchanging goods and services. This worked as an obstacle to the division of labour and specialisation among various individuals and nations. Long ago Adam Smith clearly brought out in his now well-known book "Wealth of Nations" how the division of labour and specialisation enhance productivity and efficiency of labour force. It is this division of labour and specialisation that has made the use of more efficient machines and advanced technology possible for production of goods. Indeed, it is because of the outputaugmenting effect of division of labour that Adam Smith regarded increase in the division of labour as progress in technology. By opening up the opportunities of effecting division of labour, and through facilitating exchange and trade of goods and services money contributes to the expansion of production. Therefore, money enables the increase in the amount of production and variety of goods and services produced. "If a modern economy was somehow deprived of the monetary mechanism and was driven back to a system of barter, the level of output would be much lower and the variety of goods and services much smaller than is enjoyed with a money system." NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Money promoters Saving? 3. Money Promotes Saving: A great significance of money is that it contributes a great deal to the increase in saving of the economy. Money has made saving easier than in the barter system. Increase in saving leads to the increase in investment which determines economic growth of a country. Further, money has made easier the acts of borrowing and lending and has given birth to various financial institutions which promote saving. Investment which is made possible by saving raises the rate of capital formation in the economy. The higher level of output in the modern economy is mainly due to the extensive use of capital in the production process. 4. Money helps in Maximizing Satisfaction or Profits by Consumers and Producers: Money is of immense advantage both to the consumers and producers. To the consumers money represents a general purchasing power. He can buy anything with money he has and at any time convenient to him. Since the values of goods are expressed in terms of common measure i.e. money, the consumer can easily compare the relative money prices of the goods and expected utilities from them. A consumer can easily spend his given money income on various goods in such a way that marginal utilities goods are proportional to their prices. With this he will be maximising his satisfaction from his given income. Thus the existence of money helps the consumer to maximise his satisfaction by acting on the principle of equi-marginal utility. Money helps the producer too. The producer can easily compare the money cost and money income of the different levels of output. He can thus easily decide about the level of output which maximises his profits by equating marginal cost with marginal revenue (MC = MR). Employee want food, clothing, shelter and so many other things. The (19) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS D e s c r i b e Classification of Money? producer cannot supply them all these things easily. But what be can do is to pay them in money with which they buy the commodities they like at their own convince and when they need them. 5. Money can help in Reviving the Economy from Recession or Depression: According to modern economists, money may play an important role in bringing about real changes. They point out that at times of recession or depression when there exists a lot of idle productive capacity and unemployment of labour, expansion of money supply, say through Government's deficit budget financed by the creation of new money will cause aggregate expenditure or demand to shift upward. This increase in aggregate expenditure or demand will cause output and employment in the economy to rise and thus will help the economy to recover from recession or depression. Beneficial effect on output and employment of expansion in money supply can be obtained even if Central bank of a country takes steps to expand money supply in the economy say through reduction in Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and through buying securities in the open market. These steps by the central bank aim at expansion in credit availability for the businessmen. The greater credit availability will lead to more private investment which through multiplier process will cause income, output and employment to rise. It follows from above that money is not neutral in its effect on real income and employment. In fact, as seen just above it plays an important role in the determination of the level of real economic activity. CLASSIFICATION OF MONEY Money can be classified on the basis of relationship between the value of money and value of money as a commodity. Value of money means the face value of money. For example, the face value of five rupees coin is five rupees. Value of money as a commodity means the value of the commodity of which money is made of. For example, the commodity value of money of a five rupee coin is the cost of material (metal) used of which the coin is made. If face value and commodity value of coin are the same, it is called standard coin. On the other hand, if face value is greater than the commodity value of coin, it is called token coin. These days, coins are token coins. Categories of Money: 1. Commodity (full-bodied) money: Commodity money is that whose face value is equal to its commodity value. This type of money was in existence when gold standard was prevalent. In other words, face value of the coin was equal to its intrinsic (commodity) value. But now this kind of money is not to be found anywhere in the world. 2. Representative (full-bodied) money: Though in spirit it is like the commodity (full-bodied) money but in form it is different. This kind of money is usually made of paper but equal to the face value of the money gold is kept in reserve. This money saves the users from the inconvenience of carrying money in heavy-weight in case of large quantity because paper money can be conveniently carried. (20) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 3. Credit Money: It is that money whose value of money (face-value) is greater than the commodity value (intrinsic value) of money. Token coins and promissory notes are part of credit money. Besides these, there are other forms of credit money also. Various forms of credit money are the following: (a) Token coins: Token coins are those whose face value is more than their intrinsic value. In India, coins of the money value of Rs. 5, Rs. 2, Rs. 1, 50 P, 25 P, 20 P, 10 P and 5 P are token coins. (b) Representative Token Money: This is usually of the form of paper, which is in effect a circulating ware house receipt for token coins or an equivalent amount of bullion thus is backing it. Not only this, the coin or bullion backing the representative token money is worth less as a commodity than as money. (c) Promissory Notes issued by Central Banks: This is a major component of currency. It includes currency notes of all denominations issued by Reserve Bank (excluding on rupee note). The system governing note-issue in India is the Minimum Reserve System. Minimum Reserve System stipulates that a minimum amount is kept in reserve in the form of gold and foreign exchange. This means our currency is inconvertible. (d) Bank Deposit: Demand deposits (current and saving deposits) are the bank deposits which can be withdrawn on demand. One can withdraw bank deposits at any time through cheques. However, bank does not keep 100% reserves to meet the withdrawal of demand deposits and hence these deposits are credit money. What is the difference between face value and intrinsic value of money? FUNCTIONS OF MONEY NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Demand for Money? 2.5 Demand for Money In economics, the demand for money is generally equated with cash or bank demand deposits. Generally, the nominal demand for money increases with the level of nominal output and decreases with the nominal interest rate. The equation for the demand for money is: Md = P * L(R,Y). This is the equivalent of stating that the nominal amount of money demanded (Md) equals the price level (P) times the liquidity preference function L(R,Y)--the amount of money held in easily convertible sources (cash, bank demand deposits). Specific to the liquidity function, L(R,Y), R is the nominal interest rate and Y is the real output. Money is necessary in order to carry out transactions. However inherent to the holding of money is the trade-off between the liquidity advantage of holding money and the interest advantage of holding other assets. When the demand for money is stable, monetary policy can help to stabilize an economy. However, when the demand for money is not stable, real and nominal interest rates will change and there will be economic fluctuations. Impact of the Interest Rate The interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor). It is viewed as a "cost" of borrowing money. Interest-rate targets are a tool of monetary policy. The quantity of money demanded varies inversely with the interest rate. Central banks in countries tend to reduce the interest rate when they want to increase investment and consumption in the economy. However, low interest rates can create an economic bubble where large amounts of investments are made, but result in large unpaid debts and economic crisis. The interest rate is adjusted to keep inflation, the demand for money, and the health of the economy in a certain range. Capping or adjusting the interest rate parallel with economic growth protects the momentum of the economy. The demand for money is the relationship between the quantity of money people want to hold and the factors that determine that quantity. (21) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Supply of Money? 2.5.1 Motives for Holding Money To understand the factors that determine demand for money, it helps to know the four main motives she might have for holding money at any given time. Firstly, People often holds money in the form of cash or checking accounts in order to buy goods and services. Economists call this the transactions demand for money. For example, People keeps cash in her wallet so she can buy groceries, something she does every week. The more cash she has in her wallet at any given time, the less time she has to take to go to the bank, stand in line and withdraw more cash. Secondly, People sometimes hold money as a safety net for unexpected expenses. Economists call that the precautionary demand for money. When people keep extra cash under the mattress in case her favorite store has a sale or in case her minivan needs an emergency repair, she does this as a precaution. Thirdly, People may hold some of wealth in the form of investments, such as bonds, that pay her interest. Economists call this the speculative demand for money. Since cash and most checking accounts don't pay much interest, but bonds do, money demand varies negatively with interest rates. That means the demand for money goes down when interest rates rise, and it goes up when interest rates fall. What is meant by speculative motive of Money? 2.6 Supply of Money Money supply plays a crucial role in the determination of price level and interest rate. In economic analysis it is generally presumed that money supply is determined by the policy of Central Bank of a country and the Government. However, this is not fully correct as in the determination of money supply, besides Central Bank and Government, the public and commercial banks also play an important role. There are various measures of money supply depending upon which types of deposits of banks and other financial institutions are included in it. 2.6.1 Importance of Money Supply Growth of money supply is an important factor not only for acceleration of the process of economic development but also for the achievement of price stability in the economy. There must be controlled expansion of money supply if the objective of development with stability is to be achieved. A healthy growth of an economy requires that there should be neither inflation nor deflation. Inflation is the greatest headache of a developing economy. A mild inflation arising out of the creation of money by deficit financing may stimulate investment by raising profit expectations and extracting forced savings. But a runaway inflation is highly detrimental to economic growth. The developing economies have to face the problem of inadequacy of resources in initial stages of development and it can make up this deficiency by deficit financing. But it has to be kept strictly within safe limits. Thus, increase in money supply affects vitally the rate of economic growth. In fact, it is now regarded as a legitimate instrument of economic growth. Kept within proper limits it can accelerate economic growth but exceeding of the limits will retard it. Thus, management of money supply is essential in the interest of steady economic growth. 2.7 Summary (22) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money is an important and indispensable element of modern civilization. It is considered to be the basis of all economic activities. At the beginning, there was no money. People engaged in barter, the exchange of merchandise for merchandise, without value equivalence. A barter economy is a cashless economic system in which services and goods are traded at negotiated rates. In the traditional sense, money serves as medium of exchange, measures of value, store of value and standard of deferred payment. In the modern economics, it serves dynamic functions like encouragement to division of labour, Mobilization of Saving. In economic analysis it is generally presumed that money supply is determined by the policy of Central Bank of a country and the Government. FUNCTIONS OF MONEY NOTES 2.8 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) The term money in English is derived from ……………. word 'moneta' which means roman goddess Juno or Moneta. 2) money supply is determined by the policy of -----------. 3) Money as a ……………….. Means that money can be used to transfer purchasing power from present to future. 4) ---------- deposits (current deposits) are the bank deposits which can be withdrawn on demand. Short Answer Questions 1) Define Money. Explain the role of money in economy. 2) Money is liquid store of Value. Comment. 3) How money has solved the problem of double coincidence of wants? 4) Define Demand of Money. 5) Explain the different motives of demand of Money. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the Any Five functions of money. 2) Explain the concept of demand and supply of money. 3) Explain the significance of Money. 2.9 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (23) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Concept of Money Supply and its Measurement? UNIT - 3 MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY Structure 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Objectives 3.3 The Concept of Money Supply and its Measurement 3.4 Four Measures of Money Supply 3.5 Determination of Money Supply 3.6 Summary 3.7 Exercise & Questions 3.8 Further Reference Books 3.1 Introduction Money supply plays a crucial role in the determination of price level and interest rate. In economic analysis it is generally presumed that money supply is determined by the policy of Central Bank of a country and the Government. Currency with public and demand deposit are the two important component of money supply. RBI classified stock of money on the basis of liquidity. 1979 the RBI classified money stock in India in the four categories. The third RBI working group redefined its parameter for measuring money supply and introduced new monetary aggregates. M1 is called as narrow money and M3 is called as broad money. M4has been excluded from the scheme of new monetary aggregates. 3.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to a) Know the classification of stock of Money. b) Know the different measures of money supply c) Understand the difference between narrow and broad money. d) Know the determinants of Money Supply. 3.3 The Concept of Money Supply and its Measurement By money supply we mean the total stock of monetary media of exchange available to a society for use in connection with the economic activity of the country. According to the standard concept of money supply, it is composed of the following two elements: 1. Currency with the public, 2. Demand deposits with the public. (24) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Before explaining these two components of money supply two things must be noted with regard to the money supply in the economy. First, the money supply refers 'to the total sum of money available to the public in the economy at a point of time. That is, money supply is a stock concept in sharp contrast to the national income which is a flow representing the value of goods and services produced per unit of time, usually taken as a year. Secondly, money supply always refers to the amount of money held by the public. In the term public are included households, firms and institutions other than banks and the government. The rationale behind considering money supply as held by the public is to separate the producers of money from those who use money to fulfill their various types of demand for money. Since the Government and the banks produce or create money for the use by the public, the money (cash reserves) held by them are not used for transaction and speculative purposes and are excluded from the standard measures of money supply. This separation of producers of money from the users of money is important from the viewpoint of both monetary theory and policy. Let us explain the two components of money supply at some length. 1) Currency with the Public: In order to arrive at the total currency with the public in India we add the following items: 1. Currency notes in circulation issued by the Reserve Bank of India. 2. The number of rupee notes and coins in circulation. 3. Small coins in circulation. It is worth noting that cash reserves with the banks have to be deducted from the value of the above three items of currency in order to arrive at the total currency with the public. This is because cash reserves with the banks must remain with them and cannot therefore be used for making payments for goods or by any commercial banks' transactions. It may further be noted that these days paper currency issued by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) are not fully backed by the reserves of gold and silver, nor it is considered necessary to do so. Full backing of paper currency by reserves of gold prevailed in the past when gold standard or silver standard type of monetary system existed. According to the modem economic thinking the magnitude of currency issued should be determined by the monetary needs of the economy and not by the available reserves of gold and silver. As in other developed countries, since 1957 Reserve Bank of India follows Minimum Reserve System of issuing currency. Under this system, minimum reserves of Rs. 200 crores of gold and other approved securities (such as dollars, pound sterling, etc.) have to be kept and against this any amount of currency can be issued depending on the monetary requirements of the economy. RBI is not bound to convert notes into equal value of gold or silver. In the present times currency is inconvertible. The word written on the note, say 100 rupee notes and signed by the governor of RBI that 'I promise to pay the bearer a sum of 100 rupees' is only a legacy of the past and does not imply its convertibility into gold or silver. Another important thing to note is that paper currency or coins are fiat money, which means that currency notes and metallic coins serve as money on the bases of the fiat (i.e. order) of the Government. In other words, on the authority of the Government no one can refuse to accept them in payment for the transaction made. That is why they are called legal tender. 2) Demand Deposits with the Public: The other important components of money supply are demand deposits of the public with the banks. These demand deposits held by the public are also called bank money or deposit money. Deposits with the banks are broadly divided into two types: demand deposits and time deposits. Demand deposits in the banks are those deposits which can be withdrawn MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY NOTES (25) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What are Four measures of Money Supply? by drawing cheque on them. Through cheque these deposits can be transferred to others for making payments from which goods and services have been purchased. Thus, cheque makes these demand deposits as a medium of exchange and therefore makes them to serve as money. It may be noted that demand deposits are fiduciary money proper. Fiduciary money is one which functions as money on the basis of trust of the persons who make payment rather than on the basis of the authority of Government. Thus, despite the fact that demand deposits and cheques through which they are operated are not legal' tender, they functions as money on the basis of the trust commanded by those who draw cheques on them. They are money as they are generally acceptable as medium of payment. Bank deposits are created when people deposits currency with them. But far more important is that banks themselves create deposits when they give advances to businessmen and others. On the basis of small cash reserves of currency, they are able to create a much larger amount of demand deposits through a system called fractional reserve system which will be explained later in detail. In the developed countries such as USA and Great Britain deposit money accounted for over 80 per cent of the total money supply, currency being a relatively small part of it. This is because banking system has greatly developed there and also people have developed banking habits. On the other hand, in the developing countries banking has not developed sufficiently and also people have not acquired banking habits and they prefer to make transactions in currency. However in India after 50 years of independence and economic development the proportion of bank deposits in the money supply has risen to about 50 per cent. 3.4 Four Measures of Money Supply (26) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Several definitions of money supply have been given and therefore various measures of money supply based on them have been estimated. First, different components of money supply have been distinguished on the basis of the different functions that money performs. For example, demand deposits, credit card and currency are used by the people primarily as a medium of exchange for buying goods and services and making other transactions. Obviously, they are money because they are used as a medium of exchange and are generally referred to as M1. Another measure of money supply is M3 which includes both M1 and time deposits held by the public in the banks. Time deposits are money that people hold as store of value. The main reason why money supply is classified into various measures on the basis of its functions is that effective predictions can be made about the likely affects on the economy of changes in the different components of money supply. For example, if M1 is increasing firstly it can be reasonably expected that people are planning to make a large number of transactions. On the other hand, if time-deposits component of money-supply measure M3 which serves as a store of value is increasing rapidly, it can be validly concluded that people are planning to save more and accordingly consume less. Therefore, it is believed that for monetary analysis and policy formulation, a single measure of money supply is not only inadequate but may be misleading too. Hence various measures of money supply are prepared to meet the needs of monetary analysis and policy formulation. Recently in India as well as in some developed countries, three concepts of money supply have been distinguished. The definition of money supply given above represents a narrow measure of money supply and is generally described as M1. From April 1977, the Reserve Bank of India has adopted four concepts of money supply in its analysis of the quantum of and variations in money supply. The third RBI working group redefined its parameters for measuring money supply. These are as follows. 1. Money Supply M1 or Narrow Money: This is the narrow measure of money supply and is composed of the following items: M1 = C + DD + OD Where C = Currency with the public DD = Demand deposits with the public in the Commercial and Cooperative Banks. OD = Other deposits held by the public with Reserve Bank of India. The money supply is the most liquid measure of money supply as the money included in it can be easily used as a medium of exchange, that is, as a means of making payments for transactions. Currency with the public (C) in the above measure of money supply consists of the followings: (i) Notes in circulation. (ii) Circulation of rupee coins as well as small coins (iii) Cash reserves on hand with all banks. Note that in measuring demand deposits with the public in the banks (i.e., DD), inter-bank deposits, that is, deposits held by a bank in other banks are excluded from this measure. In the other deposits with Reserve Bank of India (i.e., OD) deposits held by the Central and State Governments and a few others such as RBI Employees Pension and Provident Funds are excluded. However, these other deposits of Reserve Bank of India include the following items: (i) Deposits of Institutions such UTI, IDBI, IFCI, NABARD etc. (ii) Demand deposits of foreign Central Banks and Foreign Governments. (iii) Demand deposits of IMF and World Bank. It may be noted that other deposits of Reserve Bank of India constitute a very small proportion (less than one per cent). MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY NOTES 2) Money Supply M2: M2 is a broader concept of money supply in India than M1. Thus, M2 = M1 + time liabilities portion of saving deposits with banks. + Certificate of deposits issued by banks. + Time deposits maturing within a year excluding FCNR. The reason why money supply M2 has been distinguished from M1 is that saving deposits with post office savings banks are not as liquid as demand deposits with Commercial and Co-operative Banks as they are not chequable accounts. However, saving deposits with post offices are more liquid than time deposits with the banks. 3) Money Supply M3 or Broad Money: M3 is a broad concept of money supply. Thus M3 = M1 + Time Deposits with the banks maturity over one year+ term borrowing of the banking system. It is generally thought that time deposits serve as store of value and represent savings of the people and are not liquid as they cannot be withdrawn through drawing cheque on them. However, since loans from the banks can be easily obtained against these time deposits, they can be used if found necessary for transaction purposes in this way. Further, they can be withdrawn at any time by (27) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES forgoing some interest earned on them. It may be noted that recently M3 has become a popular measure of money supply. The working group on monetary reforms under the chairmanship of Late Prof. Sukhamoy Chakravarty recommended its use for monetary planning of the economy and setting target of the growth of money supply in terms of M3. Therefore, recently RBI in its analysis of growth of money supply and its effects on the economy has shifted to the use of M3measure of money supply. 4) Money Supply M4: M4 has been excluded from the scheme of new monetary aggregates 3.5 Determination of Money Supply CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Determination of Money Supply? (28) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I In order to explain the determinants of money supply in an economy we shall use M1 concept of money supply which is the most fundamental concept of money supply. We shall denote it simply by M rather than M1. As seen above this concept of money supply is composed of currency held by the public (Cp) and demand deposits with the banks (D). Thus M =CP + D….. (i) Where M = Total money supply with the public CP = Currency with the public D = Demand deposits held by the public The two important determinants of money supply as described in (1) are (a) the amounts of high-powered money which is also called Reserve Money by the Reserve Bank of India and (b) the size of money multiplier. 1. High-Powered Money (H): The high-powered money which we denote by H consists of the currency (notes and coins) issued by the Government and the Reserve Bank of India. A part of the currency issued is held by the public, which we designate as CP and a part is held by the banks as reserves which we designate as R. A part of these currency reserves of the banks is held by them in their own cash vaults and a part is deposited in the Reserve Bank of India in the Reserve Accounts which banks hold with RBI. Accordingly, the high-powered money can be obtained as sum of currency held by the public and the part held by the banks as reserves. Thus H =CP + R …(2) Where H = the amount of high-powered money CP = Currency held by the public R D = Cash Reserves of currency with the banks. It is worth noting that Reserve Bank of India and Government are producers of the high-powered money and the commercial banks do not have any role in producing this high-powered money (H). However, commercial banks are producers of demand deposits which are also used as money like currency. But for producing demand deposits or credit, banks have to keep with themselves cash reserves of currency which have been denoted by R in equation (2) above. Since these cash reserves with the banks serve as a basis for the multiple creations of demand deposits which constitute an important part of total money supply in the economy, it provides high poweredness to the currency issued by Reserve Bank and Government. A glance at equations (1) and (2) above will reveal that the difference in the two equations, one describing the total money supply and the other high-powered money is that whereas in the former, demand deposits (D) are added to the currency held by the public, in the later it is cash reserves (R) of the banks that are added to the currency held by the public. In fact, it is against these cash reserves (R) that banks are able to create a multiple expansion of credit or demand deposits due to which there is large expansion in money supply in the economy. The theory of determination of money supply is based on the supply of and demand for high- powered money. Some economists therefore call it 'The H Theory of Money Supply. However, it is more popularly called 'Money-multiplier Theory of Money Supply' because it explains the determination of money supply as a certain multiple of the high-powered money. The amount of high-powered money is fixed by RBI by its past actions. Thus, changes in high-powered money are the result of decisions of Reserve Bank of India or the Government which own and control it. MEASUREMENT OF MONEY SUPPLY NOTES 2. Money Multiplier: As stated above, money multiplier is the degree to which money supply is expanded as a) result of the increase in high-powered money. Thus m = M/H Rearranging we have, M = H.m…. (3) Thus money supply is determined by the size of money multiplier (m) and the amount of high- powered money (H). If we know the value of money multiplier we can predict how much money will change when there is a change in the amount of high-powered money. As mentioned above, change in the high-powered money is decided and controlled by Reserve Bank of India, the money multiplier determines the extent to which decision by RBI regarding the change in high-powered money will bring about change in the total money supply in the economy. 3.6 Summary Money is an important and indispensable element of modern civilization. It is considered to be the basis of all economic activities. In economic analysis it is generally presumed that money supply is determined by the policy of Central Bank of a country and the Government. Currency with public and demand deposit are the two important component of money suppl. The money stock in India is divided into narrow money and broad money. Narrow money excludes time deposits of the public with the banking system while broad money includes it. M4 is excluded from stock. The money supply refers 'to the total sum of money available to the public in the economy at a point of time. In economic analysis it is generally presumed that money supply is determined by the policy of Central Bank of a country and the Government. The two important determinants of money supply as described in (1) are (a) the amounts of high-powered money which is also called Reserve Money by the Reserve Bank of India and (b) the size of money multiplier. 3.7 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) ………… is a broad concept of money supply. 2) In------ the RBI classified money stock in India in the four categories. (29) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 3) 4) These ------------ deposits held by the public are also called bank money or deposit money. ------- has been excluded from the scheme of new monetary aggregates. Short Answer Questions 1) Write a short note on Narrow Money. 2) Distinction between Narrow Money and Broad Money. 3) Explain the components of Narrow Money. 4) Write a short note on High powered money. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the different measurement of Money supply in India. 2) Explain the determinants of Money Supply. 3) explain the components of money supply. 3.8 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (30) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 4 THEORY OF MONEY THEORY OF MONEY NOTES Structure 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Objectives 4.3 Price and Economy 4.4 Confusion between prices and costs of production 4.5 Other price terms 4.6 Fishers Quantity theory of Money 4.6 Quantity Theory of Money: The Cambridge Cash Balance Approach 4.7 Summary 4.8 Exercise & Questions 4.9 Further Reference Books CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Relationship with Price and Economy? 4.1 Introduction Money is an important and indispensible element of modern civilization. In ordinary usage what we use to pay for thing is called money. In ordinary usage, price is the quantity of payment or compensation given by one party to another in return for goods or services. 4.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Know the meaning of Price 2) Know the difference between price and cost 3) Understand the quantity theory of money 4.3 Price and Economy l l As the consideration given in exchange for transfer of ownership, priceforms the essential basis of commercial transactions. It may be fixed by a contract, left to be determined by an agreed upon formula at a future date, or discovered or negotiated during the course of dealings between the parties involved. In commerce, price is determined by what (1) a buyer is willing to pay, (2) a seller is willing to accept, and (3) the competition is allowing to be charged. In ordinary usage, price is the quantity of payment or compensation given by one party to another in return for goods or services.[1] In modern economies, prices are generally expressed in units of some form of currency. (For commodities, they are expressed as currency per unit weight of the commodity, e.g. euros per kilogram.) Although prices could be quoted as quantities of other goods or services this sort of barter exchange is rarely seen. Prices are sometimes quoted in terms of vouchers such as trading stamps and air miles. In some circumstances, cigarettes have been used as currency, for example in prisons, in times of hyperinflation, and in some places during World War 2. In a (31) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES black market economy, barter is also relatively common. In many financial transactions, it is customary to quote prices in other ways. The most obvious example is in pricing a loan, when the cost will be expressed as the percentage rate of interest. The total amount of interest payable depends upon credit risk, the loan amount and the period of the loan. Other examples can be found in pricing financial derivatives and other financial assets. For instance the price of inflation-linked government securities in several countries is quoted as the actual price divided by a factor representing inflation since the security was issued. Price sometimes refers to the quantity of payment requested by a seller of goods or services, rather than the eventual payment amount. This requested amount is often called the asking price or selling price, while the actual payment may be called the transaction price or traded price. Likewise, the bid price or buying price is the quantity of payment offered by a buyer of goods or services, although this meaning is more common in asset or financial markets than in consumer markets. Economists sometimes define price more generally as the ratio of the quantities of goods that are exchanged for each other. Price theory Economic theory asserts that in a free market economy the market price reflects interaction between supply and demand: the price is set so as to equate the quantity being supplied and that being demanded. In turn these quantities are determined by the marginal utility of the asset to different buyers and to different sellers. In reality, the price may be distorted by other factors, such as tax and other government regulations. When a commodity is for sale at multiple locations, the law of one price is generally believed to hold. This essentially states that the cost difference between the locations cannot be greater than that representing shipping, taxes, other distribution costs and more. In the case of the majority of consumer goods and services, distribution costs are quite a high proportion of the overall price, so the law may not be very useful. 4.4 Confusion between prices and costs of production Price is commonly confused with the notion of cost of production, as in "I paid a high cost for buying my new plasma television"; but technically these are different concepts. Price is what a buyer pays to acquire products from a seller. Cost of production concerns the seller's investment (e.g., manufacturing expense) in the product being exchanged with a buyer. For marketing organizations seeking to make a profit, the hope is that price will exceed cost of production so that the organization can see financial gain from the transaction. Finally, while pricing is a topic central to a company's profitability, pricing decisions are not limited to for-profit companies. The behavior of non-profit organizations, such as charities, educational institutions and industry trade groups, also involve setting prices.[2]:160-165 For instance, charities seeking to raise money may set different "target" levels for donations that reward donors with increases in status (e.g., name in newsletter), gifts or other benefits; likewise educational and cultural nonprofits often price seats for events in theatres, auditoriums and stadiums. Furthermore, while nonprofit organizations may not earn a "profit", by definition, it is the case that many nonprofits may desire to maximize net revenue-total revenue less total cost-for various programs and activities, such as selling seats to theatrical and cultural performances.[2]:183-194 4.5 Other price terms (32) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Basic price is the price a seller gets after removing any taxes paid by a buyer and adding any subsidy the seller gets for selling. Producer price is the amount the producer gets from a buyer for a unit of a good or service produced as output minus any tax, it excludes any transport charges invoiced separately by the producer. Price optimization is the use of mathematical analysis by a company to determine how customers will respond to different prices for its products and services through different channels. THEORY OF MONEY NOTES 4.6 Fishers Quantity theory of Money Quantity theory of money states that money supply and price level in an economy are in direct proportion to one another. Definition: Quantity theory of money states that money supply and price level in an economy are in direct proportion to one another. When there is a change in the supply of money, there is a proportional change in the price level and viceversa. It is supported and calculated by using the Fisher Equation on Quantity Theory of Money. M*V= P*T where, M = Money supply V = Velocity of money P = Price level T = volume of the transactions CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Fishers quantity theory of money? Description: The theory is accepted by most economists per se. However, Keynesian economists and economists from the Monetarist School of Economics have criticized the theory. According to them, the theory fails in the short run when the prices are sticky. Moreover, it has been proved that velocity of money doesn't remain constant over time. Despite all this, the theory is very well respected and is heavily used to control inflation in the market. The concept of the quantity theory of money (QTM) began in the 16th century. As gold and silver inflows from the Americas into Europe were being minted into coins, there was a resulting rise in inflation. This led economist Henry Thornton in 1802 to assume that more money equals more inflation and that an increase in money supply does not necessarily mean an increase in economic output. Here we look at the assumptions and calculations underlying the QTM, as well as its relationship to monetarism and ways the theory has been challenged. QTM in a Nutshell The quantity theory of money states that there is a direct relationship between the quantity of money in an economy and the level of prices of goods and services sold. According to QTM, if the amount of money in an economy doubles, price levels also double, causing inflation (the percentage rate at which the level of prices is rising in an economy). The consumer therefore pays twice as much for the same amount of the good or service. Another way to understand this theory is to recognize that money is like any other commodity: increases in its supply decrease marginal value (the buying capacity of one unit of currency). So an increase in money supply causes prices to rise (inflation) as they compensate for the decrease in money's marginal value. The Theory's Calculations In its simplest form, the theory is expressed as: (33) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Quantity Theory of Money? MV = PT (the Fisher Equation) Each variable denotes the following: M = Money Supply V = Velocity of Circulation (the number of times money changes hands) P = Average Price Level T = Volume of Transactions of Goods and Services The original theory was considered orthodox among 17th century classical economists and was overhauled by 20th-century economists Irving Fisher, who formulated the above equation, and Milton Friedman. (For more on this important economist, see Free Market Maven: Milton Friedman.) It is built on the principle of "equation of exchange": Velocity of circulation = total spending Amount of Money x Thus if an economy has US$3, and those $3 were spent five times in a month, total spending for the month would be $15. QTM Assumptions QTM adds assumptions to the logic of the equation of exchange. In its most basic form, the theory assumes that V (velocity of circulation) and T (volume of transactions) are constant in the short term. These assumptions, however, have been criticized, particularly the assumption that V is constant. The arguments point out that the velocity of circulation depends on consumer and business spending impulses, which cannot be constant. The theory also assumes that the quantity of money, which is determined by outside forces, is the main influence of economic activity in a society. A change in money supply results in changes in price levels and/or a change in supply of goods and services. It is primarily these changes in money stock that cause a change in spending. And the velocity of circulation depends not on the amount of money available or on the current price level but on changes in price levels. Finally, the number of transactions (T) is determined by labor, capital, natural resources (i.e. the factors of production), knowledge and organization. The theory assumes an economy in equilibrium and at full employment. Essentially, the theory's assumptions imply that the value of money is determined by the amount of money available in an economy. An increase in money supply results in a decrease in the value of money because an increase in money supply causes a rise in inflation. As inflation rises, the purchasing power, or the value of money, decreases. It therefore will cost more to buy the same quantity of goods or services. 4.6 Quantity Theory of Money: The Cambridge Cash Balance Approach (34) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I The equation of exchange has been stated by Cambridge economists, Marshall and Pigou, in a form different from Irving Fisher. Cambridge economists explained the determination of value of money in line with the determination of value in general. Value of a commodity is determined by demand for and supply of it and likewise, according to them, the value of money (i.e., its purchasing power) is determined by the demand for and supply of money. As studied in cash-balance approach to demand for money Cambridge economists laid stress on the store of value function of money in sharp contrast to the medium of exchange function of money emphasised by in Fisher's transactions approach to demand for money. According to cash balance approach, the public likes to hold a proportion of nominal income in the form of money (i.e., cash balances). Let us call this proportion of nominal income that people want to hold in money as k. Then cash balance approach can be written as: Md =kPY ….(1) Y = real national income (i.e., aggregate output) P = the price level PY = nominal national income k = the proportion of nominal income that people want to hold in money Md = the amount of money which public want to hold Now, for the achievement of money-market equilibrium, demand for money must equal worth the supply of money which we denote by M. It is important to note that the supply of money M is exogenously given and is determined by the monetary policies of the central bank of a country. Thus, for equilibrium in the money market. M = Md As Md =kPY Therefore, in equilibrium M = kPY …(2) Monetary equilibrium Cambridge cash balance approach is shown in Fig. 20.2 where demand for money is shown by a rising straight line kPY which indicates that with k and Y being held constant demand for money increases proportionately to the rise in price level. As price level rises people demand more money for transaction purposes. Now, if supply of money fixed by the Government (or the Central Bank) is equal to M0, the demand for money APK equals the supply of money, M0 at price level P0. Thus, with supply of money equal to M0 equilibrium price level P0 is determined. If money supply is increased, how the monetary equilibrium will change? Suppose money supply is increased to M1 at the initial price level P0 the people will be holding more money than they demand at it. Therefore, they would want to reduce their money holding. In order to reduce their money holding they would increase their spending on goods and services. In response to the increase in money spending by the households the firms will increase prices of their goods and services. As prices rise, the households will need and demand more money to hold for transaction purposes (i.e., for buying goods and services). It will be seen from Fig. 20.2 that with the increase in money supply to M1 new equilibrium between demand for money and supply of money is attained at point E1 on the demand for money curve kPY and price level has risen to P1. It is worth mentioning that k in the equations (1) and (2) is related to velocity of circulation of money V in Fisher's transactions approach. Thus, when a greater proportion of nominal income is held in the form of money (i.e., when k is higher), V falls. On the other hand, when less proportion of nominal income is held in money, K rises. In the words of Crowther, "The higher the proportion of their real incomes that people decide to keep in money, the lower will be the velocity of circulation, and vice versa. THEORY OF MONEY NOTES (35) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES (36) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I It follows from above that k = 1/V. Now, rearranging equation (2) we have cash balance approach in which P appears as dependent variable. Thus, on rearranging equation (2) we have P = 1/k.M/Y…………(3) Like Fisher's equation, cash balance equation is also an accounting identity because k is defined as: Quantity of Money Supply/National Income, that is, M/PY Now, Cambridge economists also assumed that k remains constant. Further, due to their belief that wage-price flexibility ensures full employment of resources, the level of real national income was also fixed corresponding to the level of aggregate output produced by full employment of resources. Thus, from equation (3) it follows that with k and Y remaining constant price level (P) is deter-mined by the quantity of money (M); changes in the quantity of money will cause proportionate changes in the price level. Some economists have pointed out similarity between Cambridge cashbalance approach and Fisher's transactions approach. According to them, k is reciprocal of V (k = 1/V or V = 1/k). Thus in equation (2) if we replace k by, we have M = 1/PY Or MV=PY Which is income version of Fisher's quantity theory of money? However, in spite of the formal similarity between the cash balance and transactions approaches, there are important conceptual differences between the two which makes cash balance approach superior to the transactions approach. First, as mentioned above. Fisher's transactions approach lays stress on the medium of exchange function of money, that is, according to its people want money to use it as a means of payment for buying goods and services. On the other hand, cash balance approach emphasizes the store-of-value function of money. They hold money so that some value is stored for spending on goods and services after some lapse of time. Further, in explaining the factors which determine velocity of circulation, transactions approach points to the mechanical aspects of payment methods and practices such as frequency of wages and other factor payments, the speed with which funds can be sent from one place to another, the extent to which bank deposits and cheques are used in dealing with others and so on. On the other hand, k in the cash balance approach is behavioural in nature. Thus, according to Prof S.B. Gupta, "Cash- balance approach is behavioural in nature: it is build around the demand for money, however simple. Unlike Fisher s V, k is a behavioural ratio. As such it can easily lead to stress being placed on the relative usefulness of money as an asset." Thirdly, cash balance approach explains determination of value of money in a framework of general demand-supply analysis of value. Thus, according to this approach value of money (that is, its purchasing power is determined by the demand for and supply of money). To sum up cash balance approach has made some improvements over Fisher's transactions approach in explaining the relation between money and prices. However it is essentially the same as the Fisher's transactions approach. Like Fisher's approach if considers substitution between money and commodities. That is, if they decide to hold less money, they spend more on commodities rather than on other assets such as bonds, shares real property, and durable consumer goods. Further, like Fisher's transactions approach it visualises changes in the quantity of money causes proportional changes in the price level. Like Fisher's approach, cash balance approach also assumes that full- employment of resources will prevail due to the wage-price flexibility. Hence, it also believes the aggregate supply curve as perfectly inelastic at full-employment level of output. An important limitation of cash balance approach is that it also assumes that the proportion to income that people want to hold in money, that is, k, remains constant. Note that. In practice it has been found that proportionality factor k orvelocity of circulation has not remained constant but has been fluctuating, especially in the short run. Besides, cash-balance approach falls short of considering demand for money as an asset. If demand for money as an asset were considered, it would have a determining influence on the rate of interest on which amount of investment in the economy depends. Investment plays an important role in the determination of/level of real income in the economy. It was left to J.M. Keynes who later emphasised the role of demand for money as an asset which was one of the alternative assets in which individuals can keep their income or wealth. Finally, it may be mentioned that other criticisms of Fisher's transactions approach to quantity theory of money discussed above equally apply to the Cambridge cash balance approach. THEORY OF MONEY NOTES Keynes's Critique of the Quantity Theory of Money: The quantity theory of money has been widely criticised. 1. Useless truism: With the qualification that velocity of money (V) and the total output (T) remain the same, the equation of exchange (MV= PT) is a useless truism. The real trouble is that these things seldom remain the same. They change not only in the long run but also in a short period. Fisher's equation of exchange simply tells us that expenditure made on goods (MV) is equal to the value of output of goods and services sold (PT). 2. Velocity of money is not stable: Keynesian economists have challenged the assumption that velocity of money remains stable. According to them, velocity of money changes inversely with the change in money supply. They argue that increase in money supply, demand for money remaining constant, leads to the fall in the rate of interest. At a lower rate of interest, people will be induced to hold more money as idle cash balances (under speculative motive). This means velocity of circulation of money will be reduced. Thus, if a decline in interest rate reduces velocity, then increase in the money supply will be offset by reduction in velocity, with the result that price level, need not rise when money supply is increased. 3. Increase in quantity of money may not always lead to the increase in aggregate spending or demand: Further, according to Keynes' the quantity theory of money is based upon two more wrong assumptions. Basically, for, the quantity theory to be true, the following two assumptions must hold: (i) An increase is money supply must lead to an increase in spending, that is, aggregate demand i.e., no part of additional money created should be kept in idle hoards. (ii) The resulting increase in spending or aggregate demand must face a totally inelastic output. Both the assumptions according to Keynes, lack generality and, therefore, it either of them does not hold, the quantity theory cannot be accepted as a valid explanation of the changes in price level. Let us take the first assumption. Under this assumption, the entire increase (37) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES in the quantity of money must express itself in the form of increased spending. If spending does not increase, there is no question of a change in prices or output. But, is it valid to make such an assumption? Obviously, there is no such direct link between the increase in the quantity of money and the increase in the volume of total spending or aggregate demand. No one is going to increase his expenditure simply because the government is printing more notes or the banks are more liberal in their lending policies. Thus, if the demand for money is highly interest-elastic, the increase in money supply will not lead to any appreciable fall in the rate of interest. With no significant fall in rate of interest, the investment expenditure and expenditure on durable consumer goods will not increase much. As a result, increase in money supply may not lead to increase in expenditure or aggregate demand and therefore price level may remain unaffected. This is not to say, however, that changes in the quantity of money have no influence whatsoever on the volume of aggregate spending. As we shall show below, changes in the quantity of money are often capable of inducing changes in the volume of aggregate spending. What Keynes and his followers deny is the assertion that there exists a direct, simple, and more or less a propor-tional relation between variation in money supply and variation in the level of total spending. 4. Assumption of constant volume of transactions or constant level of aggregate output is not valid: Keys asserted that the assumption of constant aggregate output valid only under conditions of full employment. It is only then that we can assume a totally inelastic supply of output, for all the available resources are being already fully utilised. In conditions of less than full employment, the supply curve of output will be elastic. Now, if we assume that aggregate spending or demand increases with an increase in the quantity of money, it does not follow that prices must necessarily rise. If the supply curve of output is fairly elastic, it is more likely that effect of an increase in spending will be more to raise production rather than prices. Of course, at full-employment level every further increase in spending or aggregate demand must lead to the rise in the price level as output is inelastic in supply at full-employment level. Since full-employment cannot be assumed to be a normal affair, we cannot accept the quantity theory of money as a valid explanation of changes in the price level in the short run. (38) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I The quantity theory of money states that the quantity of money is the main determinant of the price level or the value of money. Any change in the quantity of money produces an exactly proportionate change in the price level. In the words of Irving Fisher, "Other things remaining unchanged, as the quantity of money in circulation increases, the price level also increases in direct proportion and the value of money decreases and vice versa." If the quantity of money is doubled, the price level will also double and the value of money will be one half. On the other hand, if the quantity of money is reduced by one half, the price level will also be reduced by one half and the value of money will be twice. Fisher has explained his theory in terms of his equation of exchange: PT=MV+ M' V' Where P = price level, or 1 IP = the value of money; M = the total quantity of legal tender money; V = the velocity of circulation of M; M' - the total quantity of credit money; V' = the velocity of circulation of M; T = the total amount of goods and services exchanged for money or transactions performed by money. This equation equates the demand for money (PT) to supply of money (MV=M'V). The total volume of transactions multiplied by the price level (PT) represents the demand for money. According to Fisher, PT is SPQ. In other words, price level (P) multiplied by quantity bought (Q) by the community (S) gives the total demand for money. This equals the total supply of money in the community consisting of the quantity of actual money M and its velocity of circulation V plus the total quantity of credit money M' and its velocity of circulation V'. Thus the total value of purchases (PT) in a year is measured by MV+M'V'. Thus the equation of exchange is PT=MV+M'V'. In order to find out the effect of the quantity of money on the price level or the value of money, we write the equation as P= MV+M'V' T Fisher points out the price level (P) (M+M') provided the volume of tra remain unchanged. The truth of this proposition is evident from the fact that if M and M' are doubled, while V, V and T remain constant, P is also doubled, but the value of money (1/P) is reduced to half. Fisher's quantity theory of money is explained with the help of Figure 65.1. (A) and (B). Panel A of the figure shows the effect of changes in the quantity of money on the price level. To begin with, when the quantity of money is M, the price level is P. THEORY OF MONEY NOTES When the quantity of money is doubled to M2, the price level is also doubled to P2. Further, when the quantity of money is increased four-fold to M4, the price level also increases by four times to P4. This relationship is expressed by the curve P = f (M) from the origin at 45°. In panel ? of the figure, the inverse relation between the quantity of money and the value of money is depicted where the value of money is taken on the vertical axis. When the quantity of money is M1 the value of money is HP. But with the doubling of the quantity of money to M2, the value of money becomes one-half of what it was before, 1/P2. And with the quantity of money increasing by four-fold to M4, the value of money is reduced by 1/P4. This inverse relationship between the quantity of money and the value of money is shown by downward sloping curve 1/P = f (M). Assumptions of the Theory: Fisher's theory is based on the following assumptions: (39) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Criticism on Fishers Quantity Theory? 1. P is passive factor in the equation of exchange which is affected by the other factors. 2. The proportion of M' to M remains constant. 3. V and V are assumed to be constant and are independent of changes in M and M'. 4. T also remains constant and is independent of other factors such as M, M, V and V. 5. It is assumed that the demand for money is proportional to the value of transactions. 6. The supply of money is assumed as an exogenously determined constant. 7. The theory is applicable in the long run. 8. It is based on the assumption of the existence of full employment in the economy. Criticisms of the Theory: 1. The Fisherian quantity theory has been subjected to severe criticisms by economists. 1. Truism: According to Keynes, "The quantity theory of money is a truism." Fisher's equation of exchange is a simple truism because it states that the total quantity of money (MV+M'V') paid for goods and services must equal their value (PT). But it cannot be accepted today that a certain percentage change in the quantity of money leads to the same percentage change in the price level. 2. Other things not equal: The direct and proportionate relation between quantity of money and price level in Fisher's equation is based on the assumption that "other things remain unchanged". But in real life, V, V and T are not constant. Moreover, they are not independent of M, M' and P. Rather, all elements in Fisher's equation are interrelated and interdependent. For instance, a change in M may cause a change in V. Consequently, the price level may change more in proportion to a change in the quantity of money. Similarly, a change in P may cause a change in M. Rise in the price level may necessitate the issue of more money. Moreover, the volume of transactions T is also affected by changes in P. When prices rise or fall, the volume of business transactions also rises or falls. Further, the assumptions that the proportion M' to M is constant, has not been borne out by facts. Not only this, M and M' are not independent of T. An increase in the volume of business transactions requires an increase in the supply of money (M and M'). 3. Constants Relate to Different Time: Prof. Halm criticises Fisher for multiplying M and V because M relates to a point of time and V to a period of time. The former is a static concept and the latter a dynamic. It is therefore, technically inconsistent to multiply two noncomparable factors. (40) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 4. Fails to Measure Value of Money: Fisher's equation does not measure the purchasing power of money but only cash transactions, that is, the volume of business transactions of all kinds or what Fisher calls the volume of trade in the community during a year. But the purchasing power of money (or value of money) relates to transactions for the purchase of goods and services for consumption. Thus the quantity theory fails to measure the value of money. 5. Weak Theory: According to Crowther, the quantity theory is weak in many respects. First, it cannot explain 'why' there are fluctuations in the price level in the short run. Second, it gives undue importance to the price level as if changes in prices were the most critical and important phenomenon of the economic system. Third, it places a misleading emphasis on the quantity of money as the principal cause of changes in the price level during the trade cycle. Prices may not rise despite increase in the quantity of money during depression; and they may not decline with reduction in the quantity of money during boom. Further, low prices during depression are not caused by shortage of quantity of money, and high prices during prosperity are not caused by abundance of quantity of money. Thus, "the quantity theory is at best an imperfect guide to the causes of the trade cycle in the short period" according to Crowther. THEORY OF MONEY NOTES 6. Neglects Interest Rate: One of the main weaknesses of Fisher's quantity theory of money is that it neglects the role of the rate of interest as one of the causative factors between money and prices. Fisher's equation of exchange is related to an equilibrium situation in which rate of interest is independent of the quantity of money. 7. Unrealistic Assumptions: Keynes in his General Theory severely criticised the Fisherian quantity theory of money for its unrealistic assumptions. First, the quantity theory of money for its unrealistic assumptions. First, the quantity theory of money is unrealistic because it analyses the relation between M and P in the long run. Thus it neglects the short run factors which influence this relationship. Second, Fisher's equation holds good under the assumption of full employment. But Keynes regards full employment as a special situation. The general situation is one of the underemployment equilibrium. Third, Keynes does not believe that the relationship between the quantity of money and the price level is direct and proportional. Rather, it is an indirect one via the rate of interest and the level of output. According to Keynes, "So long as there is unemployment, output and employment will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money, and when there is full employment, prices will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money." Thus Keynes integrated the theory of output with value theory and monetary theory and criticised Fisher for dividing economics "into two compartments with no doors and windows between the theory of value and theory of money and prices." 8. V not Constant: Further, Keynes pointed out that when there is underemployment equilibrium, the velocity of circulation of money V is highly unstable and would change with changes in the stock of money or money income. Thus it was unrealistic for Fisher to assume V to be constant and independent of M. 9. Neglects Store of Value Function: Another weakness of the quantity theory of money is that it concentrates on the supply of money and assumes the demand for money to be constant. In order words, it neglects the store-of-value function of money and considers only the medium-of-exchange function of money. Thus the theory is one-sided. 10. Neglects Real Balance Effect: Don Patinkin has critcised Fisher for failure to make use of the real balance effect, that is, the real value of cash balances. A fall in the price level raises the real value of cash balances which leads to increased spending and hence to rise in income, output and employment in the economy. According to Patinkin, Fisher gives undue importance to the quantity of money and neglects the role of real money balances. (41) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 11. Static: Fisher's theory is static in nature because of its such unrealistic assumptions as long run, full employment, etc. It is, therefore, not applicable to a modern dynamic economy. 4.7 Summary In ordinary usage, price is the quantity of payment or compensation given by one party to another in return for goods or services. Quantity theory of money states that money supply and price level in an economy are in direct proportion to one another. When there is a change in the supply of money, there is a proportional change in the price level and vice-versa. According to cash balance approach, the public likes to hold a proportion of nominal income in the form of money (i.e., cash balances). Fisher has explained his theory in terms of his equation of exchange: PT=MV+ M' V' Where P = price level, or 1 IP = the value of money; M = the total quantity of legal tender money; V = the velocity of circulation of M; M' - the total quantity of credit money; V' = the velocity of circulation of M; T = the total amount of goods and services exchanged for money or transactions performed by money. 4.8 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) ---------is the quantity of payment or compensation given by one party to another in return for goods or services. 2) ----------- is the price a seller gets after removing any taxes paid by a buyer and adding any subsidy the seller gets for selling. 3) Fisher has explained his theory in terms of his equation of exchange --------------------. 4) One of the main weaknesses of --------------- of money is that it neglects the role of the rate of interest as one of the causative factors between money and prices. Short answer Questions 1) Define Price. 2) Distinguish between price and cost. 3) Write down the equation of fisher's quantity theory of money. 4) Write down any two assumptions of Quantity theory of money. Long Answer Questions. 1) Explain the quantity theory of Money. 2) Explain the Cambridge cash balance approach. 3) Explain Fishers theory of Money. 4.9 Further Reference Books (42) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee UNIT - 5 MODERN MONETARISM MODERN MONETARISM NOTES Structure 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Objectives 5.3 Keynesian theory - Income Approach 5.4 Monetarism: An Introduction 5.5 Keynes's Reformulated Quantity Theory of Money 5.6 Summary 5.7 Exercise & Questions 5.8 Further Reference Books 5.1 Introduction The old monetarists like Irving Fisher put forward quantity theory of money which explained that changes in money supply had a direct and proportionate relationship with the price level. However, modem monetarists led by Prof. Milton Friedman of Chicago University have put forward an alternative macroeconomics to the Keynesian macroeconomic theory. The Monetarism and Friedman's Modern Quantity Theory of Money! CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Keynesians Theory? 5.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Know modern theory of Monetarism. 2) Understand the theory of Friedman 3) Understand the income approach of Keynes. . 5.3 Keynesian theory - Income Approach It is important to note that the main difference between the monetarists and Keynesians lies in their approaches to the determination of aggregate demand. While Keynesians hold that many different factors such as consumption investment Government expenditure, taxes, exports and money determine aggregate demand, monetarists argue it is the changes in money supply that are primary factor in determining aggregate demand which affect both output and prices. Besides, there are important ideological differences between the monetarists and Keynesians. Monetarists believe that a private market economy is inherently stable and if left free will automatically adjust itself to full-employment level of output. Therefore, they argue that there is no need for Government intervention in the economy. In fact, they point out that it is the discretionary monetary and fiscal policies pursued by the monetary authorities and Government that are responsible for much instability in the private economies. On the other hand, Keynesians believe that private economy is inherently un-liable and for its stabilisation and growth, the Government should play an active role by adopting proper discretionary fiscal and monetary policies. (43) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES (44) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 1. Two Different Approaches to Aggregate Demand: Keynesians focus on aggregate demand as a determinant of income and employment and view it as a sum of consumption, investment, Government expenditure and net exports (that is, exports- imports). In symbolic terms Keynesian aggregate demand is written as AD = C + I + G + (X-M) Keynesians equate it with value of goods and services produced to determine equilibrium level of national income or national product. Thus, C+I+G+X-M=Y where Y is national income or Gross National Product (GNP). On the other hand, monetarists focus on only money supply as a primary determinant of aggregate demand. The fundamental equation of monetarists is the equation of exchange which is as under: MV = PQ Where M is the quantity of money V is income velocity of money P is general price level Q is level of physical output of goods and services MV in the above equation represents aggregate expenditure or aggregate demand in the monetarist approach. Thus, in monetarist approach aggregate demand is simply the sum of money multiplied by its velocity. PQ in the above equation of exchange represents nominal income or nominal GNP. Thus, in monetarist model, MV = Nominal GNP Since monetarist believes that velocity (V) is stable and predictable, there is direct relationship between money supply and nominal income or GNP. With V as stable, when money supply increases, consumers and businesses find themselves with excess money balances which they spend on goods and services. As a result of this increase in aggregate demand caused by the expansion in money supply, PQ or nominal GNP rises. It is clear from above that though aggregate demand may be equal in the two approaches, the fundamental difference lies in the conception of aggregate demand. Keynesians view it as C + I + G + (X-M), monetarists view it as simply MV. The question which has been debated which approach provides a better explanation of determination of income, employment and prices and which therefore can be made a basis for formulation of economic policy. 2. Growth of Money Supply is the Prime Determinant of Growth in Nominal GNP: A fundamental principal of monetarism is that "Only money matters". As seen above, like the Keynesian approach, monetarism is basically a theory of aggregate demand. They view aggregate demand as being equal to MV. With their belief that V is stable, aggregated demand is influenced primarily by changes in money supply. From the equation of exchange, MV - PQ, if V is stable the only force that can affect nominal income PQ is supply of money (M). According to monetarists, changes in money play a more and direct role in determining nominal income or GNP. They emphasise that while fiscal measures such as changes in amount and pattern of Government expenditure and taxation is important for determining how much is allocated to defence, private consumption or investment but the important macroeconomic variables such national output, employment and prices are determined mainly by money supply. On the other hand, as seen above, Keynesians view aggregate demand as C + I+G + X-M which determines the level of national income, output and employment. In the Keynesian model, the effect of increase in money supply on national income and employment is very indirect and operates through its effect on investment component of aggregate demand. According to it, expansion in money supply causes a fall in rate of interest. At a lower interest rate, more private investment is undertaken; When the economy is in the grip of depression and there is a lot of idle productive capacity, more investment through multiplier process leads to the increase in aggregate demand and therefore in national income and employment. It may however be noted that early Keynesians regarded this effect of changes in money supply through its effect on interest and investment very weak because they thought money demand curve (i.e. liquidity preference curve) at low rates of interest is quite flat and investment demand curve quite steep. Therefore, the early Keynesians thought that monetary policy did not play an important role in reviving the depressed economy. However, modem Keynesians have veered round to the view that changes in money supply can play a significant role in raising national output and employment. But unlike monetarists they trace the effect of changes in money supply on the real macroeconomic variables through its effect on interest and investment. MODERN MONETARISM NOTES 3. Differences Regarding Shape of Aggregate Supply Curve: Another important difference between monetarist and Keynesian theories revolves around the shape of economy's aggregate supply curve. It is important to note that in monetarist approach it is the elasticity or steepness of the aggregate supply curve that determines how changes in nominal GNP (i.e., PQ) will be divided between the change in output (i.e., real income) and change in the price level. Monetarists believe that short-run aggregate supply curve is relatively steep so that when aggregate demand increases consequent to the expansion in money supply, it results in rise in price level (P) much more than the expansion in output (Q). In other words, in case of steep aggregate supply curve, increase in nominal income leads more to rise in price than to increase in output. This is illustrated in panel (a) of Fig. 22.5. It will be seen from panel (a) where a relatively steep shortrun aggregate supply is drawn that when due to the expansion in money supply (?M) aggregate demand increases from AD1 to AD2, price level rises sharply from P1 and P2 whereas real GNP (that is, aggregate output) increases relatively much less from Q1 and Q2. Thus, it is clear how division of nominal GNP into change in price level and change in output depends on the steepness of aggregate supply curve. It is important to note that, according to monetarists, long-run aggregate supply is vertical because they believe that due to wage-price flexibility, long-run equilibrium is established at the level of potential output (that is, full-employment level of output). In panel (b) of Fig. 22.5 vertical straight LAS represents long-run aggregate supply curve. (45) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Now, in this case of long-run vertical aggregate supply curve when aggregate demand shifts upward from AD1 to AD2 due to the expansion in money supply (?M), price level rises sharply from P to P' whereas real GNP remains constant. Thus, according to monetarists, in the long run expansion in money supply only causes price level to rise level of output remaining unaffected. On the other hand, Keynesians believe that the short-run aggregate supply curve is quite flat (in the extreme cause it is a horizontal straight line), the effect of increase in aggregate demand is more on raising real GNP with little rise in the price level. This is shown in Fig. 22.6 where it will be observed that the part SR is a short-run aggregate supply curve which is quite flat. According to Keynesians, this flat short-run aggregate supply curve represents the situation of an economy which is having depression or recession and therefore has a lot of idle capacity and a large unemployment of labour in the economy. In such a situation when aggregate demand increases, say through increase in investment, from AD1 to AD2, it leads to a large expansion in real GNP with only a small rise in price level from P1 to P2. Similarly, when demand aggregate increases from AD2 to AD3, real GNP increases by a large amount with only a relatively small rise in price from P2 to P3. What is Monetarism? However, Keynesians' point out that when the economy is operating at the level of full- employment or potential output, aggregate supply curve takes a vertical shape. Thus, with vertical aggregate supply curve at full-employment level of output, any increase in aggregate demand in this case from AD3 to AD4 will cause a sharp rise in price level from P3 to P4 with no effect at all on real GNP which remains constant at Q3. It is important to note that, in Keynesian theory, the effect of changes in money supply on aggregate demand and consequently on output and prices is quite indirect and operates through its effect on interest. According to it, the increase in money supply pushes down the rate of interest. The lower market interest rate encourages more private investment. The increase in private investment which is a component of aggregate demand (C + I + G + X - M) shifts the aggregate demand curve upward and through a multiplier process leads to higher output, employment and prices. 5.4 Monetarism: An Introduction (46) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I The quantity theory of money as put forward by classical economists emphasised that increase in the quantity of money would bring about an equal proportionate rise in the price level. The quantity theory of money had come into disrepute, together with the rest of classical economists as a result of the Great Depression of the 1930s. J.M. Keynes criticised quantity theory of money and brought out that expansion in money supply did not always cause the price level to rise. Keynes and his early followers, often called early Keynesians, believed that money was not important in influ-encing the level of economic activity and that depression was not caused by contraction in money supply by the central banks of the countries. Keynes and his early followers argued that demand for money at a low rate of interest was almost infinitely elastic (that is, liquidity trap existed in the demand for money) so that increase in money supply would not succeed in lowering the rate of interest. As a result, investment would not increase following the expansion in money supply. They further argued that investment demand was very much less interestelastic which made it doubly sure that expansionary monetary policy was quite ineffective in giving boost to investment and thereby the level of economic activity. Briefly specking Early Keynesians thought that money was unimportant or "Money does not matter". However, in the fifties and sixties, the new thinking emerged under the influence of Milton Friedman, an eminent American economist and a Nobel Laureate in economics, who laid stress on the importance of money not only in determining the general price level but more importantly in influencing the level of economic activity. Friedman asserted that events of 1930s had been wrongly assessed and did not in fact offer evidence against the quantity theory of money. He however realised that there was a need to restate or reformulate the quantity theory of money which should re-establish the importance of money determining the level of economic activity and the price level. However, in his restatement of the quantity theory of money he took account of Keynes's contribution to mon-etary theory, especially his emphasis on the demand for money as an asset. MODERN MONETARISM NOTES We may describe Friedman's monetarism into the following three propositions: 1) The level of economic activity in current rupee terms, that is, the level of nominal income is determined primarily by the stock of money. 2) In the long run, the effect of expansion in money supply is primarily on the price level and other nominal variables. In the long run, the level of economic activity in real terms, that is level of real output and employment are determined by the real factors such as stock of capital goods, the state of technology, the size and quality of labour force. 3) In the short run price level as well as the level of real national income (i.e., real output) and employment are determined by the supply of money. In the short-run changes in the quantity of money are the dominant factors causing cyclical fluctuations in output and employment. We shall explain below the above three propositions of Friedman's monetary theory. The above conclusions derived by Friedman depend on the restatement of the quantity theory of money. It is important to note that Friedman's modem quantity theory of money is in fact based on his theory of demand. Therefore, in our analysis below we start from Friedman's theory of demand for money. We then explain how his theory of money demand explains the determination of the level of economic activity and the price level, both in the short run and long run. Demand for Money and Friedman's Restatement Quantity Theory of Money: Friedman's modem quantity theory of money is very close to the (47) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES (48) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Cambridge's cash balance approach. Friedman and other modem monetarists have emphasised that k in Cambridge approach should be interpreted as proportion of nominal income that people desire or demand to hold in the form of money balances. Interpreting k in this desired or ex-ante sense helps to convert the Cambridge equation of exchange into a theory of nominal income. Thus, rewriting Cambridge equation as demand for money (Md) we have: Md = kPY Where k is assumed to be constant, PY is the nominal income obtained by multiplying the real income (F) with the price level (P). Like Cambridge economists, Friedman regards the quantity of money being fixed exogenously by the central bank of the country. If M represents the quantity of money set exogenously by the central bank we have the equation which describes the Cambridge theory of determination of nominal income. M = Md =kPY…..(2) Or M.1/k = PY …..(3) According to Cambridge equation (3) nominal income is determined by the supply of money (AO multiplied by the reciprocal of constant k. Now, Friedman introduced changes in the above Cambridge theory of money demand incorporating important aspects of Keynes's theory of demand for money. Keynes emphasised the role of money as an asset apart from its role in meeting transactions demand. In studying the factors that determine demand for money as an asset relative to other assets, he simplified his analysis by lumping together all non-monetary assets under a single category 'bonds'. He then examined what determined people's allocation of their wealth between money and bonds. According to him, the level of income and rate of interest determined the allocation of wealth between money and bonds. According to Keynes, rate of interest was the most important determinant of k in the Cambridge cash balance approach. It may be recalled that k in Cambridge theory indicates how much proportion of income people hold as money. However, Keynes regarded k as the proportion of income that people want to hold in money as an asset. Friedman accepted Keynes's emphasis on the role of money as an asset and presented his own theory of demand for money. In his analysis of determinants of money demand, Friedman included not only level of income and rate of interest on bonds but also rates at return on other assets such as equity shares, durable goods including real property. Thus, Friedman's theory demand for money can be written as follows: Md = F(P, Y, rB, rE, rD) Where P = price level Y = level of real income rB = rate of interest on bonds rE = rate of return on equity shares rD = rate of return on durable goods It will be seen from Friedman's money demand function that the product of the first two variables, namely, P and Y give us the level of nominal income. It therefore follows that, in Friedman's function, demand for money depends on nominal income. The higher the level of nominal income, the greater the demand for money. It is worth mentioning that for a given level of nominal income, in Friedman's money demand function as in that of Keynes, demand for money depends on the rates of return on non-monetary alternative assets. But, unlike Keynes, Friedman regards money demand function is stable. Stability of money demand function implies that it will not shift erratically and that variables in the function will determine the quantity of money that will be demanded. Friedman's theory of demand for money can be used to restate the Cambridge money demand equation so as to bring out the important role of money demand function in the determination of the level of economic activity. Thus Friedman money demand function can be restated as follows: Md = K(P, Y, rB, rE, rD) PY…..(4) It is worth noting that whereas in Cambridge cash balance equation, k, that is, the proportion of income that is held in money, is mainly dependent on the transactions demand for money in Friedman's theory, it has been taken to be a function of rates of return on alternative non-monetary assets such as bonds, equity shares, durable goods. Any rise in the rates of return on these alternative assets, it will cause k to fall showing the increased desirability of alternative non-monetary assets. "In these terms Friedman can be seen to have restated the quantity theory, providing a systematic explanation of k, an explanation that takes account of the Keynesian analysis of money's role as an asset." MODERN MONETARISM NOTES Money Market Equilibrium: Friedman's Analysis: In terms of Friedman money demand function, the condition for equilibrium in the money market can be stated as under: M = Md = k (rB, rE, rD) PY Where M stands for the supply of money which is determined by the central bank policies, k is the proportion of nominal income (PY) that is held in the form of money and is determined by the rates of return (rB, rE, rD) on alternative non-monetary assets such as bond, equity shares, durable goods respectively. Friedman assumes that money demand function is stable. Given the stable money demand function, any increase in money supply by the central bank will cause either increase in nominal income (PY) or decline in rates of return so that k rises or alternatively some increase in nominal income (PY) and some rise in k. Friedman believes that much of the effect of exogenous increase in money supply will be to bring about increase in nominal income (PY) rather than k. Thus Friedman concludes that quantity of money is an important determinant of the level of economic activity, that is, output, employment and prices. Here the short-run and long-run effects of exogenous increase in money supply must be distinguished. In the short run, the increase in money supply will lead to a change partly in real income (i.e., real aggregate output or Y) and partly in the price level (F). That is, in the short run the effect of increase in money supply will be distributed between change in real income (Y) and change in price level (P) depending upon the elasticity of the aggregate supply curve. Friedman recognised that at times of depression, aggregate supply curve was fairly elastic so that the effect of the increase in money will be more in the form of expansion in real output and less in the form of rise in the price level. But, in the long run, the aggregate supply curve is perfectly inelastic at full-employment level and, therefore, the exogenous increase in money supply will be reflected in the rise in price level. Determination of Nominal Income: Friedman's Approach: Let us show how in Friedman's modem quantity theory nominal income is determined. To show this Friedman makes some strong assumptions about the behaviour of k. Friedman converts his money demand function into a theory of nominal income by assuming that variables in his money demand function other that nominal income (PY), that is, rB, rE, rD have little effect on k. With this assumption, money held as a proportion of income will be nearly constant. It may be noted by taking this assumption Friedman's theory comes very close to Cambridge theory of determination of nominal income. (49) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 5.5 Keynes's Reformulated Quantity Theory of Money NOTES The Keynesian reformulated quantity theory of money is based on the following: Assumptions: 1. All factors of production are in perfectly elastic supply so long as there is any unemployment. 2. All unemployed factors are homogeneous, perfectly divisible and interchangeable. 3. There are constant returns to scale so that prices do not rise or fall as output increases. 4. Effective demand and quantity of money change in the same proportion so long as there are any unemployed resources. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Given these assumptions, the Keynesian chain of causation between changes in the quantity of money and in prices is an indirect one through the rate of interest. So when the quantity of money is increased, its first impact is on the rate of interest which tends to fall. Given the marginal efficiency of capita], a fall in the rate of interest will increase the volume of investment. The increased investment will raise effective demand through the multiplier effect thereby increasing income, output and employment. Since the supply curve of factors of production is perfectly elastic in a situation of unemployment, wage and non-wage factors are available at constant rate of remuneration. There being constant returns to scale, prices do not rise with the increase in output so long as there is any unemployment. Under the circumstances, output and employment will increase in the same proportion as effective demand, and the effective demand will increase in the same proportion as the quantity of money. But "once full employment is reached, output ceases to respond at all to changes in the supply of money and so in effective demand. The elasticity of supply of output in response to changes in the supply, which was infinite as long as there was unemployment falls to zero. The entire effect of changes in the supply of money is exerted on prices, which rise in exact proportion with the increase in effective demand." Thus so long as there is unemployment, output will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money, and there will be no change in prices; and when there is full employment, prices will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money. Therefore, the reformulated quantity theory of money stresses the point that with increase in the quantity of money prices rise only when the level of full employment is reached, and not before this. Describe Keyne’s Reformulated Quantity Theory of Money? (50) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I This reformulated quantity theory of money is illustrated in Figure 67.1 (A) and (B) where OTC is the output curve relating to the quantity of money and PRC is the price curve relating to the quantity of money. Panel A of the figure shows that as the quantity of money increases from ? to M, the level of output also rises along the ?? portion of the OTC curve. MODERN MONETARISM NOTES As the quantity of money reaches OM level, full employment output OQF is being produced. But after point T the output curve becomes vertical because any further increase in the quantity of money cannot raise output beyond the full employment level OQF. Panel ? of the figure shows the relationship between quantity of money and prices. So long as there is unemployment, prices remain constant whatever the increase in the quantity of money. Prices start rising only after the full employment level is reached. In the figure, the price level OP remains constant at the OM quantity of money corresponding to the full employment level of output OQ1. But an increase in the quantity of money above OM raises prices in the same proportion as the quantity of money. This is shown by the RC portion of the price curve PRC. Keynes himself pointed out that the real world is so complicated that the simplifying assumptions, upon which the reformulated quantity theory of money is based, will not hold. According to him, the following possible complications would qualify the statement that so long as there is unemployment, employment will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money, and when there is full employment, prices will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money." 1) "Effective demand will not change in exact proportion to the quantity of money. 2) Since resources are homogenous, there will be diminishing, and not constant returns as employment gradually increases. 3) Since resources are not interchangeable, some commodities will reach a condition of inelastic supply while there are still unemployed resources available for the production of other commodities. 4) The wage-unit will tend to rise, before full employment has been reached. 5) The remunerations of factors entering into marginal cost will not all change in the same proportion." Taking into account these complications, it is clear that the reformulated quantity theory of money does not hold. An increase in effective demand will not change in exact proportion to the quantity of money, but it will partly spend itself in increasing output and partly in increasing the price level. So long as there are unemployed resources, the general price level will not rise much as output increases. But a sudden large increase in aggregate demand will encounter bottlenecks when resources are still unemployed. It may be that the supply of some factors becomes inelastic or others may be in short supply and are not interchangeable. This may lead to increase in marginal cost and price. Price would accordingly rise above average unit cost and profits would increase rapidly which, in turn, tend to raise money wages owing to trade union pressures. Diminishing returns may also set in. As full employment is reached, the elasticity of supply of output falls to zero and prices rise in proportion to the increase in the quantity of money. The complicated model of the Keynesian theory of money and prices is shown diagrammatically in Figure 67.2 in terms of aggregate supply (S) and aggregate demand (D) curves. The price level is measured on the vertical axis and output on the horizontal axis. (51) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES According to Keynes, an increase in the quantity of money increases aggregate money demand on investment as a result of the fall in the rate of interest. This increases output and employment in the beginning but not the price level. In the figure, the increase in the aggregate money demand from D1 to D2 raises output from OQ1 to OQ2 but the price level remains constant at OP. As aggregate money demand increases further from D2 to D3output increases from OQ2 to OQ3 and the price level also rises to OP3. This is because costs rise as bottlenecks develop through the immobility of resources. Diminishing returns set in and less efficient labour and capital are employed. Output increases at a slower rate than a given increase in aggregate money demand, and this leads to higher prices. As full employment is approached, bottlenecks increase. Further-more, rising prices lead to increased demand, especially for stocks. Thus prices rise at an increasing rate. This is shown over the range in the figure. But when the economy reaches the full employment level of output, any further increase in aggregate money demand brings about a proportionate increase in the price level but output remains unchanged at that level. This is shown in the figure when the demand curve D5 shifts upward to D6 and the price level increases from OP5 to OP6 while the level of output remains constant at OQF. (52) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Superiority of the Keynesian Theory over the Traditional Quantity Theory of Money: The Keynesian theory of money and prices is superior to the traditional quantity theory of money for the following reasons. Keynes's reformulated quantity theory of money is superior to the traditional approach in that he discards the old view that the relationship between the quantity of money and prices is direct and proportional. Instead, he establishes an indirect and non-proportional relationship between quantity of money and prices. In establishing such a relationship, Keynes brought about a transition from a pure monetary theory of prices to a monetary theory of output and employment. In so doing, he integrates monetary theory with value theory. He integrates monetary theory with value theory and also with the theory of output and employment through the rate of interest. In fact, the integration between monetary theory and value theory is done through the theory of output in which the rate of interest plays the crucial role. When the quantity of money increases the rate of interest falls which increases the volume of investment and aggregate demand thereby raising output and employment. In this way, monetary theory is integrated with the theory of output and employment. As output and employment increase they further raise the demand for factors of production. Consequently, certain bottlenecks appear which raise the marginal cost including money wage rates. Thus prices start rising. Monetary theory is integrated with value theory in this way. The Keynesian theory is, therefore, superior to the traditional quantity theory of money because it does not keep the real and monetary sectors of the economy into two separate compartments with 'no doors or windows between the theory of value and the theory of money and prices.' Again, the traditional quantity theory is based on the unrealistic assumption of full employment of resources. Under this assumption, a given increase in the quantity of money always leads to a proportionate increase in the price level. Keynes, on the other hand, believes that full employment is an exception. Therefore, so long as there is unemployment, output and employment will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money, but there will be no change in prices; and when there is full employment, prices will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money. Thus the Keynesian analysis is superior to the traditional analysis because it studies the relationship between the quantity of money and prices both under unemployment and full employment situations. Further, the Keynesian theory is superior to the traditional quantity theory of money in that it emphasises important policy implications. The traditional theory believes that every increase in the quantity of money leads to inflation. Keynes, on the other hand, establishes that so long as there is unemployment, the rise in prices is gradual and there is no danger of inflation. It is only when the economy reaches the level of full employment that the rise in prices is inflationary with every increase in the quantity of money. Thus "this approach has the virtue of emphasising that the objectives of full employment and price stability may be inherently irreconcilable." MODERN MONETARISM NOTES Criticisms of Keynes Theory of Money and Prices: Keynes' views on money and prices have been criticised by the monetarists on the following grounds. 1. Direct Relation: Keynes mistakenly took prices as fixed so that the effect of money appears in his analysis in terms of quantity of goods traded rather than their average prices. That is why Keynes adopted an indirect mechanism through bond prices, interest rates and investment of the effects of monetary changes on economic activity. But the actual effects of monetary changes are direct rather than indirect. 2. Stable Demand for Money: Keynes assumed that monetary changes were largely absorbed by changes in the demand for money. But Friedman has shown on the basis of his empirical studies that the demand for money is highly stable. 3. Nature of Money: Keynes failed to understand the true nature of money. He believed that money could be exchanged for bonds only. In fact, money can be exchanged for many different types of assets like bonds, securities, physical assets, human wealth, etc. 4. Effect of Money: Since Keynes wrote for a depression period, this led him to conclude that money had little effect on income. According to Friedman, it was the contraction of money that precipitated the depression. It was, therefore, wrong on the part of Keynes to argue that money had little effect on income. Money does affect national income. (53) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 5.6 Summary The quantity theory of money as put forward by classical economists emphasised that increase in the quantity of money would bring about an equal proportionate rise in the price level. The quantity theory of money had come into disrepute, together with the rest of classical economists as a result of the Great Depression of the 1930s. J.M. Keynes criticised quantity theory of money and brought out that expansion in money supply did not always cause the price level to rise. Keynes and his early followers, often called early Keynesians, believed that money was not important in influ-encing the level of economic activity and that depression was not caused by contraction in money supply by the central banks of the countries. 5.7 Exercise & Questions Fill in the blanks 1) Difference between the monetarists and -------------- lies in their approaches to the determination of aggregate demand. 2) Keynes regarded ---- as the proportion of income that people want to hold in money as an asset. 3) Thus ------- concludes that quantity of money is an important determinant of the level of economic activity, that is, output, employment and prices. 4) -------------- focus on aggregate demand as a determinant of income and employment and view it as a sum of consumption, investment, Government expenditure and net exports (that is, exports- imports). Short answer Questions 1) Define aggregate demand. 2) Explain three proposition of Friedman's Theory. Long Answer Questions1) Explain the income approach of Keynes. 2) Explain the quantity theory of money of Friedman. 3) Explain the difference between fishers quantity theory and modern theory of Money. 5.8 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (54) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 6 THEORY OF INFLATION THEORY OF INFLATION NOTES Structure 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Objectives 6.3 Meaning of Inflation 6.4 Demand-Pull Inflation 6.5 Cost-Push Inflation 6.6 Summary 6.7 Exercise & Questions 6.8 Further Reference Books 6.1 Introduction CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Inflation? Inflation refers to a persistent upward movement in the general price level. It results in a decline of the purchasing power. According to the most economists inflation does not occur until price increase less than 5% per year for a sustained period. Inflation take placeeither as a result of rise in aggregate demand or a failure of aggregate supply. Increase in public expenditure, erratic agricultural growth, deficit financing also contribute in Inflation. 6.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to: 1) Understand the meaning of Inflation. 2) Know the types of inflation on the basis of magnitude. 3) Understand the meaning of demand pull inflation. 4) Understand the meaning of cost push inflation. 5) Know the different causes of inflation. 6.3 Meaning of Inflation To the neo-classical and their followers at the University of Chicago, inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon. In the words of Friedman, "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon…and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than output.'" But economists do not agree that money supply alone is the cause of inflation. As pointed out by Hicks, "Our present troubles are not of a monetary character." Economists, therefore, define inflation in terms of a continuous rise in prices. Johnson defines "inflation as a sustained rise" in prices. Brooman defines it as "a continuing increase in the general price level." Shapiro also defines inflation in a similar vein "as a persistent and appreciable rise in the general level of prices." However, it is essential to understand that a sustained rise in prices may (55) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES be of various magni-tudes. Accordingly, different names have been given to inflation depending upon the rate of rise in prices. 1. Creeping Inflation: When the rise in prices is very slow like that of a snail or creeper, it is called creeping inflation. In terms of speed, a sustained rise in prices of annual increase of less than 3 per cent per annum is characterised as creeping inflation. Such an increase in prices is regarded safe and essential for economic growth. 2. Walking or Trotting Inflation: When prices rise moderately and the annual inflation rate is a single digit. In other words, the rate of rise in prices is in the intermediate range of 3 to 6 per cent per annum or less than 10 per cent. Inflation at this rate is a warning signal for the government to control it before it turns into running inflation. 3. Running Inflation: When prices rise rapidly like the running of a horse at a rate or speed of 10 to 20 per cent per annum, it is called running inflation. Such an inflation affects the poor and middle classes adversely. Its control requires strong monetary and fiscal measures, otherwise it leads to hyperinflation. 4. Hyperinflation: When prices rise very fast at double or triple digit rates from more than 20 to 100 per cent per annum or more, it is usually called runaway ox galloping inflation. It is also characterised as hyperinflation by certain economists. In reality, hyperinflation is a situation when the rate of inflation becomes immeasurable and absolutely uncontrollable. Prices rise many times every day. Such a situation brings a total collapse of monetary system because of the continuous fall in the purchasing power of money. The speed with which prices tend to rise is illustrated in Figure 1. The curve ? shows creeping inflation when within a period of ten years the price level has been shown to have risen by about 30 per cent. The curve W depicts walking inflation when the price level rises by more than 50 per cent during ten years. The curve R illustrates running inflation showing a rise of about 100 per cent in ten years. The steep curve H shows the path of hyperinflation when prices rise by more than 120 per cent in less than one year. (56) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 5. Semi-Inflation: According to Keynes, so long as there are unemployed resources, the general price level will not rise as output increases. But a large increase in aggregate expenditure will face shortages of supplies of some factors which may not be substitutable. This may lead to increase in costs, and prices start rising. This is known as semi-inflation or bottleneck inflation because of the bottlenecks in supplies of some factors. 6. True Inflation: According to Keynes, when the economy reaches the level of full employment, any increase in aggregate expenditure will raise the price level in the same proportion. This is because it is not possible to increase the supply of factors of production and hence of output after the level of full employment. This is called true inflation. The Keynesian semi-inflation and true inflation situations are illustrated in Figure.2. THEORY OF INFLATION NOTES Employment and price level are taken on vertical axis and aggregate expenditure on horizontal axis. FE is the full employment curve. When with the increase in aggregate expenditure, the price level rises slowly from A to the full employment level B, this is semi-inflation. But when the aggregate expenditure increases beyond point ? the price level rises from ? to T in proportion to the increase in aggregate expenditure. This is true inflation. 7. Open Inflation: Inflation is open when "markets for goods or factors of production are allowed to function freely, setting prices of goods and factors without normal interference by the authorities. Thus open inflation is the result of the uninterrupted operation of the market mechanism. There are no checks or controls on the distribution of commodities by the government. Increase in demand and shortage of supplies persist which tend to lead to open inflation. Unchecked open inflation ultimately leads to hyperinflation. 8. Suppressed Inflation: Men the government imposes physical and monetary controls to check open inflation, it is known as repressed or suppressed inflation. The market mechanism is not allowed to function normally by the use of licensing, price controls and rationing in order to suppress extensive rise in prices. So long as such controls exist, the present demand is postponed and there is diversion of demand from controlled to uncontrolled commodities. But as soon as these controls are removed, there is open inflation. Moreover, suppressed inflation adversely affects the economy. When the distribution of commodities is controlled, the prices of uncontrolled commodities rise very high. Suppressed inflation reduces the incentive to work because people do not get the commodities which they want to have. Controlled distribution of goods also leads to mal-allocation of resources. This results in the diversion of productive resources from essential to non-essential industries. Lastly, suppressed inflation leads to black marketing, corruption, hoarding and profiteering. 9. Stagflation: Stagflation is a new term which has been added to economic literature in the 1970s. It is a paradoxical phenomenon where the economy expedience's (57) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Demand-Pull Inflation? stagnation as well as inflation. The word stagflation is the combination of' stag' plus 'flation' taking 'stag' from stagnation and 'flation' from inflation. Stagflation is a situation when recession is accompanied by a high rate of inflation. It is, therefore, also called inflationary recession. The principal cause of this phenomenon has been excessive demand in commodity markets, thereby causing prices to rise, and at the same time the demand for labour is deficient, thereby creating unemployment in the economy. Three factors have been responsible for the existence of stagflation in the advanced countries since 1972. First, rise in oil prices and other commodity prices along with adverse changes in the terms of trade, second, the steady and substantial growth of the labour force; and third, rigidities in the wage structure due to strong trade unions. 10. Mark-up Inflation: The concept of mark-up inflation is closely related to the price-push problem. Modem labour organisations possess substantial monopoly power. They, therefore, set prices and wages on the basis of mark-up over costs and relative incomes. Firms possessing monopoly power have control over the prices charged by them. So they have administered prices which increase their profit margin. This sets off an inflationary rise in prices. Similarly, when strong trade unions are successful in raising the wages of workers, this contributes to inflation. 11. Ratchet Inflation: A ratchet is a toothed wheel provided with a catch that prevents the ratchet wheel from moving backward. The same is the case under ratchet inflation when despite downward pressures in the economy, prices do not fall. In an economy having price, wage and cost inflations, aggregate demand falls below full employment level due to the deficiency of demand in some sectors of the economy. But wage, cost and price structures are inflexible downward because large business firms and labour organisations possess monopoly power. Consequently, the fall in demand may not lower prices significantly. In such a situation, prices will have an upward ratchet effect, and this is known as "ratchet inflation." 12. Sectoral Inflation: Sectoral inflation arises initially out of excess demand in particular industries. But it leads to a general price rise because prices do not fall in the deficient demand sectors. 13. Reflation: Is a situation when prices are raised deliberately in order to encourage economic activity. When there is depression and prices fall abnormally low, the monetary authority adopts measures to put more money in circulation so that prices rise. This is called reflation. 6.4 Demand-Pull Inflation (58) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Demand-Pull or excess demand inflation is a situation often described as "too much money chasing too few goods." According to this theory, an excess of aggregate demand over aggregate supply will generate inflationary rise in prices. Its earliest explanation is to be found in the simple quantity theory of money. The theory states that prices rise in proportion to the increase in the money supply. Given the full employment level of output, doubling the money supply will double the price level. So inflation proceeds at the same rate at which the money supply expands. In this analysis, the aggregate supply is assumed to be fixed and there is always full employment in the economy. Naturally, when the money supply increases it creates more demand for goods but the supply of goods cannot be increased due to the full employment of resources. This leads to rise in prices. Modem quantity theorists led by Friedman hold that "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. The higher the growth rate of the nominal money supply, the higher the rate of inflation. When the money supply increases, people spend more in relation to the available supply of goods and services. This bids prices up. Modem quantity theorists neither assume full employment as a normal situation nor a stable velocity of money. Still they regard inflation as the result of excessive increase in the money supply. The quantity theory version of the demand-pull inflation is illustrated in Figure 3. Suppose the money supply is increased at a given price level OP as determined by the demand and supply curves D and S1 respectively. The initial full employment situation OYF at this price level is shown by the interaction of these curves at point E. Now with the increase in the quantity of money, the aggregate demand increase which shifts the demand curve D to D1to the right. The aggregate supply being fixed, as shown by the vertical portion of the supply curve SS1 the D1 curve intersects it at point E1. This raises the price level to OP1. The Keynesian theory on demand-pull inflation is based on the argument that so long as there are unemployed resources in the economy; an increase in investment expenditure will lead to increase in employment, income and output. Once full employment is reached and bottlenecks appear, further increase in expenditure will lead to excess demand because output ceases to rise, thereby leading to inflation. The Keynesian theory of demand pull inflation is explained diagrammatically in Figure 3. Suppose the economy is in equilibrium at E where the SS1and D curves intersect with full employment income level OYF .The price level is OP. Now the government increases its expenditure. The increase in government expenditure implies an increase in aggregate demand which is shown by the upward shift of the D curve to D1 in the figure. This tends to raise the price level to OP1, as aggregate supply of output cannot be increased after the full employment level. THEORY OF INFLATION NOTES 6.4.1 The UK experienced demand pull inflation during the Lawson boom of the late 1980s. Fuelled by rising house prices, high consumer confidence and tax cuts, the economy was growing by 5% a year, but this caused supply bottlenecks and firms responded by increasing prices. This graph shows inflation and economic growth in the UK during the 1980s. High growth in 1987, 1988 of 4-5% caused an increase in the inflation rate. It was only when the economy went into recession in 1990 and 1991, that we saw a fall in the inflation rate. (59) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 6.5 Cost-Push Inflation Cost-push inflation is caused by wage increases enforced by unions and profit increases by employers. This type of inflation has not been a new phenomenon and was found even during the medieval period. But it was revived in the 1950s and again in the 1970s as the principal cause of inflation. It also came to be known as the "New Inflation." 6.5.1 Example of Cost push inflation in the UK CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Cost-Push Inflation? In early 2008, the UK economy entered a deep recession(GDP fell 6%). However, at the same time, we experienced a rise in inflation. This inflation was definitely not due to demand side factors; it was due to cost push factors, such as rising oil prices, rising taxes and rising import prices (as a result of depreciation in the Pound) By 2013, cost push factors had mostly disappeared and inflation had fallen back to its target of 2%. Cost-push inflation is caused by wage-push and profit-push to prices for the following reasons: 1. Rise in Wages: The basis cause of cost-push inflation is the rise in money wages more rapidly than the productivity of labour. In advanced countries, trade unions are very powerful. They press employers to grant wage increases considerably in excess of increases in the productivity of labour, thereby raising the cost of production of commodities. Employers, in turn, raise prices of their products. Higher wages enable workers to buy as much as before, in spite of higher prices. On the other hand, the increase in prices induces unions to demand still higher wages. In this way, the wage-cost spiral continues, thereby leading to costpush or wage-push inflation. Cost-push inflation may be further aggravated by upward adjustment of wages to compensate for rise in the cost of living index. (60) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 2. Sectoral Rise in Prices: Again, a few sectors of the economy may be affected by money wage increases and prices of their products may be rising. In many cases, their production such as steel, raw materials, etc. are used as inputs for the production of commodities in other sectors. As a result, the production cost of other sectors will rise and thereby push up the prices of their products. Thus wage- push inflation in a few sectors of the economy may soon lead to inflationary rise in prices in the entire economy. 3. Rise in Prices of Imported Raw Materials: An increase in the prices of imported raw materials may lead to cost-push inflation. Since raw materials are used as inputs by the manufacturers of the finished goods, they enter into the cost of production of the latter. Thus a continuous rise in the prices of raw materials tends to sets off a cost-price-wage spiral. THEORY OF INFLATION NOTES 4. Profit-Push Inflation: Oligopolist and monopolist firms raise the prices of their products to offset the rise in labour and production costs so as to earn higher profits. There being imperfect competition in the case of such firms, they are able to "administer prices" of their products. "In an economy in which so called administered prices abound there is at least the possibility that these prices may be administered upward faster than cost in an attempt to earn greater profits. To the extent such a process is wide-spread profit-push inflation will result." Profit-push inflation is, therefore, also called administered-price theory of inflation or price-push inflation or sellers' inflation or market-power inflation. Cost-push inflation is illustrated in Figure 4. Where S1 S is the supply curve and D is the demand curve. Both intersect at E which is the full employment level OYF, and the price level OP is determined. Given the demand, as shown by the D curve, the supply curve S1 is shown to shift to S2 as a result of cost-push factors. Consequently, it intersects the D curve at E1 showing rise in the price level from OP to OP1 and fall in aggregate output from OYF to OY1level. Any further shift in the supply curve will shift and tend to raise the price level and decrease aggregate output further. 6.6 Summary Inflation refers to a persistent upward movement in the general price level. It results in a decline of the purchasing power. Sustained rise in prices may be of various magnitudes. Accordingly, different names have been given to inflation depending upon the rate of rise in prices. Demand pull inflation refers to the phenomenon when prices rises consistently because demand is more than the supply of goods and services. Cost push inflation refers to a situation where price persistently rise because of growing factor cost of Production. A moderate inflation can promote growth by inducing both savings and investment in the desired channels. (61) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 6.7 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) ---------- refers to a persistent upward movement in the general price level. 2) When the rise in prices is very slow like that of a snail or creeper, it is called ------------ inflation. 3) ------- is a situation when recession is accompanied by a high rate of inflation. 4) The basis cause of --------- inflation is the rise in money wages more rapidly than the productivity of labour. Very short answer questions 1) Define Inflation. In the period of inflation purchasing power increases. True or false? Why? 2) Cost push inflation is difficult to control than demand pull inflation. Discuss. 3) Explain Cost push inflation. 4) Explain how inflation affect on our day to day life? Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the various types of inflation. 2) Explain the various causes of inflation. 3) Explain the theory of demand pull inflation. Draw Diagram. 4) Explain the impact of inflation. 6.8 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (62) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 7 CENTRAL BANKING - I Structure 7.1 Introduction 7.2 Objectives 7.3 Overview of central Bank 7.4 Objectives of Central Bank 7.5 Reserve Bank of India 7.6 Role and Function of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) 7.7 Summary 7.8 Exercise & Questions 7.9 Further Reference Books 7.1 Introduction A central bank is one which constitutes the apex of the monetary and banking structure of a country. The central bank acts as a organ of the state. The ultimate responsibility of framing and executing economic policies is that of the state and, therefore, the central bank has to advance the policies of the state. For that purpose, the central bank has to act in close collaboration with finance ministry and other economic ministries. The central bank's role is to ensure that the other banks conduct their business with safety, security and in pursuance of the national plan priorities and objectives of the economic and social development. Commercial banks are largely profit oriented institutions, the central bank is not so. Its objective is not to make profit. CENTRAL BANKING - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Overview of Central Bank? 7.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to: a) Know the meaning of central bank. b) Know the formation of central bank c) Understand the basic functions of central bank. d) Know the role and functions of Reserve bank of India. 7.3 Overview of central Bank There is no standard terminology for the name of a central bank, but many countries use the "Bank of Country". Example: Bank of England (which is in fact the central bank of the United Kingdom as a whole), Bank of Canada, Bank of Mexico. Some are styled "national" banks, such as the National Bank of Ukraine, although the term national bank is also used for private commercial banks in some countries. In other cases, central banks may incorporate the word "Central" (for example, European Central Bank, Central Bank of Ireland, Central Bank of Brazil). The word "Reserve" is also often included, such as the Reserve Bank of (63) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Objectives of Central Bank? India, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the South African Reserve Bank, and U.S. Federal Reserve System. Other central banks are known as monetary authorities such as theMonetary Authority of Singapore, Maldives Monetary Authority and Cayman Islands Monetary Authority. In some countries, particularly in formerly Communist countries, the term national bank may be used to indicate both the monetary authority and the leading banking entity, such as the Soviet Union's Gosbank (state bank). In other countries, the term national bank may be used to indicate that the central bank's goals are broader than monetary stability, such as full employment, industrial development, or other goals. Some state-owned commercial banks have names suggestive of central banks, even if they are not: examples are the Bank of India and the Central Bank of India. The chief executive of a central bank is usually known as the Governor. Central banks have a wide range of responsibilities, from overseeing monetary policy to implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full employment. Central banks also generally issue currency, function as the bank of the government, regulate the credit system, oversee commercial banks, manage exchange reserves and act as a lender of last resort. A central bank, reserve bank, or monetary authority is an institution that manages a state's currency, money supply, and interest rates. Central banks also usually oversee the commercial banking system of their respective countries. In contrast to a commercial bank, a central bank possesses amonopoly on increasing the monetary base in the state, and usually also prints the national currency,which usually serves as the state's legal tender. The primary function of a central bank is to control the nation's money supply (monetary policy), through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to thebanking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. Central banks in most developed nations are institutionally designed to be independent from political interference. 7.4 Objectives of Central Bank l l l l l l l l l l To manage the monetary and credit system of the country. To stabilizes internal and external value of rupee. For balanced and systematic development of banking in the country. For the development of organized money market in the country. For proper arrangement of agriculture finance. For proper arrangement of industrial finance. For proper management of public debts. To establish monetary relations with other countries of the world and international financial institutions. For centralization of cash reserves of commercial banks. To maintain balance between the demand and supply of currency. 7.5 Reserve Bank of India (64) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I The Reserve Bank of India is the central bank of the country entrusted with monetary stability, the management of currency and the supervision of the financial as well as the payments system. The genesis of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) started in 1926 when the Hilton-Young Commission or the Royal Commission on Indian Currency and Finance made recommendation to the British Government of India for creation of a central bank. The chief objective of such recommendation were twofold: To separate the control of currency and credit from the government To augment banking facilities throughout the country. To give effect to above recommendations, a bill was introduced in Legislative Assembly in 1927 but this bill was withdrawn because various sections of the people were not in agreement. The recommendation to create a reserve bank was made by White Paper on Indian Constitutional Reforms. Thus, a fresh bill was introduced and was enacted in 1935. Thus, Reserve Bank of India was established via the RBI Act of 1934 as the banker to the central government. RBI launched its operations from April 1, 1935. Its headquarters were in Kolkata in the beginning, but it was shifted to ShahidBhagat Singh Marg, Mumbai in 1937. Prior to establishment of RBI, the functions of a central bank were virtually being done by the Imperial Bank of India, which was established in 1921 by merging three Presidency banks. It was mainly a commercial bank but also served as banker to the government to some extent. It's worth note that RBI started as a privately owned bank. It started with a Share Capital of Rs. 5 Crore, divided into shares of Rs. 100 each fully paid up. In the beginning, this entire capital was owned by private shareholders. Out of this Rs. 5 Crore, the amount of Rs. 4,97,8000 was subscribed by the private shareholders while Rs. 2,20,000 was subscribed by central government. After independence, the government passed Reserve Bank (Transfer to Public Ownership) Act, 1948 and took over RBI from private shareholders after paying appropriate compensation. Thus, nationalisation of RBI took place in 1949 and from January 1, 1949, RBI started working as a government owned central bank of India. CENTRAL BANKING - I NOTES 7.5.1 Key Landmarks in the journey of RBI In 1926, the Royal Commission on Indian Currency and Finance recommended creation of a central bank for India. In 1927, a bill to give effect to the above recommendation was introduced in the Legislative Assembly, but was later withdrawn due to lack of agreement among various sections of people. In 1933, the White Paper on Indian Constitutional Reforms recommended the creation of a Reserve Bank. A fresh bill was introduced in the Legislative Assembly. In 1934, the Bill was passed and received the Governor General's assent In 1935, Reserve Bank commenced operations as India's central bank on April 1 as a private shareholders' bank with a paid up capital of rupees five crore. In 1942 Reserve Bank ceased to be the currency issuing authority of Burma (now Myanmar). In 1947, Reserve Bank stopped acting as banker to the Government of Burma. In 1948, Reserve Bank stopped rendering central banking services to Pakistan. In 1949, the Government of India nationalized the Reserve Bank under the Reserve Bank (Transfer of Public Ownership) Act, 1948. In 1949, Banking Regulation Act was enacted. In 1951, India embarked in the Planning Era. In 1966, the Cooperative Banks came within the regulations of the RBI. Rupee was devaluated for the first time. In 1969, Nationalization of 14 Banks was a Turning point in the history of (65) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Role and Function of RBI? Indian Banking. In 1973, the Foreign Exchange Regulation act was amended and exchange control was strengthened. In 1974, the Priority Sector Advance Targets started getting fixed. In 1975, Regional Rural Banks started In 1985, the Sukhamoy Chakravarty and Vaghul Committee reports embarked the era of Financial Market Reforms in India. In 1991, India came under the Balance of Payment crisis and RBI pledged Gold to shore up reserves. In 2008-09, world under the grip of Global Financial Slowdown, RBI Proactive. RBI Established in 1935, its functions and focus have evolved in response to the changing economic environment. Its history is not only intrinsically interwoven with the economic and financial history of the country, but also gives insights into the thought processes that have helped shape the country's economic policies. Here we present some facets of the Bank's history for the layperson. We look forward to the viewer's suggestions and comments. 7.6 Role and Function of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) As a central bank, the Reserve Bank has significant powers and duties to perform. For smooth and speedy progress of the Indian Financial System, it has to perform some important tasks. Among others it includes maintaining monetary and financial stability, to develop and maintain stable payment system, to promote and develop financial infrastructure and to regulate or control the financial institutions. (66) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I a) Issuer of currency Except for issuing one rupee notes and coins, RBI is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India. The Indian government issues one rupee notes and coins. Major currency is in the form of RBI notes, such as notes in the denominations of two, five, ten, twenty, fifty, one hundred, five hundred, and one thousand. Earlier, notes of higher denominations were also issued. But, these notes were demonetized to discourage users from indulging in black-market operations. RBI has two departments - the Issue department and Banking department. The issue department is dedicated to issuing currency. All the currency issued is the monetary liability of RBI that is backed by assets of equal value held by this department. Assets consist of gold, coin, bullion, foreign securities, rupee coins, and the government's rupee securities. The department acquires these assets whenever required by issuing currency. The conditions governing the composition of these assets determine the nature of the currency standard that prevails in India. The Banking department of RBI looks after the banking operations. It takes care of the currency in circulation and its withdrawal from circulation. Issuing new currency is known as expansion of currency and withdrawal of currency is known as contraction of currency. CENTRAL BANKING - I NOTES b) Banker to the Government RBI acts as banker, both to the central government and state governments. It manages all the banking transactions of the government involving the receipt and payment of money. In addition, RBI remits exchange and performs other banking operations. RBI provides short-term credit to the central government. Such credit helps the government to meet any shortfalls in its receipts over its disbursements. RBI also provides short term credit to state governments as advances. RBI also manages all new issues of government loans, servicing the government debt outstanding, and nurturing the market for government's securities. RBI advises the government on banking and financial subjects, international finance, financing of five-year plans, mobilizing resources, and banking legislation. c) Managing Government Securities Various financial institutions such as commercial banks are required by law to invest specified minimum proportions of their total assets/liabilities in government securities. RBI administers these investments of institutions. The other responsibilities of RBI regarding these securities are to ensure l Smooth functioning of the market l Readily available to potential buyers l Easily available in large numbers l Undisturbed maturity-structure of interest rates because of excess or deficit supply l Not subject to quick and huge fluctuations l Reasonable liquidity of investments l Good reception of the new issues of government loans d) Banker to Other Banks The role of RBI as a banker to other banks is as follows: l Holds some of the cash reserves of banks l Lends funds for short period l Provides centralized clearing and quick remittance facilities RBI has the authority to statutorily ensure that the scheduled commercial banks deposit a stipulated ratio of their total net liabilities. This ratio is known as cash reserve ratio [CRR]. However, banks can use these deposits to meet their temporary requirements for interbank clearing as the maintenance of CRR is calculated based on the average balance over a period. e) Controller of Money Supply and Credit The most important function of the central bank is to control the credit creation power of commercial bank in order to control inflationary and deflationary pressures within this economy. For this purpose, it adopts quantitative methods and qualitative methods. Quantitative methods aim at controlling the cost and quantity of credit by adopting bank rate policy, open market operations, and by variations in reserve ratios of commercial banks. Qualitative methods control the use and direction of credit. These involve selective credit controls and direct action. By adopting such methods, the central bank tries to influence and control credit creation by commercial banks in order to stabilise economic activity in the country. (67) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES Besides the above noted functions, the central banks in a number of developing countries have been entrusted with the responsibility of developing a strong banking system to meet the expanding requirements of agriculture, industry, trade and commerce. Accordingly, the central banks possess some additional powers of supervision and control over the commercial banks. They are the issuing of licenses; the regulation of branch expansion; to see that every bank maintains the minimum paid up capital and reserves as provided by law; inspecting or auditing the accounts of banks; to approve the appointment of chairmen and directors of such banks in accordance with the rules and qualifications; to control and recommend merger of weak banks in order to avoid their failures and to protect the interest of depositors; to recommend nationalization of certain banks to the government in public interest; to publish periodical reports relating to different aspects of monetary and economic policies for the benefit of banks and the public; and to engage in research and train banking personnel In a planned economy, the central bank plays an important role in controlling the paper currency system and inflationary tendency. RBI has to regulate the claims of competing banks on money supply and credit. RBI also needs to meet the credit requirements of the rest of the banking system. RBI needs to ensure promotion of maximum output, and maintain price stability and a high rate of economic growth. To perform these functions effectively, RBI uses several control instruments such as l Open Market Operations l Changes in statutory reserve requirements for banks l Lending policies towards banks l Control over interest rate structure l Statutory liquidity ration of banks f) Exchange Manager and Controller RBI manages exchange control, and represents India as a member of the international Monetary Fund [IMF]. Exchange control was first imposed on India in September 1939 when World War II started and continues till date. Exchange control was imposed on both receipts and payments of foreign exchange. According to foreign exchange regulations, all foreign exchange receipts, whether on account of export earnings, investment earnings, or capital receipts, whether of private or government accounts, must be sold to RBI either directly or through authorized dealers. Most commercial banks are authorized dealers of RBI. g) Publisher of Monetary Data and Other Data RBI maintains and provides all essential banking and other economic data, formulating and critically evaluating the economic policies in India. In order to perform this function, RBI collects, collates and publishes data regularly. Users can avail this data in the weekly statements, the RBI monthly bulletin, annual report on currency and finance, and other periodic publications. Developmental and Promotional role of RBI Along with the routine traditional functions, central banks especially in the developing country like India have to perform numerous functions. These functions are country specific functions and can change according to the requirements of that country. The RBI has been performing as a promoter of the financial system since its inception. Some of the major development functions of the RBI are maintained below. (68) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I h) Development of the Financial System The financial system comprises the financial institutions, financial markets and financial instruments. The sound and efficient financial system is a precondition of the rapid economic development of the nation. The RBI has encouraged establishment of main banking and non-banking institutions to cater to the credit requirements of diverse sectors of the economy. CENTRAL BANKING - I NOTES i) Development of Agriculture In an agrarian economy like ours, the RBI has to provide special attention for the credit need of agriculture and allied activities. It has successfully rendered service in this direction by increasing the flow of credit to this sector. It has earlier the Agriculture Refinance and Development Corporation (ARDC) to look after the credit, National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) and Regional Rural Banks (RRBs). j) Provision of Industrial Finance Rapid industrial growth is the key to faster economic development. In this regard, the adequate and timely availability of credit to small, medium and large industry is very significant. In this regard the RBI has always been instrumental in setting up special financial institutions such as ICICI Ltd. IDBI, SIDBI and EXIM BANK etc. k) Provisions of Training The RBI has always tried to provide essential training to the staff of the banking industry. The RBI has set up the bankers' training colleges at several places. National Institute of Bank Management i.e NIBM, Bankers Staff College i.e BSC and College of Agriculture Banking i.e CAB are few to mention. l) Collection of Data Being the apex monetary authority of the country, the RBI collects process and disseminates statistical data on several topics. It includes interest rate, inflation, savings and investments etc. This data proves to be quite useful for researchers and policy makers. m) Publication of the Reports The Reserve Bank has its separate publication division. This division collects and publishes data on several sectors of the economy. The reports and bulletins are regularly published by the RBI. It includes RBI weekly reports, RBI Annual Report, Report on Trend and Progress of Commercial Banks India., etc. This information is made available to the public also at cheaper rates. n) Promotion of Banking Habits As an apex organization, the RBI always tries to promote the banking habits in the country. It institutionalizes savings and takes measures for an expansion of the banking network. It has set up many institutions such as the Deposit Insurance Corporation-1962, UTI-1964, IDBI-1964, NABARD-1982, NHB-1988, etc. These organizations develop and promote banking habits among the people. During economic reforms it has taken many initiatives for encouraging and promoting banking in India. 0) Promotion of Export through Refinance The RBI always tries to encourage the facilities for providing finance for foreign trade especially exports from India. The Export-Import Bank of India (EXIM Bank India) and the Export Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (ECGC) are supported by refinancing their lending for export purpose. (69) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 7.7 Summary The overall control of the monetary and banking structure of an economy lies the central bank of a country. Central banks have a wide range of responsibilities, from overseeing monetary policy to implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full employment. Central banks also generally issue currency, function as the bank of the government, regulate the credit system, oversee commercial banks, manage exchange reserves and act as a lender of last resort. India's central bank is Reserve Bank of India established in the year 1935. After independence, the government passed Reserve Bank (Transfer to Public Ownership) Act, 1948 and took over RBI from private shareholders after paying appropriate compensation. Thus, nationalization of RBI took place in 1949 and from January 1, 1949, RBI started working as a government owned central bank of India. Reserve bank of India is also called as bankers bank and bank of government. To manage the monetary and credit system of the country is the important function of central bank. Except for issuing one rupee notes and coins, RBI is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India. 7.8 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks a) The …………… function of a central bank is to control the nation's money supply. b) …………… is the central bank of India. c) Reserve Bank of India Nationalized in the year ………….. . d) Except for issuing--------------, RBI is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India. Short Answer Questions 1) Explain the meaning of central bank. 2) What are the objectives of central bank? 3) Explain the Bankers Bank function of central bank. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the key landmark of RBI. 2) Explain any five functions of Reserve bank of India. 3) Central bank is known as lender of last resort. Discuss. 4) Explain the role of central bank for the smooth functioning of economy. 5) Explain the promotional role of RBI. 7.9 Further Reference Books (70) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee UNIT - 8 ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI NOTES Structure 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Objectives 8.3 Organization and Structure of RBI 8.4 Departments of RBI 8.5 Summary 8.6 Exercise & Questions 8.7 Further Reference Books 8.1 Introduction RBI established in the year 1935. In 1949, the Government of India nationalized the Reserve Bank under the Reserve Bank (Transfer of Public Ownership) Act, 1948. RBI is the central bank of India. The executive head of the Bank is called Governor who is assisted by four Deputy Governors. They are appointed by the Government of India for a period of five years. The head office of the Reserve Bank is at Bombay. RBI work under different departments such as Issue department, Exchange control department, Industrial credit department, Economic analysis and Policy etc. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Organization Structure of RBI? 8.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Understand the organization structure of RBI 2) Know the role of different departments of RBI. 8.3 Organization and Structure of RBI Organizational Structure Governor | Deputy Governor | Executive Directors | Principal Chief General Manager | Chief General Manager | General Manager | Deputy General Manager | (71) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Three Parts of organization of RBI? Asstt. General Manager | Managers | Asstt. Managers | Support Staff Management The management of the Reserve Bank is under the control of Central Board of Directors consisting of 20 members: (a) The executive head of the Bank is called Governor who is assisted by four Deputy Governors. They are appointed by the Government of India for a period of five years. The head office of the Reserve Bank is at Bombay, (b) There are four local boards at Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai and Mumbai representing four regional areas, i.e., northern, eastern, southern and western respectively. These local boards are advisory in nature and the Government of India nominates one member each from these boards to the Central Board. (c) There are ten directors from various fields and one government official from the Ministry of Finance. The Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 requires that there must be at least six meetings in a year and the gap between two meetings must not exceed three months. The Governor of the Reserve Bank can call a meeting of the Central Board whenever he feels it necessary. The Governor and the Deputy Governors are full-time officials of the Reserve Bank and are paid prescribed salaries and allowances. Other directors are part-time officials and are given fare and allowance to participate in the meetings. 8.3.1 The organization of RBI can be divided into three parts: 1) Central Board of Directors. 2) Local Boards 3) Offices of RBI A) Central Board of Directors : The organization and management of RBI is vested on the Central Board of Directors. It is responsible for the management of RBI.Central Board of Directors consist of 20 members. It is constituted as follows. a) One Governor: it is the highest authority of RBI. He is appointed by the Government of India for a term of 5 years. He can be re-appointed for another term. b) Four Deputy Governors: Four deputy Governors are nominated by Central Govt. for a term of 5 years c) Fifteen Directors :Other fifteen members of the Central Board are appointed by the Central Government. Out of these , four directors,one each from the four local Boards are nominated by the Government separately by the Central Government. (72) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Ten directors nominated by the Central Government are among the experts of commerce, industries, finance, economics and cooperation. The finance secretary of the Government of India is also nominated as Govt. officer in the board. Ten directors are nominated for a period of 4 years. The Governor acts as the Chief Executive officer and Chirman of the Central Board of Directors. In his absence a deputy Governor nominated by the Governor, acts as the Chirman of the Central Board. The deputy governors and government's officer nominee are not entitled to vote at the meetings of the Board. The Governor and four deputy Governors are full time officers of the Bank. B) Local Boards : Besides the central board, there are local boards for four regional areas of the country with their head-quarters at Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, and New Delhi. Local Boards consist of five members each, appointed by the central Government for a term of 4 years to represent territorial and economic interests and the interests of co-operatives and indigenous banks. The function of the local boards is to advise the central board on general and specific issues referred to them and to perform duties which the central board delegates. C) Offices of RBI: The Head office of the bank is situated in Mumbai and the offices of local boards are situated in Delhi, Kolkata and Chennai. In order to maintain the smooth working of banking system, RBI has opened local offices or branches in Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Bhopal, Bhubaneshwar, Chandigarh, Guwahati, Hyderabad, Jaipur, Jammu, Kanpur, Nagpur, Patna, Thiruvananthpuram, Kochi, Lucknow and Byculla (Mumbai). The RBI can open its offices with the permission of the Government of India. In places where there are no offices of the bank, it is represented by the state Bank of India and its associate banks as the agents of RBI. ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Departments of RBI? 8.4 Departments of RBI The Reserve Bank of India has the following departments. 1. Banking Department: The Banking Department is responsible for rendering the bank's services as a banker to the Government and to the banks. It consists of four sub-divisions: (i) Public Accounts Department; (ii) Public Debt Department; (iii) Deposit Accounts Department; and (iv) Securities Department. There are 14 branches of the Banking Department, each headed by a Joint/Deputy Manager. 2. Issue Department: The Issue Department is concerned with the proper and efficient management of the note issue. For the conduct of monetary transactions, the country has been divided into 14 circles of issue, each having an Office of Issue - the branch of the Issue Department. Each branch of the Issue Department consists of: (i) The General Department and (ii) The Cash Department controlled by the currency officer. The General Department deals with resource operations, i.e., arrangement of supply of notes and coins from the presses and Government Mints. The Cash Department deals with the cash transactions. 3. Department of Currency Management: This department is concerned with the forecasting of the long-term requirements of the currency, indenting and allocation of currency notes to various branches of the Issue Department taking into account the demand pattern, storage facilities, etc. It is headed by the Chief Officer. (73) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 4. Department of Expenditure and Budgetary Control: This department is concerned with the preparation of the bank's budget and monitoring of the expenditure of the different units. It is headed by the Financial Controller. NOTES 5. Department of Government and Bank Accounts: This department is concerned with the maintenance and supervision of the bank's accounts in the Issue and the Banking Departments and the compilation of weekly statements of affairs and the Annual Profits & Loss Account and Balance Sheet. It is headed by the Chief Accountant. 6. Exchange Control Department: The Exchange Control department is responsible for controlling foreign exchange transactions and maintaining exchange rate stability. 7. Department of Banking Operations and Development: This Department was entrusted with the responsibility of the supervision, control and development of the commercial bank system in the country. Till July 1982, it was also concerned with the Lead Bank Scheme and bank credit to the priority sectors. 8. Industrial Credit Department: The Industrial Finance Department is basically concerned with the administration of the Credit Guarantee Scheme for small scale industries or as agent of the Government of India, with the operational and organisational aspects of the State Financial Corporation's (SFCs), work connected with the Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI), data collection about financing of small-scale industries and other relevant problems. It also deals with the operation and administration of the Credit Authorisation Scheme. 9. Agricultural Credit Department: This department is mainly responsible for building up of a sound cooperative credit structure in rural financing, supplementing the financial resources of state co-operative banks, providing financial assistance to State Governments to strengthen the co-operative structure, advising Central and State Governments on agricultural and rural credit, formulating policies for taking over of PACs for financing by commercial banks, coordinating the long-term credit activities of State Land Development Banks, etc. The department also keeps liaison with the Agricultural Refinance and Development Corporation, the Agricultural Finance Corporation, SCBs and LDBs. With the establishment of the NABARD now, all functions of the Agricultural Credit Department have been transferred to this new institution, except for the supervision and control over the operations of the primary (urban) cooperative banks. The responsibility of supervision and control of PCBs are now shifted to the Department of Banking Operations and Development. (74) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 10. Rural Planning and Credit Department: This department was established in 1982. It is basically concerned with issues like District Credit Plans, Lead Bank Scheme, provision of expert guidance/ assistance and processing and sanction of general lines of credit for short-term advances to the NABARD, special studies for promoting IRDP, and for framing the Reserve Bank's policy on rural development. 11. Department of Non-Banking Companies: This department administers and controls as well as regulates deposits of non-banking financial companies. 12. Credit Planning Cell: The Credit Planning and Banking Development Cell have been constituted for the formulation and monitoring of credit policies as well as the developmental aspects of commercial banking. It chalks out macro-level monetary budgets of the country. ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI NOTES 13. Department of Economic Analysis and Policy: This department conducts economic research and reviews financial and banking conditions in the country. The Economic Department comprises five units: (i) the Internal Finance Unit; (ii) International Finance Unit; (iii) Prices, Production and General Unit; (iv) Analysis of National Economic Parameters Unit; and (v) General Unit. The Economic Department prepares the Bank's Annual Report, the Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India, the Report on Currency and Finance, and the Reserve Bank of India Bulletins. It also undertakes ad hoc studies on emerging aspects of banking and other important issues. 14. Department of Statistical Analysis and Computer Services: Its main function involves the generation, collection, processing and compilation of statistical data relating to the banking and financial sectors from the operational as well as research point of view. 15. Legal Department: It tenders legal advice on various matters referred to it by the Bank. 16. Inspection Department: It carries out internal inspections of the offices and departments of the bank. 17. Department of Administration and Personnel: It looks after the general administration and personnel policy, such as recruitment, training, placements, promotions, transfers, discipline, appeals, service conditions, wage structure, etc. 18. Premises Department: It is mainly concerned with the construction of buildings for the Bank's offices, training institutions and staff quarters. 19. Management Services Department: It is basically concerned with organisational analysis, systems research and development, work procedure studies and codification, manpower planning, costing studies, etc. 20. Reserve Bank of India Service Board: Its functions involve conducting of examinations/interviews for the selection and promotion of staff in the Reserve Bank. (75) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 21. Central Records and Documentation Centre: It is meant for the preservation of non-current records of the Bank. It provides arrangement for the scientific preservation of records, retrieval service to the enquirer departments, tools of reference such as catalogues, indices, etc. NOTES 22. Secretary's Department: It attends to the secretarial work connected with the meetings of the Central Board and its committee and of the Administrators of the RBI Employee's Provident Fund and RBI Employees' Co-operative Guarantee Fund. 23. Training Establishments: The Reserve Bank has set-up three prominent training institutions for imparting training in different areas of banking. These are: (i) The Banker's Training College, Bombay (ii) The College of Agricultural Banking, Pune (iii) The Reserve Bank Staff College, Madras 8.5 Summary RBI established in the year 1935. In 1949, the Government of India nationalized the Reserve Bank under the Reserve Bank (Transfer of Public Ownership) Act, 1948. RBI is the central bank of India. The management of the Reserve Bank is under the control of Central Board of Directors. The executive head of the Bank is called Governor who is assisted by four Deputy Governors. They are appointed by the Government of India for a period of five years. RBI work under different departments such as Issue department, Exchange control department, Industrial credit department, Economic analysis and Policy etc. 8.6 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) The executive head of the Bank is called……………..Who is assisted by four Deputy Governors. 2) ---------- directors nominated by the Central Government are among the experts of commerce, industries, finance, economics and cooperation. 3) There are -------branches of the Banking Department. 4) The organization of RBI is divided into ------ parts. Short answer Questions - (76) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I a) Write a short note on Banking Department of RBI. b) Write a short note on central board of RBI. c) Draw a tree diagram of Organization structure of RBI. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the working of any five departments of RBI. 2) Explain the organization and structure of reserve bank of India. 3) Explain the working of following departments of RBI - ORGANIZATION AND DEPARTMENTS OF RBI NOTES a) Issue department. b) Exchange control department. c) Industrial credit department d) Economic analysis and Policy 8.7 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (77) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 9 ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI NOTES Structure CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Role of RBI? 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Objectives 9.3 Role of Reserve bank of India 9.4 Functions of Reserve Bank of India 9.5 Summary 9.6 Exercise & Questions 9.7 Further Reference Books 9.1 Introduction The Reserve Bank of India is the central bank of the country entrusted with monetary stability, the management of currency and the supervision of the financial as well as the payments system. RBI established in the year 1935 and nationalized in1949. The RBI is the apex monetary institution authority in India. Consequently, it plays an important role in strengthening, developing and diversifying the countries economic and financial structure. 9.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Understand the role of RBI 2) Understand the different functions of RBI 9.3 Role of Reserve bank of India The Reserve Bank of India is the central bank of the country entrusted with monetary stability, the management of currency and the supervision of the financial as well as the payments system. Established in 1935, its functions and focus have evolved in response to the changing economic environment. Its history is not only intrinsically interwoven with the economic and financial history of the country, but also gives insights into the thought processes that have helped shape the country's economic policies. (78) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 1) The RBI is the apex monetary institution of the highest authority in India. Consequently, it plays an important role in strengthening, developing and diversifying the countries economic and financial structure. 2) RBI is responsible to maintain the economic stability in India. 3) RBI implements monetary policy through the instruments of credit control in order to maintain the money supply in market. 4) RBI act as bank of government and perform various functions like maintain the account of government, manage public debt, adviser to government etc. 5) RBI is also known as banker's bank. RBI control banking system as per banking regulation act - 1949. 6) RBI protect the market for government securities. 7) RBI is responsible for promoting banking habits among people 9.4 Functions of Reserve Bank of India ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI NOTES As a central bank, the Reserve Bank has significant powers and duties to perform. For smooth and speedy progress of the Indian Financial System, it has to perform some important tasks. Among others it includes maintaining monetary and financial stability, to develop and maintain stable payment system, to promote and develop financial infrastructure and to regulate or control the financial institutions. a) Issuer of currency Except for issuing one rupee notes and coins, RBI is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India. The Indian government issues one rupee notes and coins. Major currency is in the form of RBI notes, such as notes in the denominations of two, five, ten, twenty, fifty, one hundred, five hundred, and one thousand. Earlier, notes of higher denominations were also issued. But, these notes were demonetized to discourage users from indulging in black-market operations. RBI has two departments - the Issue department and Banking department. The issue department is dedicated to issuing currency. All the currency issued is the monetary liability of RBI that is backed by assets of equal value held by this department. Assets consist of gold, coin, bullion, foreign securities, rupee coins, and the government's rupee securities. The department acquires these assets whenever required by issuing currency. The conditions governing the composition of these assets determine the nature of the currency standard that prevails in India. The Banking department of RBI looks after the banking operations. It takes care of the currency in circulation and its withdrawal from circulation. Issuing new currency is known as expansion of currency and withdrawal of currency is known as contraction of currency. The central bank is the bank of issue. It has the monopoly of note issue. Notes issued by it circulate as legal tender money. It has its issue department which issues notes and coins to commercial banks. Coins are manufactured in the government mint but they are put into circulation through the central bank. Central banks have been following different methods of note issue in different countries. The central bank is required by law to keep a certain amount of gold and foreign securities against the issue of notes. In some countries, the amount of gold and foreign securities bears a fixed proportion, between 25 to 40 per cent of the total notes issued. In other countries, a minimum fixed amount of gold and foreign currencies is required to be kept against note issue by the central bank. This system is operative in India whereby the Reserve Bank of India is required to keep Rs 115 crores in gold and Rs 85 crores in foreign securities. There is no limit to the issue of notes after keeping this minimum amount of Rs 200 crores in gold and foreign securities. The monopoly of issuing notes vested in the central bank ensures uniformity in the notes issued which helps in facilitating exchange and trade within the country. It brings stability in the monetary system and creates confidence among the public. The central bank can restrict or expand the supply of cash according to the requirements of the economy. Thus it provides elasticity to the monetary system. By having a monopoly of note issue, the central bank also controls the banking system by being the ultimate source of cash. Last but not the least, by entrusting the monopoly of note issue to the central bank, the government is able to earn profits from printing notes whose cost is very low as compared with their face value. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Functions of RBI? (79) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES b) Banker to the Government RBI acts as banker, both to the central government and state governments. It manages all the banking transactions of the government involving the receipt and payment of money. In addition, RBI remits exchange and performs other banking operations. RBI provides short-term credit to the central government. Such credit helps the government to meet any shortfalls in its receipts over its disbursements. RBI also provides short term credit to state governments as advances. RBI also manages all new issues of government loans, servicing the government debt outstanding, and nurturing the market for government's securities. RBI advises the government on banking and financial subjects, international finance, financing of five-year plans, mobilizing resources, and banking legislation. c) Managing Government Securities Various financial institutions such as commercial banks are required by law to invest specified minimum proportions of their total assets/liabilities in government securities. RBI administers these investments of institutions. The other responsibilities of RBI regarding these securities are to ensure l Smooth functioning of the market l Readily available to potential buyers l Easily available in large numbers l Undisturbed maturity-structure of interest rates because of excess or deficit supply l Not subject to quick and huge fluctuations l Reasonable liquidity of investments l Good reception of the new issues of government loans d) Banker to Other Banks The role of RBI as a banker to other banks is as follows: l Holds some of the cash reserves of banks l Lends funds for short period l Provides centralized clearing and quick remittance facilities RBI has the authority to statutorily ensure that the scheduled commercial banks deposit a stipulated ratio of their total net liabilities. This ratio is known as cash reserve ratio [CRR]. However, banks can use these deposits to meet their temporary requirements for interbank clearing as the maintenance of CRR is calculated based on the average balance over a period. (80) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I e) Controller of Money Supply and Credit The most important function of the central bank is to control the credit creation power of commercial bank in order to control inflationary and deflationary pressures within this economy. For this purpose, it adopts quantitative methods and qualitative methods. Quantitative methods aim at controlling the cost and quantity of credit by adopting bank rate policy, open market operations, and by variations in reserve ratios of commercial banks. Qualitative methods control the use and direction of credit. These involve selective credit controls and direct action. By adopting such methods, the central bank tries to influence and control credit creation by commercial banks in order to stabilise economic activity in the country. Besides the above noted functions, the central banks in a number of developing countries have been entrusted with the responsibility of developing a strong banking system to meet the expanding requirements of agriculture, industry, trade and commerce. Accordingly, the central banks possess some additional powers of supervision and control over the commercial banks. They are the issuing of licenses; the regulation of branch expansion; to see that every bank maintains the minimum paid up capital and reserves as provided by law; inspecting or auditing the accounts of banks; to approve the appointment of chairmen and directors of such banks in accordance with the rules and qualifications; to control and recommend merger of weak banks in order to avoid their failures and to protect the interest of depositors; to recommend nationalization of certain banks to the government in public interest; to publish periodical reports relating to different aspects of monetary and economic policies for the benefit of banks and the public; and to engage in research and train banking personnel In a planned economy, the central bank plays an important role in controlling the paper currency system and inflationary tendency. RBI has to regulate the claims of competing banks on money supply and credit. RBI also needs to meet the credit requirements of the rest of the banking system. RBI needs to ensure promotion of maximum output, and maintain price stability and a high rate of economic growth. To perform these functions effectively, RBI uses several control instruments such as l Open Market Operations l Changes in statutory reserve requirements for banks l Lending policies towards banks l Control over interest rate structure l Statutory liquidity ration of banks ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI NOTES f) Exchange Manager and Controller RBI manages exchange control, and represents India as a member of the international Monetary Fund [IMF]. Exchange control was first imposed on India in September 1939 when World War II started and continues till date. Exchange control was imposed on both receipts and payments of foreign exchange. According to foreign exchange regulations, all foreign exchange receipts, whether on account of export earnings, investment earnings, or capital receipts, whether of private or government accounts, must be sold to RBI either directly or through authorized dealers. Most commercial banks are authorized dealers of RBI. g) Publisher of Monetary Data and Other Data RBI maintains and provides all essential banking and other economic data, formulating and critically evaluating the economic policies in India. In order to perform this function, RBI collects, collates and publishes data regularly. Users can avail this data in the weekly statements, the RBI monthly bulletin, annual report on currency and finance, and other periodic publications. f) Lender of the Last Resort: The central bank lends to such institutions in order to help them in times of stress so as to save the financial structure of the country from collapse. It acts as lender of the last resort through discount house on the basis of treasury bills, government securities and bonds at "the front door". (81) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES The other method is to give temporary accommodation to the commercial banks or discount houses directly through the "back door". The difference between the two methods is that lending at the front door is at the bank rate and in the second case at the market rate. Thus the central bank as lender of the last resort is a big source of cash and also influences prices and market rates. g) Clearing House for Transfer and Settlement: As bankers' bank, the central bank acts as a clearing house for transfer and settlement of mutual claims of commercial banks. Since the central bank holds reserves of commercial banks, it transfers funds from one bank to other banks to facilitate clearing of cheques. This is done by making transfer entries in their accounts on the principle of book-keeping. To transfer and settle claims of one bank upon others, the central bank operates a separate department in big cities and trade centres. This department is known as the "clearing house" and it renders the service free to commercial banks. When the central bank acts as a clearing agency, it is time-saving and convenient for the commercial banks to settle their claims at one place. It also economises the use of money. "It is not only a means of economising cash and capital but is also a means of testing at any time the degree of liquidity which the community is maintaining." Developmental and Promotional role of RBI Along with the routine traditional functions, central banks especially in the developing country like India have to perform numerous functions. These functions are country specific functions and can change according to the requirements of that country. The RBI has been performing as a promoter of the financial system since its inception. Some of the major development functions of the RBI are maintained below. H) Development of the Financial System: The financial system comprises the financial institutions, financial markets and financial instruments. The sound and efficient financial system is a precondition of the rapid economic development of the nation. The RBI has encouraged establishment of main banking and non-banking institutions to cater to the credit requirements of diverse sectors of the economy. i) Development of Agriculture In an agrarian economy like ours, the RBI has to provide special attention for the credit need of agriculture and allied activities. It has successfully rendered service in this direction by increasing the flow of credit to this sector. It has earlier the Agriculture Refinance and Development Corporation (ARDC) to look after the credit, National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) and Regional Rural Banks (RRBs). j) Provision of Industrial Finance Rapid industrial growth is the key to faster economic development. In this regard, the adequate and timely availability of credit to small, medium and large industry is very significant. In this regard the RBI has always been instrumental in setting up special financial institutions such as ICICI Ltd. IDBI, SIDBI and EXIM BANK etc. (82) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I k) Provisions of Training The RBI has always tried to provide essential training to the staff of the banking industry. The RBI has set up the bankers' training colleges at several places. National Institute of Bank Management i.e NIBM, Bankers Staff College i.e BSC and College of Agriculture Banking i.e CAB are few to mention. l) Collection of Data Being the apex monetary authority of the country, the RBI collects process and disseminates statistical data on several topics. It includes interest rate, inflation, savings and investments etc. This data proves to be quite useful for researchers and policy makers. ROLE AND FUNCTIONS OF RBI NOTES m) Publication of the Reports The Reserve Bank has its separate publication division. This division collects and publishes data on several sectors of the economy. The reports and bulletins are regularly published by the RBI. It includes RBI weekly reports, RBI Annual Report, Report on Trend and Progress of Commercial Banks India., etc. This information is made available to the public also at cheaper rates. n) Promotion of Banking Habits As an apex organization, the RBI always tries to promote the banking habits in the country. It institutionalizes savings and takes measures for an expansion of the banking network. It has set up many institutions such as the Deposit Insurance Corporation-1962, UTI-1964, IDBI-1964, NABARD-1982, NHB-1988, etc. These organizations develop and promote banking habits among the people. During economic reforms it has taken many initiatives for encouraging and promoting banking in India. 0) Promotion of Export through Refinance The RBI always tries to encourage the facilities for providing finance for foreign trade especially exports from India. The Export-Import Bank of India (EXIM Bank India) and the Export Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (ECGC) are supported by refinancing their lending for export purpose. 9.5 Summary The RBI is the apex monetary institution of the highest authority in India. Consequently, it plays an important role in strengthening, developing and diversifying the countries economic and financial structure. RBI is responsible to maintain the economic stability in India. As bankers' bank, the central bank acts as a clearing house for transfer and settlement of mutual claims of commercial banks. The monopoly of issuing notes vested in the central bank ensures uniformity in the notes issued which helps in facilitating exchange and trade within the country. RBI is responsible for promoting banking habits among people. 9.6 Exercise & Questions Fill 1) 2) 3) 4) in the blanks The -------- is the apex monetary institution authority in India. --------- methods aim at controlling the cost and quantity of credit. RBI control banking system as per banking ------------. --------- is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India. (83) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES Short Answer Questions 1) RBI is called as lender of last resort. Explain. 2) Write a short note on issue of currency function of RBI. 3) How RBI control credit through monetary policy? 4) RBI is also called as banker's bank. Discuss. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the promotional functions of RBI. 2) Explain the role of RBI. 3) Explain any five functions of 9.7 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (84) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 10 MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA NOTES Structure 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Objectives 10.3 Meaning of Monetary policy 10.4 Objectives of monetary policy 10.5 Instruments of Monetary Policy 10.6 LIMITATIONS OF MONETARY POLICY 10.7 Summary 10.8 Exercise & Questions 10.9 Further Reference Books 10.1 Introduction CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is the meaning of Monetary Policy? Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, often targeting an inflation rate or interest rate to ensure price stability and general trust in the currency. Further goals of a monetary policy are usually to contribute to economic growth and stability, to lower unemployment, and to maintain predictable exchange rates with other currencies. Monetary economics provides insight into how to craft optimal monetary policy. 10.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Understand the meaning of monetary policy. 2) Understand the objectives of monetary policy. 3) Know the instruments of credit control. 4) Understand the limitations of monetary policy. 10.3 Meaning of Monetary policy Definition: Monetary policy is the macroeconomic policy laid down by the central bank. It involves management of money supply and interest rate and is the demand side economic policy used by the government of a country to achieve macroeconomic objectives like inflation, consumption, growth and liquidity. Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls (i) the supply of money, (ii) availability of money, and (iii) cost of money or rate of interest to attain a set of objectives oriented towards the growth and stability of the economy. Monetary policy is referred to as either being expansionary or contractionary, where an expansionary policy increases the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly than usual, and contractionary policy expands the money supply more (85) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES slowly than usual or even shrinks it. Expansionary policy is traditionally used to try to combat unemployment in a recession by lowering interest rates in the hope that easy credit will entice businesses into expanding. Contractionary policy is intended to slow inflation in order to avoid the resulting distortions and deterioration of asset values. Monetary policy differs from fiscal policy, which refers to taxation, government spending, and associated borrowing.[4] 10.4 Objectives of monetary policy CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Objectives of Monetary Policy? The objectives of monetary policy differ from country to country according to their economic conditions. In the less developing countries like India or Pakistan its objective may be the maintenance of monetary stability and help in the process of economic development. In the developed countries its objective may be to achieve full employment, without inflation. Anyhow following are the main objectives of the monetary policy. 1. Control of Inflation and Deflation :Inflation and deflation both are not suitable for the economy. If the price level is reasonable and there is an adjustment between the price and cost, rate of out put can increase. Monetary policy is used to coordinate the cost and price. So price stability is achieved through the monetary policy. 2. Exchange Stability :Monetary policy second objective is to achieve the stable foreign exchange rate. If the rate of exchange is stable it shows that economic condition of the country is stable. 3. Economic Development :Monetary policy plays very effective role in promoting economic growth by providing adequate credit to productive sectors. 4. Increase in the Rate of Employment :Monetary policy another objective is to achieve full employment but without inflation. 5. Equal Distribution of Credit :Monetary policy should also ensure that distribution of credit should be equitable and purposeful. The credit priority should be given to backward areas. 6. Improvement in Standard of Living :It is also the major objective of the monetary policy that it should improve the quality of life in the country. These are the objectives of the monetary policy but efforts should be made to minimize the conflicts. (86) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Objectives of Monetary policy in India OBJECTIVES OF MONETARY POLICY OF INDIA :The main objective of monetary policy in India is 'growth with stability'. Monetary Management regulates availability, cost and use of money and credit. It also brings institutional changes in the financial sector of the economy. Following are the main objectives of monetary policy in India :- 1. Growth With Stability :Traditionally, RBI's monetary policy was focused on controlling inflation through contraction of money supply and credit. This resulted in poor growth performance. Thus, RBI have now adopted the policy of 'Growth with Stability'. This means sufficient credit will be available for growing needs of different sectors of economy and at the same time, inflation will be controlled with in a certain limit. MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA NOTES 2. Regulation, Supervision And Development Of Financial Stability :Financial stability means the ability of the economy to absorb shocks and maintain confidence in financial system. Threats to financial stability can come from internal and external shocks. Such shocks can destabilize the country's financial system. Thus, greater importance is being given to RBI's role in maintaining confidence in financial system through proper regulation and controls, without sacrificing the objective of growth. Therefore, RBI is focusing on regulation, supervision and development of financial system. 3. Promoting Priority Sector :Priority sector includes agriculture, export and small scale enterprises and weaker section of population. RBI with the help of bank provides timely and adequately credit at affordable cost of weaker sections and low income groups. RBI, along with NABARD, is focusing on microfinance through the promotion of Self Help groups and other institutions. 4. Generation Of Employment :Monetary policy helps in employment generation by influencing the rate of investment and allocation of investment among various economic activities of different labour Intensities. 5. External Stability :With the growth of imports and exports India's linkages with global economy are getting stronger. Earlier, RBI controlled foreign exchange market by determining eaxchange rate. Now, RBI has only indirect control over external stability through the mechanism of 'managed Flexibility', where it influences exchange rate by buying and selling foreign currencies in open market. 6. Encouraging Savings And Investments :RBI by offering attractive interest rates encourage savings in the economy. A high rate of saving promotes investment. Thus the monetary management by influencing rates of interest can influence saving mobilization in the country. 7. Redistribution Of income And Wealth :By control of inflation and deployment of credit to weaker sectors of society the monetary policy may redistribute income and wealth favouring to weaker sections. 8. Regulation Of NBFIs:Non - Banking Financial Institutions (NBFIs), like UTI, IDBI, IFCI plays an important role in deployment of credit and mobilization of savings. RBI does not have any direct control on the functioning of such institutions. However it can indirectly affects the policies and functions of NBFIs through its monetary policy. (87) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Instruments of Monetary Policy? (88) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 10.5 Instruments of Monetary Policy A) MONETARY POLICY OF RBI :The Monetary Policy of RBI is not merely one of credit restriction, but it has also the duty to see that legitimate credit requirements are met and at the same time credit is not used for unproductive and speculative purposes RBI has various weapons of monetary control and by using them, it hopes to achieve its monetary policy. There are two methods of Credit Control A) Quantitative Method B) Qualitative Method A) General I Quantitative Credit Control Methods :In India, the legal framework of RBI's control over the credit structure has been provided Under Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 and the Banking RegulationAct, 1949. Quantitative credit controls are used to maintain proper quantity of credit of money supply in market. Some of the important general credit control methods are:I. Quantitative Method: (i) Bank Rate: The bank rate, also known as the discount rate, is the rate payable by commercial banks on the loans from or rediscounts of the Central Bank. A change in bank rate affects other market rates of interest. An increase in bank rate leads to an increase in other rates of interest and conversely, a decrease in bank rate results in a fall in other rates of interest. A deliberate manipulation of the bank rate by the Central Bank to influence the flow of credit created by the commercial banks is known as bank rate policy. It does so by affecting the demand for credit the cost of the credit and the availability of the credit. An increase in bank rate results in an increase in the cost of credit; this is expected to lead to a contraction in demand for credit. In as much as bank credit is an important component of aggregate money supply in the economy, a contraction in demand for credit consequent on an increase in the cost of credit restricts the total availability of money in the economy, and hence may prove an anti-inflationary measure of control. Likewise, a fall in the bank rate causes other rates of interest to come down. The cost of credit falls, i. e., and credit becomes cheaper. Cheap credit may induce a higher demand both for investment and consumption purposes. More money, through increased flow of credit, comes into circulation. A fall in bank rate may, thus, prove an anti-deflationary instrument of control. The effectiveness of bank rate as an instrument of control is, however, restricted primarily by the fact that both in inflationary and recessionary conditions, the cost of credit may not be a very significant factor influencing the investment decisions of the firms. (ii) Open Market Operations: Open market operations refer to the sale and purchase of securities by the Central bank to the commercial banks. A sale of securities by the Central Bank, i.e., the purchase of securities by the commercial banks, results in a fall in the total cash reserves of the latter. A fall in the total cash reserves is leads to a cut in the credit creation power of the commercial banks. With reduced cash reserves at their command the commercial banks can only create lower volume of credit. Thus, a sale of securities by the Central Bank serves as an anti-inflationary measure of control. Likewise, a purchase of securities by the Central Bank results in more cash flowing to the commercials banks. With increased cash in their hands, the commercial banks can create more credit, and make more finance available. Thus, purchase of securities may work as an anti-deflationary measure of control. The Reserve Bank of India has frequently resorted to the sale of government securities to which the commercial banks have been generously contributing. Thus, open market operations in India have served, on the one hand as an instrument to make available more budgetary resources and on the other as an instrument to siphon off the excess liquidity in the system. MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA NOTES (iii) Variable Reserve Ratios: Variable reserve ratios refer to that proportion of bank deposits that the commercial banks are required to keep in the form of cash to ensure liquidity for the credit created by them. A rise in the cash reserve ratio results in a fall in the value of the deposit multiplier. Conversely, a fall in the cash reserve ratio leads to a rise in the value of the deposit multiplier. A fall in the value of deposit multiplier amounts to a contraction in the availability of credit, and, thus, it may serve as an anti-inflationary measure. A rise in the value of deposit multiplier, on the other hand, amounts to the fact that the commercial banks can create more credit, and make available more finance for consumption and investment expenditure. A fall in the reserve ratios may, thus, work as anti-deflationary method of monetary control. The Reserve Bank of India is empowered to change the reserve requirements of the commercial banks. The Reserve Bank employs two types of reserve ratio for this purpose, viz. the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR). The statutory liquidity ratio refers to that proportion of aggregate deposits which the commercial banks are required to keep with themselves in a liquid form. The commercial banks generally make use of this money to purchase the government securities. Thus, the statutory liquidity ratio, on the one hand is used to siphon off the excess liquidity of the banking system, and on the other it is used to mobilise revenue for the government. The Reserve Bank of India is empowered to raise this ratio up to 40 per cent of aggregate deposits of commercial banks. Presently, this ratio stands at 25 per cent. The cash reserve ratio refers to that proportion of the aggregate deposits which the commercial banks are required to keep with the Reserve Bank of India. Presently, this ratio stands at 9 percent. II) SELECTIVE / QUALITATIVE CREDIT CONTROL METHODS :Under Selective Credit Control, credit is provided to selected borrowersfor selected purpose, depending upon the use to which the control try to regulate the quality of credit - the direction towards thecredit flows. The Selective Controls are:1. Ceiling On Credit The Ceilingon level of credit restricts the lending capacity of a bank to grant advances against certain controlled securities. 2. MarginRequirements A loan is sanctioned against Collateral Security. Margin means that proportion of the value of security against which loan is not given. Margin against (89) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES a particular security is reduced or increased in order to encourageor to discourage the flow of credit to a particular sector. It varies from 20% to 80%. For agricultural commodities it is as high as 75%. Higher the margin lesser will be the loan sanctioned. e.g.- a person mortgages his property worth Rs. 100,000 against loan. The bank will give loan of Rs. 80,000 only. The marginal requirement here is 20%. In case the flow of credit has to be increased, the marginal requirement will be lowered. RBI has been using this method since 1956.[2] 3. Discriminatory Interest Rate (DIR) Through DIR, RBI makes credit flow to certain priority or weaker sectors by charging concessional rates of interest. RBI issues supplementary instructions regarding granting of additional credit against sensitive commodities, issue of guarantees, making advances etc. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Give Limitations of Monetary Policy? 4. Directives The RBI issues directives to banks regarding advances. Directives are regarding the purpose for which loans may or may not be given. 5. Direct Action It is too severe and is therefore rarely followed. It may involve refusal by RBI to rediscount bills or cancellation of license, if the bank has failed to comply with the directives of RBI. 6. Moral Suasion Moral suasion and credit monitoring arrangement are other methods of credit control. The policy of moral suasion will succeed only if the Central Bank is strong enough to influence the commercial banks. In India, from 1949 onwards, the Reserve Bank has been successful in using the method of moral suasion to bring the commercial banks to fall in line with its policies regarding credit. Publicity is another method, whereby the Reserve Bank marks direct appeal to the public and publishes data which will have sobering effect on other banks and the commercial circles. 10.6 LIMITATIONS OF MONETARY POLICY 1. Huge Budgetary Deficits :RBI makes every possible attempt to control inflation and to balance money supply in the market. However Central Government's huge budgetary deficits have made monetary policy ineffective. Huge budgetary deficits have resulted in excessive monetary growth. 2. Coverage Of Only Commercial Banks :Instruments of monetary policy cover only commercial banks so inflationary pressures caused by banking finance can be controlled by RBI, but in India, inflation also results from deficit financing and scarcity of goods on which RBI may not have any control. 3. Problem Of Management Of Banks And Financial Institutions :The monetary policy can succeed to control inflation and to bring overall development only when the management of banks and Financial institutions are efficient and dedicated. Many officials of banks and financial institutions are corrupt and inefficient which leads to financial scams in this way overall economy is affected. (90) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 4. Unorganised Money Market :Presence of unorganised sector of money market is one of the main obstacle in effective working of the monetary policy. As RBI has no power over the unorganised sector of money market, its monetary policy becomes less effective. 5. Less Accountability:At present time, the goals of monetary policy in India, are not set out in specific terms and there is insufficient freedom in the use of instruments. In such a setting, accountability tends to be weak as there is lack of clarity in the responsibility of governments and RBI. MONETARY POLICY AND RESERVE BANK OF INDIA NOTES 6. Black Money :There is a growing presence of black money in the economy. Black money falls beyond the purview of banking control of RBI. It means large proposition of total money Supply in a country remains outside the purview of RBI's monetary management. 7. Increase Volatility :The integration of domestic and foreign exchange markets could lead to increased volatility in the domestic market as the impact of exogenous factors could be transmitted to domestic market. The widening of foreign exchange market and development of rupee - foreign exchange swap would reduce risks and volatility. 8. Lack Of Transparency :According to S. S. Tarapore, the monetary policy formulation, in its present form in India, cannot be continued indefinitely. For a more effective policy, it would be necessary to have greater transparency in the policy formulation and transmission process and the RBI would need to be clearly demarcated. B. CONCLUSION :Thus, from above we can say that despite several problems RBI has made a good effort for effective implementation of the monetary policy in India. 10.7 Summary Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, often targeting an inflation rate or interest rate to ensure price stability and general trust in the currency. Monetary policy is the macroeconomic policy laid down by the central bank. It involves management of money supply and interest rate and is the demand side economic policy used by the government of a country to achieve macroeconomic objectives like inflation, consumption, growth and liquidity. The Monetary Policy of RBI is not merely one of credit restriction, but it has also the duty to see that legitimate credit requirements are met and at the same time credit is not used for unproductive and speculative purposes RBI has various weapons of monetary control and by using them, it hopes to achieve its monetary policy. There are two methods of Credit Control A) Quantitative Method B) Qualitative Method 10.8 Exercise & Questions Fill in the blanks1) ------------- is the process by which the government, central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money. (91) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 2) 3) 4) The bank rate, also known as the------------, is the rate payable by commercial banks on the loans from or rediscounts of the Central Bank. ------------- refer to the sale and purchase of securities by the Central bank to the commercial banks. In the period of ---------------, RBI increase Bank rate. Short answer questions1) How central bank control inflationary situation through a) Bank Rate b) CRR 2) Distinguish between CRR and SLR. 3) Distinguish between Qualitative and Quantitative method of credit control. 4) explain the meaning of a) Repo Rate b) Open Market operation. Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the objectives monetary policy. 2) Explain the different instruments of quantitative credit control method. 3) Explain the different instruments of qualitative credit control method. 10.9 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (92) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 11 FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES Structure 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Objectives 11.3 Monetary Policy Targets 11.4 Operating Procedures of Monetary Policy in India 11.5 Evolution of the Operating Procedure of - 11.6 Summary 11.7 Exercise & Questions 11.8 Further Reference Books 11.1 Introduction CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Monetary Policy Targets? Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls (i) the supply of money, (ii) availability of money, and (iii) cost of money or rate of interest to attain a set of objectives oriented towards the growth and stability of the economy. Values of specific economic variables that the monetary authority seeks achieve with monetary policy. The three most noted monetary policy targets are interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates. 11.2 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Understand the monetary policy target 2) Understand the monetary policy procedure and its evaluation. 11.3 Monetary Policy Targets Values of specific economic variables that the monetary authority seeks achieve with monetary policy. The three most noted monetary policy targets are interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates. These targets are usually intermediate targets that can be quickly achieved and easily measured, but then move the economy toward the ultimate macroeconomic goals of full employment, stability, and economic growth. Monetary policy targets are specific values of macroeconomic variables, including interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates, that a monetary authority pursues in the course of conducting monetary policy. The presumption, based on extensive economic theory, is that attaining a monetary policy target subsequently results in achieving one or more of the macroeconomic goals. For example, achieving a particular Federal funds interest rate value might be presumed to induce the level of investment expenditures and aggregate production that results in a business-cycle expansion with low rates of both unemployment and inflation. Alternatively, the monetary authority might deem that targeting a (93) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES specific growth rate of the M1 monetary aggregate attains this state of the economy. In a perfect world, the monetary authority could target a variable like M1 or the Federal funds rate to simultaneously achieve full employment, stability, and economic growth. However, in the real world, targeting one variable over others invariably means the pursuit of one goal over others. 1) Interest Rates Interest rates are charges for borrowing or returns from lending through financial markets. A complex economy like that in the United States has a large slate of interest rates, from credit cards to corporate bonds, from savings accounts to government securities. One of the most important interest rates is the Federal funds rate, the interest rate commercial banks charge each other for lending bank reserves. This rate is commonly targeted by the U.S. monetary authority (Federal Reserve System) because: l It is directly affected by Federal Reserve System monetary policy, specifically open market operations. l It is a benchmark interest rate that influences the values of most other interest rates in the economy. Federal Reserve System monetary policy is observed almost immediately as a change in the Federal funds rate. Because open market operations affect the amount of reserves, banks are willing to extend loans to other banks at a higher or lower Federal funds rate. However, changes in the Federal funds rate filter throughout the economy, inducing corresponding changes in other interest rates, which then affect macroeconomic activity and the pursuit of full employment, stability, and economic growth. 2) Monetary Aggregates Monetary aggregates, labeled M1, M2, and M3, are measures of money and highly liquid assets, especially accounts maintained by banks. M1 is the basic money supply, the financial assets used for actual payments, including currency and checkable deposits. M2 is a broader measure of the money supply and includes highly liquid near monies (savings deposits) in addition to currency and checkable deposits. M3 is a broader measure that includes M2 plus slightly less liquid assets. A monetary authority like the Federal Reserve System might be inclined to target one of these monetary aggregates. Over the years, the U.S. Federal Reserve System has targeted both M1 and M2 at different times. Targeting is typically implemented by identifying a desired growth rate of the monetary aggregate, which is then translated as a specific value of the aggregate at the end of a period. If, for example, the current level of M1 is $1 trillion and a 5 percent annual growth rate in M1 is deemed appropriate to achieve the desired macroeconomic goals, then the Federal Reserve System targets a value of M1 at $1.05 trillion by the end of the year. Although M1, which contains the actual assets used for transactions, would seem to be the logical monetary aggregate target, the Federal Reserve System has preferred to target M2 in recent years. Focus has shifted because M2 has a more stable connection to overall macroeconomic activity. The Federal Reserve System has concluded that achieve a specific M2 value is more likely to generate the desired macroeconomic goals. (94) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 3) Exchange Rates Exchange rates are the prices one nation's currency in terms of the currencies of other nations. For example, the exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Japanese yen might be something like 100 yen per dollar. One dollar can buy 100 yen or 100 yen can buy one dollar. Exchange rates depend, in part, on the quantity of money an economy has. If an economy with more money in circulation, then like any commodity that is relatively abudandant, the price declines. This means that the exchange rates for a country fall. That is, one dollar might be purchased with 90 yen rather than 100 yen. Exchange rates are commonly targeted by a monetary authority with an eye toward foreign trade. Lower exchange rates induce exports and limit imports, which stimulate economic activity. Higher exchange rates have the opposite effect. Some modern nations, especially smaller countries, take this a step further by fixing exchanges rates. In particular, a smaller country implements monetary policy that ensures the exchange rate between their domestic currency and that of another country, usually a larger country like United States, is essentially fixed. A fixed exchange rate provides a direct link between the two countries, meaning any monetary policy by the larger country affects the smaller one, as well. The smaller country has thus relinquished all monetary policy control to the larger country. A Mix While monetary authorities can and do pursue one target to the exclusive of others, most monetary policy generally works with a mix of targets, keeping an eye on interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates at the same time. FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Operating Procedures of Monetary Policy in India? 11.4 Operating Procedures of Monetary Policy in India Issues and Options The liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) has emerged as the key element of the present operating procedure of monetary policy. It has generally helped in steering the desired trajectory of interest rates in response to evolving market conditions. The Group noted that while the system, on the whole, has worked well, some issues - both policy and operational - have arisen from changes in the market microstructure and liquidity conditions, which have had a bearing on the smooth functioning of the framework. In light of the current experience and keeping in view international best practices, the Group recommends certain changes in the operating framework. Monetary Transmission 1) At the heart of the operating framework is the nature of monetary transmission. The pertinent question is whether the interest rate channel of monetary transmission is working. The empirical exercise carried out by the Group suggests that though the impact of the interest rate channel of monetary transmission varies across the segments of the financial market, it is the strongest in the money market. The Group, therefore, recommends that the LAF with some modifications should continue as the key instrument in the operating framework of the RBI. 2) Monetary transmission is substantially more effective in a deficit liquidity situation than in a surplus liquidity situation. An empirical exercise carried out by the Group suggests that under deficit liquidity conditions, money market rates respond immediately to a policy rate shock (Technical Appendix I). (95) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I For example, a 100 basis points (bps) change in the repo rate causes around 80 bps change in the weighted average call rate over a month. However, the strength of the response is relatively small in a surplus liquidity situation: a 100 bps change in the reverse repo rate, which is the operational rate in a surplus liquidity situation, causes around 25 bps change in the weighted average call rate over a month. Given the substantially superior strength of monetary transmission in a deficit liquidity condition, the Group recommends that the RBI should operate the modified LAF in a deficit liquidity mode to the extent feasible. This is also consistent with international best practices as in most countries, market participants, on a net basis, depend on the central bank for reserves. Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES (96) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 3) While recommending that the LAF should operate in a deficit mode, the Group examined what the magnitude of liquidity should be. The Group noted that the RBI has articulated a net liquidity level of (+)/(-) one per cent of net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) of banks as ideal for effective monetary transmission. The Group recognises that the RBI has an internal mechanism for liquidity assessment on a daily basis. Similarly, money market participants make their own assessment of liquidity. However, it is difficult to exactly predict liquidity on a daily basis. Hence, the Group recommends that the RBI should accommodate frictional liquidity changes in the LAF window within reasonable bands consistent with effective monetary transmission. A simulation exercise carried out by the Group showed that at a liquidity deficit of one per cent of NDTL, the weighted average of money market rates exceeded the repo rate, on average, by around 15 bps. Similarly, with a liquidity surplus of one per cent of NDTL, the weighted average of money market rates was lower by about 20 bps. But when the liquidity deficit increased beyond one per cent of NDTL, the impact on the weighted average of money market rates was non-linear. For example, for a deficit at 1.25 per cent of NDTL, the deviation in weighted average of money market rates was 40 bps which rose to 75 bps for deficits at 1.5 per cent of NDTL and became unbounded at higher deficit levels (Technical Appendix II). The Group was of the view that the objective of the LAF should be to stabilise short-term interest rates around the chosen policy rate for the smooth transmission of monetary policy. The Group, therefore, recommends that the liquidity level in the LAF should be contained around (+)/(-) one per cent of NDTL. If the liquidity surplus/deficit persists beyond (+)/(-) one per cent of NDTL, the RBI should use alternative instruments to supplement the LAF operations for effective monetary transmission. 4) Policy Rate The present LAF framework is such that the operating policy rate alternates between the repo rate and the reverse repo rate, depending on the prevailing liquidity condition. In a surplus liquidity condition, the reverse repo rate becomes the operating policy rate. In a deficit liquidity situation, the repo rate becomes the policy rate. The Group was of the view that going by international best practices, it is unconventional to have two policy rates. These two rates were supposed to provide the corridor for overnight interest rates to settle in between. However, in practice, the call rates more often are either above or below the corridor, depending on the liquidity situation, thus defeating the very purpose of the corridor. Moreover, the shift in the policy rate from one rate to another does create confusion in the minds of market participants. In addition, it poses a major communication challenge to clearly articulate the stance of monetary policy, particularly in a situation when liquidity alternates between the surplus mode and the deficit mode in quick succession. As indicated above, central banks generally follow a corridor approach and they have a single policy rate as the system mostly operates in a deficit mode. As the Group suggests that the RBI operate the LAF in a deficit mode, it recommends the repo rate as the single policy rate. Further, the Group recommends that the repo rate should operate within a corridor so that the overnight interest rate moves around the repo rate in a narrow informal bound. This will entail redesigning the corridor. 5) Bank Rate Ideally the corridor should have a discount rate at the upper bound and an uncollateralised deposit facility at the lower bound. The RBI in its tool kit has the Bank Rate which is essentially a discount rate. Under Section 49 of the RBI of India Act, the Bank Rate has been defined as "the standard rate at which it [the Reserve Bank] is prepared to buy or re-discount bills of exchange or other commercial paper eligible for purchase under this Act". While the Bank Rate was an important instrument of monetary control, its importance declined once the LAF system was instituted and progressively refinance facilities were provided at the repo rate. It is now used for calculating penalty on default in the cash reserve ratio (CRR) and the statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) as required by Section 42(3) of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 and Section 24 of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, respectively. Against this backdrop, it was not felt necessary to revise the Bank Rate. The Bank Rate has not been changed since April 2003 when it was last revised to 6 per cent, even as the policy rates have moved in either direction quite significantly. Thus, for all practical purposes, the Bank Rate as an instrument of monetary management has become dormant. The Group recommends that the Bank Rate be activated as a discount rate with a spread over the repo rate. Once the policy rate changes, the Bank Rate should change automatically with a fixed spread over the repo rate. 6) Constituents of the Corridor The prescription of the Bank Rate by itself will not make it active unless there are liquidity facilities linked to the Bank Rate. The Group recommends the institution of a collateralised Exceptional Standing Facility (ESF) at the Bank Rate up to one per cent of the NDTL of banks carved out of their required SLR portfolio. This facility is not entirely new. In the recent episode of liquidity tightness, the RBI has been providing additional liquidity up to 1 to 2 per cent of NDTL but on an ad hoc basis at the repo rate. The Group's recommendation is to have the facility on a standing basis. The advantages of this facility are four-fold. First, it will provide an upper bound to the policy rate corridor. Second, it will provide a safety valve against unanticipated liquidity shocks. Third, it will help stabilise the overnight interest rate around the repo rate in a liquidity deficit situation. Fourth, it will enhance the liquidity attribute of the SLR portfolio without compromising its prudential nature. 7) Under sub-section (8) of Section 24 of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, the RBI is allowed to waive payment of the penal interest on account of default in the maintenance of the SLR by a banking company2. The RBI has used this sub-section on several occasions in the recent period to enable banks to avail of funds from the RBI under the LAF due to the tight liquidity situation. Banks availing of this facility have to seek a waiver of the penal interest for any shortfall in maintenance of SLR arising out of availment of additional liquidity support under the LAF. The idea of a standing lending FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES (97) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I facility is to enable banks to obtain funding from the central bank when all other options have been exhausted. Furthermore, the idea of liquidity facility up to one per cent of NDTL by waiving the penalty for the SLR default is to ensure that interest rates in the overnight inter-bank market do not spike for want of eligible collateral with some banks.TheGroup, therefore, recommends that the RBI should grant general exemption from payment of penal interest rate for the proposed ESF. Under Section 53 of the BR Act, the Central Government, on the recommendation of the RBI, can exempt the banking company or a class of banking companies from any or all of the provisions of the BR Act by issuing a notification. The Group, therefore, recommends that the RBI may write to the Central Government requesting it to grant general exemption from penal interest rate for the proposed ESF. Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES (98) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 8) While the upper bound to the corridor could be provided by the ESF proposed by the Group, it is not feasible to establish a standing uncollateralised deposit facility which will be treated as uncollateralised borrowing by the RBI and this is not permitted under Section 17(4) of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. Notwithstanding the Group's recommendation that LAF should operate in a deficit liquidity mode, it is recognised that liquidity could turn into surplus from time to time. Hence, there is need for a floor to contain volatility in the overnight interest rate in the event of significant unanticipated movements in liquidity. The Group, therefore, recommends that the reverse repo facility at which the RBI absorbs liquidity from the system should constitute the lower bound of the corridor. However, the reverse repo rate should not act as a policy rate as at present. It should be determined as a negative spread over the repo rate. Moreover, as the Group envisages the reverse repo facility more in the nature of a standing deposit facility, the reverse repo rate should be such that it does not incentivise market participants to place their funds with the RBI. This needs to be kept in view while designing width of the corridor. 9) Width of the Corridor The Group notes that the RBI has already articulated that the width of the corridor should be based on the following two considerations. First, it should not be so wide as to induce volatility in short-term money market rates. Second, it should not be so narrow that it retards the development of the short-term money market by taking away the incentive from market participants to deal among themselves before approaching the central bank. 10) The operation of the LAF during April 2001 to February 2011 indicates that the repo and reverse repo rates were changed either separately or together 39 times, leading to changes in the corridor width 26 times. The RBI's policy documents did not explicitly set out the reasons for changes in the width of the corridor except in the July 2010 policy, which indicated that "the corridor width was narrowed to 100 bps to contain interest rate volatility". The Working Group concurs with this position as its own empirical work associates a wider corridor with greater overnight interest rate volatility. Having said that, the issue is what the ideal width of the corridor should be. 11) An empirical exercise carried out by the Working Group showed a positive significant correlation of corridor width with weighted average overnight call rate. Controlling for liquidity, a wider corridor was associated with greater volatility in the overnight interest rate. In India, the corridor width has varied between 100 and 300 bps. An international survey suggests a corridor width 12) of 50 to 200 bps. Calibration of the corridor width with overnight call money rate with a probability distribution function reveals that the ideal corridor width should be in the range of 150-170 bps with a 90 per cent confidence interval and 180-190 bps with a 95 per cent confidence interval. Additional calibration by controlling liquidity at (+)/(-) one per cent of NDTL, the Group's recommended liquidity level, the corridor width works out to 150 bps at 90 per cent confidence interval and 180 bps at 95 per cent confidence interval (Technical Appendix III). The Group also examined the effect of corridor width on weighted average call money rate volatility using a GARCH model which indicated that a corridor width in the range of 150-175 bps could be optimal (Technical Appendix IV). Considering these estimates and keeping in view the optimality at containing liquidity within (+)/(-) one per cent of NDTL, the Group recommends 150 bps for the corridor width. International experience suggests that the width of the corridor generally remains fixed, but the recent global financial crisis saw countries changing the width of the corridor. It has also been argued recently that the constant width of the corridor is a waste of a good instrument (Goodhart, 2009)3. Just as the spread between commercial banks deposit and lending rates is a measure of the cost of bank intermediation, the spread between the parameters of the corridor is measure of the cost of central bank intermediation. This spread should narrow in the move from pre-crisis peacetime to war-time crisis conditions. 13) The Group recommends that in the normal circumstance, the width of the corridor should not be changed. Frequent changing of the width may create uncertainty and may also make it difficult to keep the target rate aligned to the policy rate. More importantly, it may be difficult to communicate such a change. However, in extraordinary situations, when there is a need to incentivise or disincentivise market participants from accessing the standing lending facility or parking funds with the RBI, the width of the corridor could be changed. 14) Placement of Policy Rate in the Corridor International evidence suggests that for most countries, except New Zealand, the policy rate is placed symmetrically at the centre of the corridor. In fact, for most of these countries, the corridor bounds are indicative as the overnight interest rate fluctuates in a narrow informal corridor around the policy rate as these systems operate in a deficit mode. 15) While the Group envisages the LAF to operate in a deficit mode for effective monetary transmission, the likelihood of the system moving to a surplus mode is significant, given the robust growth prospects of the Indian economy in the medium term. The Group recognised that if capital inflows are far above the absorptive capacity of the economy and impart significant volatility to the exchange rate, the RBI could intervene in keeping with the stated objective of monetary policy. In such a situation, liquidity could turn into a surplus mode. In order not to provide an incentive to banks to place their surplus funds in the LAF window of the RBI, the Group recommends an asymmetric corridor with the spread between the policy repo rate and reverse repo rate twice as much as the spread between the policy repo rate and the Bank Rate. That is, with a corridor width of 150 bps, the Bank Rate should be at 'repo rate plus 50 bps' and the reverse repo rate should be at 'repo rate minus 100 bps'. This will ensure that market participants have an incentive to deal among themselves before approaching the RBI. FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES (99) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 16) The Group recommends that the repo rate should be the active policy rate to be changed by the RBI to unambiguously signal the stance of monetary policy to achieve the macroeconomic objectives of growth with price stability. The repo rate will be based on fixed price daily auctions. However, the RBI should reserve the right as at present to accept partially or fully the tenders in the daily auctions. The Bank Rate and the reverse repo rate will change automatically with a fixed spread as and when the repo rate changes. The RBI at its discretion could conduct simultaneous auctions for longer period if the liquidity situation so warrants. However, such actions should be at variable prices as they will be for purely liquidity management rather than for signaling the policy rate. 17) Operating Target The overnight call money rate has been the operating target of monetary policy as the monetary transmission is the fastest to this segment. However, in the past few years, the turnover in the uncollateralised (inter-bank money market) segment has declined sharply, while that in the overnight collateralised market segment, viz., the CBLO and market repo, has increased (Chart IV.1). In this context, the Group examined whether the call money rate is still the appropriate target. 18) It is sometimes argued that a decline in the share of the call/notice money market in the total turnover of the money market could be due to limits fixed by the RBI on the unsecured borrowing and lending in the overnight market. However, an analysis of the data suggests that borrowing by banks in October 2010 constituted 1 per cent of the limit fixed by the RBI. Likewise, lending by banks constituted 6 per cent of the total limit sanctioned by the RBI. The Group, therefore, is of the view that prudential limits as prescribed by the RBI have not constrained the growth of the call money market; rather it has increased the stability of the money market with an increasing share of the collateralised segment. 19) The substantial growth of the collateralised market vis-à-vis the uncollateralised market reflects the result of the deliberate policy attempt to mitigate risk in the wholesale financial market by increased use of collateral. The increasing use of collateral has also been motivated by the need to reduce funding costs as borrowing under the collateralised is cheaper than that under the uncollateralised market. This phenomenon, however, is not unique to India. The volume of collateralised transactions has also increased markedly in major markets such as in the US, the UK, the Euro area and Japan. 20) Given the reduced share of the call money market in the overnight money market, the Group examined the relative merits of the overnight call money rate vis-à-vis the overnight money market rate, computed as the weighted average of call money, CBLO and market repo rates as the operating target. The empirical evidence suggests that the transmission of policy rate to the overnight call money rate is stronger than the overnight money market rate. Further, the stability properties of these two rates are not significantly different. Moreover, the correlation between the overnight call money rate and the collaterallised money market rate was high at 0.9. In addition, the call money market is a pure inter-bank market and, hence, better reflects the net liquidity situation. The Group, therefore, recommends that the weighted average overnight call money rate should continue to be the operating target of monetary policy of the RBI. NOTES (100) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 11.5 Evolution of the Operating Procedure of Monetary Policy in India The operating procedure of monetary policy in India has evolved over time. For analytical convenience, the period since 1935 to date can be divided broadly into four phases, viz.,(i) formative phase (1935-1950), (ii) development phase (1951-1990), (iii) early reform phase (1991-1997), and (iv) liquidity adjustment facility phase (1998 onwards). Formative Phase (1935-1950) In the formative years during 1935-1950, the emphasis was on administering the supply of and demand for credit in the economy. The Bank Rate, reserve requirements and open market operations were the monetary policy instruments for regulating the credit availability. As the RBI followed a passive interest rate policy, the Bank Rate was used only once in November 1935 when it was reduced from 3.5 per cent to 3.00 per cent. Further, although the RBI was vested with adequate powers to resort to selective credit control, the need for it was not felt due to the prevalence of price stability. Development Phase (1951-1990) During the development phase from 1951 to 1990, the role of monetary and credit policy was emphasised as an instrument for maintaining price stability and regulation of investment and business activity. During this period, the conduct of monetary policy was influenced significantly by the need to support plan financing and promote savings for its deployment to sectors in accordance with plan priorities. The large plan financing led to the RBI accommodating deficit financing of the government through the issue of ad hoc Treasury Bills from the beginning of Second Five-Year Plan. This led to the conduct of monetary policy becoming a process of passive accommodation of budget deficits by the early 1960s. Consequently, several quantitative control measures were introduced to contain inflationary pressures while ensuring credit to preferred sectors. Selective credit control began to be actively used by the mid-1950s. With a view to influencing the demand for and use of credit, the quota-cum-slab stipulating minimum lending rates was introduced in October 1960. The credit authorisation scheme (CAS) was introduced in 1965 to ration bank credit. Further, 'social control' measures were introduced by the Government in December 1967 to enhance the flow of credit to priority sectors like agriculture, small sector industries and exports. During this period, the Bank Rate was used relatively more actively by raising it successively from 3.5 per cent in 1957 to 6 per cent by 1965, before lowering it to 5 per cent in 1968 (Appendix Table AT.1). With the nationalisation of the major commercial banks in July 1969, the conduct of monetary policy began to focus mainly on credit planning, with nonfood credit as the policy indicator. Banks were provided funds through standing facilities such as 'general refinance' and 'export refinance' to facilitate developmental financing as per credit plans. Among the policy instruments, the SLR was used for raising resources for the government plan expenditure from banks. The level of SLR was progressively increased from the statutory minimum of 25 per cent in February 1970 to 38.5 per cent by September 1990 (Appendix Table AT.1). The CRR was mainly used to neutralise the inflationary impact of deficit financing and was gradually raised from its statutory minimum of 3 per cent in September 1962 to 15 per cent by July 1989 (Appendix Table AT.1). During this period, the Bank Rate had a limited role in monetary policy operations, as it was ineffective due to FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Evolution of the Operating Procedure? (101) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES the increasing prescription of differential rates for various sector-specific refinance facilities and the lack of a genuine bill market. Against this backdrop, it was considered necessary to comprehensively review the functioning of the monetary system and carry out the necessary changes in the institutional set-up and framework of monetary policy. This led to two landmark Reports, viz., (i) the Committee to Review the Working of the Monetary System (Chairman: Prof. S. Chakravarty, 1985) which made comprehensive recommendations for the adoption of monetary targeting and the development of the Indian money market; and (ii) the Working Group on Money Market (Chairman: Shri N. Vaghul, 1987) which led to introduction of a number of money market instruments such as inter-bank participation certificates (1988), certificates of deposit (1989) and Commercial Paper (1990). Based on the recommendations of the Chakravarty Committee, a flexible monetary targeting framework with feedback from the real sector and with broad money as the nominal anchor evolved by the mid-1980s. Under this framework, reserve money was the operating target and the CRR was the key operating instrument. However, the efficient functioning of the market continued to remain hindered by a number of other structural rigidities in the system such as the skewed distribution of liquidity and the prevalence of administered deposit and lending rates, besides the persistence of fiscal dominance. Early Reform Phase (1991-1997) Following another landmark Report - Report of the Committee on Financial System (Chairman: Shri M. Narasimham, 1991) The process of financial liberalisation implemented in the early 1990s led to a structural shift in the financing paradigm for the government and commercial sectors. Liquidity absorption began to be carried out through reverse repos (then called repos) introduced in 1992. The government market borrowing through auctions since 1992-93 led to development of a secondary market in government securities and the market determination of interest rates. Furthermore, the exchange rate began to have a bearing on monetary management with exchange rate liberalisation - the rupee became fully convertible on the current account in 1994 - and the opening up of the economy. By the second half of the 1990s, liquidity management operations by the RBI moved away from direct instruments to indirect instruments. The CRR was brought down from 15 per cent of net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) of banks during July 1989-April 1993 to 9.5 per cent by November 1997. The SLR was reduced to the statutory minimum of 25 per cent by October 1997. (102) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Liquidity Adjustment Facility Phase (1998 onwards) Introduction of Interim Liquidity Adjustment Facility (ILAF) In 1998, the Committee on Banking Sector Reforms (Narasimham Committee II) recommended the introduction of a Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) under which the RBI should conduct auctions periodically. Accordingly, the RBI introduced an Interim Liquidity Adjustment Facility (ILAF) in April 1999 to minimise volatility in the money market by ensuring the movement of short-term interest rates within a reasonable range. Under the ILAF, the Bank Rate acted as the refinance rate (i.e., the rate at which the liquidity was to be injected) and liquidity absorption was done through the fixed reverse repo rate announced on a day-to-day basis. An informal corridor of the call rate thus emerged with the Bank Rate as the ceiling and the reverse repo rate as the floor rate, thereby minimising the volatility in the money market. ILAF was expected to promote stability in money market activities and ensure that interest rates moved within a reasonable range. With the introduction of ILAF in April 1999, the general refinance facility1 was withdrawn and replaced by a collateralised lending facility (CLF) for scheduled commercial banks. The entitlement under CLF was fixed at up to 0.25 per cent of the fortnightly average outstanding aggregate deposits in 1997-98 for two weeks at the Bank Rate. Additional collateralised lending facility (ACLF) for an equivalent amount of CLF was made available at the Bank Rate plus 2 per cent. CLF and ACLF availed for periods beyond two weeks were subjected to a further penal rate of 2 per cent (i.e., Bank Rate plus 4 per cent) for an additional two-week period. The Export Credit Refinance (ECR) facility for scheduled commercial banks was provided at the Bank Rate. Liquidity support to Primary Dealers (PDs) against collateral of government securities based on bidding commitment and other parameters - termed as Level I support - was given at the Bank Rate with a repayment period of 90 days. Additional liquidity support - termed as Level II support - at the Bank Rate plus 2 per cent against collateral of government securities was also made available for a period not exceeding two weeks. It is important to note that during the phase of ILAF, the standing lending facilities for banks included CLF, ACLF and ECR; and for PDs, it was Level I and Level II liquidity support. Also, the entitlement and the rate at which these facilities were available were different. Therefore, there were multiple standing lending facilities available at multiple rates. These rates were administered in nature which were rationalised subsequently. FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES Transition to Full-fledged LAF Undertaken in three stages. In the first stage, with effect from June 5, 2000, fixed rate reverse repo gave way to variable rate reverse repo auctions. Also, the ACLF to banks and Level II support to PDs were replaced by variable rate repo auctions of same day settlement. As a result, unlike in the ILAF where the rates of interest and amount for refinancing were fixed, in the LAF both were varied to respond to day-to-day liquidity conditions. In the second stage, beginning in May 2001, the CLF and ECR for banks and Level I liquidity support for PDs were divided into two parts of approximately 2:1 ratio, viz., a normal facility at the Bank Rate and a backstop facility at a variable rate at 1 per cent above the repo rate, i.e., at a market-related rate. Incidentally, as at end-May 2001, the repo rate stood higher at 8.75 per cent compared to the Bank Rate at 7 per cent. Some minimum liquidity support to PDs was continued but at an interest rate linked to the variable rate in the daily repo auctions as determined by the RBI from time to time. Subsequently, the CLF was withdrawn in October 2002. The apportionment of ECR as normal and backstop facilities was also gradually modified by increasing the proportion of backstop facilities which was financed at variable market-based rates linked to the repo rate. The ratio of normal to backstop facilities was changed from 2:1 to 1:1 in November 2002 and further to 1:2 in December 2003. Finally, with effect from March 29, 2004, with the repo rate unified to the Bank Rate at 6 per cent, the entire quantum of ECR and liquidity support to PDs was made available at the repo rate, thereby completely de-linking the standing facilities to banks from the Bank Rate. Thus, the repo rate emerged as the lending rate of the RBI for all practical purposes. As a result, the importance of the Bank Rate as a monetary policy instrument waned. Current Operating Procedure Subsequently, the LAF scheme was revised, taking into account the (103) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES recommendations of the Internal Group on LAF and suggestions from market participants and experts. Accordingly, the 1-day reverse repo was phased out, and in its place the 7-day fixed rate reverse repo on a daily basis and the 14-day variable rate reverse repo on a fortnightly basis were introduced in March 2004. Repo operation was, however, retained on an overnight basis. Also, the repo rate was scaled down to 6 per cent and aligned with the Bank Rate under the revised LAF scheme. Accordingly, a single liquidity injection facility available at a single rate was introduced by merging the normal facility and backstop facility. In order to restore flexibility in liquidity management, the RBI reintroduced the 1-day fixed rate reverse repo in August 2004 while continuing with 7-day and 14-day reverse repos and overnight fixed rate repos. Eventually, in order to have greater flexibility in liquidity management, the 7-day fixed rate and the 14-day variable rate reverse repos were phased out and the LAF was operated through overnight fixed rate repo and reverse repo effective from November 1, 2004. With effect from October 29, 2004, the nomenclature of repo and reverse repo was interchanged as per international usage. The third stage of full-fledged LAF began with the full computerisation of the Public Debt Office (PDO) and the introduction of the Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) system enabling repo operations mainly through electronic transfers and the operation of LAF at different times of the same day. Around this time in 2005-06, the economy witnessed strong and sustained credit demand, lower accretion of forex reserves, build-up of the centre's cash balances with the RBI and the redemption of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs). All these led to the injection of liquidity by the RBI. During this time, in order to fine-tune the management of day-to-day liquidity and in response to suggestions from market participants, the Second LAF (SLAF) was introduced on a daily basis in November 2005. SLAF is now used periodically, depending on liquidity conditions, rather than as a regular facility. The Group noted that the operating framework has undergone several changes over the years with the widening and deepening of the money market and changes in the institutional mechanism and technology. Under the current operating framework in effect from November 2004, all liquidity injections are made at the fixed repo rate and liquidity absorption at the fixed reverse repo rate, with the two rates intended to act as the upper and lower bound of the corridor, respectively. 11.6 Summary Values of specific economic variables that the monetary authority seeks achieve with monetary policy. The three most noted monetary policy targets are interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates. These targets are usually intermediate targets that can be quickly achieved and easily measured, but then move the economy toward the ultimate macroeconomic goals of full employment, stability, and economic growth. The operating procedure of monetary policy in India has evolved over time. For analytical convenience, the period since 1935 to date can be divided broadly into four phases, viz.,(i) formative phase (1935-1950), (ii) development phase (1951-1990), (iii) early reform phase (1991-1997), and (iv) liquidity adjustment facility phase (1998 onwards). (104) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 11.7 Exercise & Questions Fill in the blanks 1) Values of specific economic variables that the monetary authority seeks achieve with ---------------. 2) The three most noted ---------------- targets are interest rates, monetary aggregates, and exchange rates. 3) --------- is the basic money supply, the financial assets used for actual payments, including currency and checkable deposits. 4) During the development phase from ------------ , the role of monetary and credit policy was emphasized as an instrument for maintaining price stability and regulation of investment and business activity. Short Answer Questions 1) Write down the targets of monetary policy. 2) Explain the evaluation of monetary policy procedure since 1998. 3) Write short notes on monetary aggregates. FRAMEWORK AND PROCEDURE OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES Long Answer Questions 1) Explain the targets of Monetary Policy. 2) Explain any five provisions of monetary policy. 3) Evaluate operating procedure of monetary policy. 11.8 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (105) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I UNIT - 12 MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES Structure CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Transmission mechanism of monetary policy? 12.1 Introduction 12.1 Objectives 12.3 Transmission mechanism of monetary policy 12.4 How does interest rate policy work? 12.5 Reforms in the Monetary Policy Framework 12.6 Press 12.7 New Monetary Policy framework 12.8 Summary 12.9 Exercise & Questions 12.1 Introduction The transmission mechanism is characterised by long, variable and uncertain time lags. Thus it is difficult to predict the precise effect of monetary policy actions on the economy and price level. According to the new framework, a part of which came into effect on February 28, the target for retail inflation which is the nominal anchor, is set at six per cent by January 2016. The target for 2016-17 and all the subsequent years will be four per cent with a band of plus/minus two per cent. 12.1 Objectives At the end of this unit, you will be able to 1) Understand the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. 2) Understand the framework of monetary policy. 12.3 Transmission mechanism of monetary policy This is the process through which monetary policy decisions affect the economy in general and the price level in particular. The transmission mechanism is characterised by long, variable and uncertain time lags. Thus it is difficult to predict the precise effect of monetary policy actions on the economy and price level. Change in official interest rates The central bank provides funds to the banking system and charges interest. Given its monopoly power over the issuing of money, the central bank can fully determine this interest rate. Affects banks and money-market interest rates The change in the official interest rates affects directly money-market interest rates and, indirectly, lending and deposit rates, which are set by banks to their customers. (106) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Affects expectations Expectations of future official interest-rate changes affect medium and long-term interest rates. In particular, longer-term interest rates depend in part on market expectations about the future course of short-term rates. Monetary policy can also guide economic agents' expectations of future inflation and thus influence price developments. A central bank with a high degree of credibility firmly anchors expectations of price stability. In this case, economic agents do not have to increase their prices for fear of higher inflation or reduce them for fear of deflation. MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES Affects asset prices The impact on financing conditions in the economy and on market expectations triggered by monetary policy actions may lead to adjustments in asset prices (e.g. stock market prices) and the exchange rate. Changes in the exchange rate can affect inflation directly, insofar as imported goods are directly used in consumption, but they may also work through other channels. Affects saving and investment decisions Changes in interest rates affect saving and investment decisions of households and firms. For example, everything else being equal, higher interest rates make it less attractive to take out loans for financing consumption or investment. In addition, consumption and investment are also affected by movements in asset prices via wealth effects and effects on the value of collateral. For example, as equity prices rise, share-owning households become wealthier and may choose to increase their consumption. Conversely, when equity prices fall, households may reduce consumption. Asset prices can also have impact on aggregate demand via the value of collateral that allows borrowers to get more loans and/or to reduce the risk premia demanded by lenders/banks. Affects the supply of credit For example, higher interest rates increase the risk of borrowers being unable to pay back their loans. Banks may cut back on the amount of funds they lend to households and firms. This may also reduce the consumption and investment by households and firms respectively. Leads to changes in aggregate demand and prices Changes in consumption and investment will change the level of domestic demand for goods and services relative to domestic supply. When demand exceeds supply, upward price pressure is likely to occur. In addition, changes in aggregate demand may translate into tighter or looser conditions in labour and intermediate product markets. This in turn can affect price and wage-setting in the respective market. Affects the supply of bank loans Changes in policy rates can affect banks' marginal cost for obtaining external finance banks differently, depending on the level of a bank's own resources, or bank capital. This channel is particularly relevant in bad times such as a financial crisis, when capital is scarcer and banks find it more difficult to raise capital. In addition to the traditional bank lending channel, which focuses on the quantity of loans supplied, a risk-taking channel may exist when banks' incentive to bear risk related to the provision of loans is affected. The risk-taking channel is thought to operate mainly via two mechanisms. First, low interest rates boost asset and collateral values. This, in conjunction with the belief that the increase in asset (107) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I values is sustainable, leads both borrowers and banks to accept higher risks. Second, low interest rates make riskier assets more attractive, as agents search for higher yields. In the case of banks, these two effects usually translate into a softening of credit standards, which can lead to an excessive increase in loan supply. NOTES 12.4 How does interest rate policy work? CHECK YOUR PROGRESS How does interest rate policy work? Interest rates are set so that the inflation target can be met in the future. It takes up to two years for a rate change to affect inflation. The interest rate transmission mechanism Interest rates transmit their way to aggregate demand in the following ways : 1. Household demand is affected because changes in interest rates affect savings, which indirectly affect spending. 2. For households or firms with existing debt, such as a mortgage, a change in rates affects repayments, and hence individuals have more (or less) cash after servicing their debts. Changes in rates affect the cash-flow of firms and households. 3. In the case of new debt to fund spending, borrowing is also encouraged (or discouraged) following interest rate changes. 4. Interest rates also affect consumer and business confidence, which in turn affects spending. 5. Asset values are also affected by interest rates. A fall in rates will tend to increase the profitability of firms and they may pay higher dividends to shareholders. This can trigger an increase in household spending. Similarly, a rate fall makes savings less attractive and property more attractive, increasing the value of property and household wealth. 6. Finally, interest rates may affect the exchange rate, which can also influence export demand. For example, a rise in interest rates may raise the exchange rate, pushing up export prices and reducing overseas demand. Changes in the exchange rate also affect the price of imports, which also affect the inflation rate. Summary of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy Recent UK interest rates In recent years.interest rates have been adjusted to reflect changing inflationary pressure, and general macro-economic conditions. Time line 1999 - 2000 Rates were relatively high at 6% to restrict demand 2000 - 2003 In order to stimulate demand, between 2000 and 2003 rates were pushed down to what was then their lowest level for 25 years. 2003 - 2007 Rates were pushed up into a neutral zone at around 5% and edged towards the restrictive zone by the middle of 2007. 2008 - 2014 Rates were pushed down to a record low of 0.5% to stimulate household spending in the wake of the credit crunch, financial crisis and recession. (108) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I 12.5 Reforms in the Monetary Policy Framework Objectives Twin objectives of "maintaining price stability" and "ensuring availability of l adequate credit to productive sectors of the economy to support growth" continue to govern the stance of monetary policy, though the relative emphasis on these objectives has varied depending on the importance of maintaining an appropriate balance. l Reflecting the increasing development of financial market and greater liberalisation, use of broad money as an intermediate target has been deemphasised and a multiple indicator approach has been adopted. l Emphasis has been put on development of multiple instruments to transmit liquidity and interest rate signals in the short-term in a flexible and bi-directional manner. l Increase of the interlinkage between various segments of the financial market including money, government security and forex markets. Instruments l Move from direct instruments (such as, administered interest rates, reserve requirements, selective credit control) to indirect instruments (such as, open market operations, purchase and repurchase of government securities) for the conduct of monetary policy. l Introduction of Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF), which operates through repo and reverse repo auctions, effectively provide a corridor for short-term interest rate. LAF has emerged as the tool for both liquidity management and also as a signalling devise for interest rate in the overnight market. l Use of open market operations to deal with overall market liquidity situation especially those emanating from capital flows. l Introduction of Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS) as an additional instrument to deal with enduring capital inflows without affecting short-term liquidity management role of LAF. Developmental Measures Discontinuation of automatic monetisation through an agreement between l the Government and the Reserve Bank. Rationalisation of Treasury Bill market. Introduction of delivery versus payment system and deepening of inter-bank repo market. l Introduction of Primary Dealers in the government securities market to play the role of market maker. l Amendment of Securities Contracts Regulation Act (SCRA), to create the regulatory framework. l Deepening of government securities market by making the interest rates on such securities market related. Introduction of auction of government securities. Development of a risk-free credible yield curve in the government securities market as a benchmark for related markets. l Development of pure inter-bank call money market. Non-bank participants to participate in other money market instruments. l Introduction of automated screen-based trading in government securities through Negotiated Dealing System (NDS). Setting up of risk-free payments and system in government securities through Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL). Phased introduction of Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) System. l Deepening of forex market and increased autonomy of Authorised Dealers. MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is Reforms in the Monetary Policy Framework? (109) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES Institutional Measures Setting up of Technical Advisory Committee on Monetary Policy with outside l experts to review macroeconomic and monetary developments and advise the Reserve Bank on the stance of monetary policy. l Creation of a separate Financial Market Department within the RBI. 12.6 Press Information Bureau Government of India Ministry of Finance 07-August-2015 17:43 IST CHECK YOUR PROGRESS Describe Press? Monetary Policy Framework Agreement The Government of India and Reserve Bank of India signed a Monetary Policy Framework Agreement on 20th February, 2015. The objective of monetary policy framework is to primarily maintain price stability, while keeping in mind the objective of growth. As per the agreement, RBI would set the policy interest rates and would aim to bring inflation below 6 per cent by January 2016 and within 4 per cent with a band of (+/-) 2 per cent for 2016-17 and all subsequent years. The proposed reduction in fiscal deficit to 3.9 per cent of GDP in Budget Estimates 2015-16 is designed with a mix of reduction in total expenditure as percentage of GDP and improvement in gross tax revenue as percentage of GDP. This was stated by ShriJayantSinha, Minister of State in the Ministry of Finance in written reply to a question in RajyaSabha today. ***** DSM/MAM/KA 12.7 New Monetary Policy framework With the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) agreeing over a new monetary policy framework with the primary objective of containing inflation, making the latter accountable for it, policymakers feel this will give more autonomy to the central bank. According to the new framework, a part of which came into effect on February 28, the target for retail inflation which is the nominal anchor, is set at six per cent by January 2016. The target for 2016-17 and all the subsequent years will be four per cent with a band of plus/minus two per cent. "I have always held a view that price stability is the dominant objective of the monetary policy. The framework reiterates that. Of course, controlling inflation requires cooperation from many areas. Nevertheless, monetary authority has a major role to play," said C Rangarajan, former chairman of the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council, who also served as RBI governor from 1992 to 1997. (110) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I "The agreement between the RBI and the finance ministry clearly says, once inflation reaches beyond the comfort zone, both at high and low levels, RBI should use whatever in its command to bring it to the comfort zone. That way, it gives autonomy to RBI," Rangarajan added. The new monetary policy framework was formed following the recommendations of a committee headed by RBI Deputy Governor Urjit Patel. Apart from inflation targeting as its prime objective, the committee suggested the formation of a five-member monetary policy committee (MPC) headed by the RBI governor. Out of the five members, three were suggested to be from RBI (the deputy governor and the executive director in-charge of monetary policy). MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY NOTES "We are yet to see the formulation of the MPC. It is recognised the world over that there should be consultation between the finance ministry and the central bank, but the central bank should have autonomy on the monetary policy, though it may consult outside experts," said a former central banker, who did not wish to be named. "It (the monetary policy framework) establishes an inflation target. That is a good thing. Oddly enough, there is no monetary policy committee. The interest rate is decided by one person - the RBI governor. This will lead to many infirmities. But this is progress for the period until IFC (Indian Financial Code) is enacted," said Ajay Shah, professor, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, and a member of the Financial Sector Legislative Reforms Commission. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said in his Budget speech the government would move to amend the RBI Act this year to provide for a MPC. CHECK YOUR PROGRESS What is New Monetary Policy framework? Before amending the Act, there needs to be agreement between the government and the central bank about the composition of the committee. The previous United Progressive Alliance government was not comfortable with the idea of the committee having most members from RBI on the ground that it would not take an independent view. There were also proposals to increase the number of members. Another issue of contention was the Patel committee suggestion that the two external members be selected by the chairman of the committee (the RBI governor) and vice-chairman (RBI deputy governor). There was another view that since the government appoints the RBI governor and deputy governor, it should also appoint the committee members. This theory was, however, challenged on the ground that if the government appoints committee members - who would be bureaucrats - then the members' view would be similar to the government's. Experts have suggested members be professionals and not part of the government. "It is still not clear whether there is a meeting of minds between the government and RBI on how the MPC will be constituted. The entire process may take at least six months to get completed," said A Prasanna, chief economist, ICICI Securities Primary Dealership. He said the amendment could be introduced in the next session of Parliament; even if it is passed in both Houses, it would take about six months. "India has paid a big price in the past for not having clarity on monetary policy objectives. This is a step in the right direction. Now that the government has given RBI a target for inflation and there will be a committee to take decisions, ideally, all stakeholders should believe that the committee will objectively do its job. As such, there should be less external pressure on RBI to pursue a particular course of policy," Prasanna added. (111) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I NOTES 12.8 Summary Transmission mechanism of monetary policythe process through which monetary policy decisions affect the economy in general and the price level in particular. The transmission mechanism is characterised by long, variable and uncertain time lags. Thus it is difficult to predict the precise effect of monetary policy actions on the economy and price level. "India has paid a big price in the past for not having clarity on monetary policy objectives. Apart from inflation targeting as its prime objective, the committee suggested the formation of a five-member monetary policy committee (MPC) headed by the RBI governor. Out of the five members, three were suggested to be from RBI (the deputy governor and the executive director in-charge of monetary policy). Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said in his Budget speech the government would move to amend the RBI Act this year to provide for a MPC. Before amending the Act, there needs to be agreement between the government and the central bank about the composition of the committee. 12.9 Exercise & Questions Fill in the Blanks 1) Changes in interest rates affect saving and investment decisions of households and firms 2) When demand-------- supply, upward price pressure is likely to occur. 3) Asset values are also affected by ------ rates. 4) Formation of a five-member monetary policy committee (MPC) headed by the ---------------. Short Answer Questions 1) How interest rate affect on asset value? 2) How demand of household sector affected by interest rate? 3) Explain the idea of MPC. Long answer Questions 1) Explain the Transmission mechanism of monetary policy. 2) Explain the reform in monetary policy framework. 3) Explain the new monetary policy framework. 12.10 Further Reference Books l Indian Financial System - Dr. S Gurusamy l Central Banking for Emerging Market Economies - A. Vasudevan l Money & Banking : Theory with Indian Banking - Hajela T.N. l International Financial Institutions and Indian Banking - Autar Krishen and Mihir Chatterjee (112) Money, Central Banking in India and International Financial Institutions - I