Integrating ecosystem services into planning processes: Lessons from Pongola and Lesotho Kate Pringle Institute of Natural Resources What are ecosystem services? Provisioning • Food • Fresh water • Raw materials Supporting • Nutrient cycling • Soil formation • Photosynthesis Cultural • Aesthetic • Spiritual • Recreational Regulating • Climate regulation • Flood attenuation • Water purification Ecosystem services and Planning processes • What’s missing from planning and what can ES offer? o Integration of biophysical and social components o Consideration of different temporal and spatial scales o Comparisons of alternatives • How do we integrate ES into planning? o Pongola study o Climate change adaptation in Lesotho Lankford, B, Pringle, C., Dickens, C, Lewis, F, Chhotray, V, Mander, M, Goulden, M, Nxele, Z and Quayle, L (2010) The impacts of ecosystem services and environmental governance on human well-being in the Pongola region, South Africa. Report to the Natural Environment Research Council. University of East Anglia and Institute of Natural Resources, London, Norwich, UK and Pietermaritzburg, South Africa. Step 1. Linking cover classes and services in Pongola Step 2a. Identifying drivers of change in Pongola Step 2a. Identifying drivers of change • Indirect drivers o Population change o Change in economic activity o Socio-political factors o Cultural factors o Technological change • Direct drivers o Land use change o Invasion of alien plants o Climate change Step 2b. Developing plausible scenarios for Pongola Step 3. Determining the impact of the scenarios • Structured single-sector economy o Increase in settlement off the floodplain o Increase in harvesting of natural resources o Increase in agriculture both on and off the floodplain o Reduced flooding causing shift toward more terrestrial species Impacts on cover classes Impacts on ecosystem services in Pongola Step 1. Linking cover classes and services in Lesotho Step 1. Linking cover classes and services in Lesotho Step 2a. Identifying drivers of change in Lesotho Step 2b. Developing plausible scenarios for Lesotho STABLE / STRUCTURED SOCIETY NON –COMMERCIAL / NO INVESTMENT SOCIO-POLITICAL DYNAMICS Scenario 1 Scenario 2 ECONOMIC DYNAMICS Scenario 4 Scenario 3 UNSTRUCTURED / UNSTABLE SOCIETY COMMERCIAL ECONOMY / CAPITAL INVESTMENT Step 3. Determining the impact of the scenarios • Related impacts to capability classes: o Scenario 2: Little increase in cultivation o Scenario 4: All areas were cultivated • Vegetation communities in high production areas most at risk Impacts on ecosystem services in Lesotho Projected change in ES under Scenario 2 at Setibi Impacts on ecosystem services in Lesotho Projected change in ES under Scenario 4 at Setibi Step 4. Assessing trade-offs in services Conclusions • ES approach provides a useful way of considering short and long-term benefits • Enables decision-makers to balance trade-offs • Maintains resilience and ensures sustainability! Way forward for Cape Town • Vegetation communities already mapped and ES identified – is this a suitable baseline? • Recommended that planning processes incorporate this information through a scenario approach • Trade-offs made should not comprise sustainability Thank you kpringle@inr.org.za 033 3460796