Health Policy: from Theory to Practice María-Seguí-Gomez MUARC Annual Lecture Series 2013 Monash University Accident Research Centre Friday, 15 novembre, 2013, Monash University, Melbourne Outline Theory! Aligning of stars! Practice! scenario and actors! real challenges !! targeting public health! dealing with everything with humor! Theory • First publication in 1996 on ED-based surveillance system using selected ED rooms from Barcelona city! • Thesis work on airbag effectiveness published in 2000 at American Public Health Association! • First publication with Mark Stevenson in 2001 on AIS and ISS uses and misuses! • Tenured professor at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg school of public health as first “Leon Robertson” Chair, preceding Adnan Hyder! • Tenured associated professor at University of Navarra while holding visiting professorships at Hopkins and University of Virginia! • Currently under review process for full professorship tenure, h-factor 18! Cont´d • Reviewer and editorial board member for Injury Prevention, Accident Analysis and Prevention, etc! • Member and leadership at AAAM (Brian Fildes), chairing AIS center (2009-2011)! • Member and leadership APHA, member EUPHA, SEE! • Researcher and deputy director Harvard Center for Risk Analysis, researcher at Johns Hopkins Center for Injury Research and Policy, founder and Director European Center for Injury Prevention! • Collaborators in broad international network (Rod McClure,Tony Bliss)! • Trying to settle back in Spain! – Frustrated with EU processes! – Good collaboration with Health ministry! – Difficult collaboration with DGT! • …in sum, like you! And when you least expect it… • Would you like to Direct DGT?! espana-gobierno-rajoy-jorge-fernandez-diaz-toma-posesion-como-ministro-de-hacienda$599x0.jpg 599×408 píxeles 14/11/13 21:38 BOLETÍN OFICIAL DEL ESTADO Núm. 30 Sábado 4 de febrero de 2012 Sec. II.A. Pág. 10107 II. AUTORIDADES Y PERSONAL A. Nombramientos, situaciones e incidencias MINISTERIO DEL INTERIOR 1704 Real Decreto 313/2012, de 3 de febrero, por el que se nombra Directora General de Tráfico a doña María Seguí Gómez. A propuesta del Ministro del Interior y previa deliberación del Consejo de Ministros en su reunión del día 3 de febrero de 2012, Vengo en nombrar Directora General de Tráfico a doña María Seguí Gómez. Dado en Madrid, el 3 de febrero de 2012. JUAN CARLOS R. El Ministro del Interior, 2012_02_02.jpg 340×230 píxeles JORGE FERNÁNDEZ DÍAZ Nov 2011 (#1 trending topic in twitter feb 3/2012) 14/11/13 21:3 But was it only 1 institution I became Director of? Observatory! Consulting Co. Other offices…. Others! Mob! Some provintial and local offices! ility Sub.! Police! Spain as in pintoresque guides mapa-españa.jpg 575×391 píxeles 13/06/1 Spain through the eyes of DGT Spain (2011) New drivers: 0,5 M Renewed driver licenses: 3 M Vehicle purchases: 1 M Vehicle transfers & others: 5 M travel permits: complementary:50,000 special:5000 Spain (2011) Population: 44 M Tourists: 53 M Public roads: 366.000 km Trips on high capacity public roads: 394 M Population trips (2007):42,000 M Fines: 4 M Spain in government terms • Unemployment! • Economy -severe budget cuts! • Education! What is “Dirección General de Tráfico”? The means • 15000 people through the country! – 5000 civilian workers! – 10000 police (to add to other road police bodies)! • +475 buildings! – Central offices, province offices, local offices! – Exam areas! – Police-related buildings! • +7000 vehicles, 18 helicopters! • 750 radars, alcohol/drug testers, etc! • ….metereology stations, ! ! With physical presence in all provinces and approximately 60 cities (Jefaturas Provinciales y Locales y Oficinas Locales de Tráfico) Traffic management Centers Interurban road system (+80 owners, DGT none) Agrupación de Tráfico GC The political structure • 8.116 municipalities! • 50 “Diputaciones”! • 17 Autonomous regions (including Catalonia & Basque country)! • 1 Central Government (DGT is within Ministry of Interior)! • 1 UE (27)! ! The responsibilities Grant/renew/revoque driver licenses Grant/revoque vehicle licenses Enact national laws and regulations on mobility and safety (e.g., circulation code) Monitor interurban roads 8000 of 20000 km of high capacity +120000 km conventional …and • Collect and report traffic safety data for national and international comparison purposes! • Coordinate National Council on Safe Mobility! • Prepare and monitor strategic plan! Budget (M€), DGT is an Autonomous Entity 170 What others had to say (e.g.,Dacota “Road Safety Management Profile- Spain 2012 –based on 2010 data) • The lead agency and principle coordinator is under the Ministry of Interior and therefore not well situated for inter-sectoral coordination! • Unclear specificacions of the role of the Prosecutor for road safety with respect to road safety management! • Stakeholder consultation does not seem to include relevant NGOs or businesses! • The national Road Safety Observatory does not seem to have the complete set of data usually used for policy formulation and evaluation (apparently no systematic data collection of behavioral data)! • No long term vision! • No identified budget for road safety! • No effective monitoring of implementation! • No strong multi-research team, some scattered research only! • No training plan for road safety actors! Reality: pollution Spain 2011 • 5ª of the EU-27 emitting bad gases! – 37% of emissions are from transport, 63% private cars! 1200000 1000000 1000 Tn Equivalentes de CO 2 • No improvements on NO2 emissions and rise in PM10! • 800 M € paid in environmental purchase of emission rights! • Transport 1st or 2nd emission sourceª! Fuente: Mº Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente Evolución de emisión de Gases de Efecto Invernadero Media UE 27 800000 España Alemania 600000 Francia Italia 400000 Reino Unido Paises Bajos 200000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Reality: congestion Spain 2011 E.g., mean speed accessing Madrid, spring 2012 at 8:00AM! • 5.500 M€/año wasted on jams! • Madrid & Barcelona among top 20 congested european cities! • DGT monitors access to 6 big cities (La Coruña, Madrid, Málaga/ Sevilla, Valencia, Valladolid y Zaragoza). ! Fuente: Estudios de Proespetiva Tecnólógica (IPTS), 2012 o de las Enfermedades Cardiovasculares. Valencia 24-26 Octubre 2013 ACTUAL ARCHIVO SUPLEMENTOS COMITÉS 5. Mayo 2011 | Artículo siguiente Overweight and obesity --sedentarism ev Esp Cardiol. 2011;64:424-6. - Vol. 64 Núm.05 DOI: 10.1016/j.recesp.2010.06.010 e de la prevalencia de obesidad : de 1,8 a 6,1 por mil en 14 años Herramientas Read in English PDF Beunzaa, Maira Bes–Rastrolloa, Estefanía Toledoac, Martín Imprimir onzáleza, Enviar a y Salud Pública, Universidad de Navarra, Clínica Universidad a nología), Hospital Reina Sofía, Tudela, Navarra, España a y Gestión de Calidad, Hospital Virgen del Camino, Pamplona, Exportar referencia del artículo Estadísticas Descargar imágenes Compartir Universidad de Navarra, Pamplona, Navarra, España Contenidos relacionados ta. esidad mórbida, incrementa el riesgo cardiovascular y de ivo es valorarSource: las tendencias la obesidad en Rev de Esp Cardiol.mórbida 2011;64:424-6 atos representativos de 106.048 participantes (Encuestas n modelo de regresión de Poisson usando la presencia de ependiente, estratificando por sexo y ajustando por edad. Artículos publicados por: F. Javier Basterra-Gortari Juan José Beunza Maira Bes–Rastrollo Rev Esp Cardiol. Estefanía Toledo Martín García–López Miguel A. Martínez–González 2011;64:424 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Fatalities 2012! 2011! Diferencia! 1903! 2060! -8%! Motor vehicle deaths, 1965-2012 Fallecidos 10.000 1989= 9.344 Fallecidos 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 2012= 1.903 Fallecidos 1.000 0 Fatalities in EU-27 250 236 2001 2012 202 172 163 159 150 136 134 140 100 114 107 81 61 50 66 41 26 28 30 30 85 Aún 13 68 fallecidos mas por 1M hab 32 36 41 146 140 125 145 145 130 121 119 82 48 7 ª 55 112 109 84 44 124 56 59 61 61 63 63 65 67 68 69 87 91 93 96 100 70 55 p o s i c i ó n EU-27 Lituania Rumania Polonia Grecia (1) Letonia Bulgaria (1) Bélgica Portugal (1) Estonia (1) Luxemburgo Eslovenia República Checa Fuentes: Comisión Europea, Base datos CARE y Eurostat. (1) 2012. Datos provisionales Austria Hungría Italia (1) Chipre Francia (1) Eslovaquia (1) Finlandia (1) Alemania España Irlanda (1) Países Bajos Dinamarca Suecia Reino Unido 0 Malta (1) Tasa de fallecidos por millón de población 200 Fatalities by province, Spain 2012 5,2 deaths/day ≈2 august 2013 33 42 55 14 33 18 17 43 52 17 26 13 9 44 24 13 9 28 181 48 14 39 24 17 23 14 135 31 21 39 14 61 55 72 50 37 Total: 1.903* *1.304 fallecidos a 24 h en vía interurbana nota prensa 2 ene 2013 60 48 41 24 28 35 48 22 43 40 50 26 38 35 Ceuta ( 0) Melilla ( 0) Total nacional de fallecidos: 1903 Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; datos 2012 para España salvo que se indique otro criterio. The vision ! 0! Objetives Spain 2020 y 2050! principal_134.JPG 350×233 píxeles 12/05/13 23:44 0 Contamination! T_1_EVITAMIENTO.jpg 526×296 píxeles 12/05/13 23:46 0 Congestion! 0 (fatally) injured! http://www.americatv.com.pe/portal/noticias/sites/default/files/imagecache/fi526x296/upload/images/T_1_EVITAMIENTO.jpg http://images.nosotros2.com/images/sabiasQue/principal_134.JPG 0 debt + competitivity! Página 1 de 1 Página 1 de 1 Strategy • • • • • • • • • Permanence + territorial growth! Reorganization to increase capacity! – Re-structure! – Integration functions: 1 informatics, 1 research unit, 1 international, 1 communication (internal and external)! • Coordination! – Convert administrative-oriented personnel into safety mobility people! Improve efficiency: empower technical abilities personnel, use of technologies! Strengthening human capacities: capacity and turn over! Training, standardize messages, language, image! Set priorities: international recommendations and specific opportunities! Direction by objectives! Propose use of extra income on road safety actions! Augment competencies: victim attention units, information systems, safety road audits, …. ! Reestructuring -Does it sound familiar? Conocimiento del problema Identificación de factores de riesgo ¿Qué funciona? Decisión intervención Y Política Vial Implementación That is, DIRECTORA UNIDAD DE APOYO Comunicación, Prensa y Gabinete de Dirección SUBDIRECTOR GRAL. DE GESTIÓN DE LA MOVILIDAD SUBDIRECTORA GRAL. DE INTERVENCIÓN Y POLÍTICAS VIALES SUBDIRECTORA GRAL. DE ANÁLISIS Y VIGILANCIA ESTADÍSTICA SECRETARIO GENERAL (…) DIRECTORA UNIDAD DE APOYO (Comunicación, Prensa y Gabinete de Dirección) SUBDIRECTOR GRAL. DE GESTIÓN DE LA MOVILIDAD Formación Agrupación de Tráfico GC SUBDIRECTORA GRAL. DE INTERVENCIÓN Y POLÍTICAS VIALES SUBDIRECTORA GRAL. DE ANÁLISIS Y VIGILANCIA ESTADÍSTICA Unidad de Coordinación de la Investigación Unidad de Normativa Educación Víctimas Relaciones internacionales SECRETARIO GENERAL Unidad de Informática Priority Áreas SISTEMAS DE INFORMACION MODELOS DE EVALUACIÓN DE CONDUCTORES Y PROGRAMAS DE REINCIDENTES MODELOS DE EVALUACIÓN DE CONDUCTORES Y PROGRAMAS DE REINCIDENTES MOVILIDAD SEGURA ALCOHOL, DROGAS DISCAPACITADOS Y MEDICAMENTOS MOVILIDAD SEGURA -33- Did not want to change (yet) Road Safety Indicators 2011-2020 Indicadores 1. 2. 3. Drop fatality rate per million pop. Reduce severe injuries by 35% Zero children dead without restraint system1 4. 25% fewer dead and seriously injured drivers aged 18 – 24 on weekends 5. 10% fewer dead drivers > 64 6. 30% reduction dead pedestrians 7. 1 more million ciclist w/o increase death risk 8. Zero passenger cars deaths in urban áreas 9. 20% fewer dead and seriously injured motorcyclist 10. 30% fewer single vehicle exits deaths in conventional roads 11. 30% work-related MV deaths 12. Decrese to less than 1% positive alcohol random tests (0,05 mg/l2 13. Reduce by 50% el % of light vehicles exceeding in more than 20 km/h speed limits 2009 Target 2020 59 13 923 < 37 9 050 12 0 730 548 203 459 183 321 1.2? 1.2? 101 0 3 473 2 778 520 364 170 119 6.7% < 1% 12.3% (autop.) 6.9% (autov.) 15.8% (conv.90) 16.4% (conv.100) 6.2% (autop.) 3.5% (autov.) 7.9% (conv.90) 8.2% (conv. 100) 1. Information Systems SISTEMAS DE INFORMACION • Eliminated consulting company empowering in house technical experts (huge savings)! • After 20 years of delay in 6 months we had fixed how to nominally identify death up to 30 days post crash, thus stopping the conversion factor issue! • In 9 months we had secured access to medical discharge data and national health interview data (with no identifiers yet), but recreated pyramid of injuries! • Participated in high level EU meeting where decision to adopt AIS3+ as criteria for severe injuries was adopted. Leading the effort.! • Currently working on developing exposure indicators! • Augmented quality and quantity of data and analysis on annual report! • Created compendium of DGT own data sources (history, variables, values, etc)! Spain, 2012 * Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; datos 2012 y 2011 para España. New severely injured definition (UE requisite 2015+) 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 22.102 20000 15000 11.347 10000 6.044 5000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Altas Hospitalarias 2005 2006 2007 Datos Policiales Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; España. 2008 MAIS>=3 2009 2010 2011 2. Evaluation models for drivers MODELOS DE EVALUACION …. • Adapted all exam rooms in the country with tactile monitors! for computerized testing! • Adapted new UE directive on practical tests with autonomous driving! • Started work on continuous production and testing of additional questions! • Need to create program to evaluate driving schools and examiners! • Working on translating current medical condition lists into funcitonal capacities needed for work! • About to complete paper on reincidents exploring types of repeat offenses! • Evaluate renewal criteria! • Heavily regulated area -- Need to work and coordinate: driving schools, professional driving schools, medical exam centers (not within national health system)! • Need to engage health care sector! Drivers ( N= 26.323.971) Pop´ & Driver pyramids! MV death risk (deaths per 1M pop)! 140 Total Tasa de fallecidos por millón de población 120 Hombres 121 Mujeres 126 100 80 66 71 76 69 67 79 59 68 60 40 20 44 9 7 0 45 50 41 22 15 6 0-­‐14 43 15-­‐24 25-­‐34 Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; datos 2012 para España salvo que se indique otro criterio. 13 14 35-­‐44 45-­‐54 39 48 39 34 20 55-­‐64 65-­‐74 75-­‐84 85 y más 3. Alcohol, drugs and medicines ALCOHOL; DROGAS Y MEDICACMENTOS • Still some 3% random testing is positive for alcohol (50% deaths)! • Best estimates suggest 14% random testing is positive for illegal drugs! – TOLERANCE ZERO since feb 2012! • Developed legal framework to enforce no alcohol or drugs policies! • Increased monetary amount related to alcohol and drug offenses! • Trained and distributed drug saliva testers through the country! 4. Disabled DISCAPACITADOS • Adapted manual driving exam and studiyng material to sign ! Language! . Working on restraint systems for disabled people ! 5. Safe mobility MOVILIDAD SEGURA • Put huge amounts of equipment and data to complementary uses:! – E.g. plate readers to monitor passing vehicles compliance with Periodic Vehicle Testing or mandatory insurance! • Relocated mobile radars to secondary roads where most of fatalities occurred! • Instructed police to monitor secondary roads more frequently! • Developed world novelty –a helicopter camara that serves as speed radar (Pegasus)! • Created vehicle renewal plan! • Analyzed back and red spots on our roads to create maps and inform owners and drivers! • Ecall and others! • Need to work with professional transports and special needs (e.g., autocaravans parking in cities)! Vehículos motorizados (N= 32.962.502) Letalidad según edad turismo! Edad media parque! Tasa de Fallecidos por 100.000 Turismos! 12,32! TODOS! <1% 15% 9% 67% Furgonetas! CAMIONES >3500kg! CAMIONES <=3500kg! MOTOCICLETAS! TURISMOS! 0! 12,72! 15,16! 16,72! 10,48! 15! 5,00! 4,00! 3,00! 2,00! 1,00! Hasta 7 años! 12,00! 10! 6,00! 0,00! 14,01! 5! Tasa de Fallecidos! AUTOBUSES! 20! De 8 y más años! Todas las vías! Autopista y Autovía! Convencional! Vías Urbanas! Antigüedad Media! Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; datos 2012 para España salvo que se indique otro criterio. 504 Black spots; 8% accidents & 4% deaths ! ! Informe siniestralidad vial 2012; datos 2012 España ( salvo Catluña y País Vasco). And a few other things: • Research Unit! – Research Plan 2012-2016! – For the first time ever, managed to secure 1.6 M in research fund (starting 2014)! – INTERESTED? We can offer free housing for up to 3 or 6 monts! • Attention Victims Units! – To collaborate & coordinate victims´ associations! – To coordinate non-medical post-trauma care attention! – To create a follow-up cohort for medium- and long-term sequelae! Improving Communication! • Internally: scheduled meetings, intranet improvements, visited sites, created bimonthly “letter from the Director”! • Externally: mobile application, twitter, facebook, revised web, revised periodical! – And mantra messages! • • • • • • • ! Put your travels in order (number and duration)! When there is a choice, use the safest road! Use a safer vehicle! Observe speed limits! Use protection means in place: ! – Helmets! – belts, child restraint systems! Be aware: sleep, distractions (e.g., mobile phone)! Zero tolerance with alcohol, drugs and medications that impair you! Without loosing track of Road Safety Indicators 2011-2020 Indicadores 1. Bajar la tasa de fallecidos a 37 por millón de habitantes 2. Reducción del número de heridos graves en un 35% 3. Cero niños fallecidos sin sistema retención infantil1 4. 25% menos conductores de 18 a 24 fallecidos y heridos graves en fin de semana 5. 10% menos de conductores fallecidos mayores de 64 años 6. 30% reducción de fallecidos por atropello 7. 1 millón de ciclistas más sin que se incremente su tasa de mortalidad 8. Cero fallecidos en turismos en zona urbana 9. 20% fallecidos y heridos graves usuarios de motocicleta 10. 30% menos de fallecidos por salida de vía en carretera convencional 11. 30% menos de fallecidos en itinere 12. Bajar del 1% los positivos en aire espirado en los controles preventivos aleatorios. DRUID, punto de corte 0,05 mg/l2 13. Reducir en 50% el % de vehículos ligeros que superan el límite de velocidad en más de 20 km/hora Cifra basal 2009 Cifra 2011 Cifra objetivo 2020 Cifra 2012 ✓ 10.444✓ 9✓ 59 45 41 13.923 11.347 12 5 730 598 406 548 203 179 202 183 459 367 355 321 1,2 1,1 1,6 1,2 101 75 71 0 3.473 2.966 2.760 2.778 520 357 369 364 170 128 -- 119 6,7% No disponible. Estudio periódico No disponible. Estudio periódico Inferior al 1% 12,3% (autop.) 6,9% (autov.) 15,8% (conv.90) 16,4% (conv.100) 12,8% (autop.) 7,0% (autov.) 21,2% (conv.90) 15,5% (conv.100) (Datos 2010) 8,0% (autop.) 4,3% (autov.) 14,0% (conv.90) 10,8% (conv.100) 6,2% (autop.) 3,5% (autov.) 7,9% (conv.90) 8,2% (conv. 100) ✓ ✓ ✓ Inferior a 37 9.050 0 On the administrative side • Transferring most administrative tasks to internet based protocols, freeing people from having to go to office! • Implementing appointment system in offices to better schedule work! • Creating computer cross checks between databases to avoid requesting documentation to citizens and improving quality and validity of data ! • Eliminating cash payment in office and on the road, thus saving custodian costs! • Eliminating special treatment to external administrative collaborators! • ….! Challenges ! Like in my previous “life”! • Important vs. urgent! • Keeping on top of technical issues! • Respecting and valuing work of others! • Accepting that what you deem most valuable may not be so by others! • Building trust & credibility! Unlike before! • Unity + strength + augmentation competencies (roads, some professional driving issues)! • Coping up with the media and lobbying groups´ pressure! • To do injury prevention and control, now must also deal with administrative transactions, unions, 44 million people watching my hair on TV…. J! Will I have time to finish it all? Unlikely • But what an honor to be a part of this and practice Policy!!! Thanks!! Secretaria.directora@dgt.es! www.dgt.es! !