Decision Support Systems for Supply Chain Management Chap 10 王仁宏 助理教授 國立中正大學企業管理學系 ©Copyright 2001 製商整合科技中心 Decision Support Systems • Some decisions are better made by people: flexibility, intuition, wisdom • Some decisions are better made by computers • DSS allow computers and people to work together to make better decisions, range from spreadsheets to expert systems. • Advanced Planning and Scheduling (APS) Areas of DSS • Demand planning • Supply planning: distribution resource planning system (DRP) • Manufacturing planning and scheduling Mathematical Tools of DSS • Operations research: developed in World War II • Artificial intelligence (AI): intelligent agents • Expert systems: a kind of AI, rely on an extensive database of knowledge DSS Components • Input data – Becoming easier to obtain – Quality important - validation • Analytical tools – Simulation, AI, optimization, data mining – Heuristics vs. Optimal solutions, bounds • Presentation tools – GIS, graphical displays Analytical Tools • • • • • • • • Queries Statistical analysis Data mining Online analytical processing (OLAP) tools Calculators Simulation Artificial intelligence Mathematical models and algorithms Choose Appropriate Analytical Tools • • • • The type of problem being considered Required accuracy of the solution Problem Complexity Number and type of quantifiable output measures • Required speed of DSS • Number of objectives or goals of the decision maker Applications and Analytical Tools • Marketing: Query, statistics, data mining • Routing: Heuristics, exact algorithm • Production scheduling: simulation, heuristics dispatch rules • Logistics network configuration: simulation, heuristics, exact algorithms • Mode selection: heuristics, exact algorithm Presentation Tools • • • • • • Reports Charts Spreadsheet tables Animation Specialized graphic formats: layout Geographic Information System (GIS) GIS Capabilities • • • • • • • • • Mapping and thematic mapping Database management Interactive data query Spatial data retrieval Geographic data manipulation Spatial data analysis Geocoding: translate addresses into geographic coordinates Geographic data import/export Buffering/polygon overlay GIS Application Areas • • • • • • • • • Marketing analysis Census and demographic data analysis Real estate Geology Forestry Network analysis Site selection Routing Supply chain management DSS Evaluation • P. 272 Logistics Network Design DSS Examples • Logistics Network Design • Supply Chain Planning • Vehicle Routing and Scheduling Logistics Network Design • Data: – A listing of all products – Location of customers, existing warehouses and sources – Demand for each product by customer location – Transportation rates – Variable production costs – Warehousing costs – Shipment sizes by product Logistics Network Design • Data (Contd.): – Order patterns by frequency, size, season, product – Order processing costs – Customer service objectives Logistics Network Design Logistics Network Design • The Key Issues: – Number of warehouses – Location of each warehouse – Size of each warehouse – Allocation of products to the different warehouses – Allocation of customers to each warehouse Logistics Network Design • The Objective is to balance service level against – production/ purchasing costs, – inventory carrying costs, – facility costs • storage, • handling, • fixed, – transportation costs. Logistics Network Design Supply Chain Planning • Data: – Information regarding suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses and retail stores. – Forecast demands for each store. – Available transportation modes, transportation costs and inventory costs. Supply Chain Planning • Demand planning • Production planning and detailed scheduling • Distribution planning Supply Chain Planning • Constraints: – – – – – Each store receives its demand. Warehouse Capacity. Supplier/ Manufacturer limitations. Delivery Time. Service Level. • Goal: – Design production and distribution schedules so that no constraint is violated and total cost including manufacturing, inventory and transportation is as small as possible. Vehicle Routing • Data: – A set of vehicles, – demand locations (or customers) where demand is picked up, – depots. Vehicle Routing Vehicle Routing • Constraints: – Each demand location is visited and the demand is picked – Vehicle Capacity. – Distance Constraint. – Time Window Constraints: • Earliest Pick-up time, • Service time, • Latest pick-up time. Vehicle Routing • Goal: – Design routes for vehicles such that no constraint is violated and either • total length of routes is as small as possible, or • number of vehicles is minimized. Vehicle Routing Vehicle Routing DSS: Past Approaches and Limitations • Many procedures have been developed. – A common limitation of these procedures is the lack of robustness • Lack of inexpensive graphical representation tools for geographic data. • Inability to solve large scale problems on desk-top computers. New Developments • Deeper understanding of – the underlying structure of effective strategies for large scale models, – uncertainty issues. • Development of new procedures that are – – – – robust efficient practical fast. New Developments • Significant increase in computing power. • Development of desk-top Decision Support tools such as Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Geographic Information Systems (GIS) • Definition: A GIS is an integrated computer mapping and database management system that provides functions for the storage, retrieval, management, analysis and display of geographic data. Typical GIS Capabilities • • • • • Mapping Database management Geographic Data Retrieval Geographic Data Manipulation Geographic Data Analysis Typical GIS Interface Typical GIS Applications • • • • Census and Demographic Data Analysis Market Analysis Land Use/ Parcel Mapping Network Analysis – Transportation, – Telecommunications • Site Location Modeling • Distribution, Logistics and Supply-Chain Management. Benefits of Integrating GIS with Optimization • Development of Model Input • Visualization of Data • Provides Accurate Street Level Data Base – One Way Streets – Turn Difficulties • Visualization of Strategies Generated by the Procedure Benefits of Integrating GIS with Optimization • Incorporate Travel Time Estimation • Model Evaluation • Interactive Decision Support System. Table 1:Software Vendors/Logistics Topic CAPS Logistics Insight Intertrans LogicTools Established 1979 1978 1991 1995 Home page www.caps.com www.insightmss.com www.itls.com www.logictool.com Products Supply Chain Designer, Supply Chain Coordinator, Transpro, Routepro SAILS GSCM SHIPCONS II BDS Supply Chain Strategist Global Logistics Manager Carrier bid optimizer Transportation Modeler Transportation Optimizer Transportation Manager LogicNet LogicChain Platform MS Windows MS Windows Client/server MS Windows A Step Back: Information Technology • Internal and external systems connecting the parts of the firm to each other, customers and suppliers • Companies employ various systems: – Decision support systems – Warehouse management systems – Production planning and tracking – Transaction and sales processing – Communications systems: Email, Intranets Memo