CHAPTER 14 Financial Statement Analysis Income Statement 14.1 THE MAJOR FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Table 14.1 Consolidated Statement of Income Four broad classes: – Cost of goods sold – General and administrative expenses – Interest expense – Taxes on earnings Common Sizing Balance Sheet Assets – Current – LongLong-term Liability and stockholders’ stockholders’ equity Common Sizing Table 14.2 Consolidated Balance Sheet Statement of Cash Flows Table 14.3 Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows Recognizes only transactions in which cash changes hands Accounting Versus Economic Earnings 14.2 ACCOUNTING VERSUS ECONOMIC EARNINGS Accounting earnings – Affected by several conventions regarding the valuation of assets Economic earnings – Earnings above or below a trend line Past Versus Future ROE 14.3 PROFITABILITY MEASURES Data from recent past may provide information regarding future performance Analysts should always keep an eye on the future Expectations of future dividends and earnings determine intrinsic value of stock Financial Leverage and ROE The relationship among ROE, ROA, and leverage: 14.4 RATIO ANALYSIS Debt ROE = (1 − Tax rate) ROA + ( ROA − Interest rate) Equity Decomposition of ROE Ratio Analysis Purpose of Ratio Analysis Uses – Trend analysis – Comparative analysis – Combination Use by External Analysts – Important information for investment community – Important for credit markets Type of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratios Turnover or Asset Utilization Ratios Liquidity Ratios Leverage Ratios Market Price Ratios ROE = Net Profit x Pretax Profit (1) Tax Burden x x Pretax Profit EBIT (2) Interest Burden x x EBIT Sales (3) x x Sales Assets (4) x x Assets Equity (5) x Margin x Turnover x Leverage Profitability Ratios Net Profit Margin % Net Income Sales Operating Return on Assets % Earnings Before Int. & Taxes Total Assets Profitability Ratios (cont.) Return on Equity % Net Income Common Equity Operating Margin After Depreciation % Operating Profit Sales Activity or Management Efficiency Ratios (cont.) Average Collection Period Accounts Receivable Sales Per Day Days to Sell Inventory Inventory Sales Per Day Leverage Ratios Times Interest Earned Earnings Before Int. & Taxes Interest Expense Fixed Charge Coverage Ratios Lease Payments Principal Repayments Preferred Dividends Activity or Management Efficiency Ratios Inventory Turnover Sales or Cost of Goods Sold Inventory Total Asset Turnover Sales Total Assets Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio Current Assets Current Liabilities Quick Ratio Current Assets - Inventory Current Liabilities Leverage Ratios (cont.) Debt to Assets % Long Term Debt Assets Debt to Equity % Long Term Debt Shareholders Equity Market Price Ratios Figure 14.1 DuPont Decomposition for Hewlett-Packard Price to Earnings Market Price of Stock Earnings MarketMarket-toto-BookBook-Value Market Price of Stock Book Value Per Share Economic Value Added 14.5 ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED Approach to compare accounting profitability with the cost of capital Definition – ROAROA-K (Capital Invested in the firm) – K = opportunity cost for capital Ties accounting to return by investors Table 14.12 Economic Value Added, 2006 14.6 AN ILLUSTRATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Table 14.13 Key Financial Ratios of Growth Industries Inc. Table 14.14 Growth Industries Statement of Cash Flows Comparability Problems 14.7 COMPARABILITY PROBLEMS Quality of Earnings: Areas of Accounting Choices Allowance for bad debts NonNon-recurring items Earnings smoothing Stock options Revenue recognition OffOff-balance sheet assets and liabilities Inventory valuation – LIFO and FIFO Depreciation Inflation and interest expense International Accounting Conventions Reserving practices Depreciation Intangibles Figure 14.2 Adjusted Versus Reported Price-Earnings Ratios 14.8 VALUE INVESTING: THE GRAHAM TECHNIQUE Benjamin Graham Graham believed careful analysis of a firm’ firm’s financial statements could turn up bargain stocks He developed many different rules for determining the most important financial ratios