© 2007 International Monetary Fund September 2007 IMF Country Report No. 07/324 Dominica: Statistical Appendix This Statistical Appendix for Dominica was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on July 2, 2007. The views expressed in this document are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the government of Dominica or the Executive Board of the IMF. The policy of publication of staff reports and other documents by the IMF allows for the deletion of market-sensitive information. To assist the IMF in evaluating the publication policy, reader comments are invited and may be sent by e-mail to publicationpolicy@imf.org. Copies of this report are available to the public from International Monetary Fund ● Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W. ● Washington, D.C. 20431 Telephone: (202) 623 7430 ● Telefax: (202) 623 7201 E-mail: publications@imf.org ● Internet: http://www.imf.org Price: $18.00 a copy International Monetary Fund Washington, D.C. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND DOMINICA Statistical Appendix Prepared by a staff team consisting of Goohoon Kwon, Mario Dehesa, Nkunde Mwase (all WHD), and Pedro Rodriguez (PDR) Approved by Western Hemisphere Department July 2, 2007 Contents Page Basic Data .....................................................................................................................................3 Tables 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. GDP at Constant (1990) Factor Cost, 2002–06.....................................................................5 GDP at Current Factor Cost, 2002–06 ..................................................................................6 Aggregate Domestic Expenditure at Current Market Prices, 2002–06 .................................7 Saving and Investment, 2002–06 ..........................................................................................8 Selected Agricultural Production, 2002–06 ..........................................................................9 Selected Data on the Banana Industry, 2002–06.................................................................10 Selected Industrial Production, 2002–06.............................................................................11 Consumer Price Indices, 2002–06.......................................................................................12 Petroleum Imports and Retail Prices, 2002–06 ...................................................................13 Summary Accounts of the Consolidated Public Sector, 2001/02–2005/06 ........................14 Summary Accounts of the Central Government, 2001/02–2005/06 ...................................18 Central Government Revenue and Grants, 2001/02–2005/06.............................................20 Central Government Expenditure, 2001/02–2005/06 .........................................................22 Public Sector Investment, 2001/02–2005/06.......................................................................23 Central Government Domestic Debt, 2002–2006 ...............................................................24 Consolidated Accounts of the Public Enterprises, 2001/02–2005/06 .................................25 Monetary Survey, 2002–06 .................................................................................................28 Balance Sheet of the Monetary Authorities, 2002–06 ........................................................29 Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks, 2002–06 ............................................30 Sectoral Distribution of Loans and Advances of Commercial Banks, 2002–06 ...........................................................................................31 21. Interest Rates, 2002–06 .......................................................................................................32 22. Financial Accounts of the Dominica Agricultural and Development Bank, 2002–06 ...........................................................................................33 23. Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Major Credit Unions, 2002–06....................................34 2 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. Balance of Payments, 2002–06 ...........................................................................................35 Exports by Major Commodities, 2002–06 ..........................................................................37 Imports by Product Type, 2002–06 .....................................................................................38 Direction of Trade, 2002–06 ...............................................................................................39 Terms of Trade, 2002–06 ....................................................................................................40 Tourism Statistics, 2002–06 ................................................................................................41 Effective Exchange Rate Indices, 2002–06.........................................................................42 External Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt by Creditor, 2002–06................................43 3 Dominica: Basic Data I. Social and Demographic Indicators Area (sq. km.) 754 Population (2005) Total Annual rate of growth (percent) Density (per sq. km.) GDP per capita (US$) Population characteristics (2004) Life expectancy at birth (years) Infant mortality (per thousand live births) 72,000 0.7 95.5 3,948 Education (2004) Adult literacy 88.0 Health (2004) Access to portable water, (% po Population per physician ('000s) 97.0 2 GDP (2005) Millions of E.C. dollars Millions of U.S. dollars 75.6 13 767.5 284.3 II. Economic Indicators 2003 2004 2005 Est. 2006 18.4 13.6 59.2 18.5 13.6 59.1 17.9 13.5 59.7 17.8 13.4 59.8 0.1 0.9 1.6 2.9 3.0 2.1 2.4 0.8 3.3 1.5 1.6 2.7 4.0 1.9 2.6 1.6 20.8 25.5 28.6 30.1 27.0 7.5 15.2 5.6 69.8 22.3 9.4 19.7 5.7 68.3 21.0 12.0 21.2 7.4 68.6 19.3 11.4 8.0 22.2 76.0 19.0 11.1 21.8 5.2 73.4 19.1 32.5 37.9 40.0 41.3 38.9 39.8 41.1 39.9 ... ... 5.5 5.1 -5.0 -5.4 5.8 10.5 -0.2 -1.3 5.8 9.3 1.7 -0.9 5.4 9.9 2.9 1.2 ... ... ... ... -2.0 6.2 -3.5 2.4 12.4 -0.3 4.0 11.3 -1.1 4.9 11.3 1.5 ... ... ... 2002 (In percent of GDP) Origin of GDP Agriculture, mining and quarrying Manufacturing and construction Services 19.0 12.8 59.4 (Annual percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) National accounts and prices Real GDP GDP deflator (factor cost) Consumer price index (period average) Consumer price index (end of period) -5.1 -0.2 0.1 0.4 (In percent of GDP) Gross domestic investment Of which Public investment Gross national savings 1/ External savings 1/ Private consumption Public consumption Public finances 2/ Central government Total revenues and grants Total expenditure Of which Interest payments Fixed investment Current account balance Overall balance Consolidated public sector Current account balance Capital investment Overall balance 4 Dominica: Basic Data 2002 2003 2004 2005 Est. 2006 (12-month percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) Money and credit Broad money Money Quasi money Net domestic assets of the banking system 3/ Of which Credit to the nonfinancial public sector (net) 3/ Credit to the nonfinancial private sector 3/ Weighted average lending rate (in percent) 8.5 16.5 6.8 -10.8 1.0 1.2 0.9 -16.4 5.9 3.1 6.6 -2.1 6.7 28.6 1.6 14.7 9.6 -3.3 13.4 -8.0 -5.4 -1.3 11.0 -4.3 -2.3 11.8 -5.1 5.4 9.8 -1.2 4.6 9.9 -10.8 8.5 9.2 (In millions of U.S. dollars, unless otherwise indicated) Balance of payments Current account Merchandise trade balance Exports Imports Services, income, and transfers (net) Of which Interest paid on public debt Capital and financial account Public sector Private sector (including errors and omissions) Change in net international reserves (- increase) 4/ -34.7 -58.7 43.6 102.4 24.0 -8.8 -33.6 -70.8 41.0 111.8 37.3 -8.0 -46.9 -84.9 42.8 127.8 38.0 -8.6 -83.8 -102.9 43.0 145.9 19.1 -10.7 -58.3 -104.3 42.5 146.8 45.9 -6.5 32.1 43.4 3.4 -12.1 22.4 24.8 10.2 -1.4 22.1 23.1 -1.9 10.3 71.0 14.0 61.5 -4.0 51.2 30.7 34.1 -14.3 17.2 40.4 -13.7 -1.8 -11.5 -1.5 15.9 43.4 -13.0 -6.0 9.3 -2.2 15.8 47.0 -17.3 4.5 14.2 -3.2 15.1 51.3 -29.5 0.4 14.2 -3.5 14.1 48.7 -19.4 -1.1 0.6 -0.6 International reserve position and external debt (as of December 31) Net official reserves 4/ Net reserves of the banking system 43.6 71.8 44.0 107.0 33.6 123.6 37.6 106.2 51.9 147.1 External public debt External public debt service ratio 5/ 79.6 11.8 84.6 19.5 80.6 20.7 74.8 17.5 70.9 13.0 Merchandise exports (in percent of GDP) Merchandise imports (in percent of GDP) Current account (in percent of GDP) Merchandise exports (in US$, annual percentage change) Merchandise imports (in US$, annual percentage change) Real effective exchange rate (12-month percentage change) IMF data (as of April 30, 2007) Membership status: joined December 12, 1978 Intervention currency and rate Quota Fund holdings of EC dollars (Dominica) (As percent of quota) Outstanding purchases and loans SDR department Net cumulative allocation Holdings Article VIII U.S. dollar at EC$2.70 per U.S. dollar SDR 8.20 million SDR 9.24 million 112.7 percent SDR 8.74 million SDR 0.59 million SDR 0.07 million Sources: Dominican authorities; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Calculated using the external current account including net external capital transfers. The 2005 data include one-off imports. 2/ These data are presented on a fiscal year (July-June) basis. Figures shown for a given calendar year relate to the fiscal year beginning on July 1 of that year. 3/ Change relative to broad money stock at the beginning of the period. 4/ Imputed reserves at the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank. 5/ In percent of exports of goods and nonfactor services. Data are on prerestructuring terms up to 2005, and on postrestructuring terms for creditors participating in the debt restructuring and on prerestructuring terms for nonparticipating creditors. 5 Table 1. Dominica: GDP at Constant (1990) Factor Cost 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 (In millions of 1990 Eastern Caribbean dollars) GDP at 1990 factor cost Agriculture Crops Livestock Forestry Fishing Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Electricity and water Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport Road transport Sea transport Air transport Communications Banks and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services Less imputed service charge 415.2 76.1 56.5 7.6 3.5 8.6 26.5 2.7 20.4 26.9 55.0 10.5 36.7 19.4 13.6 3.7 48.9 53.3 16.0 88.8 6.4 52.9 415.5 73.5 53.6 7.7 3.5 8.8 26.7 3.0 20.1 30.0 56.9 10.2 39.0 22.2 13.0 3.8 35.9 55.2 16.3 87.0 6.3 44.4 428.2 76.1 55.9 7.7 3.5 8.9 27.4 3.1 21.1 30.9 58.8 11.3 42.9 24.6 14.4 4.0 37.2 58.1 16.6 86.3 6.5 48.2 442.5 75.8 54.9 8.1 3.5 9.3 27.5 3.2 22.5 32.0 61.7 12.1 43.1 24.6 14.1 4.3 40.4 63.4 17.2 86.0 6.9 49.2 460.1 78.3 56.1 8.4 3.5 10.4 27.0 3.5 23.4 34.7 63.9 13.9 46.0 25.9 15.3 4.7 42.5 67.2 18.0 87.3 7.1 52.6 GDP at 1990 factor cost Agriculture Crops Livestock Forestry Fishing Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Electricity and water Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport Road transport Sea transport Air transport Communications Banks and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services Less imputed service charge (In percentage change) -5.1 0.1 -0.7 -3.4 -1.3 -5.1 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 1.4 2.1 -2.3 0.9 -25.5 11.3 0.6 -1.9 -25.6 11.4 -5.2 3.4 -3.3 -3.1 -13.1 6.3 -18.3 14.7 -8.1 -4.3 0.8 1.9 -1.6 -26.5 -5.8 3.6 0.9 2.0 3.5 -2.0 4.6 -1.9 2.9 -16.0 3.0 3.5 4.3 1.0 0.3 2.0 2.8 4.2 5.2 3.3 3.3 11.7 10.0 10.5 10.5 5.8 3.5 5.2 2.0 -0.7 2.7 8.4 3.3 -0.4 -1.8 5.0 0.3 3.6 0.5 3.5 6.4 3.5 5.0 6.5 0.3 0.2 -1.7 8.2 8.5 9.2 3.5 -0.4 6.3 2.2 4.0 3.4 2.2 3.0 0.3 12.0 -2.0 8.5 4.3 8.5 3.5 15.0 6.7 5.3 8.5 9.0 5.3 6.0 4.5 1.5 3.0 7.0 Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 6 Table 2. Dominica: GDP at Current Factor Cost 2002 2003 2004 Prel. 2005.0 611.4 114.5 90.6 8.6 3.7 11.5 5.2 50.8 39.3 50.7 77.4 17.7 54.9 29.4 20.6 5.0 27.0 69.1 22.7 123.7 10.9 52.4 641.3 115.2 90.6 9.0 3.7 11.8 51.9 5.8 41.3 56.1 82.6 18.8 56.6 30.0 21.2 5.4 28.4 76.2 23.7 126.3 11.8 53.5 … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 100.0 18.7 14.8 1.4 0.6 1.9 0.9 8.3 6.4 8.3 12.7 2.9 9.0 4.8 3.4 0.8 4.4 11.3 3.7 20.2 1.8 8.6 100.0 18.0 14.1 1.4 0.6 1.8 8.1 0.9 6.4 8.8 12.9 2.9 8.8 4.7 3.3 0.9 4.4 11.9 3.7 19.7 1.8 8.3 … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 2006 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) GDP at current factor cost Agriculture Crops Livestock Forestry Fishing Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Electricity and water Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport Road transport Sea transport Air transport Communications Banks and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services Less imputed service charge 575.2 102.1 79.1 8.4 3.7 10.9 3.9 44.5 36.9 39.2 69.7 15.5 45.3 22.6 18.7 4.0 39.6 64.8 21.8 133.0 10.4 51.5 581.1 106.2 82.8 8.5 3.7 11.2 4.6 46.5 36.9 46.0 73.2 15.1 48.8 26.0 18.5 4.4 26.1 65.6 22.3 127.8 10.4 48.3 (In percent of GDP at current factor cost) GDP at current factor cost Agriculture Crops Livestock Forestry Fishing Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Electricity and water Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport Road transport Sea transport Air transport Communications Banks and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services Less imputed service charge 100.0 17.7 13.7 1.5 0.6 1.9 0.7 7.7 6.4 6.8 12.1 2.7 7.9 3.9 3.2 0.7 6.9 11.3 3.8 23.1 1.8 9.0 Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 100.0 18.3 14.3 1.5 0.6 1.9 0.8 8.0 6.3 7.9 12.6 2.6 8.4 4.5 3.2 0.8 4.5 11.3 3.8 22.0 1.8 8.3 7 Table 3. Dominica: Aggregate Domestic Expenditure at Current Market Prices 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Gross domestic expenditure 771.9 798.9 855.0 960.7 972.3 Consumption Private Public 629.5 477.0 152.5 621.6 475.5 146.1 645.0 503.3 141.6 729.4 583.4 146.0 752.7 597.4 155.3 Gross domestic investment Private Public 142.4 91.5 50.9 177.3 112.0 65.3 210.0 121.7 88.3 231.3 143.9 87.3 219.6 129.4 90.2 -88.5 333.0 -421.4 -102.8 319.5 -422.3 -121.3 348.8 -470.1 -193.2 341.4 -534.6 -158.7 379.1 -537.8 683.5 696.1 733.7 767.5 813.6 Exports of goods and nonfactor services Exports Imports GDP at current market prices (In percent of GDP) Gross domestic expenditure 112.9 114.8 116.5 125.2 119.5 Consumption Private Public 92.1 69.8 22.3 89.3 68.3 21.0 87.9 68.6 19.3 95.0 76.0 19.0 92.5 73.4 19.1 Gross domestic investment Private Public 20.8 13.4 7.5 25.5 16.1 9.4 28.6 16.6 12.0 30.1 18.8 11.4 27.0 15.9 11.1 Exports of goods and nonfactor services Exports Imports -12.9 48.7 -61.7 -14.8 45.9 -60.7 -16.5 47.5 -64.1 -25.2 44.5 -69.7 -19.5 46.6 -66.1 GDP at current market prices 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 8 Table 4. Dominica: Saving and Investment 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Gross national saving 1/ Private saving Public saving Foreign saving 1/ Gross domestic investment Private investment Public investment 104.0 103.9 0.0 137.4 96.1 41.3 155.7 76.9 78.8 61.2 -27.4 88.6 177.6 68.8 108.8 38.4 39.9 54.3 170.0 42.1 142.4 91.5 50.9 177.3 112.0 65.3 210.0 121.7 88.3 231.3 143.9 87.3 219.7 129.4 90.3 15.2 15.2 0.0 19.7 13.8 5.9 21.2 10.5 10.7 8.0 -3.6 11.5 21.8 8.5 13.4 5.6 5.7 7.4 22.2 5.2 20.8 13.4 7.5 25.5 16.1 9.4 28.6 16.6 12.0 30.1 18.8 11.4 27.0 15.9 11.1 (In percent of GDP) Gross national saving 1/ Private saving Public saving Foreign saving 1/ Gross domestic investment Private investment Public investment Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Calculated using the external current account including net external capital transfers. The 2005 data include one-off imports. 9 Table 5. Dominica: Selected Agricultural Production (In metric tons) 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 Avocado pears Bananas Coconuts Bay oil Beans Breadfruit Cabbage Carrot Cassava Christophene Cinnamon Cocoa beans Coffee Cucumber Cut flowers Dasheen Ginger Grapefruit Irish potatoes Lettuce Limes Mandarines Mango Melongene Nutmet Okra Oranges Papaya Passionfruit Peppers (hot) Peppers (sweet) Pineapple Plantain Pumpkin Sweet corn Sweet potato Tannia Tomato Water melon Yam 559 24,645 9,737 30 88 268 903 522 97 222 16 80 187 1,004 46 11,563 84 18,620 154 151 1,250 43 1,628 33 2 3 3,517 83 448 136 ... ... 7,556 715 ... 1,643 3,267 200 255 6,707 698 16,058 9,669 27 90 274 910 525 88 226 18 76 185 956 47 11,378 79 16,899 159 152 1,128 484 1,654 26 2 2 3,528 82 443 218 163 338 7,644 792 3 1,681 3,339 206 253 6,952 770 19,344 9,656 35 90 271 910 525 90 226 17 74 181 922 45 11,655 82 16,819 149 151 1,087 476 1,627 36 1 2 3,499 70 446 229 156 361 7,808 726 3 1,678 3,412 205 251 6,948 719 20,127 9,268 36 95 267 921 526 89 217 19 71 179 904 51 11,503 78 16,449 142 159 1,071 33 1,652 480 2 2 3,466 53 427 166 713 21,394 9,268 45 103 263 925 528 116 217 18 70 185 891 48 11,446 77 15,922 140 161 1,033 32 1,639 537 38 2 3,383 56 423 172 7,384 799 7,331.62 845.94 1,684 3,352 204 238 7,319 1,728.65 3,508.12 205.18 251.58 7,333.38 Total 96,461 87,448 91,033 90,152 91,050 Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 10 Table 6. Dominica: Selected Data on the Banana Industry 1/ Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (In metric tons; unless otherwise indicated) Gross banana purchases by the DBMC/DBPL Less rejects 1/ 18,042 854 11,212 649 13,875 713 10,895 ... 11,689 ... Net purchases by DBMC/DBPL DBMC/DBPL exports 2/ Left back 17,188 17,188 0 10,563 10,558 5 13,162 12,976 186 10,895 10,859 35 11,689 11,628 61 DBMC/DBPL export receipts (In thousands of E.C. dollars) 20,172 13,530 17,214 15,515 18,534 103.0 92.0 86.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Number of active growers 4/ 1,488 1,149 1,021 880 767 Number of certified growers 978 911 925 880 767 79 89 87 ... ... Average retail price in the United Kingdom (In pence per kilogram) Free-on-truck (FOT) price 3/ (In pounds sterling per metric ton) Quality rating (percent of export volume) 5/ (In Eastern Caribbean cents per pound) FOT price DBMC/DBPL export unit value (f.o.b.) Average gross price to growers Average net price to growers 6/ Memoranda items: Export market prices (U.S. dollars per metric tonne) Latin American bananas, FOB U.S. ports Latin American bananas, c.i.f. Hamburg Average gross price to growers as percent of DBMC/DBPL’s export unit value ... 52.0 47.0 24.0 ... 55.0 50.0 23.0 ... 57.0 51.0 26.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 527.6 759.4 375.2 790.4 524.8 892.0 ... ... ... ... 90.4 90.9 89.5 ... ... Sources: Dominica Banana Marketing Corporation (DBMC)/Dominica Banana Producers Ltd. (DBPL); Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance; and World Bank database. 1/ Bananas that do not meet quality standards. 2/ The European market (mainly the United Kingdom) accounts for about 95 percent of banana exports. 3/ The FOT price is the price at the point of delivery for shipment to EU markets. 4/ Total number of growers which contributed to production at any time during given year. 5/ Percentage Units within Specification (PUWS), is the quality measure established by the Windward Islands Banana Development and Exporting Company (WIBDECO). 6/ Net of DBMC's deductions for input costs and charges for services. 11 Table 7. Dominica: Selected Industrial Production 1/ (Volume in metric tons, unless otherwise specified; value in thousands of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 4,514 6,526 5,206 8,137 4,615 8,359 3,933 7,146 3,605 6,458 Toilet soap 1/ Volume Value 4,512 12,041 3,677 10,043 4,623 16,229 3,932 14,662 4,296 15,335 Dental cream Volume Value 1,305 7,788 1,468 8,775 1,392 8,774 1,478 10,410 1,376 9,166 Fine fabric detergent Volume Value 676 1,554 559 1,264 513 1,225 514 1,324 465 1,231 Hand dish Volume Value 742 1,196 759 1,253 737 1,506 996 2,579 940 2,685 Liquid cleaner/disinfectant Volume Value 1,662 2,546 1,669 2,552 1,751 3,120 1,910 3,683 1,861 3,616 Floor polish Volume Value 110 303 91 260 32 88 63 234 10 41 Others Volume Value 63 171 66 188 55 168 84 369 93 405 Laundry soap 1/ Volume Value Sources: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance; and Dominica Coconut Products, Ltd. 1/ Laundry and toilet soap represent about 90 percent of total soap production. 12 Table 8. Dominica: Consumer Price Indices 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (Index: January 2001 = 100) CPI (period average) Food Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Fuel and Light Medical and Health Expenses Household equipment and Furniture Transportation Educational Expenses Personal care services Miscellaneous 100.6 102.4 101.5 98.0 100.1 100.6 100.3 100.1 98.1 104.1 101.5 102.1 102.1 102.9 98.6 96.9 103.7 112.1 99.3 99.8 99.2 109.3 104.5 104.7 104.6 105.7 97.7 97.1 108.6 120.5 99.6 98.4 101.2 113.1 105.7 107.5 106.3 108.3 98.8 97.0 110.2 136.0 99.7 97.4 100.1 112.0 106.9 108.0 109.0 112.7 106.3 96.0 111.5 145.4 104.8 97.5 100.7 113.1 113.6 109.2 CPI (end of period) Food Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Fuel and Light Medical and Health Expenses Household equipment and Furniture Transportation Educational Expenses Personal care services Miscellaneous 101.0 102.5 101.4 97.9 100.0 105.7 100.5 100.0 98.1 105.4 103.6 102.8 104.0 104.8 97.1 96.5 107.1 112.9 99.5 99.6 102.5 112.1 105.6 107.5 104.8 106.2 98.4 96.8 110.6 112.8 99.8 98.1 102.4 113.8 105.7 107.8 107.5 110.2 99.7 96.9 110.0 140.1 99.8 97.5 101.7 112.4 108.6 109.4 109.3 114.5 109.1 96.0 113.3 135.0 109.7 97.3 99.8 113.8 114.6 109.6 (Percentage change) Average Food Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Fuel and Light Medical and Health Expenses Household equipment and Furniture Transportation Educational Expenses Personal care services Miscellaneous 0.1 1.5 1.1 -1.0 -0.3 3.7 0.2 0.1 -3.7 4.0 1.5 1.5 1.6 0.4 -2.9 -1.1 3.6 11.4 -0.9 -0.3 1.2 5.0 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.8 -0.9 0.2 4.7 7.5 0.3 -1.4 2.0 3.5 1.1 2.6 1.6 2.5 1.2 -0.1 1.5 12.8 0.1 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 1.2 0.5 2.6 4.1 7.6 -1.0 1.2 6.9 5.2 0.1 0.6 0.9 6.3 1.1 End of period Food Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Fuel and Light Medical and Health Expenses Household equipment and Furniture Transportation Educational Expenses Personal care services Miscellaneous 0.4 0.4 -0.2 -0.5 0.0 17.6 0.4 -0.1 -4.8 5.3 3.6 1.3 2.9 2.2 -4.2 -1.4 7.1 6.8 -1.0 -0.5 4.5 6.3 1.9 4.6 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.3 3.3 -0.1 0.3 -1.5 -0.2 1.5 0.1 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.3 0.1 -0.6 24.2 0.1 -0.5 -0.7 -1.2 2.8 1.5 1.6 3.9 9.5 -0.9 3.0 -3.6 9.9 -0.3 -1.9 1.2 5.5 0.2 Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 13 Table 9. Dominica: Petroleum Imports and Retail Prices 2005 Prel. 2006 3,883,366 7.98 3,894,253 3,978,488 8.85 10.22 3,712,043 11.02 3,586,505 5.78 4,799,556 6.79 4,924,988 5,612,327 7.74 9.23 5,906,093 10.24 382,107 5.22 201,300 5.22 2,008,335 30.33 2,186,738 31.36 26.13 34.28 2002 2003 Gasoline Volume of imports (imperial gallons) Average retail price (EC$ per imperial gallon) 3,728,387 7.15 Diesel Volume of imports (imperial gallons) Average retail price (EC$ per imperial gallon) Kerosene Volume of imports (imperial gallons) Average retail price (EC$ per imperial gallon) Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) Volume of imports (kgs) Average retail price (EC$ per 20 lb. cylinder) Total value of petroleum imports (EC$ millions) 1/ 2004 211,364 6.43 259,795 8.14 293,766 8.99 2,284,618 2,473,474 31.36 33.41 2,320,399 33.79 38.95 Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 1/ The average retail price is calculated as the average of the end-month retail prices. 49.86 67.77 14 Table 10. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Consolidated Public Sector 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) I. Consolidated Public Sector Total revenue and grants Current revenue Capital revenue Total grants 300.1 286.2 0.9 13.0 305.8 273.4 1.3 31.1 377.7 308.7 1.0 68.0 358.1 311.8 2.0 44.3 391.9 329.6 1.5 60.9 Total expenditure 2/ Current Wages and salaries Interest Transfers Other Capital expenditure 353.2 295.8 124.1 40.0 56.7 75.1 57.4 329.9 287.2 121.5 39.6 59.7 66.5 42.6 380.0 291.2 109.0 44.5 61.8 75.9 88.8 366.2 281.4 106.9 46.9 72.7 54.9 84.8 380.2 290.9 110.1 45.8 72.4 62.6 89.4 -9.7 -13.9 17.5 30.4 38.7 -67.1 -53.1 -54.9 -24.0 -68.3 -2.3 -50.5 -8.1 -45.7 11.7 8.2 -11.5 61.8 -26.1 5.3 44.9 35.6 -59.5 34.2 -17.0 Current account balance Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance Statistical discrepancy 3/ Financing (net) II. Central Government Total revenue and grants Current revenue Tax Nontax Capital revenue Grants 209.7 197.0 160.2 36.8 0.9 11.8 224.1 191.9 167.9 23.9 1.3 30.9 285.9 221.8 193.6 28.1 1.0 63.2 292.0 245.7 213.3 32.4 2.0 44.3 325.0 263.2 239.5 23.7 1.5 60.3 Total expenditure 2/ Current expenditure Wages and salaries Goods and services Interest Transfers Capital expenditure and net lending Fixed investment and capital transfers Net lending 269.3 229.7 116.5 38.7 36.9 37.6 39.6 41.9 -2.4 261.3 226.6 116.1 33.7 37.6 39.1 34.7 35.0 -0.3 295.2 223.1 104.2 38.1 41.7 39.1 72.1 75.0 -2.8 298.7 232.9 102.0 39.0 43.9 48.0 65.8 69.4 -3.6 315.3 240.2 105.3 45.7 43.0 46.2 75.2 78.2 -3.0 Current account balance -32.7 -34.7 -1.3 12.8 23.0 Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance -71.4 -59.6 -68.1 -37.2 -72.4 -9.3 -51.0 -6.6 -50.7 9.6 8.2 -11.5 61.8 -26.1 5.3 51.3 25.6 25.7 48.7 44.9 3.8 -52.5 -8.0 -44.5 32.8 41.4 -8.6 -14.9 9.1 -24.1 Statistical discrepancy 3/ Financing (net) External Domestic 15 Table 10. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Consolidated Public Sector 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) III. Dominica Social Security Current revenue Contributions Of which: from public sector Other 41.3 27.1 8.4 14.2 41.5 26.8 8.2 14.8 41.2 25.7 7.4 15.6 41.5 26.6 7.3 14.9 41.8 28.5 7.5 13.4 Current expenditure 2/ Benefits Of which: paid to central government (Medicare) Other Wages and Salaries Interest Other 25.8 21.8 2.7 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 27.3 23.6 3.0 3.7 2.8 0.0 0.9 29.9 26.2 3.5 3.7 2.8 0.0 0.9 31.6 27.8 3.1 3.8 2.9 0.0 1.0 32.3 28.2 2.1 4.1 3.1 0.0 1.0 Current balance 15.5 14.3 11.3 9.9 9.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.2 -15.2 14.1 -14.1 11.2 -11.2 9.9 -9.9 9.5 -9.5 Capital expenditure Overall balance Financing IV. Rest of the Nonfinancial Public Sector 4/ Revenue, transfers, and grants Revenue Transfers from central government Foreign grants 63.4 58.9 3.3 1.2 51.5 51.3 0.0 0.2 62.5 56.7 0.9 4.9 36.5 34.9 1.7 0.0 34.2 34.0 -0.5 0.6 Expenditure 2/ Current Wages and salaries Interest Of which: to central government Other Capital 69.9 51.4 13.0 3.1 0.0 35.3 18.5 52.2 44.7 10.7 2.1 0.2 31.9 7.5 63.9 49.2 9.4 3.0 0.2 36.9 14.6 44.3 27.2 9.3 3.0 0.0 14.9 17.1 38.5 27.9 9.2 2.8 0.0 15.9 10.7 7.5 6.6 7.5 7.7 6.2 -11.0 -6.4 6.4 -0.9 -0.7 0.7 -7.1 -1.4 1.4 -9.4 -7.7 7.7 -4.5 -4.4 4.4 Current account balance Overall balance (before transfers and grants) Overall balance Financing (net) 16 Table 10. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Consolidated Public Sector 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In percent of GDP) I. Consolidated Public Sector Total revenue and grants Current revenue Capital revenue Total grants 43.0 41.0 0.1 1.9 44.3 39.6 0.2 4.5 52.8 43.2 0.1 9.5 47.7 41.5 0.3 5.9 49.6 41.7 0.2 7.7 Total expenditure 2/ Current Wages and salaries Interest Transfers Other Capital expenditure 50.6 42.4 17.8 5.7 8.1 10.8 8.2 47.8 41.6 17.6 5.7 8.7 9.6 6.2 53.2 40.7 15.2 6.2 8.6 10.6 12.4 48.8 37.5 14.2 6.2 9.7 7.3 11.3 48.1 36.8 13.9 5.8 9.2 7.9 11.3 Current account balance -1.4 -2.0 2.4 4.0 4.9 Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance -9.5 -7.6 -8.0 -3.5 -9.8 -0.3 -7.0 -1.1 -6.2 1.5 Statistical discrepancy 3/ 1.2 -1.7 8.6 -3.5 0.7 Financing (net) 6.4 5.2 -8.3 4.6 -2.2 II. Central Government Total revenue and grants Current revenue Tax Nontax Capital revenue Grants 30.1 28.2 23.0 5.3 0.1 1.7 32.5 27.8 24.3 3.5 0.2 4.5 40.0 31.0 27.1 3.9 0.1 8.8 38.9 32.7 28.4 4.3 0.3 5.9 41.1 33.3 30.3 3.0 0.2 7.6 Total expenditure 2/ Current expenditure Wages and salaries Goods and services Interest Transfers Capital expenditure and net lending Fixed investment and capital transfers Net lending 38.6 32.9 16.7 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.7 6.0 -0.3 37.9 32.8 16.8 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.0 5.1 0.0 41.3 31.2 14.6 5.3 5.8 5.5 10.1 10.5 -0.4 39.8 31.0 13.6 5.2 5.8 6.4 8.8 9.3 -0.5 39.9 30.4 13.3 5.8 5.4 5.8 9.5 9.9 -0.4 Current account balance -4.7 -5.0 -0.2 1.7 2.9 -10.2 -8.5 -9.9 -5.4 -10.1 -1.3 -6.8 -0.9 -6.4 1.2 Statistical discrepancy 3/ 1.2 -1.7 8.6 -3.5 0.7 Financing (net) External Domestic 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.1 6.5 0.5 -7.3 -1.1 -6.2 4.4 5.5 -1.1 -1.9 1.2 -3.0 Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance 17 Table 10. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Consolidated Public Sector 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 III. Dominica Social Security Current revenue 5.9 6.0 5.8 5.5 5.3 3.9 1.2 2.0 3.9 1.2 2.1 3.6 1.0 2.2 3.5 1.0 2.0 3.6 0.9 1.7 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 3.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 3.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 3.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 Current balance 2.2 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.2 Capital expenditure 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 -2.2 2.0 -2.0 1.6 -1.6 1.3 -1.3 1.2 -1.2 Contributions Of which: from public sector Other Current expenditure 2/ Benefits Of which: paid to central government (Medicare) Other Wages and Salaries Interest Other Overall balance Financing IV. Rest of the Nonfinancial Public Sector 4/ Revenue, transfers, and grants Revenue Transfers from central government Foreign grants 9.1 8.4 0.5 0.2 7.5 7.4 0.0 0.0 8.7 7.9 0.1 0.7 4.9 4.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 4.3 -0.1 0.1 Expenditure 2/ Current Wages and salaries Interest Capital 10.0 7.4 1.9 0.4 2.6 7.6 6.5 1.6 0.3 1.1 8.9 6.9 1.3 0.4 2.0 5.9 3.6 1.2 0.4 2.3 4.9 3.5 1.2 0.4 1.3 Current account balance 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 -1.6 -0.9 0.9 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -1.0 -0.2 0.2 -1.3 -1.0 1.0 -0.6 -0.6 0.6 697.5 689.8 714.9 750.6 790.5 Overall balance (before transfers and grants) Overall balance Financing (net) Memorandum Item: Nominal GDP Sources: Dominican authorities; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ On a cash basis, except interest payments. 3/ Difference between identified financing and overall balance. 4/ It includes DOWASCO, DEXIA, Port Authority, DBPL and DBMC. 18 Table 11. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Central Government 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Total revenue and grants Current revenue Tax revenue Taxes on income Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Taxes on international transactions Nontax revenue Capital revenue Foreign grants 209.7 197.1 160.2 40.1 2.2 30.2 87.6 36.8 0.9 11.8 224.1 191.9 167.9 45.0 2.5 33.0 87.5 23.9 1.3 30.9 285.9 221.8 193.6 43.7 2.6 49.1 98.3 28.1 1.0 63.2 292.0 245.7 213.3 40.8 6.6 56.2 109.7 32.4 2.0 44.3 325.0 263.2 239.5 52.7 7.9 82.1 96.7 23.7 1.5 60.3 Total expenditure 2/ Current expenditure Wages and salaries Goods and services Interest Domestic External Subsidies and transfers Retirement benefits Other transfers Capital expenditure and net lending Fixed investment Net lending 269.3 229.7 116.5 38.7 36.9 19.3 17.5 37.6 15.9 21.6 39.6 41.9 -2.4 261.3 226.6 116.1 33.7 37.6 17.8 19.8 39.1 16.5 22.6 34.7 35.0 -0.3 295.2 223.1 104.2 38.1 41.7 18.8 22.9 39.1 18.9 20.2 72.1 75.0 -2.8 298.7 232.9 102.0 39.0 43.9 20.4 23.5 48.0 21.5 26.5 65.8 69.4 -3.6 315.3 240.2 105.3 45.7 43.0 20.2 22.8 46.2 21.7 24.5 75.2 78.2 -3.0 Current account balance -32.6 -34.7 -1.3 12.8 23.0 Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance -71.3 -59.5 -68.1 -37.2 -72.4 -9.3 -51.0 -6.6 -50.7 9.6 8.2 -11.5 61.8 -26.1 5.3 51.3 25.6 25.7 16.3 9.5 0.0 48.7 44.9 3.8 -6.9 10.7 0.0 -52.5 -8.0 -44.5 -41.4 -7.7 4.6 32.8 41.4 -8.6 -12.2 -6.5 10.2 -14.9 9.1 -24.1 -16.7 -6.6 -0.7 Statistical discrepancy 3/ Financing External Domestic Bank Non-bank Other 19 Table 11. Dominica: Summary Accounts of the Central Government 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In percent of GDP) Total revenue and grants Current revenue Tax revenue Taxes on income Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Taxes on international transactions Nontax revenue Capital revenue Foreign grants 30.1 28.3 23.0 5.8 0.3 4.3 12.6 5.3 0.1 1.7 32.5 27.8 24.3 6.5 0.4 4.8 12.7 3.5 0.2 4.5 40.0 31.0 27.1 6.1 0.4 6.9 13.7 3.9 0.1 8.8 38.9 32.7 28.4 5.4 0.9 7.5 14.6 4.3 0.3 5.9 41.1 33.3 30.3 6.7 1.0 10.4 12.2 3.0 0.2 7.6 Total expenditure 2/ Current expenditure Wages and salaries Goods and services Interest Domestic External Subsidies and transfers Retirement benefits Other transfers Capital expenditure and net lending Fixed investment Net lending 38.6 32.9 16.7 5.6 5.3 2.8 2.5 5.4 2.3 3.1 5.7 6.0 -0.3 37.9 32.8 16.8 4.9 5.5 2.6 2.9 5.7 2.4 3.3 5.0 5.1 0.0 41.3 31.2 14.6 5.3 5.8 2.6 3.2 5.5 2.6 2.8 10.1 10.5 -0.4 39.8 31.0 13.6 5.2 5.8 2.7 3.1 6.4 2.9 3.5 8.8 9.3 -0.5 39.9 30.4 13.3 5.8 5.4 2.6 2.9 5.8 2.7 3.1 9.5 9.9 -0.4 Current account balance -4.7 -5.0 -0.2 1.7 2.9 -10.2 -8.5 -9.9 -5.4 -10.1 -1.3 -6.8 -0.9 -6.4 1.2 Statistical discrepancy 3/ 1.2 -1.7 8.6 -3.5 0.7 Financing External Domestic Bank Non-bank Other 7.4 3.7 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.0 7.1 6.5 0.5 -1.0 1.6 0.0 -7.3 -1.1 -6.2 -5.8 -1.1 0.6 4.4 5.5 -1.1 -1.6 -0.9 1.4 -1.9 1.2 -3.0 -2.1 -0.8 -0.1 750.6 790.5 Overall balance (before grants) Overall balance (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Memorandum item: Nominal GDP at current market prices 697.5 689.8 Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ On a cash basis, except interest payments. 3/ Difference between identified financing and overall balance. 714.9 20 Table 12. Dominica: Central Government Revenue and Grants 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Total revenue and grants 209.7 224.1 285.9 292.0 325.0 Current revenue Tax revenue Taxes on income Personal income Corporate income Income tax refunds Stabilization levy Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Consumption tax Sales tax Stamp duty on receipts Hotel accommodation tax Licences Other VAT 2/ Excise on petroleum Other excises 2/ Taxes on international transactions Taxes on imports Import duties Stamp duties and documentation fee Consumption tax on imports Customs service charge Taxes on exports Other taxes on international trade Cruiseship passenger tax Environmental surcharge Embarkation tax Security tax 197.1 160.2 40.1 29.5 12.2 -1.5 0.0 2.2 30.2 4.9 16.8 0.2 0.6 7.8 0.0 ... ... ... 87.6 79.7 20.2 0.1 53.1 6.3 0.1 7.9 2.0 2.7 2.8 0.3 191.9 167.9 45.0 28.1 7.9 -1.3 10.2 2.5 33.0 5.1 19.2 0.2 0.5 8.0 0.0 ... ... ... 87.5 78.0 20.4 0.0 51.3 6.2 0.2 9.2 1.4 4.6 2.9 0.3 221.8 193.6 43.7 27.3 9.8 -1.4 8.0 2.6 49.1 5.5 30.5 0.2 0.7 12.2 0.0 ... ... ... 98.3 87.0 21.9 0.0 54.4 10.7 0.1 11.2 2.8 5.0 3.0 0.3 245.7 213.3 40.8 28.6 13.0 -1.5 0.7 6.6 56.2 4.8 36.5 0.2 0.9 13.9 0.0 ... ... ... 109.7 96.1 27.3 0.0 56.6 12.2 0.2 13.4 2.9 6.0 4.1 0.5 263.2 239.5 52.7 32.7 21.7 -2.6 0.9 7.9 82.1 4.1 30.6 0.3 0.5 10.0 36.8 3.0 7.4 1.5 1.6 23.2 23.9 2.2 7.9 0.0 1.1 12.8 28.1 3.9 11.1 1.5 0.2 11.4 32.4 4.8 16.6 0.0 0.6 10.5 23.7 3.6 11.8 0.0 0.5 7.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.6 0.8 0.0 11.8 30.9 63.2 44.3 60.3 Nontax revenue Rents and interest Fees, fines and sales ECCB profits Economic citizenship program Other nontax revenue Capital revenue Land sales Sale of other assets Other capital revenue Grants 0.0 26.3 6.8 3.5 96.7 82.9 28.9 0.0 41.1 12.7 0.1 13.9 2.4 6.5 4.5 0.5 21 Table 12. Dominica: Central Government Revenue and Grants 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In percent of GDP) Total revenue and grants 30.1 32.5 40.0 38.9 41.1 Current revenue Tax revenue Taxes on income Personal income Corporate income Income tax refunds Stabilization levy Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Consumption tax Sales tax Stamp duty on receipts Hotel accommodation tax Licences Other VAT 2/ Excise on petroleum Other excises 2/ Taxes on international transactions Taxes on imports Import duties Stamp duties and documentation fee Consumption tax on imports Customs service charge Taxes on exports Other taxes on international trade Cruiseship passenger tax Environmental surcharge Embarkation tax Security tax 28.3 23.0 5.8 4.2 1.7 -0.2 0.0 0.3 4.3 0.7 2.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.0 ... ... ... 12.6 11.4 2.9 0.0 7.6 0.9 0.0 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 27.8 24.3 6.5 4.1 1.1 -0.2 1.5 0.4 4.8 0.7 2.8 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.0 ... ... ... 12.7 11.3 3.0 0.0 7.4 0.9 0.0 1.3 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 31.0 27.1 6.1 3.8 1.4 -0.2 1.1 0.4 6.9 0.8 4.3 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.0 ... ... ... 13.7 12.2 3.1 0.0 7.6 1.5 0.0 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 32.7 28.4 5.4 3.8 1.7 -0.2 0.1 0.9 7.5 0.6 4.9 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.0 ... ... ... 14.6 12.8 3.6 0.0 7.5 1.6 0.0 1.8 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 33.3 30.3 6.7 4.1 2.7 -0.3 0.1 1.0 10.4 0.5 3.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.0 3.3 0.9 0.4 12.2 10.5 3.7 0.0 5.2 1.6 0.0 1.8 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 5.3 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.2 3.3 3.5 0.3 1.1 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.9 0.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 4.3 0.6 2.2 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.0 0.4 1.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 Capital revenue Land sales Sale of other assets Other capital revenue 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Grants 1.7 4.5 8.8 5.9 7.6 Nontax revenue Rents and interest Fees, fines and sales ECCB profits Economic citizenship program Other nontax revenue Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ Dominica introduced a new VAT and excise duty regime in March 2006. 22 Table 13. Dominica: Central Government Expenditure 1/ 2/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean Dollars) Total expenditure Current expenditure Wages and salaries Salaries Wages Goods and services Interest Domestic External Current transfers Retirement benefits Regional and international Public assistance and poverty relief Other Capital expenditure and net lending Capital expenditure Net lending 269.3 229.7 116.5 109.6 7.0 38.7 36.9 19.3 17.5 37.6 15.9 8.4 3.2 10.0 261.3 226.6 116.1 107.3 8.9 33.7 37.6 17.8 19.8 39.1 16.5 4.9 3.0 14.6 295.2 223.1 104.2 98.0 6.2 38.1 41.7 18.8 22.9 39.1 18.9 1.5 3.1 15.6 298.7 232.9 102.0 95.7 6.3 39.0 43.9 20.4 23.5 48.0 21.5 7.6 3.3 15.6 315.3 240.2 105.3 98.6 6.7 45.7 43.0 20.2 22.8 46.2 21.7 3.4 3.4 17.6 39.6 41.9 -2.4 34.7 35.0 -0.3 72.1 75.0 -2.8 65.8 69.4 -3.6 75.2 78.2 -3.0 (In percent of GDP) Total expenditure Current expenditure Wages and salaries Salaries Wages Goods and services Interest Domestic External Current transfers Retirement benefits Regional and international Public assistance and poverty relief Other 38.6 32.9 16.7 15.7 1.0 5.6 5.3 2.8 2.5 5.4 2.3 1.2 0.5 1.4 37.9 32.8 16.8 15.6 1.3 4.9 5.5 2.6 2.9 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.4 2.1 41.3 31.2 14.6 13.7 0.9 5.3 5.8 2.6 3.2 5.5 2.6 0.2 0.4 2.2 39.8 31.0 13.6 12.7 0.8 5.2 5.8 2.7 3.1 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.4 2.1 39.9 30.4 13.3 12.5 0.8 5.8 5.4 2.6 2.9 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.4 2.2 Capital expenditure and net lending Capital expenditure Net lending 5.7 6.0 -0.3 5.0 5.1 0.0 10.1 10.5 -0.4 8.8 9.3 -0.5 9.5 9.9 -0.4 Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ On a cash basis, except interest payments. 23 Table 14. Dominica: Public Sector Investment 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Central government investment program 41.9 35.0 75.0 69.4 78.2 Economic infrastructure Airport development Roads and bridges Sea defences Water and sewerage Other economic infrastructure 22.7 0.0 14.7 3.5 0.0 4.5 18.2 0.0 11.8 3.0 0.2 3.2 23.5 0.8 9.7 12.7 0.0 0.3 32.5 4.6 15.0 3.7 0.0 9.2 23.1 Productive sectors Agriculture Forestry Micro-enterprise development Tourism development Other productive sectors 0.9 1.8 34.6 17.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.1 4.6 27.5 8.4 0.0 0.2 8.7 0.0 4.1 1.0 1.0 0.1 1.9 0.0 Public administration Administrative infrastructure Environmental management Information systems development Offshore investment Public safety Public sector modernization 1.2 0.6 6.8 3.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 0.0 3.5 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.7 Social infrastructure Community development Education Health Housing and settlement Sports and recreation Unclassified 2.4 2.4 0.1 17.5 0.7 3.7 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 13.0 3.5 6.0 13.4 1.4 9.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 1.5 1.4 3.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.6 2.2 0.6 3.5 38.4 8.8 5.2 1.4 7.3 15.7 4.1 10.9 4.1 2.6 8.9 Financing of central government investment program Grants Loans Local counterpart 41.9 35.0 75.0 69.4 11.8 13.0 17.1 25.3 3.0 6.7 52.7 20.2 2.1 41.7 18.6 9.1 78.2 62.6 0.5 15.1 Rest of public sector fixed investment 2/ 18.5 7.5 14.6 17.1 10.7 (In percent of GDP) Central government investment program Economic infrastructure Productive sectors Public administration Social infrastructure 6.0 3.3 0.1 0.2 1.9 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 10.5 3.3 4.8 1.0 0.8 9.3 4.3 2.3 0.5 1.8 9.9 2.9 0.5 0.5 4.9 Financing of central government investment program Grants Loans Local counterpart 6.0 1.7 1.9 2.5 5.1 3.7 0.4 1.0 10.5 7.4 2.8 0.3 9.3 5.6 2.5 1.2 9.9 7.9 0.1 1.9 Rest of public sector fixed investment 2/ 2.6 1.1 2.0 2.3 1.3 Sources: Dominican authorities; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ Fixed investment of Dominica Social Security and of the nonfinancial public enterprises. 24 Table 15. Dominica: Central Government Domestic Debt (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) June 30 Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total (excluding arrears) Total (including arrears) 201.4 263.2 219.0 276.9 186.2 227.2 183.1 215.7 211.2 225.5 Treasury bills Commercial banks Dominica Social Security ECCB Other domestic holders 45.40 8.9 17.9 13.0 5.6 45.40 8.9 17.9 13.0 5.6 46.95 8.9 17.9 13.0 7.1 44.43 8.9 17.9 10.5 7.1 44.15 8.9 17.9 10.5 6.8 Debentures Commercial banks Dominica Social Security ECCB Other domestic holders 74.0 26.2 38.4 6.5 3.0 90.3 26.2 54.7 6.5 3.0 91.4 26.2 54.7 6.5 4.1 90.3 25.8 54.7 6.5 3.3 128.2 34.4 86.9 3.3 3.5 0.7 5.2 6.4 4.1 1.3 64.1 60.1 4.0 63.3 59.9 3.4 16.7 13.6 3.1 19.8 0 19.8 19.8 0 19.8 Dominica Social Security loans 8.3 7.6 7.1 6.7 0.0 Other 8.9 7.2 17.8 17.8 17.8 61.8 43.7 18.1 57.9 37.1 20.9 40.9 31.9 9.1 32.7 28.3 4.3 14.3 ECCB loans and advances Commercial bank loans and advances Overdrafts Other loans and advances Arrears Dominica Social Security Other Sources: Dominican authorities; and Fund staff estimates. 7.8 6.5 25 Table 16. Dominica: Consolidated Accounts of the Public Enterprises 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Prel. 2005/06 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) I. Consolidated Accounts Current revenue 58.9 51.3 56.7 34.9 34.0 Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other 51.4 13.0 3.1 35.3 44.7 10.7 2.1 31.9 49.2 9.4 3.0 36.9 27.2 9.3 3.0 14.9 27.9 9.2 2.8 15.9 7.5 6.6 7.5 7.7 6.2 18.5 7.5 14.6 17.1 10.7 -11.0 -0.9 -7.1 -9.4 -4.5 4.5 3.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 5.7 0.9 4.9 1.7 1.7 0.0 0.1 -0.5 0.6 -6.4 6.4 -0.7 0.7 -1.4 1.4 -7.7 7.7 -4.4 4.4 Current balance Capital expenditure Overall balance (before transfers and grants) Transfers and grants Central government Foreign Overall balance Financing II. Dominica Water and Sewerage Authority Current revenue Water sales Other 12.5 11.4 1.1 13.0 11.8 1.2 12.5 11.7 0.8 13.2 12.4 0.8 13.1 12.4 0.7 Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other 7.3 1.2 0.6 5.4 7.6 1.3 0.7 5.6 8.7 1.3 1.7 5.7 9.4 1.6 2.0 5.8 9.7 1.2 2.0 6.5 Current balance 5.2 5.4 3.8 3.9 3.3 16.7 6.9 13.5 14.5 4.6 -11.5 -1.5 -9.7 -10.6 -1.3 1.2 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 4.9 0.0 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.6 -10.2 10.2 -1.3 1.3 -4.8 4.8 -10.6 10.6 -0.7 0.7 Capital expenditure Overall balance (before transfers and grants) Transfers and grants Central government Foreign grants Overall balance Financing 26 Table 16. Dominica: Consolidated Accounts of the Public Enterprises 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Prel. 2005/06 III. Dominica Export and Import Agency Current revenue 6.4 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.5 Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other 6.2 0.6 0.0 5.7 5.9 0.5 0.0 5.3 6.2 0.5 0.0 5.7 6.3 0.6 0.0 5.8 6.3 0.6 0.0 5.7 Current balance 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.8 Capital expenditure 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Overall balance (before transfers and grants) 0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.5 -0.8 Transfers and grants Central government Foreign grants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 -0.3 0.3 -0.5 0.5 -0.8 0.8 Overall balance Financing IV. Dominica Port Authority Current revenue 14.8 13.6 14.0 15.7 15.5 Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other 13.4 9.0 1.3 3.1 12.5 8.0 1.3 3.1 10.4 6.5 1.1 2.8 11.5 7.2 1.0 3.3 11.8 7.4 0.8 3.6 Current balance 1.4 1.2 3.6 4.2 3.6 Capital expenditure 1.7 0.4 1.0 2.6 6.0 -0.3 0.8 2.6 1.6 -2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.7 1.7 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 0.0 -0.3 0.3 0.8 -0.8 3.4 -3.4 3.3 -3.3 -2.9 2.9 Overall balance (before transfers and grants) Transfers and grants Central government Foreign grants Overall balance Financing 27 Table 16. Dominica: Consolidated Accounts of the Public Enterprises 1/ 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Prel. 2005/06 V. Dominica Banana Producers Limited 3/ Current revenue ... 18.9 24.2 ... ... Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other ... ... ... ... 18.8 0.9 0.2 17.8 23.9 1.0 0.2 22.7 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Current balance 0.1 0.3 Capital expenditure ... ... ... 0.0 0.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... Overall balance Financing ... ... 0.1 -0.1 0.3 -0.3 ... ... ... ... VI. Dominica Banana Marketing Corporation 3/ Revenue Banana sales Other income 25.2 20.2 5.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Current expenditure 2/ Wages and salaries Interest Other 24.5 2.1 1.2 21.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Current balance 0.7 ... ... ... ... Capital expenditure 0.0 ... ... ... ... Transfer and grants Central government Foreign grants 3.3 3.3 0.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 4.0 -4.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Overall balance Financing Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Fiscal years beginning July 1. 2/ On a cash basis, except interest payments. 3/ Source data are calendar year. To facilitate comparison, they have been converted to fiscal years by averaging. Excludes Dominica broadcasting corporation and the National Development Corporation. 28 Table 17. Dominica: Monetary Survey 1/ Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars; end of period) Net foreign assets Monetary authorities Commercial banks Net domestic assets Domestic credit Net credit to the NFPS Central government Social Security Public enterprises Net credit to nonbank financial institutions Private sector credit Other items (net) 2/ Broad money Money Currency in circulation Demand deposits Quasi-money Savings deposits Time deposits Foreign currency deposits 193.8 114.9 79.0 289.0 118.7 170.4 333.7 90.8 242.9 286.8 101.5 185.3 397.2 140.2 257.1 355.4 460.6 74.8 64.2 -9.0 18.7 -46.6 433.2 -106.1 265.5 389.9 51.1 55.9 -21.2 16.5 -81.8 420.6 -124.5 253.6 397.8 23.0 45.6 -34.8 12.1 -75.9 450.7 -144.2 340.2 433.8 15.8 67.3 -46.4 -5.1 -59.9 477.8 -93.6 290.0 411.0 -51.6 10.7 -67.5 5.2 -68.6 531.2 -121.0 549.2 106.6 35.5 71.1 442.6 262.2 158.2 22.3 554.5 107.9 34.2 73.7 446.6 279.0 157.4 10.2 587.4 111.2 37.6 73.6 476.2 328.5 134.3 13.4 627.0 143.0 39.0 104.1 483.9 343.0 130.6 10.3 687.2 138.3 45.4 92.9 548.9 392.3 145.4 11.1 5.9 3.1 6.6 7.1 6.7 28.6 1.6 6.0 9.6 -3.3 13.4 11.2 (Annual percentage change) Broad money Money Quasi-money Credit to the private sector 8.5 16.5 6.8 -1.4 1.0 1.2 0.9 -2.9 (Percentage change in terms of broad money 12 months earlier) Net foreign assets Net domestic assets Net credit to the nonfinancial public sector Net credit to nonbank financial institutions Credit to the private sector Other items Memorandum item: Income velocity of broad money 19.3 17.3 8.1 -8.0 17.6 -10.8 -5.4 -1.8 -1.3 -4.1 -16.4 -4.3 -6.4 -2.3 -9.9 -2.1 -5.1 1.1 5.4 -2.5 14.7 -1.2 2.7 4.6 11.3 -8.0 -10.8 -1.4 8.5 -5.8 1.24 1.26 1.25 1.23 1.18 Sources: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Transactions with the IMF are included as transactions with the monetary authorities. 2/ Includes interbank float. 29 Table 18. Dominica: Balance Sheet of the Monetary Authorities 1/ (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars; end of period) Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Net international reserves ECCB’s net imputed reserves Government of Dominica 114.9 122.8 -7.9 118.7 128.8 -10.2 90.8 114.1 -23.3 101.5 132.7 -31.2 140.2 171.2 -31.1 Net claims on commercial banks Claims Loans to banks Deposits with banks Liabilities Bankers' reserves Fixed deposits Currency -91.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -94.8 -78.3 -74.9 0.0 -88.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -91.5 -74.8 0.0 0.0 -79.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -79.2 -64.0 0.0 0.0 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -83.4 -65.1 0.0 0.0 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 -102.5 -85.5 0.0 0.0 15.4 21.4 2.5 6.5 0.0 5.4 1.0 7.9 -0.9 -5.1 7.0 25.8 2.5 6.5 0.0 7.2 0.5 10.2 -1.0 -17.9 26.0 34.8 0.6 6.5 0.0 5.1 0.7 23.3 -1.0 -7.9 20.8 40.4 0.6 6.5 0.0 2.6 0.4 31.2 -1.1 -18.5 7.7 34.9 0.6 3.3 0.0 0.5 0.6 31.1 -1.0 -26.2 35.5 52.0 -16.5 34.2 50.9 -16.7 37.6 52.8 -15.2 39.0 57.3 -18.3 45.4 62.4 -17.0 Net domestic assets Net credit to central government Treasury bills Debentures Temporary advances Other claims 2/ Government deposits Counterpart to IMF credit Net credit to public entities Other items (net) Currency in circulation Total currency issued Currency held by banks Sources: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Transactions with the IMF are included as transactions with the monetary authorities. 2/ Includes balances on ECCB fiscal tranche loans to the Government of Dominica. 30 Table 19. Dominica: Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars; end of period) Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 79.0 207.9 4.0 41.0 139.2 23.7 -129.0 -30.3 -0.9 -97.1 -13.3 -70.9 -12.6 -0.3 -0.7 170.4 275.2 3.6 66.3 115.1 90.2 -104.8 -4.0 -1.9 -98.4 -10.2 -72.6 -13.6 -2.0 -0.5 242.9 402.7 4.1 123.1 110.9 164.5 -159.8 -11.9 -3.2 -144.0 -16.7 -87.1 -24.8 -15.4 -0.7 185.3 350.6 4.0 134.3 50.8 161.5 -165.4 -9.1 -7.7 -148.5 -19.9 -87.0 -26.9 -14.7 -0.1 257.1 481.3 5.3 147.8 87.3 240.9 -224.3 -31.3 -38.2 -153.7 -11.7 -93.7 -24.5 -23.8 -1.0 98.2 98.2 16.5 0.0 64.3 17.4 85.6 85.6 16.7 0.0 49.2 19.7 73.8 73.8 15.2 0.0 54.2 4.4 78.4 78.4 18.3 0.0 50.7 9.3 99.6 99.6 17.0 0.0 74.9 7.7 Net domestic assets Net credit to the public sector Central and local governments Treasury bills Debentures Loans and advances Deposits Social Security Scheme Loans and advances Deposits Public enterprises Loans and advances Deposits Net credit to nonbank financial institutions Loans, advances, and investment Deposits Credit to the private sector Interbank float Other items (net) 336.6 53.4 42.8 16.0 26.2 61.7 -61.1 -9.0 0.0 -9.0 19.6 23.4 -3.8 -46.6 2.0 -48.6 433.2 -3.6 -99.9 264.3 26.3 30.1 16.0 22.8 52.8 -61.5 -21.2 0.0 -21.2 17.4 22.2 -4.8 -81.8 2.4 -84.2 420.6 -0.9 -99.8 233.1 -10.8 10.9 15.6 26.2 15.9 -46.9 -34.8 0.0 -34.8 13.1 21.6 -8.5 -75.9 2.4 -78.3 450.7 -6.9 -124.0 324.4 -23.5 26.9 15.5 34.4 20.5 -43.6 -46.4 0.0 -46.4 -4.0 19.5 -23.5 -59.9 2.9 -62.8 477.8 1.6 -71.6 285.1 -85.6 -24.2 14.8 34.4 20.3 -93.8 -67.5 0.0 -67.5 6.2 16.9 -10.7 -68.6 2.6 -71.2 531.2 0.5 -92.5 Private sector deposits Demand deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Foreign currency deposits 513.7 71.1 262.2 158.2 22.3 520.3 73.7 279.0 157.4 10.2 549.8 73.6 328.5 134.3 13.4 588.0 104.1 343.0 130.6 10.3 641.7 92.9 392.3 145.4 11.1 9.0 1.3 5.7 7.0 9.1 Net foreign assets Assets Foreign currency Claims on ECCB banks Claims on banks abroad Other Liabilities Balances due to ECCB banks Balances due to banks abroad Nonresident deposits Demand Savings Time Foreign currency Other Net claims on ECCB Claims on ECCB ECCB notes and coins Current deposits (including reserves) Fixed deposits Liabilities to ECCB Memorandum item (in percent): Growth in private sector deposits Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 31 Table 20. Dominica: Sectoral Distribution of Loans and Advances of Commercial Banks 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 501,300 9,202 6,125 15,606 79,025 17,368 4,559 37,055 18,555 4,449 19,562 26,160 261,125 172,802 8,671 79,652 2,509 529,865 9,049 11,219 15,889 73,941 19,610 4,550 30,425 19,129 5,020 20,120 26,375 290,482 178,378 10,193 101,911 4,056 601,393 8,962 15,722 19,005 59,523 32,451 4,176 45,894 14,598 7,014 20,944 23,907 345,409 221,296 14,413 109,700 3,788 100.0 1.8 1.2 3.1 15.8 3.5 0.9 7.4 3.7 0.9 3.9 5.2 52.1 32.1 4.0 10.9 0.5 100.0 1.7 2.1 3.0 14.0 3.7 0.9 5.7 3.6 0.9 3.8 5.0 54.8 32.1 4.0 10.9 0.8 100.0 1.5 2.6 3.2 9.9 5.4 0.7 7.6 2.4 1.2 3.5 4.0 57.4 32.1 4.0 10.9 0.6 (In thousands of Eastern Caribbean dollars; end of period) Total Agriculture Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Distributive trade Tourism Transportation Utilities Construction and land development Financial institutions Professional and other services Government and statutory bodies Personal Acquisition of property Durable consumer goods Other personal Other 529,087 9,929 6,208 17,761 75,340 21,035 19,450 36,413 14,714 1,280 20,542 73,929 229,951 138,732 9,159 82,060 2,535 505,882 9,276 6,954 17,937 67,315 21,032 4,565 35,314 16,295 3,689 18,006 64,473 237,881 162,638 20,255 54,988 3,145 (As a percent of total) Total Agriculture Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Distributive trade Tourism Transportation Utilities Construction and land development Financial institutions Professional and other services Government and statutory bodies Personal Acquisition of Property Durable Consumer Goods Other Personal Other 100.0 1.9 1.2 3.4 14.2 4.0 3.7 6.9 2.8 0.2 3.9 14.0 43.5 26.2 1.7 15.5 0.5 Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 100.0 1.8 1.4 3.5 13.3 4.2 0.9 7.0 3.2 0.7 3.6 12.7 47.0 32.1 4.0 10.9 0.6 32 Table 21. Dominica: Interest Rates 1/ (In percent; end of period) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Banks' prime loan rate (maximum) 10.50 10.50 10.00 10.00 10.00 Weighted average lending rate Local currency 11.03 ... 11.78 11.94 9.78 9.82 9.89 9.97 9.17 9.15 Total deposits Local currency Foreign currency 3.62 ... ... 3.50 3.58 1.01 3.04 3.19 0.21 3.03 3.09 0.78 3.35 3.37 2.67 Demand deposits Local currency Foreign currency ... ... ... 1.35 1.44 1.01 0.83 3.34 1.68 1.15 3.40 2.00 1.40 3.45 1.76 Savings deposits Local currency Foreign currency ... ... ... 3.19 3.19 3.00 3.34 3.34 1.68 3.40 3.40 2.00 3.45 3.45 1.76 Time deposits Local currency Foreign currency ... ... ... 6.00 6.00 0.00 4.60 4.68 0.90 4.66 4.80 1.10 5.06 5.11 4.40 7.40 ... 8.28 8.36 6.74 6.63 6.86 6.88 5.82 5.78 6.18 7.00 5.30 6.50 4.57 6.50 4.33 6.50 5.31 6.50 COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING RATES COMMERCIAL BANK DEPOSIT RATES INTEREST RATE SPREADS Overall spread Local currency OTHER INTEREST RATES Interbank market rate ECCB’s discount rate Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 1/ Improved reporting requirements were introduced from June 2003, which provide information on deposit and lending rates by currency and an accurate calcuation of the weighted average rates. There is therefore a break in the data series in 2003. 33 Table 22. Dominica: Financial Accounts of the Dominica Agricultural, and Development Bank (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 Balance Sheet, as at June 30 Assets Cash and short-term deposits Accounts receivable Loans outstanding Agriculture Industry Tourism Mortgage Student Loans Other Less: Provision for doubtful loans Investments Government debentures and bills Other Agency assets Fixed assets 119.8 5.6 3.2 102.4 11.7 15.4 20.1 28 22.8 12.1 7.7 2.5 2.2 0.3 0.2 5.9 120.1 2.3 2.4 106.5 11 17.5 19.8 30.5 27.2 11.6 11 3.4 2.2 1.2 … 5.5 126.7 8.3 2.6 106.7 10.6 19.9 19.7 28 30.4 10.3 12.3 3.9 2.6 1.3 … 5.2 125.8 8.7 2.4 105.6 9.6 19 18.7 26.3 33.4 9.9 11.2 3.9 2.6 1.3 … 5.1 125.3 3 ... 106.4 ... ... ... 25.4 ... 94.2 13.1 4.00 2.7 1.3 ... 5.2 Liabilities Long-term liabilities Caribbean Development Bank Dominica Social Security European Investment Bank Taiwan, Province of China France IFAD Commonwealth Development Corporation Other Interest bearing deposits Agency liabilities Accounts payable and accrued liabilities Dividend payable Shareholders' equity and deferred grants 119.8 82.3 45.6 18.4 7.9 4.2 2.8 1.9 1.5 ... 5.4 … 1.9 0.3 29.9 120.1 85.5 48.9 19.2 9.2 4 2 1.5 0.5 ... 5.7 0.2 2.5 0.4 26 126.7 89 54.7 18 9.8 3.9 1.4 1.2 0 ... 5.8 1 3.7 0.3 27 125.8 90.3 56.3 15 11.2 4 2.4 0.9 ... ... 6.8 1 3.4 0.9 23 125.3 87.9 58.0 15.7 9.4 3.3 ... 0.6 ... 1.0 8.7 0.6 3.6 0.2 22.2 Statement of Earnings, for year ending June 30 Total Revenue Interest on loans and advances Interest on fixed deposits Other Total Expenditure Interest on long-term loans & deposits Personnel expenditure Other Expenses Depreciation Net surplus/deficit 10.1 9.2 0.4 0.5 8.3 3.9 2.3 1.6 0.6 1.8 9.4 8.3 0.3 0.8 8.1 4.0 2.3 1.3 0.4 1.3 10.8 9.9 0.3 0.6 7.8 4.0 2.3 1.2 0.4 2.9 10.4 9.3 0.5 0.6 8.9 4.1 2.0 2.6 0.2 1.5 11.0 9.9 0.5 0.5 8.0 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 2.8 Provision for loan loss and other losses Net earnings/loss -0.9 0.9 -3.1 -1.8 -1.6 -1.3 -3.8 -2.3 -2.0 0.8 Source: Dominica Agricultural Industrial and Development Bank. 34 Table 23. Dominica: Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Major Credit Unions 2002 2003 Rev. 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars; end of period) Assets Cash balance Investments Loans outstanding Of which Agriculture Business Mortgages Educational Personal Fixed assets Other assets 273.0 13.4 32.5 206.9 290.2 11.4 40.1 218.3 310.0 13.2 51.7 224.6 351.0 14.6 61.2 252.5 369.0 16.5 74.4 255.7 2.2 6.2 102.2 3.3 93.0 15.2 5.0 2.1 6.2 109.4 3.8 96.7 15.2 5.2 4.4 10.1 111.7 4.9 76.6 14.5 5.8 4.6 8.9 116.7 6.0 90.1 17.3 5.2 2.8 8.5 140.4 7.9 74.4 16.9 5.3 Liabilities Share capital Deposits Savings Demand Time Other Loans received Capital Other liabilities 273.0 123.7 99.9 11.3 5.0 78.2 5.3 11.2 27.2 11.1 290.2 132.4 108.8 13.2 4.5 83.7 7.3 9.6 32.2 7.2 310.0 107.4 141.7 39.1 8.6 78.8 13.8 6.4 33.8 20.4 351.0 125.4 156.3 50.3 9.7 82.4 13.8 6.9 46.1 16.1 369.0 114.1 185.5 60.0 22.2 85.1 18.1 5.7 45.3 18.1 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars, unless otherwise indicated) Memorandum item: Total Income Interest Other Total expenditure Interest Personnel expenditure Other Gross surplus/deficit Nonperforming loans Nonperforming loans/total loans (perce Credit Union membership (number) Reporting credit unions (number) Credit unions not reporting (number) 31.1 30.1 1.0 24.1 8.3 6.1 9.7 7.0 31.6 30.6 1.0 21.9 7.4 6.1 8.4 9.7 22.6 21.5 1.1 14.7 4.4 4.3 5.9 8.0 27.6 26.3 3.0 18.3 6.1 5.6 5.5 8.5 25.8 24.6 1.2 12.8 5.6 5.0 4.9 8.1 18.2 8.8 72,547 5 12 19.5 8.9 71,474 8 9 25.2 11.2 71,060 8 9 32.1 12.7 ... 10.0 4.0 27.9 10.9 ... 14.0 ... Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 35 Table 24. Dominica: Balance of Payments 2002 2003 2004 2005 Est. 2006 (In millions of U.S. dollars) Current account balance Trade balance Exports (f.o.b.) 1/ Of which Bananas Imports (f.o.b.) Of which Mineral fuels 2/ -34.7 -58.7 43.6 -33.6 -70.8 41.0 -46.9 -84.9 42.8 -83.8 -102.9 43.0 -58.3 -104.3 42.5 8.1 102.4 5.9 111.8 7.2 127.8 6.4 145.9 7.5 146.8 9.6 12.1 14.1 19.3 22.7 26.0 79.7 45.7 34.0 53.7 -18.4 -8.8 32.8 77.3 52.3 25.0 44.6 -12.1 -8.0 40.0 86.3 60.1 26.2 46.3 -21.8 -8.6 31.5 83.5 55.7 27.8 52.1 -33.9 -10.7 45.5 97.9 68.4 29.5 52.4 -21.6 -6.5 Other income Net current transfers Private Public -9.6 16.4 12.6 3.8 -4.1 16.6 12.4 4.2 -13.2 19.8 18.4 1.4 -23.3 21.5 19.5 1.9 -15.1 22.1 21.1 1.0 Capital and financial account Capital account Public capital transfers Private capital transfers 32.1 20.5 17.7 2.8 22.4 18.8 15.9 2.9 22.1 26.8 23.8 3.0 71.0 20.9 17.8 3.1 51.2 42.8 39.8 3.0 11.6 25.8 25.0 30.7 5.7 0.8 -14.1 11.4 -24.1 -1.5 3.7 8.9 8.9 24.0 15.1 0.0 -5.2 19.8 -33.9 8.8 -4.7 -0.7 -0.7 17.4 18.1 0.0 -4.0 18.1 -26.9 4.8 50.2 -3.8 -3.8 7.8 11.5 0.0 53.9 18.0 21.4 14.5 8.4 -9.0 -9.0 2.6 11.7 0.0 17.4 24.1 -26.6 19.9 Errors and omissions 14.7 12.5 -0.9 4.5 13.7 Overall balance 12.1 1.4 -25.7 -8.3 6.6 -12.1 -1.4 25.7 8.3 -6.6 Services balance Exports of services Travel Other Imports of services Net income Interest payments (public sector) 3/ Financial account Public sector Budgetary flows (net) Disbursements Repayments 3/ Nonbudgetary flows (net) Private sector Direct investment Commercial banks Other private flows Overall financing 36 Table 24. Dominica: Balance of Payments Net international reserves Gross reserves (increase = -) IMF reserve liabilities (purchase = +) Exceptional financing Arrears Rescheduling Financing gap 2002 2003 2004 2005 Est. 2006 -12.1 -15.1 3.0 -1.4 -6.2 4.8 10.3 9.4 0.9 -4.0 -7.2 3.2 -14.3 -16.1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4 0.0 15.4 0.0 12.3 0.0 10.1 0.0 7.7 0.0 7.4 0.0 -13.7 -13.0 -17.3 -29.5 -19.4 -5.6 -5.7 -7.4 -22.2 -5.2 11.8 4.6 7.1 19.5 12.8 6.8 20.7 14.0 6.7 17.5 9.1 8.4 13.0 8.3 4.7 (In percent of GDP) Memorandum items Current account balance Current account balance including net capital transfers External public debt service (as a percent of exports of goods and nonfactor services) External public debt service ratio 3/ Amortization Interest Sources: Dominica authorities; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and Fund staff estimates and projections. 1/ Includes stores and bunkers. 2/ Up to 2005 data are on prerestructuring terms. After that, data are on postrestructuring terms for creditors participating in the debt restructuring and on prerestructuring terms for creditors not participating. 3/ Refers to external public debt service ratio as percent of exports of goods and services. For 2005 it includes the reallocation of part of an external bond (around 4 percent of GDP) from external to domestic. 37 Table 25. Dominica: Exports by Major Commodities Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (Value in millions of U.S. dollars; volume in thousands of metric tons, unless otherwise specified; and unit price in U.S. dollars per metric ton) Value of exports of goods Domestic merchandise exports Merchandise re-exports Stores and bunkers 43.6 39.5 3.2 0.9 41.0 38.6 1.4 1.0 42.8 39.6 1.7 1.5 43.0 38.8 2.7 1.6 42.5 40.5 0.9 1.2 Agricultural exports Bananas Value Volume Unit value Other agricultural exports Value 14.2 11.5 13.4 12.2 12.7 8.1 18.4 440.2 5.9 12.0 491.7 7.2 14.5 496.6 6.4 12.0 538.5 7.5 12.9 582.8 6.0 5.6 6.2 5.7 5.2 25.2 27.1 26.1 26.6 27.7 10.0 8.6 1,162.8 10.8 9.1 1,186.8 11.1 8.8 1,261.4 10.0 8.3 1,198.9 10.5 8.1 1,297.4 15.2 16.4 15.0 16.6 17.3 Manufactured exports Soap Value Volume Unit value Other manufactured exports Value (In percent of total exports) Agricultural exports Bananas Other agricultural exports 32.5 18.7 13.8 28.0 14.4 13.6 31.8 17.2 14.6 28.3 15.0 13.3 29.9 17.6 12.2 Manufactured exports Soap Other manufactured exports 57.8 22.9 34.9 66.2 26.3 39.9 61.9 26.4 35.5 61.8 23.2 38.6 65.2 24.6 40.6 Sources: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 38 Table 26. Dominica: Imports by Product Type 1/ (In millions of U.S. dollars) 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 116.3 127.1 145.2 165.8 166.8 Food products and tobacco Meats and meat preparations Dairy products and eggs Fish Cereals and cereal preparations Vegetables and fruits Others (including beverages and tobacco) 25.4 4.8 3.3 1.4 4.4 2.0 9.5 25.9 4.5 3.7 1.3 4.4 2.1 9.9 27.6 5.4 3.8 1.5 4.5 2.1 10.3 30.5 6.1 4.1 1.7 4.8 2.7 11.1 30.0 5.8 3.9 1.7 4.7 2.6 11.3 Mineral fuels 10.9 13.7 16.0 21.9 25.8 8.1 2.4 1.4 3.7 0.6 9.8 4.1 1.4 3.5 0.8 10.4 3.9 1.5 4.0 1.0 8.3 1.6 1.7 4.0 0.9 9.0 4.7 1.7 1.8 0.8 23.8 1.4 1.3 5.7 1.0 1.2 0.8 4.9 1.8 0.2 3.2 2.3 24.4 1.6 1.2 5.0 1.0 1.2 0.8 6.1 1.8 0.2 3.8 1.7 27.3 2.0 2.1 5.6 1.0 1.6 0.9 6.2 2.1 0.2 3.7 1.9 28.8 1.9 1.7 5.7 28.9 2.0 2.0 6.3 2.1 1.0 6.1 2.5 0.4 4.0 3.4 1.3 1.0 5.4 2.6 0.3 3.8 4.0 3.1 1.3 1.8 3.7 1.6 2.1 5.4 2.2 3.2 7.1 1.8 5.3 7.2 3.0 4.2 Machinery and equipment Power generation equipment Specialized industrial machines General industrial machinery Office machines and computers Telecommunications and sound equipment Electrical machinery Vehicles Other transport equipment 25.5 1.7 1.1 2.9 2.9 4.6 4.5 6.8 1.0 28.5 1.4 2.5 2.4 2.8 7.2 4.7 6.9 0.6 36.2 1.6 2.7 3.2 4.3 10.5 4.8 8.6 0.5 41.9 2.7 2.9 4.0 3.5 10.2 5.9 12.3 0.5 39.3 1.8 4.8 4.9 3.3 7.7 6.0 9.9 0.8 Other Oil seeds and oleagenous fruits Textile fabrics (other than wool tops and combed wool) Crude fertilizers Crude animals and vegetable materials Organic chemicals Inorganic chemicals Plastics in primary forms Plastics in nonprimary forms Chemical materials and products Prefabricated buildings, etc. Professional, scientific instruments Photographic apparatus Miscellaneous manufactured articles 18.2 0.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.8 0.8 1.0 2.2 0.6 1.4 0.6 7.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.9 0.9 1.0 2.1 1.6 2.0 0.7 7.2 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 0.9 1.3 2.3 0.9 1.6 0.9 10.8 27.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.2 1.8 2.5 1.1 2.4 1.3 13.1 26.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.4 1.2 2.2 2.4 1.2 1.3 0.7 13.6 Total Miscellaneous oils and chemicals Animal and vegetable oils Dyeing and tanning materials Essential oils and resinoids Fertilizers Miscellaneous manufactures Rubber products Cork and wood products Paper products Printed matter Textile yarn and fabrics Footwear Metal products Furniture Travel goods Nonmetal mineral manufactures Medical and pharmaceutical products Miscellaneous primary products Cork and wood Iron and steel Source: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance. 1/ On c.i.f. basis. 39 Table 27. Dominica: Direction of Trade Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (In millions of U.S. dollars) Domestic merchandise exports 1/ United Kingdom United States (including Puerto Rico) Guadeloupe CARICOM countries Other 42.7 9.4 3.4 2.4 23.7 3.8 40.0 6.2 2.2 3.2 25.3 3.1 41.3 7.4 1.6 3.7 25.2 3.3 41.4 6.9 1.7 4.2 24.9 3.7 41.3 7.7 1.7 3.3 26.3 2.4 Total merchandise imports United Kingdom United States (including Puerto Rico) Canada France Japan The Netherlands Guadeloupe CARICOM countries Other 115.6 9.9 42.2 3.1 1.2 4.7 2.2 1.1 35.2 16.0 127.1 9.7 46.7 4.4 1.7 5.0 2.1 1.5 38.7 17.3 145.2 9.6 52.7 4.0 5.1 6.8 2.0 1.9 42.9 19.2 165.8 11.2 58.4 4.3 2.8 7.7 1.9 1.1 52.0 26.5 166.8 9.5 58.2 4.5 2.7 6.6 2.5 1.1 53.6 28.0 (In percent of total) Domestic merchandise exports 1/ United Kingdom United States (including Puerto Rico) Guadeloupe CARICOM countries Other 100.0 22.0 8.0 5.6 55.6 8.8 100.0 15.5 5.5 8.0 63.3 7.8 100.0 18.0 3.9 9.0 61.2 7.9 100.0 16.6 4.2 10.1 60.1 9.0 100.0 18.5 4.1 7.9 63.6 5.9 Total merchandise imports United Kingdom United States (including Puerto Rico) Canada France Japan The Netherlands Guadeloupe CARICOM countries Other 100.0 8.6 36.5 2.7 1.0 4.1 1.9 1.0 30.4 13.8 100.0 7.6 36.7 3.5 1.3 3.9 1.6 1.1 30.4 13.6 100.0 6.6 36.5 2.7 3.6 4.7 1.4 1.3 29.7 13.3 100.0 6.8 35.2 2.6 1.7 4.6 1.2 0.7 31.3 15.9 100.0 5.7 34.9 2.7 1.6 4.0 1.5 0.6 32.2 16.8 Sources: Central Statistical Office; IMF Direction of Trade Statistics; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Includes re-exports. 40 Table 28. Dominica: Terms of Trade 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 (1995 = 100) Exports of Goods Value Volume Unit value 94.6 105.2 89.9 88.9 93.0 95.6 91.6 ... ... 92.1 ... ... 91.0 ... ... Imports of Goods Value Volume Unit value 103.3 108.3 95.4 112.9 118.1 95.6 128.1 ... ... 146.3 ... ... 147.2 ... ... 94.2 99.9 ... ... ... Merchandise terms of trade (Annual percentage change) Exports Value Volume Unit value -1.8 -2.2 0.4 -6.0 -11.6 6.3 3.0 ... ... 0.5 -1.1 ... ... ... ... Imports Value Volume Unit value -11.5 -7.6 -4.2 9.3 9.1 0.2 13.5 ... ... 14.2 ... ... 0.6 ... ... 4.9 6.1 ... ... ... Merchandise terms of trade Sources: Central Statistical Office; and Fund staff estimates. 41 Table 29. Dominica: Tourism Statistics Arrivals Total Excursionists Cruiseship Stayover Hotel-holiday Hotel-business Private homes Students Average length of stay Excursionists Cruiseship Stayover Hotel-holiday Hotel-business Private homes Students Average daily expenditure (EC$) Excursionists Cruiseship Stayover Hotel-holiday Hotel-business Private homes Students Total receipts (EC$ million) Total Excursionists Cruiseship Stayover Hotel-holiday Hotel-business Private homes Students 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 200,893 1,693 136,859 62,341 13,901 8,624 38,935 881 250,802 3,928 177,044 69,830 13,711 8,369 46,476 1,274 462,529 2,577 383,614 76,338 14,993 8,689 51,509 1,147 378,001 676 301,511 75,814 13,939 8,887 52,082 906 460,379 905 379,503 79,971 21,486 8,949 48,399 1137 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.1 11.0 14.8 320 9.1 11.0 14.8 320 9.1 11.0 14.8 320 9.1 11.0 14.8 320.0 9.1 11.0 14.8 320.0 182.8 74.8 185.4 75.9 190.0 77.7 193.0 79.0 198.03 81.03 249.1 309.4 38.4 96.8 252.7 313.8 38.9 98.2 259.0 321.5 39.9 100.6 263.0 327.0 41.0 102.0 269.9 335.1 41.5 104.8 120.8 0.3 10.2 110.3 31.5 29.3 22.1 27.3 141.4 0.7 13.4 127.2 31.5 28.9 26.8 40.0 163.7 0.5 29.8 133.4 35.3 30.7 30.4 36.9 150.5 0.1 23.8 126.5 33.4 32.0 31.6 29.6 184.6 0.2 30.7 153.7 52.8 33.0 29.8 38.1 Sources: Central Statistical Office, Ministry of Finance; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); Ross University; and Fund staff estimates. 42 Table 30. Dominica: Effective Exchange Rate Indices 1/ Real Effective Rate Nominal Effective Rate 2/ Relative Price 2/ (Index numbers: 2000=100) (Quarterly averages) 2002 I II III IV 101.8 100.5 98.4 98.5 104.4 103.4 97.6 97.2 96.3 95.9 2003 I II III IV 97.7 96.9 98.9 96.8 102.6 102.1 101.8 101.2 101.6 100.0 2004 I II III IV 95.3 95.7 94.7 92.3 99.0 100.2 99.8 97.9 95.2 94.5 93.9 93.4 2005 I II III IV 90.5 91.0 91.1 92.2 97.0 98.1 99.1 100.3 92.6 92.6 91.9 91.8 2006 I II III IV 91.4 91.1 90.4 89.8 100.0 98.9 98.7 98.5 91.3 91.8 91.3 90.8 103.5 101.1 99.2 98.6 99.0 96.8 95.3 94.2 92.2 91.3 95.3 94.3 96.1 95.6 (Annual averages) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 99.8 97.6 94.5 91.2 90.7 Source: IMF, Information Notice System. 1/ An increase in the index denotes appreciation. 2/ The weights used in these calculations are based on 1999-2001 data, and differ from those used in previous Consultation Report in that they reflect, inter alia, Jamaica’s increased importance as a trading partner. This change has had little impact on the real effective exchange rate, but has reduced the extent of nominal depreciation. The weights have been further adjusted to capture an ongoing structural change, and so differ from those published in IFS. 43 Table 31. Dominica: External Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt by Creditor 1/ (In millions of U.S. dollars) Prel. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 202.6 221.1 235.4 223.6 225.5 Bilateral debt Agence Francaise de Developpement Government of Trinidad and Tobago Government of United Kingdom 2/ Investment Fund of Venezuela Export-Import Bank of Taiwan Province of China Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development Other Bilaterals 3/ 50.5 12.0 3.7 11.2 1.2 11.9 3.5 7.0 52.6 11.8 3.7 10.9 1.1 12.0 3.6 9.5 51.6 11.4 3.7 10.4 1.1 11.7 3.7 9.5 50.7 50.6 11.3 3.7 10.4 0 11.7 4.1 9.5 12.1 3.7 10.4 0 11.7 4.2 8.5 Multilateral debt Caribbean Development Bank European Development Bank International Bank for Reconstruction and Development International Development Association International Fund for Agricultural Development International Monetary Fund Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries 95.9 65.0 4.8 3.6 16.5 3.2 2.7 0.1 110.4 71.7 5.4 4.1 18.1 3.3 7.8 0.0 126.7 81.3 5.7 4.2 23.1 3.2 9.2 0.0 129.4 131.4 85.1 4.3 3.9 21.7 2.8 11.6 0.0 84.8 4.0 3.3 22.6 2.7 14.0 0.0 Other debt Commercial Banks Other private Arrears on interest payments 4/ 5/ 56.2 49.9 5.1 1.2 58.1 49.9 5.1 3.0 57.1 47.4 5.1 4.6 43.5 34.5 43.5 34.5 5.1 5.1 3.9 3.9 Loan disbursements 6/ 27.2 18.3 18.4 11.4 6.1 Debt service payments 6/ Principal repayments Interest payments 12.9 4.9 8.0 13.5 5.9 7.6 14.1 6.1 8.0 10.3 12.1 5.9 4.4 7.4 4.7 Debt cancelation 7/ 0.0 0.0 2.5 14.0 0 Change in interest arrears 5/ 0.7 1.9 1.6 -0.7 0.0 Valuation adjustment 2.5 4.2 3.0 -2.60 3.27 85.7 84.7 5.2 86.6 85.1 5.2 78.7 77.4 3.6 74.8 73.7 4.0 Total debt outstanding, end of period (As a percentage of GDP) Memorandum items: External debt 1/ External debt excluding interest arrears 1/ External public debt service on a cash basis 1/ 80.1 79.8 5.1 Source: Ministry of Finance, and Fund staff estimates 1/ The data shown do not incorporate any assumptions regarding the outcome of the government's debt restructuring negotiations with nonparticipating creditors. 2/ Loan provided by Societe Generale and guaranteed by the U.K. government. The guarantee was exercised. 3/ Includes Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Grenada, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4/ Principal arrears included in the debt stock 5/ Includes arreas in dispute. Excludes arrears with Intercommercial Bank as debt with it was determined to be not the governments' responsibility 6/ On a cash basis. Includes IMF disbursements and repayments 7/ Refers to the agreement with Intercommercial Bank which was determined to be not the government's responsibility (year 2004) and a reallocation of an external bond from external to domestic (year 2005).