Strictly Private and Confidential Gadsden Independent School District No. 16 $9,500,000 - General Obligation School Building Bonds, Series 2014 August 14, 2014 Disclaimer This presentation was prepared exclusively for the benefit of and internal use by the recipient for the purpose of considering the transaction or transactions contemplated herein. This presentation is confidential and proprietary to RBC Capital Markets, LLC (“RBC CM”) and may not be disclosed, reproduced, distributed or used for any other purpose by the recipient without RBC CM’s express written consent. 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IRS Circular 230 Disclosure: RBC CM and its affiliates do not provide tax advice and nothing contained herein should be construed as tax advice. Any discussion of U.S. tax matters contained herein (including any attachments) (i) was not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, by you for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties; and (ii) was written in connection with the promotion or marketing of the matters addressed herein. Accordingly, you should seek advice based upon your particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor. 1 History of Assessed Valuation 2010 Residential Non-Residential Total 2011 2012 2013 2014* $414,742,749 $418,843,096 $429,846,775 $444,769,473 $460,825,365 334,064,333 338,275,688 370,439,960 378,480,422 406,913,945 $748,807,082 $757,118,784 $800,286,735 $823,249,895 $867,739,310 5.7% 1.1% 5.7% 2.9% 5.4% % Change Over Previous Year * Preliminary. Source: New Mexico Taxation & Revenue Department. History of Assessed Valuation $1,000,000,000 6.0% $900,000,000 5.0% $800,000,000 $700,000,000 4.0% $600,000,000 $500,000,000 3.0% $400,000,000 2.0% $300,000,000 $200,000,000 1.0% $100,000,000 $0 0.0% 2010 2011 Residential 2 2012 Non-Residential 2013 % Change Over Previous Year 2014* New vs. Re-Appraisal TY2013 Total Residential Total Non-Residential Total Assessor's Valuation Central Assesment TOTAL AV New Re-Appraisal TY2014 Total Assessor's Valuation Central Assesment TOTAL AV Total Assessor's Valuation Central Assesment TOTAL AV $4,686,542 1.05% $460,825,365 3.73% $2,792,322 $279,232 10.00% $461,104,597 3.79% 3.64% (5,192,732) -2.37% 221,877,117 1.27% 11,969,082 3,590,725 30.00% 225,467,842 2.91% 0.00% $682,702,482 2.92% $14,761,404 $3,869,957 20.00% $686,572,439 3.50% 185,036,828 13.08% 7,988,750 0.00% 185,036,828 13.08% $867,739,310 4.93% $22,750,154 20.00% $871,609,267 5.39% $22,750,154 2.62% $663,359,336 0.00% 163,639,459 $826,998,795 $0 0.00% $0 0.00% New Re-Appraisal TY2013 Total Assessor's Valuation Central Assesment TOTAL AV $3,869,957 Protested Protested Value Back % of Actual Final % Property on Tax Roles Protested Value Growth $12,785,724 2.97% $2,771,995 0.64% $445,404,494 3.62% $1,175,314 ($1,143,069) -97.26% $444,261,425 3.35% 228,548,616 3,011,334 1.32% (17,417,052) -7.62% 214,142,898 -6.30% 4,772,969 4,955,013 103.81% 219,097,911 -4.14% $658,395,391 $15,797,058 2.40% ($14,645,057) -2.22% $659,547,392 0.17% $5,948,283 $3,811,944 64.08% $663,359,336 0.75% 163,639,459 15.33% 9,044,646 0.00% 163,639,459 15.33% $823,186,851 2.86% $14,992,929 25.42% $826,998,795 3.34% $11,180,985 1.36% 141,891,344 $800,286,735 $15,797,058 1.97% New ($14,645,057) -1.83% Re-Appraisal TY2012 $3,811,944 Protested Protested Value Back % of Actual Final % Property on Tax Roles Protested Value Growth $418,843,096 $7,017,707 1.68% $1,276,550 0.30% $427,137,353 1.98% $2,676,584 $2,709,422 101.23% $429,846,775 2.63% 207,279,605 5,052,499 2.44% 9,327,308 4.50% 221,659,412 6.94% 9,249,180 6,889,204 74.48% 228,548,616 10.26% $626,122,701 $12,070,206 1.93% $10,603,858 1.69% $648,796,765 3.62% $11,925,764 $9,598,626 80.49% $658,395,391 5.15% 141,891,344 8.32% 965,549 0.00% 141,891,344 8.32% $790,688,109 4.43% $12,891,313 74.46% $800,286,735 5.70% $3,292,687 0.42% 130,996,083 $757,118,784 $12,070,206 1.59% New $10,603,858 1.40% Re-Appraisal TY2011 $9,598,626 Protested Protested Value Back % of Actual Final % Property on Tax Roles Protested Value Growth $414,742,749 $9,539,915 2.30% ($5,097,867) -1.23% $419,184,797 1.07% $927,880 ($341,701) -36.83% $418,843,096 0.99% 210,980,842 1,115,353 0.53% (12,168,192) -5.77% 199,928,003 -5.24% 13,010,716 7,351,602 56.50% 207,279,605 -1.75% $625,723,591 $10,655,268 1.70% ($17,266,059) -2.76% $619,112,800 -1.06% $13,938,596 $7,009,901 50.29% $626,122,701 0.06% 130,996,083 6.43% 286,418 0.00% 130,996,083 6.43% $750,108,883 0.17% $14,225,014 49.28% $757,118,784 1.11% $7,215,113 0.96% 123,083,491 $748,807,082 $10,655,268 1.42% Actual Protested Property/Total AV Source: Dona Ana & Otero County Assessor's Office PTD-02 and PTD-03 Reports. 3 - $429,846,775 TY2010 Total Non-Residential Growth 2.67% Actual Protested Property/Total AV Total Residential % Value 7,971,938 TY2011 Total Non-Residential Estimated Final Protested $11,877,398 Actual Protested Property/Total AV Total Residential % of Back on Tax Roles 219,097,911 TY2012 Total Non-Residential Est. Protested Value Property $444,261,425 Protested Property/Total AV Total Residential Protested ($17,266,059) -2.31% $7,009,901 History of Tax Rates Tax Year Operational Resid. Non-Resid. Two Mill Levy Resid. Non-Resid. Debt Service ETN Bonds Total Debt Service Resid. Total Non-Resid. 2014* $0.322 $0.500 $2.000 $2.000 $2.238 $12.076 $14.314 $16.636 $16.814 2013 0.322 0.500 2.000 2.000 1.926 12.400 14.326 16.648 16.826 2012 0.317 0.500 2.000 2.000 1.756 12.575 14.331 16.648 16.831 2011 0.308 0.500 2.000 2.000 3.858 10.480 14.338 16.646 16.838 2010 0.298 0.500 2.000 2.000 4.044 10.308 14.352 16.650 16.852 2009 0.276 0.500 2.000 2.000 3.676 10.676 14.352 16.628 16.852 2008 0.268 0.500 2.000 2.000 2.587 11.752 14.339 16.607 16.839 2007 0.267 0.500 2.000 2.000 - 14.345 14.345 16.612 16.845 2006 0.265 0.500 2.000 2.000 0.827 13.515 14.342 16.607 16.842 2005 0.256 0.500 1.936 2.000 1.198 13.150 14.348 16.540 16.848 Source: New Mexico Public Education Department *Estimated History of Total Residential Tax Rates 18 Total Residential Tax Rate 16.636 16.648 16.648 16.646 16.650 16.628 16.607 16.612 16.607 16.540 13.515 13.150 0.827 1.198 2.000 1.936 16 14 12 10.480 10.308 10.676 Operational Residential 12.076 11.752 12.400 12.575 10 14.345 Two Mill Levy Residential 8 ETN Debt Service Bonds Debt Service 6 3.858 4 2.238 1.926 4.044 3.676 2.587 1.756 2 2.000 0 4 Source: New Mexico Public Education Department *Estimated 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 0.322 0.322 0.317 0.308 0.298 0.276 0.268 0.267 0.265 0.256 2014* 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Debt Management Plan Overview Bond Election Timing Every four years – 5 $38,000,000 bond election approved by voters on February 4, 2014 with bonds to be sold as follows: • $9,500,000 to be sold on September 25, 2014 • $9,500,000 to be sold in 2015, 2016 and 2017 or as directed by the District – Next bond election – February 2018 for approximately $37,000,000 – Next two mill levy election – February 2018 Bond Maturity Schedule Declining debt service to permit new bonds in future without tax increase 10 final maturity (20-year maximum maturity pursuant to State law) Create capacity by retiring debt as quickly as cashflow from tax levy will permit G/O Education Technology Lease Purchase Certificates of Participation (COPs) Sold annually or biannually (or as directed by the District) to pay for technology equipment, software, hardware, tech support and maintenance Notes will be retired within two years Bond & COP Tax Rate Maintain a combined GOB & COP debt service tax rate at or below $14.35 level Maintain SB9 levy @ $2.00 Bonding Capacity BONDING CAPACITY 14-Aug-14 2014 Preliminary Assessed Valuation 6% of Assessed Valuation Less Outstanding Debt (As of August 14, 2014) Less General Obligation Bonds, Series 2014 Total Debt Outstanding Debt Capacity % Bonded to Capacity 6 $867,739,310 $52,064,359 36,205,000 9,500,000 45,705,000 $6,359,359 87.79% Outstanding and New Issue Debt Service Tax Year Ending 2014 Current GOB Requirements Principal Interest Total $ 10,705,000.00 $ 1,249,458.10 $ 11,954,458.10 Total Principal $ 10,705,000.00 Total Interest $1,249,458.10 Total Requirements $ 11,954,458.10 2015 6,005,000.00 1,087,573.00 7,092,573.00 $ 3,350,000.00 4.000% $ 301,888.89 9,355,000.00 1,389,461.89 10,744,461.89 2016 6,350,000.00 912,415.00 7,262,415.00 575,000.00 4.000% 246,000.00 6,925,000.00 1,158,415.00 8,083,415.00 2017 6,600,000.00 718,867.00 7,318,867.00 600,000.00 4.000% 223,000.00 7,200,000.00 941,867.00 8,141,867.00 2018 5,125,000.00 502,439.00 5,627,439.00 925,000.00 4.000% 199,000.00 6,050,000.00 701,439.00 6,751,439.00 2019 4,125,000.00 351,491.00 4,476,491.00 500,000.00 4.000% 162,000.00 4,625,000.00 513,491.00 5,138,491.00 2020 3,025,000.00 231,715.50 3,256,715.50 500,000.00 4.000% 142,000.00 3,525,000.00 373,715.50 3,898,715.50 2021 2,425,000.00 149,250.00 2,574,250.00 500,000.00 4.000% 122,000.00 2,925,000.00 271,250.00 3,196,250.00 2022 1,575,000.00 76,500.00 1,651,500.00 800,000.00 4.000% 102,000.00 2,375,000.00 178,500.00 2,553,500.00 2023 975,000.00 29,250.00 1,004,250.00 850,000.00 4.000% 70,000.00 1,825,000.00 99,250.00 1,924,250.00 900,000.00 4.000% 36,000.00 900,000.00 36,000.00 936,000.00 $ 1,603,888.89 $ 56,410,000.00 2024 TOTAL 7 G/O Bonds, Series 2014 Principal Coupon Interest - $ 46,910,000.00 $ 5,308,958.60 $ 52,218,958.60 $ 9,500,000.00 $6,912,847.49 $ 63,322,847.49 Bond Sale Calendar GADSDEN INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT NO. 16 $9,500,000 - General Obligation School Building Bonds, Series 2014 Preliminary Financing Schedule (As of July 16, 2014) Date Activity Responsibility Thurs., Aug 14 Regular Board meeting to adopt Blanket Notice of Sale Resolution for G/O Bonds at 5:00pm SD, RBC, BC Fri., Sep. 5 Rating visit with Moody’s in Dallas at 9:30 AM (Central Time) SD, RBC Thurs., Sep. 18 Post Preliminary Official Statement on i-dealprospectus.com RBC Thurs., Sep. 18 Publish Notice of Sale for G/O Bonds BC Thurs., Sep. 25 Public sale for Series 2014 G/O Bonds at 10:00 AM SD, RBC, BC Thurs., Sep. 25 Regular Board meeting to adopt final G/O Bond Resolution at 5:00pm SD, RBC, BC Fri., Sep. 26 Notice of Adoption for G/O Bonds published in paper of local circulation BC Thur., Oct. 23 Executed closing documents returned to bond counsel SD, RBC, BC Mon., Oct. 27 Thirty day limitation of action period expires Wed., Oct. 29 Bond Closing SD, RBC, BC Working Group Key Code SD Participant Gadsden Independent School District No. 16 Role Issuer RBC RBC Capital Markets Financial Advisor BC Cuddy & McCarthy Bond Counsel Note 1: School Board meets 2nd and 4th Thursday of every month Note 2: Publications in Las Cruces Sun News 8 Weekly Municipal Market Update August 11, 2014 Short-Term Market Market Overview Yields in the short-term tax-exempt variable rate demand note (VRDN) market moved higher last week, particularly in the second half of the week. As the demand from August coupon reinvestments waned, yields were pushed higher, although in a controlled fashion of roughly 1 bps per day. The SIFMA Index was reset at 0.05%, down 1bps on the week. SIFMA vs. LIBOR 300% 250% 150% 100% 50% SIFMA vs LIBOR 10 Source: Bloomberg Average 07/06/2014 04/06/2014 01/06/2014 10/06/2013 07/06/2013 04/06/2013 01/06/2013 10/06/2012 07/06/2012 04/06/2012 01/06/2012 10/06/2011 07/06/2011 04/06/2011 01/06/2011 10/06/2010 07/06/2010 04/06/2010 01/06/2010 10/06/2009 07/06/2009 04/06/2009 01/06/2009 0% 10/06/2008 % 200% Long-Term Market Municipal GO “AAA” MMD Yield Curve Changes Market Overview The weakness in equity markets in the previous week spilled over to early last week, as the S&P 500 Index was down nearly 1% through Thursday’s close. However, news reports on Friday that Russian President Putin was pulling back, at least temporarily, from what looked to be an imminent invasion of Ukraine, appeared to be the spark for a sharp snapback in stocks. By Friday’s close, equities had recovered their losses from early in the week to finish up fractionally. The “risk off” weakness in equities early in the week provided a good backdrop for Treasury bonds, which traded to their low yield levels for the year. Treasuries were also able to hold on to the majority of their gains on Friday when stocks were rallying. For the week as a whole, the yield on the 30-yr Treasury declined by 5bps to 3.23% and the yield on the 10-yr was down by 7bps to 2.42%. Readers will recall that we started 2014 with yields of roughly 3% on the 10-yr and 4% on the 30-yr, with many analysts predicting that yields would head higher as the Fed began its tapering of quantitative easing (QE) purchases of Treasuries and agency securities. Now, as we near the end of QE, we are sharply lower in yield than we were when we began the year, even as the unemployment rate has dropped and there are some signs that inflation may be picking up. The muni market gained along with Treasuries last week, outperforming the Treasury market by declining in yield more. Yields on the Municipal Market Data (MMD) AAA GO curve decreased by between 10bps and 12bps for maturities of 10-yrs and longer, with the larger declines in the middle of the yield curve. The outperformance for munis on the week was due to yields declining on Friday even as Treasury yields increased slightly after the equity market recorded its large gains on the day. It will be interesting to see if munis can maintain those gains in the upcoming week, especially as we will see one of the heavier new issue calendars of the summer (more than $6bn) that includes three large issues, each of more than $800mm – Minnesota GO’s, New York City GO’s, and the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. This upcoming week also sees the expiration of the short extension given to the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) to repay two letters of credit (LOC) totaling nearly $675mm. Those LOCs originally were scheduled to expire on July 7th, but were extended first until July 31st and then to August 14th. According to data from Lipper, municipal bond mutual funds saw inflows of $17mm last week – this was a decline from the $17mm of inflows in the preceding week. High yield funds again saw inflows of $60mm as they continued to recover some funds lost earlier that coincided with some of the most negative headlines coming out of Puerto Rico. 4.50% 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Year 08/08/2014 U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Changes 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 08/08/2014 11Source: Bloomberg and Thomson Municipal Market Data 08/08/2013 7 yr 10 yr 08/08/2013 15 yr 20 yr 30 yr Municipal Market Fund Flows Until Fund Flows stabilize, trading in the municipal market will remain volatile According to data from Lipper, for the week ended August 06, 2014, weekly municipal bond funds reported $17 million in inflows, down from previous week’s $419 million of inflows For the year, weekly and monthly municipal funds have recorded $11.155 billion in net inflows and have only recorded net weekly outflows 6 times (31 reporting weeks thus far) For the third consecutive week, high yield municipal funds experienced modest inflows, recording $60 million in net inflows. Fund Flow ($ millions) Lipper Municipal Fund Flows $2,000 $2,000 $1,000 $1,000 $0 $0 ($1,000) ($1,000) ($2,000) ($2,000) ($3,000) ($3,000) Flow Change ($4,000) ($5,000) Dec-10 4-Wk Moving Avg ($5,000) Apr-11 Period ended August 06, 2014 12 ($4,000) Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 7/2 7/9 7/16 7/23 7/30 8/6 Tax-Exempt Market Dynamics Muni Bonds: 2014 Issuance versus Redemptions Net Inflows in 24 of the First 31 Weeks of the Year $2,000 Actual Supply RBC Forecast Supply Redemptions $1,000 Fund Flow ($ millions) $0 $30 $20 $10 ($1,000) ($2,000) ($3,000) Flow Change ($4,000) 4-Wk Moving Avg ($5,000) Dec-10 $0 2013 & 2014 Municipal Weekly Volume Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 2,000 13 Source: Bloomberg, Lipper and Thomson Municipal Market Data Jul-14 May-14 Apr-14 Mar-14 Jan-14 Dec-13 Oct-13 Sep-13 Aug-13 Jun-13 May-13 Mar-13 Feb-13 Jan-13 0 100 50 0 Aug-13 4,000 150 Aug-12 6,000 BBB Spread 200 Aug-11 8,000 A Spread Aug-10 10,000 AA Spread Aug-09 Basis Point Spread to AAA MMD Competitive Negotiated Average 12,000 Jan-14 Credit Spreads Remain Tight for Highly Rated Issuers 250 14,000 $ millions Par Amount ($BN) $40 Aug-14 $50 May-14 Comparison of Minimum vs. Current vs. Maximum AAA MMD 2013 & 2014 Comparison 7.00 Historical Ten Year Comparison 7.00 Min Min 08/08/2014 08/08/2014 Max Max 6.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 % % 6.00 3.00 3.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 14 Source: Thomson Municipal Market Data Current 2013 & 2014 08/08/2014 Min Max 1.18 0.72 1.60 2.15 1.65 3.04 2.63 2.05 3.82 2.95 2.35 4.27 3.15 2.63 4.44 3.20 2.69 4.51 5 10 Year Min Max 0.62 3.97 1.47 4.86 1.80 5.47 2.10 5.74 2.42 5.88 2.47 5.94 10 15 20 25 30 Current Municipal Market Conditions: “AAA” MMD After closing at 3.30% the previous week, the 30-year “AAA” MMD decreased by 10 bps from August 1 – August 8 to a current rate of 3.20% “AAA” MMD January 1, 2007 to Present Shift in “AAA” MMD Since July 2013 5.000% 6.000% 4.500% 5.000% 4.000% 3.500% 4.000% 3.000% 3.000% 2.500% 2.000% 1.000% Jan-07 2.000% 1.500% Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 10 Yr 20 Yr Jan-12 20 Year 30 Year Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan FebMar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Maximum 4.860% 5.740% 5.940% Minimum 1.470% 2.100% 2.470% 2.950% 3.200% July 1, 2013 to Present 2010 0.520% 2011 -1.130% 2012 -0.740% 2013 +1.330% Source: TM3, Thomson Reuters 10, 20, and 30 year “AAA” MMD shown to represent different average lives of municipal transactions Rates as of August 8, 2014 15 Jan-14 30 Yr January 1, 2007 to Present 10 Year Current 2.150% Shift in 30-year "AAA" MMD 2007 2008 2009 0.250% 0.790% -0.900% Jan-13 10 Year 20 Year 30 Year Maximum 3.040% 4.270% 4.510% Minimum 2.140% 2.990% 3.220% Average 2.152% 3.121% 3.457% Bond Buyer 20 General Obligation Bond Index 53 Year Historical Perspective Bond Buyer 20 GO Index since January 1961 14.0% % of Time in Each Range Since 1961 Bond Buyer 20 GO Bond Index Today's Rate at 4.33% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% Yield Range Less than 3.50% 8.76% 3.50% - 4.00% 6.44% 4.01% - 4.50% 11.12% 4.51% - 5.00% 10.80% 5.01% - 5.50% 15.06% 5.51% - 6.00% 10.48% 6.01% - 6.50% 8.12% 6.51% - 7.00% 7.40% 7.01% - 7.50% 6.69% 7.51% - 8.00% Greater than 8.00% Total 3.93% 11.19% 100.00% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Today’s 4.33% level is lower than 79.51% of historical rates since January 1961 16 Source: Bloomberg as of July 31, 2014 {Bond Buyer Index unavailable at time of distribution} Weekly yields and indexes released by the Bond Buyer. Updated every Thursday at approximately 6:00pm EST. 20 Bond General Obligation Yield with 20 year maturity, rated AA2 by Moody's Arithmetic Average of 20 bonds' yield to maturity.