ISI Statistics Quarter 3 2014 ISI Tackling problem debt together Insolvency Service of Ireland Quarter 3 2014 Table of Contents Foreword ......................................................................................................................... 3 Regulation ........................................................................................................................ 4 Case Management – DRN, DSA, PIA ................................................................................. 5 Creditor Acceptance/Rejection ........................................................................................ 7 Qualifying Debt since Launch ........................................................................................... 9 Applicant Profile – DRN, DSA, PIA (since launch) ............................................................ 10 Bankruptcy ..................................................................................................................... 11 Appendix – Data Tables .................................................................................................. 13 THE DEBT RELIEF NOTICE (DRN) PROVIDES FOR THE WRITE OFF OF QUALIFYING DEBT UP TO €20,000, SUBJECT TO A 3 YEAR SUPERVISION PERIOD. THE DEBT SETTLEMENT ARRANGEMENT (DSA) PROVIDES FOR THE AGREED SETTLEMENT OF UNSECURED DEBT WITH NO LIMITS INVOLVED OVER A PERIOD, NORMALLY EXPECTED TO BE 5 YEARS. THE PERSONAL INSOLVENCY ARRANGEMENT (PIA) PROVIDES FOR THE RESTRUCTURING OR SETTLEMENT OF SECURED DEBT OF UP TO €3M AND THE SETTLEMENT OF UNSECURED DEBT OVER A PERIOD, NORMALLY EXPECTED TO BE 6 YEARS. IN THE CASE OF A DSA OR PIA, AFTER A PROTECTIVE CERTIFICATE ISSUES, PERSONAL INSOLVENCY PRACTITIONERS (PIPS) WILL HAVE 70 DAYS IN WHICH TO DEVELOP AN ARRANGEMENT. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 2 Foreword I am pleased to publish the statistical report of the Insolvency Service of Ireland (ISI) covering the third quarter of 2014 (Q3). So far this year, the ISI has dealt with insolvent debtors with an aggregate debt of almost one billion euro. ISI activity increased in Q3, with more protective certificates issued, arrangements approved and bankruptcies than any previous quarter. There was a 41% increase in PIA protective certificates issued and a 78% increase in successful PIA arrangements. However, it is acknowledged that overall activity levels are lower than expected. The ISI is launching a number of initiatives this autumn through, its ‘back on track’ campaign, including the temporary waiving of application fees until the end of 2015. Through these initiatives, activity levels are expected to increase significantly over the coming months. Within this statistical report, an analysis of the outcome of protective certificates issued to date and the extent to which creditors have supported proposals made by PIPs is outlined. It is encouraging that three out of four cases are supported by creditors. These statistics will be updated on a quarterly basis and published in the statistics section of the ISI website - www.isi.gov.ie. Lorcan O'Connor Director 7th October 2014 These statistics are for informational purposes only. No person should place reliance on the accuracy of the statistics and should not act solely based on them. The statistics are primarily based upon cases created by duly authorised Approved Intermediaries and Personal Insolvency Practitioners on the ISI Case Management System, the official registers of Approved Intermediaries and Personal Insolvency Practitioners and the statement of affairs submitted by those seeking to be declared bankrupt. Figures cover the period 1 July 2014 to 30 September 2014 unless otherwise stated. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 3 Regulation There are 235 Personal Insolvency Practitioners and Responsible Persons available to meet debtors, on a face-to-face basis, to solve their debt problems. Personal Insolvency Practitioners 160 138 141 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 128 140 120 95 100 80 60 51 40 20 0 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 The ISI began authorising practitioners last autumn. There are now 141 Personal Insolvency Practitioners on the ISI register. Responsible Persons 94 100 87 90 73 80 70 55 60 50 40 35 30 20 10 0 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 42 MABS companies have been authorised as Approved Intermediaries. There are 94 responsible persons linked to these authorisations. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 4 Case Management – DRN, DSA, PIA More than 350 new applications in Q3 Almost 1,200 applications since launch 1400 400 DRN DSA PIA Total DRN 350 Total 1000 250 800 200 600 205 150 400 100 200 84 50 63 0 0 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 Q3 2014 180 Protective Certificates issued in Q3 180 PIA 352 300 200 DSA 1200 DSA PIA 450 Total 400 180 160 140 More than 400 Protective Certificates issued since launch DSA PIA Total 350 300 149 120 250 100 200 80 150 60 100 40 20 50 31 0 0 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 Q3 2014 More than 130 arrangements approved in Q3 More than 300 arrangements approved since launch 350 140 DRN DSA PIA DRN Total 131 120 DSA PIA Total 300 100 250 80 200 150 60 61 40 48 100 50 20 22 0 0 Q3 2014 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 5 Increase in Protective Certificates and Arrangements Since the ISI began accepting applications, Personal Insolvency Practitioners have created more than 1,150 cases. These numbers do not include cases created on the ISI system and subsequently withdrawn. Approved arrangements reflect the number of proposals approved by creditors and/or Court Q3 saw the highest number of protective certificates issued and arrangements approved to date. Percentage of debt to be written off under a DSA or a PIA Type of Debt Median Range PIA - Secured Debt 17% 0% → 69% PIA -Unsecured Debt 88% 27% → 100% DSA - Unsecured Debt 79% 26% → 98% PIA DSA Applicants for new arrangements (DRN, DSA, PIA) by County 404 119 62 44 13 13 16 61 30 18 12 5 56 46 36 3 16 18 10 10 9 18 Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 39 37 33 22 Page 6 Creditor Acceptance/Rejection The ISI has undertaken an analysis of protective certificates issued and the extent to which they have led to a solution that has returned insolvent debtors to solvency. Once a protective certificate has issued, one of the following outcomes is possible: PIP successfully uses the protective certificate period of 70 days to reach agreement between the debtor and his or her creditors. This is ultimately reflected in a 'YES' vote at a creditors meeting. PIP identifies and implements an alternative solution for the debtor that does not necessitate a DSA or PIA. No creditors meeting or vote is held. PIP is unsuccessful in reaching an agreement between the debtor and his or her creditors. This is ultimately reflected in a 'NO' vote at a creditors meeting or, if the PIP is of the view that a 'NO' vote is inevitable, the PIP may not proceed with a creditors meeting. In collating these figures, where a protective certificate has expired and the ISI is unaware of the outcome, it is assumed that an alternative solution has not been put in place. This conservative approach may be overstating the cases that have been unsuccessful. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 7 Creditor Acceptance / Rejection Rejected prior to creditors meeting Protective Certificate expired No vote Alternative solutions YES NO Yes vote DSA PIA TOTAL Yes vote 80% 61% 68% Alternative solutions 0% 6% 4% Successful outcome 80% 67% 72% No vote 15% 27% 23% Rejected prior to creditors meeting 0% 4% 2% Protective Certificate expired 5% 2% 3% Unsuccessful outcome 20% 33% 28% Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 8 Qualifying Debt since Launch €519 Million Qualifying Debt Revenue Debt Contingent Debt Other debt* Credit Union Trade Creditors PPR Lender Financial Institutions BTL Mortgages *Other debt includes personal guarantees, utilities, store cards/catalogues and professional fees. The total debt involved in the approximately 1,200 cases currently with the ISI is almost €520 million. You can find a breakdown of the type of debt in the chart above and table below. Principal Private Residence Mortgages € 225.23m 43.4% Buy to Let Mortgages € 164.00m 31.6% Financial Institutions € 67.99m 13.1% Trade Creditors € 20.24m 3.9% Credit Union Debt € 11.94m 2.3% Revenue Debt € 8.30m 1.6% Contingent Debt € 7.27m 1.4% € 14.01m 2.7% € 518.98m 100% Other debt* Total Qualifying Debt Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 9 Applicant Profile – DRN, DSA, PIA (since launch) Occupation Unemployed 26% Status Public Sector 11% Divorced/ Separated 14% Widow/er 1% Student 1% Selfemployed 10% Private Sector 43% Retired 2% Other 2% Single 25% Married/ Civil Partner 60% Housewife/ husband 5% Age Profile of Debtors 65 + 2% Gender 18 - 24 1% 55 - 64 13% 25 - 34 13% Female 48% 45 - 54 31% 35 - 44 40% An individual application is an application with a sole debtor. Types of Application Interlocking (PIA only) 40% Individual (DRN, DSA, PIA) 56% Joint (DSA, PIA) 4% Male 52% Where there are two (or more) debtors, who are jointly liable for all of the debts to be included in a DSA or a PIA arrangement, a joint application is appropriate. An interlocking application would be appropriate where two (or more) PIAs are to be administered in common; usually because of the financial relationship of the debtors involved. Examples would be a couple or business partners, where they are jointly liable for some - but not all - of the debts to be included in the PIA arrangement. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 10 Bankruptcy Bankruptcy Adjudications 350 300 301 250 200 150 137 100 98 50 66 58 0 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 2014 2013 The number of bankruptcies in Q3 2014 is more than double the total number for 2013. Q3 2014 bankruptcies have also exceeded Q2 2014, giving the highest number of new bankruptcies on record. This has been driven by the increase in debtor petitions, which now represents approximately 95% of 2014 bankruptcies. In the past, the vast majority of bankruptcies were based on creditor petitions. €400m Aggregate Bankruptcy Debt .€450,000,000 Secured Unsecured Total €400,000,000 €350,000,000 €300,000,000 €250,000,000 €200,000,000 €150,000,000 €100,000,000 €50,000,000 €0 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 2014 Page 11 €400m Aggregate Bankruptcy Debt (since 1st January 2014) Unsecured 33% Secured 67% The total debt involved in bankruptcy adjudications as of Q3 2014 is more than €400 million. This is made up of 67% secured debt and 33% unsecured debt. In the case of secured debt, it is likely that current market values of securities are significantly below debt levels. Number of Bankruptcies by County (since 1st January 2014) 77 32 29 21 14 12 2 5 5 3 5 7 14 10 2 2 4 3 10 3 Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 2 4 9 11 5 7 2 1 Page 12 Appendix – Data Tables Case Management Data Table Case Management Quarterly Statistics 2014 New Applications Period Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 2013 Total 121 332 347 352 0 121 2014 To date 1,031 1,152 DRN Protective Certificates 0 75 77 84 0 0 DSA 31 61 65 63 0 31 PIA 90 196 205 205 0 90 Total 11 59 152 180 0 11 236 236 189 220 606 696 n/a 118% 5% 0% n/a DSA PIA Arrangements Approved 5 24 46 31 0 5 6 35 106 149 0 6 Total 1 55 124 131 0 1 391 402 101 106 290 296 n/a 436% 158% 18% n/a n/a 380% 92% -33% n/a n/a 483% 203% 41% n/a DRN DSA PIA 0 44 67 61 0 0 1 6 30 22 0 1 0 5 27 48 0 0 310 311 172 172 58 59 80 80 n/a 5400% 125% 6% n/a n/a ∞ 52% -9% n/a n/a 500% 400% -27% n/a n/a ∞ 440% 78% n/a % change on previous quarter Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Note 1: Note 2: n/a 174% 5% 1% n/a n/a ∞ 3% 9% n/a n/a 97% 7% -3% n/a New applications for Q4 2013 plus Q1 and Q2 2014 adjusted for subsequently withdrawn cases 'Arrangements Approved' include those approved by creditors and/or by Court Bankruptcy Data Tables Q1 2014 Adjudications Q2 2014 2014 % Change on % Change on % Change on Previous Adjudications Previous Adjudications Previous Quarter Quarter Quarter 66 186.96% Q1 2014 Bankruptcy Debt Q3 2014 98 48.48% Q2 2014 % Share Bankruptcy Debt 137 % Share Bankruptcy Debt 301 2014 % Share % Change on 2013 Adjudications 39.80% Q3 2014 2013 58 418.97% 2013 Bankruptcy Debt % Change on 2013 Sec. €101,620,134 74.76% €89,231,001 57.25% €79,048,628 71.68% €269,899,763 €31,587,594 754.45% Unsec. €34,314,409 25.24% €66,627,214 42.75% €31,230,786 28.32% €132,172,409 €23,201,763 469.67% Total. €135,934,543 100.00% €110,279,414 100.00% €402,072,172 €54,789,357 633.85% 100.00% €155,858,215 Note: The percentage changes in the bankruptcy tables above have been rounded to two decimal places. Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 13 ISI Information Line and Website Data Table Telephone Emails Website Visits Total Contacts Pageviews PDF Downloads Q2 2013 1,828 725 34,611 37,164 203,487 11,201 Q3 2013 2,960 905 50,830 54,695 281,606 17,580 Q4 2013 2,326 339 31,198 33,863 173,567 9,836 Q1 2014 2,814 498 38,645 41,957 229,380 13,150 Q2 2014 2,852 639 32,231 35,722 212,758 9,462 Q3 2014 2,513 825 32,160 35,498 230,019 6,360 Q4 2014 0 0 0 0 0 0 2013 7,114 1,969 116,639 125,722 658,660 38,617 2014 8,179 1,962 103,036 113,177 672,157 28,972 To date 15,293 3,931 219,675 238,899 1,330,817 67,589 Insolvency Service of Ireland – Statistics Quarter 3 2014 Page 14