ISSUES IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY August 2002, Number 32 The United States and Latin America: Mutual Disappointments Sidney Weintraub Latin America has become a metaphor for U.S. neglect interrupted by spasms of crisis-driven attention. U.S. presidential candidates talk up the region, only to pay it little heed once elected. George Bush’s attention to the region, Mexico mostly, lasted longer than that of many of his predecessors, but then the routine inattention set in after 9/11.The best example of presidential scorn is the one that Sol Linowitz related: Lyndon Johnson asked him on the airplane to a hemispheric summit conference in Punta del Este why he was going to Uruguay at all. The one context in which an indirect focus on Latin America has grown is electoral, to get the votes of Latinos living in critical U.S. states, like California, Texas, and Florida. The Latin American counterpart to U.S. neglect and crisisdriven attention is distrust. The hemispheric countries south of the United States do not have the luxury of ignoring their powerful northern neighbor to which they send about 40 percent of their exports (80 to 85 percent for Mexico) and from which they receive from one-half to two-thirds of their foreign investment. But Latin American intellectuals do not hesitate to show their disdain for U.S. promises not kept, protection that keeps out their goods, attacks that target their failures to stem drug trade, and lectures on the virtues of market disciplines even as these break down in the United States. It was no surprise to hemisphere watchers that majorities of the population in most Latin countries, especially the big ones like Brazil and Mexico, did not want to become too entangled in the U.S. antiterrorism campaign after 9/11. Nor was it any surprise to watchers in Latin America that U.S. attention would turn elsewhere. U.S. disappointments with Latin America are many. Democracy did not take root in the region until recently, and even now it is shaky in country after country. Economic development has lagged, certainly as compared with Asia. The Latin American region has a more unequal income distribution than any other region of the world, and this is not just an artifact of “neoliberalism.” Poverty is rampant. It is only today that educational opportunity is opening widely. The word “disappointment” was used because the dominant culture in Latin America is European, just as in North America. The cultural legacy, however, obviously took a different turn from that of North America. Latin American disappointments with its own performance took the form of blaming others over many decades. At one point, the dominant philosophical outlook of Latin American thinkers was “dependency.” Latin America was part of the periphery and the United States and other developed countries were the center, and the periphery did not make great economic strides because of the behavior of the center. The dependency theory had no echo in Asia, where growth was consistently higher than in Latin America. Latin American development thinkers were export pessimists; their reasoning was that to the extent that merchandise exports succeeded in penetrating the markets of the center, action would be taken to cut off these exports. Japan, Korea, Thailand, and other Asian countries looked to exports to drive their development rather than think in pessimistic terms. Other words are used today to blame others—such as the neoliberal development model allegedly foisted on them. Yet, the internal exploitation of populations long antedated these explanations. For all its talented people, Latin America still struggles with underdevelopment. Some years ago a Mexican intellectual asked me: “Do you think that Mexico will ever become a developed country?” I answered, “yes.” But the process is interminable. The disappointments move in the other direction as well. Americans have deplored the persistence of military governments that seized power in Latin American countries, but they forget the role the United States played in supporting many of these. When Latin American countries elected leaders disliked by the U.S. government, there was little hesitancy to overthrow them. Export pessimism was a fact of life for many decades, but so was U.S. protectionism against the region’s most competitive exports. U.S. politicians who fight to keep out goods coming from developing countries are protecting their constituents, but at the expense of jobs William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy Center for Strategic and International Studies 1800 K Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 Tel: (202) 775-3292 Fax: (202) 775-3199 www.csis.org elsewhere. The U.S. Congress shows little hesitancy in heavily subsidizing agricultural production without much regard as to how this affects farmers in Latin America. The United States insists on passing judgment as to whether other countries are cooperating in the campaign against narcotrafficking with little thought given to the reality that others are implicitly passing judgment on the efficacy of the U.S. measures to fight drug use. Paul O’Neill, the U.S. treasury secretary, told Fox News a few weeks ago that he saw no reason to offer financial support at this time to Brazil and other Latin American countries, but that what was needed were home-grown policies that do some good and not funds “that just go out of the country to Swiss bank accounts.” Then, a week or so later, a U.S. loan of $1.5 billion was provided to Uruguay as a bridge until an IMF program goes into effect, and the United States supported a $30-billion IMF support package to Brazil. Did the angry reaction to Secretary O’Neill’s Swiss bank account comment influence the shift in U.S. policy? My guess is that it did, to some extent. Hate is not the right sentiment to describe relations between the United States and Latin America, or between the people of the two regions. The mutual feelings are more nuanced than that. The United States, its government and probably a majority of its population, look down on Latin America and sees it as a region that cannot get its act together. Denigration of this sort leads to neglect. There have been periods when U.S. leaders tried to overcome this bias—and met with temporary success. The Good Neighbor Policy under Franklin D. Roosevelt and the Alliance for Progress under John F. Kennedy were examples of these efforts. In due course, however, the normal pattern of neglect returned. The majority of Latin Americans have a high regard for the open U.S. political system and the success of the U.S. economy. There is some natural antipathy toward the rich hegemon, but no more so than exists elsewhere. What does grate, however, is the hypocrisy that is perceived—lectures that are ill informed, promises that are not kept, and actions that display contempt. To a policy wonk, the natural question that arises is: What can be done to alter attitudes and behavior? I doubt that the answer is a better propaganda office operating out of the White House. On the substantive side, the most important U.S. action would be to get on with the negotiation and establishment of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA). Latin American development policy is predicated on export expansion, and if U.S. policy narrows this opportunity, no amount of verbiage can correct this. Fortunately, a major positive step in this direction has just been taken with passage of trade promotion authority, but the eventual proof will be in the negotiation and congressional approval of what comes out of that. Officials must be careful with their words. The administration, in effect, apologized for Secretary O’Neill’s derogatory comment, but this does not remove the inner annoyance of Brazilian and other Latin leaders. When congresspeople make nasty comments, as they often do, the administration should openly make its disagreement known. Most Latin Americans do not distinguish sharply between the administration and the Congress. For months, in connection with the preliminary discussions on the FTAA, snide antiBrazilian comments were leaked in an attempt to override Brazilian resistance to some U.S. proposals. Such behavior is unworthy, especially when dealing with such an important country. There must be no ambiguity as to the U.S. position in support of democracy. The uncertainty about the U.S. position at the time of the aborted coup in Venezuela in April of this year was exceedingly damaging. The July report of the inspector general that spells out that the behavior of the State Department was supportive of democracy in Venezuela, should be made public in order to dispel the widespread contrary impression. Latin American issues do not deal with war and peace, as do those relating to the Middle East, Northeast Asia, and South Asia. Argentina and Brazil gave up their nuclear arms pretensions, and this simultaneously eased U.S. problems and fostered U.S. neglect of the region. If the United States engages substantively with Latin America, particularly in the trade arena, this will do much to change regional attitudes as well. Failing that, the painful and damaging mutual sniping will continue. Issues in International Political Economy is published by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a private, tax-exempt institution focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary. CSIS does not take specific policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the author. © 2002 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy Center for Strategic and International Studies 1800 K Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 Tel: (202) 775-3292 Fax: (202) 775-3199 www.csis.org