2011 SEAISI Singapore Conference & POSCO’s Regional Strategies toward Southeast Asian Steel Industries May 23, 2011 Chief Executive Officer, POSCO Joon-Yang Chung Snapshot of POSCO’s History History of ‘Creative Management’ : Ability to Create Something from Scratch POSCO Overview (’10) Crude Steel Production (mmt) Steel Production : 33.7 Million tons Employment: 16,898 employees FINEX Commercialized 30 Privatized NYSE Listed 20 10 Gwangyang Works Constructed Pohang Works Constructed Sales : USD 28.2 Billion Market Capitalization: USD 38.6 Billion (‘11.5) 07 Global Evaluations 00 94 Davos Forum selected POSCO as ‘Global Top 100 Company’ (’10.1) 92 Dow Jones Sustainability Index included POSCO as a sustainable leading company for 6 consecutive years (’10.9) 83 68Foundation 1968 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007 2010 1 World Steel Dynamics recognized POSCO for the world’s best competitiveness (WSD, ‘10) Fortune Magazine's “most admired company” (metal category, ’11.3) 2 Ⅰ Key Issues for Global Steel Industry Ⅱ Potential of South-east Asian Steel Industry Ⅲ POSCO in South-east Asia Ⅳ Concluding Remarks 3 ① Challenges and Opportunities on Environment Environment: the biggest challenge and core of competitiveness for steel industry Regulations: Post-Kyoto Regime, National Act for Green Growth, etc. • EU adapted its Emission Trading Scheme in 2005 Challenges: Demand for Decreasing Energy Usage and for CO2 Reduction • The steel industry accounts for 4~5% of total global CO2 gas emissions – IEA Emerging new paradigm of “Low Carbon and Green Growth” Climate Change / Green Growth were key issues of Seoul G20 Business Summit, 2010 Low Carbon and Green Growth 4 POSCO, for Global Green Growth Leader Enforcing Steel Competitiveness through Improvement of Energy Efficiency and Breakthrough Technology Improvement of Energy Efficiency -Improve energy efficiency of current processes by heat recovery and re-use Development of New CO2 reduction Steel Process -Develop innovative steelmaking processes to save energy • POSBOP (POSCO Basic Oxygen Process) - Innovative steelmaking process with lower energy intensity Coke Dry Quenching Invest 700 million USD by 2015 to improve energy efficiency via by-product gas combined cycle power plant, etc. Development of Hydrogen Steelmaking -Hydrogen replaces coal as a reducing material -Dramatic reduction of CO2 emission Very-high-temperature Reactor (VHTR) H2 • CEM -Energy saving of reheating step by connecting two separate processes FOG, SNG 5 ② Continuous Challenges on Raw Materials Demand for raw materials jumps as steel production rises , but supply is limited China’s surging imports of iron ore/coking coal and India’s coking coal Continuous Oligopoly of big raw material suppliers in the world market Resource nationalism is growing Global Seaborne Supply Iron Ore Global Big3’s Market Share (’09) Coking Coal 941 62% 32% 12% Coking coal Steel 266 China imports Iron ore 197 455 China/India imports 599 82 70 2000 13 2010 2000 2010 (unit: million tons) Mining firms Concentration 2001 BHP + Billiton 2006 CVRD + Inco, Xstrata + Falconbridge 2007 Rio Tinto + Alcan Source: Deutsche Securities ☞ Supply of raw materials will remain tight in the future 6 POSCO’s Mitigation Efforts Investment in mine development to secure raw materials and enhance self-sufficiency POSCO’s goal of self-sufficiency : 50% by 2014, 75% by 2018 Coking coal Iron ore Increasing investment in New Regions: Africa/Mongolia/Siberia/Indonesia, etc. Stable supply for domestic and overseas new production bases : Indonesia, India, Brazil Increasing use of low grade ore - Securing medium and low grade ore: Magnetite, Itabirite, fine ore, etc. Diversification of iron ore sources Building production bases in raw material-producing emerging countries: Indonesia, India, Brazil Development of next generation processes Low grade material (Magnetite · Low price coal), next generation Finex & EAF Process, H₂ reduction Process Existing integrated (Blast furnace-Convert furnace) Low grade fuel, iron (Blast furnace-Convert furnace) Iron ore Hematite, Low P Pisolite, High Al₂O₃/P ore Coking coal Hard coking coal (Low Ash/S/P) Semi-soft/semi-hard coking coal (high Ash/S/P) Next generation integrated (HydrogenㆍAtomic energy steelmaking) Fine magnetite ore, high P Semi-soft/semi-hard coking coal, Ultra-low price coal 7 POSCO’s Green Technology: FINEX FINEX, the world-first commercialized innovative environment-friendly iron-making process Cost-competitive by direct use of ore fines and non-coking coal without pre-treatment Eco-friendly since FINEX has great potential to reduce CO2 emission by CCS technology - Easier application of CCS(Carbon Capture and Storage) thanks to use of pure oxygen FINEX Non-coking coal Coal Briquetter Iron ore fines Fluidized bed Reactor Power Plant (CCPP*) Relative Pollutant Emission(%) SO x Sinter Plant 28% 50 Hot Compacted Iron(HCI) Melting Furnace Coke Oven 3% Pig Iron ※ CCPP : Combined Cycle Power Plant Dust BF Off–gas Heat Recovery CO2 Removal NOx 100 CO2 Sequestration 1% 0 BF FINEX Sox : Sulfur taken into slag as CaS Nox : Extremely low due to the use of pure oxygen instead of air Dust : Lower generation due to the absence of sintering and 8 coking plants Ⅰ Key Issues for Global Steel Industry Ⅱ Potential of South-east Asian Steel Industry Ⅲ POSCO in South-east Asia Ⅳ Concluding Remarks 9 Potential of South-east Asian Steel Industry High growth potential after China and India Expected 5.9% annual growth rate by 2015 - Likely GDP in 2015 is $1.4 trillion, almost the same as in India Expected steel supply shortage due to annual demand growth rate of over 7.6% World’s largest import region with shortage of 37 mil. tons in 2010 - Increasing imports of semi-finished and hot-coil products owing to supply-demand imbalance between upstream and downstream (Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand) Economic Annual Growth Forecast (2010~2015) (unit: percent) ASEAN6’s Steel Demand-Supply Forecast 81 (unit: million ton) 7.6% 9.1 56 8.6 Demand 37 5.9 5.5 4.0 41 4.3 Shortage 25 56 6.6% 5.6% 3.5% 25 Production China India Russia Brazil Eastern Europe 16 19 ASEAN6 2005 Source: Global Insight, April 2011, ASEAN6: Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore 2010 2015 10 Challenges of South-east Asian Steel Industry Southeast Asia’s steel industry has high potential, but low competitiveness. Necessity to enhance competitiveness of technology, capital strength, and economies of scale Challenges of South-east Asian Steel Industry Technology • Lack of regional upstream producers • Over-dependence on imports with less developed technology to produce high-end steel Enhancement of competitiveness by cooperating with advanced global steelmakers Virtuous cycle of fostering steel Economies of Scale Capital • Lower market concentration • Least-developed manufacturing industry • Underfunded steel industry • Underdeveloped infrastructure industry and development of steel-related industries Synergy of steel & non-steel sectors - resource development, infrastructure expansion 11 Ⅰ Key Issues for Global Steel Industry Ⅱ Potential of South-east Asian Steel Industry Ⅲ POSCO in South-east Asia Ⅳ Concluding Remarks 12 POSCO in Southeast Asia Increasing upstream and downstream investment to lead development of manufacturing and infrastructure New Investment into expansion and development of sales and production bases in order to meet market demands Plants and SCMs New investment plan - 2 Sales base: POSCO India, POSCO South Asia - 8 production facilities and 11 SCMs - Downstream such as cold-rolling mill in India, etc. - Integrated mills in Indonesia (under construction) and India (planned) POSCO India POSCO Maharashtra POSCO ICPC POSCO IDPC POSCO ISPC POSCO IPPC Myanmar POSCO Arctic POSCO Vietnam POSCO POSCO VST South Asia POSCO SS-Vina POSCO TBPC POSVINA VPS POSCO Malaysia POSCO VHPC POSCO VNPC POSCO MKPC POSCO IJPC POSMI POSCO PMPC North America India South America Africa Indonesia Upstream Downstream SCM: Supply Chain Management 13 PT.KS-POSCO JVC in Indonesia Win-Win strategy with local steelmakers and contribution to domestic economic growth Integrated Mill JVC in Indonesia Win-Win Strategy - Location : Cilegon in Banten - Partner : Krakautau (PT.KS) - Share : POSCO 70%, PT.KS 30% Contribution to boost competitiveness of steel and related industries - Capacity in Phase 1 : Slab 1.5 mil. tons, Steel plate 1.5 mil. tons Stable supply of slabs to KS - Construction Period : 2010-2013 Building development base for related industries and increasing productivity Economic Ripple Effects PT.KS-POSCO JVC production inducement worth 600 trillion Rp Creation of 1.5 mil of new jobs 14 Ⅰ Key Issues for Global Steel Industry Ⅱ Potential of South-east Asian Steel Industry Ⅲ POSCO in South-east Asia Ⅳ Concluding Remarks 15 Concluding Remarks POSCO expects rapid growth in SEA’s economic growth potential SEA’s growing economy will need quantitative and qualitative advancement of steel as demand is expected to rapidly increase. POSCO is setting up SEA “production bases” with local partners, utilizing world-class Operational Expertise and Green Technology to satisfy local steel demands POSCO’s SEA strategy is to ultimately contribute to the economic development of South-east Asia as a whole, through investment in regional steel production. Collaboration between POSCO and SEA regional steel producers creates many opportunities for cooperation and high synergy, with ideal combination of technology, capital, markets and labor. 16