WIND POWER Pattern Energy Executive Director Hunter Armistead with his son, Cannon, outside the company’s office on San Francisco Bay. Energy for Generations San Francisco-based Pattern Energy Group is one of North America’s leading independent wind and transmission companies. CEO Mike Garland and Executive Director Hunter Armistead explain why Pattern is betting big on wind, share why it helps to find the right partner in the energy business, and examine the policy landscape in the USA. And then there’s the 13-year-old who might end up running the company someday. Photo (right): private Text: Justin Gerdes, Photos: Michelle McCarron “My mom was not very happy,” says Cannon Armistead. He and his father, Hunter, exchange a knowing look and smile. Cannon, 13, is recounting the story of how, on the night of a personal triumph, he wasn’t there to receive the accolades. For his seventh-grade science fair project, Cannon had devised an ingenious experiment to test the efficiency of wind turbines. He built a scale model test turbine, which he then attached to a generator and to a fan that provided the “wind.” Next, he connected the generator via alligator clips to a voltmeter, so he could measure voltage generated. He tested turbines with a different number of blades and blades of different weights. Cannonʼs presentation took first place at his school in the Bay Area – Science & Technology category, and he was a generic finalist in his Catholic Diocese before broader competition. “They never said ‘go to the awards,’” insists Cannon. Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 “He figured he didn’t have a chance because there were so many kids. There was pretty nerdy stuff going on,” says his father. “He and I made the joint decision it was OK not to go to the awards night.” Instead, Cannon went to his school’s skate night. His principal, his teacher and some classmates, meanwhile, went to the awards ceremony. Cannon ended up taking first prize. “I was inspired by my dad’s job,” says Cannon. Why Wind? In just over two years, Pattern Energy Group has emerged as one of North America’s leading independent wind and transmission companies. The company was founded in June 2009 by Cannon’s father, Hunter Armistead, Executive Director, and Mike Garland, CEO. Business has boomed. “We’re very lucky compared to a lot of our competitors. We’re two to three times what our business plan was originally,” u Cannon Armistead with his award-winning wind energy project. 63 WIND POWER says Garland. The company aims to be a top-ten wind developer within two years, with projects under way in the USA, Canada, and Latin America. Pattern is especially bullish on wind. Garland closed his first wind deal in 1989 and has gone on to manage the development and investment of nearly 4,000 MW of wind projects. “About 40 percent of the energy projects developed in the USA in the last three or four years have been wind. It’s a natural place for us to be,” he says. “People talk a lot about the technology and the cost reduction in the solar area, but they forget that wind has been just the same. We estimate 30 to 40 percent cost reductions over the last three years in the cost per kilowatthour of producing electricity out of wind.” Industrial Revolution in Wind There is an industrial revolution at work in the wind sector, says Garland. “You realize it if you look at the various components, the composite materials, the effort Siemens is making, for example, to reduce parts, the improvements in electronics, the software improvements, and the blade improvements.” The benefits accrue not just to new wind farms, but also to those already standing. “It’s even spilling over into existing projects, where they can go back and retrofit,” says Garland. Hunter Armistead notes that Pattern Energy undertook the first major repowering project at the Altamont Pass, east of San Francisco, California, where the company replaced 400 early-model wind turbines with 38 modern, more powerful ones. Fewer turbines mean a smaller site footprint and less harm to wildlife. “In the first year and a half, we were monitoring that project after we put it in,” says Garland, “and there was a reduction in bird fatalities of 80 percent.” quickened. “If you look at the very first turbine we bought from Siemens, it was using 93-meter blades; for that very same machine, in the exact same wind regime, two years later, we’re buying turbines using 108-meter blades,” says Armistead. Year over year, the new turbine is 20 percent more productive with the same wind resource. “It opens up new markets,” says Garland. “We can start looking at places that three, four, or five years ago we never would have thought about.” “More wind in more places,” says Armistead. “Projects that used to be too low for production – now, all of a sudden, they move up to an area where they are cost-effective.” A perfect example, says Armistead, is Pattern’s Finca de Viento Santa Isabel wind project, in Puerto Rico. The 75-MW project is scheduled to go online in September 2012. “That project never would have been economical 18 months ago, because the blades u Pattern Energy Group An independent, fully integrated energy company that develops, constructs, owns and operates clean energy and transmission assets in the USA, Canada, and Latin America. Founded June 2009 Offices in San Francisco (headquarters), Houston, San Diego, New York, Toronto and British Columbia The management team has developed, financed, and managed more than US$15 billion of energy assets and over 2,000 MW of wind power. 1,581 MW of 20+ year tenor contracts for wind power projects. Example: Finca de Viento Santa Isabel (75 MW). The first commercial wind energy project in Puerto Rico provides safe, renewable energy to about 25,000 homes as well as new jobs and tax revenue. More Wind in More Places Pattern CEO Mike Garland: “About 40 percent of the energy projects developed in the United States in the last three or four years have been wind. It’s a natural place for us to be.” With established players such as Siemens in the wind market, the pace of technological improvement has Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 65 www.patternenergy.com 66 WIND POWER WIND POWER would not have been efficient enough to capture the low wind,” he explains. “Or, if you bought very, very long blades, they wouldn’t have been strong enough to withstand the hurricanes. Now, technology has improved to where they are long enough to capture the wind and strong enough to withstand the hurricanes. Siemens has really been the technology leader in making the turbine more economic and more competitive. They’ve been able to do that because they have clients who continue to buy, like ourselves. When things were not as good two years ago, we were ordering turbines.” Matchmaking with Siemens A future Pattern Energy executive? Cannon Armistead aspires to an engineering career like his dad’s. Explaining why Pattern Energy does so much business with Siemens, Pattern’s primary supplier, Mike Garland says, “When we first started working with Siemens in the wind market, we both said, ‘We’re relationship-oriented.’ It was like dating: You both say you want a long-term relationship, but aren’t sure the other one really means it. Pretty soon, you find out that you both understand each other. We both threw ourselves at the relationship, and we’ve had a tremendous result.” Garland says it was important to Pattern that Siemens did want a long-term relationship – it makes dealing with contingencies easier. “There are always bumps in the road in this business: delays in the project because of permitting, or maybe there are economic issues on one project that you don’t have in another. It’s very important for there to be a collaborative process in which each side can understand the other.” He cites Pattern’s partnership with Siemens in Ontario, where Siemens is building a factory to supply turbines for the 870 MW of projects Pattern is scheduled to build in the province over the next three years. “We need to appreciate what a level of commitment that is by Siemens to support our business in Canada.” When Siemens invests in R&D, its customers gain a competitive advantage, explains Garland: “They are trying to stay ahead of the market and create the next generation of technology. That’s how we stay competitive. That’s how we can keep getting out and bidding projects and have them be cost-effective to the utility or the buyer.” Barry Nicholls, Vice President of Siemens Power Systems Sales, says, “We find that collaborative, trusting, long-term relationships with customers are productive for both of us, and we certainly feel that is the case with Pattern. It’s business, but it’s also personal, and we both do our best to provide the other with the results they expect.” US Policy Landscape While Garland and Armistead marvel at the pace of technological change and growth in the wind industry, they express concern that a shortsighted policy in the USA could derail one of the world’s hottest markets. A critical federal tax incentive, the 2.2¢/kWh production tax credit (PTC), expires at the end of 2012, absent action by Congress. “We’ve had consistent policy now for three years, and during that same time, we’ve seen technology just explode. If the policy is not continued past the end of next year, you’re going to see everything slow down tremendously,” says Armistead. In November 2011, US Representatives Dave Reichert (R-WA) and Earl Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 Blumenauer (D-OR) introduced a bill that would extend the PTC through 2016. “The bill is a great sign that there still is a lot of commitment in Congress to support wind,” says Garland. With the USA still reeling from the economic downturn, Garland is incredulous that any lawmaker would imperil a booming industry adding well-paid, domestic manufacturing jobs. “There are about 400 manufacturing facilities supporting wind in the USA now. We’ve gone from about a 25 percent US content to about a 65 percent manufacturing content in the USA,” says Garland, noting the factories built by Siemens and Vestas, among others. “While we are working hard to lower the cost of wind-generated power through product innovations and development and cost improvements on the product side in order to reduce the dependency on government incentives,” adds Siemens’ Mark Albenze, CEO Business Unit Americas of Siemens Wind Power Division since October 2011, “there is still a need for clear policies that drive the long-term demand of wind energy in the USA.” In the end, Garland expects Congress to act. “More than 75 percent of the US population – Republicans, Democrats, Independents – support wind. You now have manufacturing or wind farms in almost all the major congressional Republican and Democratic districts, so there is going to be a lot of pressure to protect and continue wind.” Energy for Generations Someday, perhaps, Cannon Armistead could be the one watching Congress, developing projects, and leading Pattern Energy into its third or fourth decade. If the current executives don’t hire him before then, that is. Hunter Armistead notes, with pride, that Cannon could probably reel off Pattern’s project details as well as he could. In college, Cannon says, he wants to study science, math, and engineering. The images bring to mind the tagline that greets visitors to the Pattern Energy homepage – the same Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 67 CEO Mike Garland and Executive Director Hunter Armistead: aiming to make Pattern Energy a top-ten developer within two years, with projects under way in the United States, Canada and Latin America. Mike Garland, CEO, Pattern Energy Background Garland has written several books and articles on energy and finance and holds a Bachelor of Arts in Physics from the University of California at Berkeley (USA). Professional Experience At Pattern, Garland oversees all aspects of the company’s operations, focusing on efficiency, raising and structuring capital, project selection, strategic planning, and corporate performance and values. Previously, he led Babcock & Brown’s North American Infrastructure Group, where he initiated and managed projects that grew to over US$12 billion of assets in less than five years. Hunter Armistead, Executive Director, Pattern Energy Background Armistead holds a Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering from Rice University in Houston, Texas (USA). Professional Experience Armistead manages Pattern’s project origination, construction and financing phrase Cannon chose as the title of his science fair project: Energy for Generations. p Justin Gerdes writes about energy and climate change from Northern California, USA. initiatives. Previously, he managed the renewable energy activities of Babcock & Brown’s North American Infrastructure Group, where he oversaw the expansion of the wind business, which grew to over 600 MW under construction across the USA annually.